Yesterday’s Deep Depression that lay over Vidarbha and adjoining areas has moved in a westerly direction in the last 24 hours and is now located over Vidarbha and adjoining areas of West MP.As it continues its westerly movement, heavy to very heavy rains are likely to occur over Konkan & Goa, Saurashtra and Kutch along with parts of Gujarat. The remnants of Vamco, a tropical storm with origins in the South China Sea, has anchored a low pressure system over areas adjoining Andaman Sea and East-Central Bay. This would cause heavy rains in the Andaman Islands. North coastal districts of TN and south AP can expect some Rain/Thundershowers.
Chennai will see a partly cloudy sky with the day time maximum staying close to 36 C. A chance of rain towards the late hours persists.
Coimbatore will stay partly cloudy and the maximum temperature will stay close to 32-33C
Madurai will continue with its heat index soaring to the high thirties inching closer to 40 C.
Vellore will experience a fairly clear sky with the day time high settling close to mid-thirties. Isolated rains can occur in some pockets
Trichy will stay hot and sunny with a maximum temperature close to 37 C
Very light drizzle continues here
Nasik 116mm
Heavy rain in nellore may be 5 cm
Yesterday widespread reached 15mm in several area of chennai. This way if continues September team reach its goal
12 mm in 16th Main Road, Anna Nagar West.
Thunderstorms over 100km east of Chennai
What is forecasting for tomorrow in Chennai ? Any heavy rain expected during day time ?
Possibility of late evening or midnight TS..
Thanks Ji
Currently raining in Dombivili, Kalyan and few areas of Navi Mumbai like Rabale. Ghansoli, Kopar Khairane…
Sunset click
Yesterday red sunset was very good. I think this is unique to western U.S. Latitude
Good morning!
Ts in east are bands of vamco?
system is not so strong to produce such a strong rainband.. please have a look into MSLP charts& 925hpa charts from IMD
6 mm here yesterday fully…
wow 0 mm here!
lol
😛
Many of them getting carried away by seeing the convection in bay is from vamco system..actually vamco remnant as lpa has an area of convection in it but not such a big rainband or a wide area of convection.. there is an hpa in vietnam/s.china sea extending into s.east bay causing high pressure gradient in parts of bay,forcing the atmosphere to produce deep convection/high winds along the regions where the interaction of HPA and low pressure trough happening.. Below pics shows the synoptic causing action
just saw my paint dabba R.G …21 mm from yesterday rains
Super!!!
How Do You Sleep Very Late And Get Up This Early?
morning 6.30 am tennis every day..so i get up early..although not going for last 1 month, i wake up at that time
ECMWF predicts one of the highest rainfall today for Chennai this SWM.
http://www.foreca.com/India/State_of_Tamil_Nadu/Chennai
0 mm in SPKoil. Had a sultry time at night
Welcome to KEA blog. Where are you put up in sp koil?
Port Blair – 99 mm (Vamco Effect)
Kurnool – 3 mm
Yesterday 3 mm
Today 4 mm
Preliminary Rainfall figures in Chennai and surrounding Regions
in mm ending 8.30 am on 19.09.2015
Thamaraipakkam – 32
Puzhal Agro – 28
Madhavaram – 25
Puzhal – 17
Katupakkam – 14
Redhills Lake – 14
Thirukalukundram – 11
Poondi Lake – 7
Ambattur – 7
Avadi – 6
Guindy – 5
Sriperumbdur – 5
Nungambakkam – 4
Minjur – 4
Thiruporur – 4
Kadambathur – 4
Taramani – 4
DGP Office Marina – 4
Official figures
(Nunga – 4.3 mm, Meena – 0.9 mm)
that is really good number. at least lake areas are getting good rainfall.
Anna Nagar West..12 mm..
We got good spell.
Two spells.
Many Happy Returns of the day Bhaskaran (Boss).
happy bday bhas sir!!! hav a grt year
Happy Birthday Bhaskaran Sir.
Thank you PJ for your kind wishes
Sir, many more happy returns of the day.
Thank you very much Sir
Happy birthday bhaskaran sir
Thank you Raghavendra
Thank you “Sel and Vel”
Thank you Thala for your kind wishes
Neenga dhaan Thala..One of the Pillars of Kea blog..
happy birthday Bhaskaran sir!
Thank you Deepaak
Happie birthday sir
Thank you
Ehsan will say wow Cola looks good.
OMG!
just have not checked my rg at all ..All are telling rained at many places!
wait i will check!
Thank you so much Raoji
Good morning
Valasaravakkam has received 5.0mm till 8:30am today
hey!
mine same!
Oh wow
OMG!
OMG!
It has rained here!just went out and saw many puddles of water..
And my rg recorded 5 mm!
wow!
PAC
click for latest image!
Happy birthday bhaskaran
Thank you Jeetji
Happy Birthday Bhaskaran Sir
Thank you Chandru
Thank you jupijove
Happy Birthday Bhaskaran Sir.
Have A Great Year Ahead !!!
Thanks Saikrishna
15mm here in Ambattur till 8.30am Today
very rare days – mogappair getting more than ambattur
Himayathnagar hyd – 41 mm
uppal hyd – 39 mm
Secunderabad – 37 mm
DES office khairatabad – 22 mm
imd hyd – 15 mm
What’s happening over Hyderabad? Daily heavy rains??
Normal rains till now in september…
Lol
Imd only ll speak…
Good morning..
Here 7 mm..but not at all satisfying…
Haaaaaa
Yep atchu ji,missing sep thunders badly
Yes.. This type of rains like june isolated ts
June -failure, July -super, Aug -normal and sep till now failure if this trend continues are we in for super Oct and normal Nov?
All are aware of my flash..alert for chennai??
no…
No sir
Happy Birthday Bhaskaran Sir.
Thank you Naresh
Super hope this come true
Lookslike I must have to repost again
Jeeth, 18th forecast by you got rain – quantity is immaterial.
Rain is rain
Even sep 9 also
Happy birthday bhaskaran sir
Thank you Vignesh
Thank you so much
Thanks for your kind blessings
Target – 96 mm in 11 days
Should be revised to 48 mm as per Duckworth Lewis
In 3 days!
Where to see official rainfall figures for this month
Kea.metsite
Happy birthday bhaskaran sir!! Have a great year ahead 🙂
Thank you Rohit
Happy birthday bhasakaran sir!
Thank you Koushik
Happy birthday Bhaskaran sir…..
Thank you KIran
Happy birthday Bhaskaran sir
Thanks a ton Dear Asad
Bhssakaran sir happy birthday
Thank you so much Krishna
Happy birthday sir from dinagar pondy
Thank you Mr Dinagar
Which birhday
61
Ok sir
instead of 5 you typed 6 sir
No instead of 1
ennaye kolapareengale
ha ha I am markandeyan
16 is too much. 36 vayathinile is OK
All i would like to say evergreen. Age is only a number
No rain in pondy yesterday
September how much rain you got so far?
Only one day rain. Worst september
Deluge is chennai last night
Nunga – 4.3
Meena -0.9
Today goals deluge likely
lol
6.5 hours to go Asad
Don’t runaway if arsenal wins
We want depression to vanish
When NEM onset?
Vamco will first give rains to chennai
Many more happy returns of the day. Mr. Bhaskaran
wish u a healthy and interesting life ahead.
Thank you so much for your wishes
you are also having sun in your name.
Happy that Sun has spotted this
All major metros got rains
Kolkatta-23.6mm
Hyderabad-14.6mm
Delhi-5.4mm
Mumbai-5.3mm
Chennai-4.3mm
Bangaore-0.9mm
It appears Trivellore close to Chennai swallowed bulk of our SWM quota this year thereby denying legitimate due of Chennai. Is there anyone who can give total rainfall during this SWM this year
for which district?
I think it is a separate district itself – may be around 80-100 km from Chennai.
Tirutanni- 450mm, vellore-455mm
Yes it should be around that
chennai also good only 356 mm
Our place periyapalayam is in tiruvallur district. But, we have not been so lucky
Is there better chance of rain tonight compared to previous 2 days?
Yes atleast for mysake
Oh by the way happy day to you
Thanks
Many many happy returns of the day, Bhaskaran Sir.
Thank you very much for your wishes
Swm over Chennai
Nungambakkam- 385mm
Meenamabakkam-404mm
Oh good…
not much difference between Nunga and Meena.
That’s dissapointing for Meena. They always score more during swm.
Nem is all nunga show.
Foreca predicting 26 mm tonight. After this nothing for 5 days.
Will they be right?
you are very fond of either foreca or cola
You forgot meteoblue
To KEA(@kea_weather:disqus )
In http://www.kea.metsite.com/ Under City Forecast Year Record Temp High – 39.7 °C (7/6/15) This Is Actually Wrong We Got 42.2 In 2nd Week Of May. Please Make The Change.
happy birthday bhaskaran sir …..have a great year ahead!!!!!
Thank you Sai
piranda naal vaztukal..baskaran sir..
Romba romba nanri Gopal Gowri Sir
why site not working
working fine…which site?
blog only. for 30 mts no comments. your 2 hrs before comment comes again
got near exact answer for yesterday rain……south of nagari got rain around 30.5-40.5
yesterday i predicted 35.562 mm…..looking at the pac chart i felt happy……hope it will be useful to pre-tell the amount of rainfall and the time it rains
super… create a comment with all the formulaes and publish it.
kk da
Thank you Mr Paul
trying to find out the strength of cyclone at its centre, by measuring wind speed at your home???…..will be back with a good result
should make use of skew lines and vectorial displacement of system
Happy birthday bhaskaran sir …have a good day…;)
Thank you so much Mr Arshad
Bhaskaran sir, Wishing u a Many More Happy returns of the day..
Thanks a lot Rajkumar
Strong rain bands near chennai coast..unfortunately its in east..(:
Portblair 105mm, bit unfortunate mumbai missed hvy rains.. Expected vry hvy rains dint happen even in gujarat it seems frm the initial reports
Mumbai missing rains badly this year .even chennai is getting better than mumbai in last two months . First time iam seeing like this hope they recicve some rains in coming days.
Oh nooooooooooooo
Saligramam 7mm
Happy b day mr. Bhaskaran
Thank you so much Mr Jon
Happy bday Boss sir
Thanks a million for your “Original” Dashing wishes
If the current sat pic was in our NEM day, it will be a diff story for us.. continuous rainy day..
FORMULA 1:
to calculate the time it will rain=>
time of rain(T)=( ( (length of the TS band(in kms)) *(RF FACTOR OF MAP IN RADAR) ) / (SPEED OF THE TS( in km/hr))
amount of rain=((RAIN RATE(in mm/hr))* (TIME OF RAIN(in hr) ) )
to convert cm into kms use 1cm=(1/100000)kms
FORMULA 2:
distance of lightning = 0.34*(time taken between lightning and thunder(sec))
FORMULA 3:
Using kinematics we can also derive the height of clouds from the ground and length of clouds
are you alright today. too much formalae
hehe
Yes..he is ramanujam of kea blog
enna jee, fuel onnum kanome
Tonight
finally today we can expect some night rains for Chennai..atleast 20mm, extra will be bonus..:)
by using the volume integral we can estimate the amount of water in the cloud
density=(mass/volume)
we can have volume from the above formula
density of water=1000 gm/cc
=>mass=(1000*volume)
volume of cloud was published yesterday…
mass refers to total water present in the cloud….how much water will come if it precipitates…
hope this will be useful….
how can we find the density of the cloud?
cloud density=1000 gm/cc
because cloud contains water in gas form
water vapour
ohhh kk… thanks
our NEM sister town in south AP i.e nellore has managed 40 CM since the start of the year. it has got 375 mm in swm. great going nellore. normal is only 275mm but it got 375mm
Good afternoon folks
From 21/22nd wind direction will be from SE…. So I’m expecting a dry phase for Chennai for the next fortnight. No major rains expected till NEM. However, surface westerlies would persist until SWM withdraws completely in October.
anything east is ok jupi. atleast temp will be down.
Maharashtra has its best day in monsoon as Deep Depression pounds with very heavy rainfall
=======================
in mm ending 8.30 am on 19.09.2015
Rajur – 350
Shirawate – 251
Amboli Junnar – 188
Karla – 183
Dhasai – 182
Aaptale – 180
Pimpalgaon Joge – 178
Lasalgaon – 177
Bhudhawadi – 172
Mulshi Dam – 168
Ladsavangi – 165
Manikdoh – 161
Chankapur – 150
Taloda – 149
Wadaj – 149
Khadkala – 149
Kalwan – 148
Dhargaon – 145
Vaitarna – 145
Dalwat – 145
Junnar – 145
Kanashi – 144
Abhona – 143
Kasbevani – 142
Dingore – 141
Nyahadi – 140
Ambhai – 140
Middle Vaitarna – 139
Yedgaon – 136
Makhmalabad – 131
Palkhed – 131
Ghotawade – 130
Vadivale – 130
Dolkhamb – 128
Igatpuri – 126
Ashte – 125
updated. Please refresh now.
Wow super!
God sent one…
Happy birthday Mr baskaran
Thank you Mr Ravindran.
So Chennai can virtually say bye bye to westerlies from day after tomorrow.
Spot on jupi…
Omg how jupi ji
Vicky please check the models and see
It shows that westerlies are virtually over for us, surprising!
this year westerlies have been pretty bad for chennai. still we managed 40 cm
Hmm yeah, it is a big thing as far as I’m concerned.
Meena is 55cm
lol..what happened .sick leave?
Lol
anyway..i disagree with that..
Yes..u told dry phase …OK.
But a system expected around 25th isn’t?
Hey , how is that possible…for that we need ITCZ to come down Chennai latitude is what I thought …Is it not ?
It’s due to UAC and also shift in the itcz also
I feel itcz won’t get down that quick.
Low clouds moving from n to s…just now noticed
than paniyai seyya veeran original dashman purapattu vandhu vittaar.
Bad sign …its sign for change in wind direction…as jupi is spotting the same
jupi is saying se to nw lol
But wind direction is w to e
want to know how much rainshadow effect in your place?? during SWM??
then you may use this formula:
%rain=( (average rainfall at your place*100)/(average rainfall at a place along west coast))
% rainshadow=(100-(%rain))
FOR CHENNAI:
RAIN AVERAGE IN CHENNAI DURING SWM= 625MM
RAINS IN CHENNAI GENERALLY COMES FROM MANGALORE AREA
RAIN AVERAGE IN MANGALORE(reference point)= 2935MM
%RAIN=(625*100)/2935 = 21.2%
%RAINSHADOW=100-40.4=78.8%
which means 21.2% of mangalore rains converges somewhere in between and creates rainfall in chennai……
and we are living in 78.8% rainshadow region of SWM …..which means somewhere the hills are blocking and making the chennai rainshadow
applicable for only orographic rainfall
sai,who did this one? how one can say rains in chennai comes from mangalore? is tat courier service?
haha…just made an assumption sel..
Keka nalla irukku la..viden..
appom nagari,tada hills laam thakkali thokka?
haha
:D:D
chumma sonna na nega vera
just kidding..
seabreeze evening vengaya bajji ya?
Lol…..
parrah dialogue adikkiranga
apo ethu thaan briyani?
athu jeetu department
nah nah na……bay of bengal beach!!! biriyaani cinema la solluvaangale
Inda varusham main dishke vazhi illa..idhula thokku, bajji kekudha?
lol
100-21.2=78.8
then for madurai ???
hehe
Sai do u have fluid mechanics as a paper?
2nd year la mudichitom
Great..!!!
nega engineering padikiringala
BE mudichaachu
yesterday tirupati airport 15.4mm
tamil/hollywood la nalla oru movie sollugalae……chumma bore adikkuthu….full action aa erukanum
Maya…horror Tamil movie…
na youtube la ela na..
Lol
who is hero??or only 9
Even 10,11
Lol…
im seroius about nayan ..pls tellme
lol… lol… Nedunchaalai Actor Aari Is Another Supporting Role..
Could be lead role
best movie till date: TROPICAL METEOROLOGY.. say the story plot when u finish watching the movie
hehe….
Kaththi paru…
Suddenly overcast here.
My weather app predicts heavy rain tonight.
Shows rainfall upto 30mm.
nice maamzz
Hurricane Fifi-orlene was renamed Orlene after crossing Mexico and merging with another Pacific storm. The hurricane caused tremendous damage across Mexico and left 8,200 people dead in 1974.
Foreca showing easterlies from 21
http://www.foreca.com/India/State_of_Tamil_Nadu/Chennai?tenday
Pseudo NEM?
u mean day after tommorrow or oct 21 ??
Day after tomorrow
lol
Winds are still southerly.
Yes a bit se
For a moment i tot it’s October 21st
Lol.
The fresh cyclonic circulation in the Bay of Bengal has intensified
into a low pressure area and is in the process of getting more
organised.
The system is presently marked over northwest and adjoining east-central Bay of Bengal, off the West Bengal and Odisha coas
IMD report?
Skymet
IMD says that its still a LPA
Why there is a late surge in SWM every year and not getting withdrawal in time? I think the withdrawal line is struck for long period from extreme NW India..
Because of some rogue system
SWM is beating all the odds and staying active in-spite of active elnino
Yes true that
it may be because of prayers of affected people. what explanation we can give finally.
Look at machili radar..coastal andhra is getting pounded
yes due to that concave bend ..luckily they are getting rains …winds from south to north
Appidina?
like this picture
Which picture?
machillipatnam to vizag it ll be in bend shape right? so storms from south ..directly reaching to land
Oh kk
Roxy Mathew Koll, Scientist
At IITM, Pune…
Loads of drizzles bands in sea.
Seeing this after a long time….
Those are intense bands only since they are far away from radar reflectivity they appear as drizzle bands
They are just 100kms away and those are drizzle bands only.
No….
Those are DriZling bands!
Mostly inside 200km reflectivity will be good!
Image courtesy:
——————–
Jan SuttonCloud Enthusiasts :-))) !!!
Tall ship on the Solent, Hampshire, UK. September 18 2015, at 8.20am
*** Song sung by Owner of September team (PJ Anna) in anger, disappointment and frustration ***
Saththam illaadha August kaettaen
Yuththam illaadha Gamesai kaettaen
Players raththathil vaegam kaettaen
Ragasiyamillaa ‘Dash’ai kaettaen
Otrai mazhaineer thuliyai kaettaen
Valigal seyyaadha hailstorm kaettaen
Idigal illaadha maegam kaettaen
Cloudsku sariyaana heightai kaettaen
Pullin nuniyil hailstone kaettaen
Nimbus madiyil padukkai kaettaen
Thaanae dump pannum cumulus kaettaen
Thalaiyai koadhum cool breeze kaettaen
Midhandhu poaga kattumaram kaettaen
Kidandhu urula deluge kaettaen
Etti pidikka low clouds kaettaen
Chennaikellam oru puyal kaettaen
Puyalukkelam aayul kaettaen
Septemberukku sama mazhai kaettaen
Vaanam muzhukka minnal kaettaen
Anvils ellaam uyara kaettaen
Uchchandhalaimael mazhaiyaik kaettaen
Ullangaalil floodsai kaettaen
Nadungavidaadha thunder kaettaen
TSil oru naal vasikka kaettaen
Mazhaiyin sangeedham rusikka kaettaen
Mazhayil mannum manakka kaettaen
Mazhaithuli poal oru Sooriyan kaettaen
Sooriyan poal oru mazhaithuli kaettaen
Sondha uzhaippil runsai kaettaen
mazhaiyai poanra porumaiyai kaettaen
Sonnadhu kaetkum TS kaettaen
Sonnaal saagum UAC kaettaen
Frontai ariyum kangal kaettaen
Chinna chinna thoalvigal kaettaen
Seekkiram aarum kaayam kaettaen
Kuraindhapatcha rainfall kaettaen
Fuel illadaha Jeetai kaettaen
Maadiku pogadha Sellai kaettan
Para podatha Gokul keattaen
Mumbai pesadha Thalayai keattaen
Iththanai kaettum kidaikkavillai
Idhilae edhuvum nadakkavillai
Septembereh inimel vaendamendru
October November December kaettaen……
Kalakitinga ODM jii…
Super… 100 Likes!!!
Wow
nice,,epudi room pottu yosipingala???
moola adhigama ungalku
Aruma Aruma …..!!! Nee nee dhaan…po
Is it in Muhari raaga
Ungalukku nalla future irukku annae!!!
Edhula? 😀
Kavithai la!!
superrrrrrrr!!
This is where the originality – if some one tries impersonate they get got. Original original thaan
Special post from me for ur Birthday..eventhough u r not mentioned 🙂
If that was the case it should should have been in Dhanyasi and not mukhari
Avare paavam kovathula paadraaru…idhula raagam thevaya?
Athu avara vechu commedy panniurkunum.
This is not for comedy…dont mistake me Anna…all related to Games only
Point
Eppadi partner …
Ellam Annavin power
enna poi para podadhu ne sollitiye …partner ….:D 😀
Idhuke ippdina just think abt Thala 😀
Lol….
Since this is posted behind the rock – will it be Rock and roll music
prf/erf is his assistants
Ooruvam, vilassam udaya dashai keattaenn..
Appo number vendama? tharalamnu nenachen
eppadi ippadi yellam..chance illa..superrrrr…
Nadathu Nadathu… Nice though inc pj snap
Where is deep depression now and also vamco
Can anybody show me the withdrawal line of SWM
Here it is …