Bay of Bengal hosts a July cyclone for the 1st time in 26 years

keaweather 2015, KEA Blog, SWM-2015

The Deep Depression (DD) off Bangladesh coast intensified into a Cyclonic Storm (CS) “Komen” and becomes the 1st cyclone to form in the last 26 years during July in the Bay of Bengal. The cyclone had made landfall over Bangladesh coast during the day, weakened further and will merge with the monsoon axis in the coming days. The system will bring heavy to very rainfall to West Bengal, Odisha and other eastern states. The Depression (D) over North West India has weakened into a Well Marked Low Pressure Area (WML) and is drenching the desert region of Rajasthan with heavy rainfall. The Western Disturbance (WD) meanwhile will continue to pound Kashmir, Himachal and North Indian states.

Tamil Nadu – The mini-break of two days for rains in North Tamil Nadu will come to an end. Intense Thunderstorms will form over interiors during the course of the day and will move towards the coastal areas by night.

02. India_Sat (1)

Chennai will witness rains associated with thunder and winds in the evening / night with temperature in the day settling around 36-37C.

Coimbatore will see a cloudy day with temperatures close to 32-33 C with chance of rain in the day.

Madurai will continue to have typical hot day with a maximum temperature around 38-39 C.

2,282 thoughts on “Bay of Bengal hosts a July cyclone for the 1st time in 26 years”

    • That, and the fact that the leader is actually in Japan or someplace for some unknown treatment for an unknown disease..

      Reply

  4. Except normal/above normal performance from SI KTK and parts of Tamil Nadu this August. I’m going with normal rainfall for Chennai this month.

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  5. Here is the old IMD sat image which was uploaded half an hour ago incase anyone missed out. It has been rectified now

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  7. first time since last 35 years we are facing water scarcity and have dug up borewell in my house

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  8. Good news: Though El Nino has weakened a bit recently, it is likely to gain strength again and re-emerge strong during NEM.

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  10. If gfs forecast comes true means chennai will have bumper august as it except the trough to come down in latitude greatly till south of chennai so September guys be ready to loose

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  11. Bloggers have started to join their favourite teams for the Games…Hurry up!

    Note : July 30 (11:59:59) Cutoff Time !!!

    The List Stands Like This As Of Now!
    Please Join to Kea Weather Blog’s AUG-SEP Games!!!

    (Updated List)

    Aug – Jon,Sel,GTS,Jupi,Novak,Arshad,Vignesh,Raghavendra,Atchu,,Tuboli,Parthasri – Rajakilpakkam,,Rajeshrd,Hrishi Palavakkam,chnrainlover-adamsaligramam,Yogesh,Gajendra Kumar T Nagar,Gtaman,Rame 1975,Vijay,East Tambaram,Steve Roger

    – 21 Bloggers

    Sep – guest11k,Susu,Sai_Vijayfan,bhaskaran19,Jeetu,PJ,Senthil prabhu,Vinod,Naresh Kumar,
    Chandra Mouli,Rsrao,Anand ECR,Bharath-Ponneri,Deepaak,Tornado Koushik,Sai Praneeth,Ameen Bijli
    Asad- Royapettah,Rajkmr – Choolaimedu,Siva@Chrompet,Sriram Rangarajan,Vijay Nagarajan,Paul Abraham,Aman- Madipakkam,Pradeep – Agaram,Sriram Balakrishnan,Keerthi Vasan,Kalai
    Grully,Raman S

    – 30 Bloggers

    Organizing Commitee

    ODM
    Novak
    Kea Weather(Ehsan)

    Look After This Link For Daily Rains In Various RG’s In Different Place Of Chennai…Good Idea By PJ For Creating A Spread Sheet !!! KEA Will Update The Rains Daily !!!

    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1iesWMot4h0vBoxPufTcmlsUPdxmAOvfrbybjnRXGMHw/edit?pli=1#gid=1720993255

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  15. goa,konkan&north.karnataka coast slowly switching back to their old days after a week of depressison regime..

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  16. Lot of popups over Raichur Nalgonda…
    seems rainy season going to begin in AP NIK and west telangana from today…..some areas going to get their first swm spells today

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  18. 9 hours to go for the most awaited event of the year !!!

    Organizing Commitee:

    ODM (Ungal Dash)
    Kea (Charismatic Leader)
    Novak (Volunteer from Aug)
    Sai (Volunteer from Sep)

    Strengths – Aug:

    Jon – August Man
    Sel & GTS – Cyclone Bros
    Jupi – Wonder Boy of Aug team
    Novak – Inspirational Leader and Connector
    Parthasri – SandWind Expert
    Weatherbug – Sakalakalaa Vallavan

    Strengths – Sep:

    Susu – Wonder Boy of Sep team
    Jeetu – Energy supplier
    PJ – Mighty DataMan
    Rsrao – Bolt from US
    Bijli – Dangerous Little Player
    Paul – PowerPaul
    Vinod, guest11k – Indominus Hitters
    Aman – AntMan
    Sai_Vijay, Deepaak – Energetic Pa group members

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      • Too much Red Bull is too harmful lol..btw it is most unsuitable for vegetarians..contains a key NV ingredient LOL!!

      • Bloggers have time till midnight…as promised earlier…event starts officially from midnight only

    • Antman lol….:), why I choose september is, July is more than normal for Chennai and so August will be little below normal and subsequently so September will be above normal. September also averages more than Aug?

      Reply

  21. Friends.. i have joined the blog after a long gap…. i have been reading the blogs daily – not a day missed probably..

    Reply

  24. Anyone using Firechat here? Messaging app which can work even without internet or cellular connectivity via BT..more the # of ppl who use it, faster it gets..crowdsourced app..

    Reply

  30. Waterfalls Lakes Plitvice, Croatia (National Park)
    Is among the 20 most beautiful lakes in the world to 17th place. The park covers an area of 33,000 hectares and includes 16 lakes in succession, connected by waterfalls.Plitvice is the oldest national park in Southeast Europa.All’interno the park there are also many caves of which only a small part is agibile.I lakes are formed by two rivers: the White River and the Black River, which flow in the river Korana. The waters of these rivers are rich in calcareous salts (mostly calcium carbonate and magnesium carbonate), from the dissolution of carbonate rocks forming the geological structure of sito.Questi salts are precipitated by vegetation, forming layers of travertine , a sedimentary rock recently. Over time, these deposits forming real natural dams that act as barriers to water, growing by about a centimeter per year. At one point the water pressure breaks these natural levees, opening new paths in the ground.
    This mechanism, in fact common to all the calcareous water, in Plitvice has assumed a particular importance.
    The beauty of the National Park Plitvice, Croatia, is increased in the second round of the New Seven Wonders of Nature.

    https://lh3.googleusercontent.com/-9whcx1G98Ag/VbsvzStVTSI/AAAAAAABqRY/X08Don1CNoQ/w433-h620/2015%2B-%2B1

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  33. Strong thunderstorms forming over bagalkote Yadgir south kalaburgi (gulbarga)..storms moving towards kurnool mahaboobnagar Rangareddy medak Anantapur

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  36. lot of great leaders like Kamaraj, Kakkan, Jeeva, Lal Bahadur shastri, Morarji desai etc also led simple life through out their life, what is pathetic and worrying is people forget most of those great leaders and freedom fighters

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      • we easily follow unwanted people ideology, if you find time just google about the names i mentioned, you will know how all those leaders, and other unknown people fought for our freeedom, and how they suffered, because of them only we are enjoying all these freedom, and all

      • Yes actually even indian army suffers a lot but not one army man is known to the Public people

  38. Friday, July 31 will see a rarity in our night skies – the first “blue moon” since 2012, and the last one until 2018…

    Reply

    • I have posted about this in the morning itself . For the benefit of every one

      ———–
      What is a blue moon?

      Whenever there are two full moons in a calendar month, the second one is called a “blue moon,” according to popular definition. The first full moon this month appeared on July 2, and a second one — the “blue” one — is happening Friday..

      Is the blue moon actually blue?

      Short answer: NO.

      Reply

  40. if you recollect what Churchill said before giving independence to India, all his words become more than 100% true

    All leaders will be of low caliber & men of straw. . .
    They’ll have sweet tongues & silly hearts. . .
    They will fight amongst themselves for power
    A day would come when even air & water will be taxed.

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      • At a party, he was fully drunk and creating a scene. A woman told him..Mr Prime Minister, you are behaving in a most nasty fashion.

        He replied..but M’am, I’ll be normal and sober tomorrow morning. But you, M’am, are UGLY.

  42. HEART TOUCHING STORY..!
    Ex Indian President Dr. Abdul Kalam Says:
    “When I was a kid, my Mom cooked food for us.
    One night in particular when she had made dinner after a long hard day’s work, Mom placed a plate of ‘subzi’ and extremely burnt roti in front of my Dad.
    I was waiting to see if anyone noticed the burnt roti. But Dad just ate his roti and asked me how was my day at school.
    I don’t remember what I told him that night, but I do remember I heard Mom apologizing to Dad for the burnt roti.
    And I’ll never forget what he said: “Honey, I love burnt roti.”
    Later that night, I went to kiss Daddy, good night & I asked him if he really liked his roti burnt. He wrapped me in his arms & said:
    “Your momma put in a long hard day at work today and she was really tired. And besides… A burnt roti never hurts anyone but HARSH WORDS DO!”

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    • That is fantastic, i am following this in my home, every one of us should realise that our house women are working hard, either it may mother or wife, we should not dictate them or order, we should adjust to what we get at that time.

      We have lot of people in our world without food and they are with malnutrition.

      We are gifted and god gave us that gift of lovely family, good dresses, good cooked food and education.

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      • Partha, In the meantime cumulative SWM index going to end by around 4% deficit. Did you observe still skymet sticks to normal range of 98% in their revised forecast? No one will ask Skymet about reasons (whether it’s MJO/+ve IOD) if SWM sticks to normal level.

  43. TS developments are visible to the north of Jigani. After nearly a long absence, TS days are back to Bangalore!

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  46. good evening@disqus_cJHlx6B4nk:disqus @disqus_PLdYjx4w9Z:disqus @disqus_aCOAlmI4CP:disqus @swaiarathi:disqus @rajkmr:disqus @disqus_VjOIYCUCEk:disqus @shriraamsanker:disqus @ramisettisrinivasarao:disqus @vijayfan_saikrishna:disqus @rajugana:disqus @Raman S:disqus @bhaskaran19:disqus@disqullakshmi:disqus @disqus_oJW4CsI5js:disqus @ @disqus_2LGsUt7coG:disqus @hivltg06:disqus @@arvysri:disqus
    @selvanfun:disqus @disqus_WTnHJyB1hv:disqus @disqus_t5BoD7uk8P:disqus @disqus_rwvcb7TnJD:disqus @chandrangsun:disqus @originaldashman:disqus @abdson:disqus @disqus_Ujh5YhIPl0:disqus @jupijove:disqus @disqus_hZ8tOkdigS:disqus @disqus_okjHxixW9y:disqus @@disqus_iFqs34PQmy:disqus @disqus_6OnctAtaei:disqus @gokultamilselvam:disqus @disqus_dE1vEp6PNW:disqus @
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  49. OUR KEA POLL RESULTS
    aug- 69 votes
    sep-35 votes….
    august guys keep rocking….jupi,vicky,sel.etc………….

    Reply

  50. Tamil Nadu Govt, to institute award in memory of Abdul Kalam, celebrate his birth anniversary as Youth Awakening Day

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  52. Though the reflectivity is very less in long range radar of Machilipatnam….
    High intensity thunderstorms started entering Western AP from Karnataka..Kurnool soon will be battered with good rains..
    Adoni Mantralayam areas started getting rains

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  54. why nowadays there are no guest votes ???
    in NEM 2014 there will be 20 guest votes and more

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  57. Finally rainfall reporting from Mantralayam ….Adoni …..Jurala project …. Acchampeta…Raichur….

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    • This is an early indication of 2009-type floods along Krishna & tungabadhra catchments areas. Coming days these rains will turn so aggressive.

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  58. Dull Day Today!
    I Hate Dull Days !!!
    Either It Should Pour Like Hell !!!
    Or Scorch Like Hell !!!

    Reply

  62. Rainfall amounts in last 1 hour..Expecting 60 to 70 mm rains by night
    Rajam – 19 mm
    Peddakadumur (Anantapur) – 10 mm
    Mantralayam (kurnool)- 10 mm
    Holagunda (kurnool) – 7 mm

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  67. My Relatives From Mumbai Told They Have Had The Worst July:(:(
    They Have Ever Seen From 2002

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  68. OMG…. I had completed some excel sheets of SWM rains wrt Elnino. I understood why agencies are interlinking Elnino with SWM-failure. But after seeing Elnino wrt SWM-2015 performance ( by comparing past data), we can not conclude still at this stage that SWM-2015 is a failure. Reason is cumulative SWM index still at normal range despite deficit July. Only thing is SWM-2015 is maintaining some long interval (when compared to regular Elnino).

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  70. Finally heavy rains in Kurnool started…Kurnool town getting rain from past 10 minutes with high intensity,…Expecting minimum 60 to 70 mm..
    These days machilipatnam is not picking up the storms in long range….very less reflectivity

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  73. As Susa was pointing out cloudy weather here in n.tn spoiling pop ups , one reason for it is possibly a reduction in instability by absorption of short wave radiation by these clouds. This absorption leads to upper air partial warming , leading to pop ups to gain lesser buoyancy. And of course , ground heating absorption is less as well….

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  75. Now “some thing happened” error of Windows 10 is a meme. poor microsoft. 7 out of 10 people facing this issue

    Reply

  76. is it possible to predict these high level cirrus clouds(like today) in advance ?

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  77. July Rainfall
    ———-
    Mumbai Colaba – 280 mm
    Chennai Nungambakkam – 205 mm

    K.

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  80. I see some lack of enthusiasm from the Aug team..mainly the seniors..may be they are silently waiting for the game to begin..
    Puli padhunguvadhu paaivadharko??? 🙂
    I’m sure Jon and Jupi will raise their team’s spirits to face the mighty Sep gang!

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  81. Contrasting change in the weather here from what it was in the morning. Cool and blustery conditions prevailing.

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  88. Having topseed experts like susa/pj/vinod is sep team…our only threat in Aug team is combo guys compact attack

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  90. what a fantastic start for Colaba and then all goes wrong.
    @disqus_dE1vEp6PNW:disqus seeing this image, I think Colaba got more rain than us in July

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  93. Exactly. Now August team may hit singles/twos with occasional 4s. But September team can hit sixes like MSD’s helicopter shots.

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  100. CFS mjo forecast for next three months.
    CFS 850s 3 month hindcast (seemed to have forecasted last big MJO event) Forecasting another in late AUG?

    Reply

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