Good morning.
IMD suggest N.TN/S.AP most likely landfall.But I don’t think the system would weaken after CS status as they say.It would intensify further until it nears land.We’ll see.
Dry winds 4m sw (n.tn)may spoil the show,Since v r falling south west of the system,It may weaken if the system nears us… If it is 4m sum other direction,v may get benefited but unfortunately v r falling sw of system.. Dry winds r worst than low sst..low sst wil let alive for 12 to 24 hours,but dry winds wont ..it wil destroy the system in few hours…. Wish it shldnt happen.
Come on people – look at where its located. Somewhere between Orissa and north Andhra Pradesh. And you people are saying this is for Chennai ? Give us a break !!!!
Kalla kandaa naaya kanum,naaya kanda kalla kanum…. V r in tat situation.. V hav to wait till december to get highly favourable upper level environment but sst wont wait til then…some global models indicating above avg sst to continue all along ind ocean till peak winter…lets c.
Last december,It was hot n dry for 2 days bfore the arrival of thane…so Present conditions shld get fade away, or else cyclone wil follow the unwritten law of chennai..
Last year thane was a unique one… Upper level factors gave a full support. Unfortunately sst din support, if sst was favourable it might hav been turned into super cyclone ,or atlantic hurricane status. It had such a warm core ,and showed cirrus clouds like a tail around it ,tat v seen in cyclone sidr ….
Good Morning. We have likelihood of cold dry air enveloping our Mahasen and weakening it. But Mahasen is not going to get affected and going to remain isolated from it. The way Mahasen intensifies shows this.
If it intensifies in to CAT 1, the chances of minimum TC hitting Chennai is possible. We have to watch for intensification. So far, so good.
Mahasen is for chennai.. No doubt about that… I’m little bit concerned on the Increasing shear in the south that is is pushing the dry air to the centre of the system..
YajurAdithya, blue dotted line denotes decrease in shear,.and continous white line denote increasing trend… Dark navy blue for 5-10 knts, green 15-20..yellow n red- above 20knts
Yajuradithya,decrease in shear favours intensification.. Actually warm air 4m system and cold n air near chennai getting mixing up each other.. Tat cold air wil destroy the thunderstorm tat develop around the system..
Rapid intensification might occur anytime.It has possibility to show lot of fluctuation.If it intensifies enough,we can worry less about dry air.paakalam.
The deep depression over eastcentral Bay of Bengal moved westward and lay centred at 0530 hrs IST of
today 18
th
November 2012 over eastcentral Bay of Bengal near latitude 16.0
0
N and longitude 88.5
0
E, about 950 km
east-northeast of Chennai, 600 km east-southeast of Visakhapatnam and 520 km southeast of Paradip. The system
would intensify further into a cyclonic storm and move slowly west-northwestwards during next 6 hrs and west/westsouthwestwards towards south Andhra Pradesh and north Tamil Nadu coasts during subsequent 72 hrs.
Based on latest analysis with NWP models and other conventional techniques, estimated track and intensity of
the system are given in the table below:
Date/time(IST) Position (lat.
0
N/ long.
0
E)
Sustained maximum surface wind
speed (kmph)
Category
18-11-2012/0530 16.0/88.5 55-65 gusting to 75 Deep depression
18-11-2012/1130 16.2/88.0 55-65 gusting to 75 Deep depression
18-11-2012/1730 16.1/87.3 65-75 gusting to 85 Cyclonic Storm
18-11-2012/2330 15.7/86.5 65-75 gusting to 85 Cyclonic Storm
19-11-2012/10530 15.2/85.7 65-75 gusting to 85 Cyclonic Storm
19-11-2012/1730 15.0/85.0 55-65 gusting to 75 Deep depression
20-11-2012/0530 14.5/84.5 50-60 gusting to 70 Deep depression
20-11-2012/1730 13.8/84.0 45-55 gusting to 65 Depression
21-11-2012/0530 13.4/83.0 45-55 gusting to 65 Depression
after coming to 13.4 83.0,i think it will move west north west like cyclone nilam.what do u say?i think south andhra and north tamilnadu may witness only very less rain.
This system cannot survive in Bay. It will intensify into a cyclone by evening and stay so only for 24 hours. It will start to weaken after that as the cyclone will head south
system lies to the south of anticyclone under moderate shear .The dry air coming from TN trying to wrap the system but still has not reached the system visible in water vapor channel.The system is showing regular central dense overcast of 1 degree latitude with banding feature .The intensity should be close to 40-45 knots.
The forecast is expects the system to loose strength as it near the coast .It has to more to do with the lesser water vapor(dry air) rather than shear.The thunderstorm are not widespread in this system as the water vapor is not abundant in that area.If it could gain some good strength now it will hold for a longer time as it nears the coast.
Normally pressure decreases due to the heating of air.The pressure decreases in day and increases in night.Not sure whether its a normal decrease or due to the cyclone.
Dry air is nothing but an air without water vapor ,if there is no dry air no matter how much air gets lifted it will be unable to develop thunderstorm as clouds wont form due to less water vapor.If there is no clouds then the rain rate will decrease drastically which will decrease the wind speed and the pressure will go up.The whole system will collapse in matter of few hours.
I am taking about dry air in general not about the current system.Even there is moderate amount of dry air gonna reach the core, then system will have tough time.
No matter what the shear value going to be if there is no water vapor nothing can be done.Only thing that could save system at that time would be high SST as it could supply some vapor but if the dry air is extensive then its difficult for the water vapor to develop widespread around the system.
According to JTWC, this system will intensify but would weaken when it nears Chennai as will turn in to Depression.. Now it all depends on moisture… If the pulling of Dry air continues, then there is no doubt that the system weakens..
We can see dry air surrounding the system towards West and SW near Chennai. Also we can see the Pacific is feeding our system. Need not worry about the collapse. It will slightly weaken during landfall.
Is there a southwards dip yet? I find it hard to believe that it can dip that dramatically… Anyway IF it does dip I wish it weakens to a deep depression so it will linger longer over chennai… Cyclones are useless
sudharshan and karthik – let me rephrase that – useless for chennai. Some unknown, possibly transitionary, factors work to either cause them to miss or pass through without yielding much rain. Its like Rs 10 Crores is never “useless” but if we are never going to get our hands on it, might as well hope for a Rs 10 L 😉
That’s much better and more true. 😐
onces it loses intensity it may dip south… but it wont completely lose its potential..
THE VERY FAVORABLE OUTFLOW IN ASSOCIATION WITH CONSOLIDATION OF THE LLCC WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS WILL CAUSE A WEAK INTENSIFICATION, BUT WILL QUICKLY BE
OVERCOME BY INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT.
unwritten law of chennai states that “nee evlo periya appataker ah irunthalum,chennai eh cross pannanum na adakki vaasikanum…same law also applicable for the area falling from pulicat-mahabalipuram
KeaWeather Archives 
Good morning.
IMD suggest N.TN/S.AP most likely landfall.But I don’t think the system would weaken after CS status as they say.It would intensify further until it nears land.We’ll see.
it already looks weak.dont be surprised if jtwc downgrades it in their next forecast
Yes,Is it getting toppled by wind shear?JTWC also says the system will choke.
JTWC also doesn’t take the forecast beyond 20th.I suppose it will weaken considerably before that.It remains to be seen.
Warning Graphic favors Chennai.Whether it will be useful remain to be seen
i think its gud for us if it crosses the coast as lpa or d as forecasted
kea is expecting 20cm for Chennai from tis system
Jon,How do you say the system looks weak?If you see this loop I would say it has intensified.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/2012/adt/text/03B-list.txt
16.32 -88.10
Moving West
southwest will be more better
Next movement will start tracking SW.
All models predict it to weaken considerably,after touching windspeed of 40 kts.
faster southwest movement will be good if we want to reach us atleast as depression
Not possible.It is caught between 2 ridges.It is squeezing its way out slowly.
the longer in sea at the bay there is possibility of weakening more. so it is the time now to start its journey to chennai
WNW 16.33 -88.07
Dry winds 4m sw (n.tn)may spoil the show,Since v r falling south west of the system,It may weaken if the system nears us… If it is 4m sum other direction,v may get benefited but unfortunately v r falling sw of system.. Dry winds r worst than low sst..low sst wil let alive for 12 to 24 hours,but dry winds wont ..it wil destroy the system in few hours…. Wish it shldnt happen.
I saw that.It is wrapping the system. 😦
Today’s maximum temp will play a big role..wish its should go higher today..
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/adt/PMW/03B-list_PMW.txt
2012NOV18 003000 2.9 999.7 43.0 2.9 3.1 3.2 0.2T/hour OFF OFF -71.76 -67.78 UNIFRM N/A N/A 16.27 -88.07 FCST MET7 40.2
2012NOV18 010000 2.9 999.7 43.0 2.9 3.3 3.3 NO LIMIT OFF OFF -68.36 -66.94 UNIFRM N/A N/A 16.28 -88.03 FCST MET7 40.2
no Weakening Flag. Lets hope for the best!
another low around 27th
http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/d/charts/medium/deterministic/msl_uv850_z500!Wind%20850%20and%20mslp!240!Asia!pop!od!oper!public_plots!2012111712!!/
can expect some rain from this.
http://www.weatherzone.com.au/models/?lt=wzireg&lc=asia&mt=accessg&mc=mslp&mso=0&mh=96&focus=mh
Tropical Cyclone 03B :- New landfall graphic and track page :- Soon IMD will name this as MAHASEN
http://www.hrktimes.in/2012/11/storm-track-tropical-cyclone-mahasen-03b.html
Thanks a lot.All the best for TOEFL.
ty karthik
Excellent.It is going through a intensifying process now.Will come in handy when hostile conditions are faced.
SAT images looks as if it is a severe cyclone.Brilliantly organised.
It may be nearing it’s peak intensity now.
JTWC: Warning No 2: It will reach Chennai
Jtwc says system wil dissipate in another 72 hrs as Tc in open waters..
Yes.It predicts sudden death from dry air. 😐
It has to become depression for any rain chance for Chennai region
No south turn atleast till evening. Only WNW movement till 5.30 pm
Come on people – look at where its located. Somewhere between Orissa and north Andhra Pradesh. And you people are saying this is for Chennai ? Give us a break !!!!
Will take turn
16.36 -87.97
Kalla kandaa naaya kanum,naaya kanda kalla kanum…. V r in tat situation.. V hav to wait till december to get highly favourable upper level environment but sst wont wait til then…some global models indicating above avg sst to continue all along ind ocean till peak winter…lets c.
is above avg sst 28 to 30 will adversely affect NEM
Cyclone Mahasen to crash into Chennai
I am still confident of leading in the contest by month end
kea’ wa solaradhu..namaba mudiyale??
If Kea tells something, only opposite will happen.(as per earlier stats)
Its damn cold outside. Doesn’t look like a cyclone approaching weather…
It will become overcast from tmw morning. Will get break from cold
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/adt/03B-list.txt
vmax 47 knts
16.21 -88.03 SE movement
Last december,It was hot n dry for 2 days bfore the arrival of thane…so Present conditions shld get fade away, or else cyclone wil follow the unwritten law of chennai..
Last year thane was a unique one… Upper level factors gave a full support. Unfortunately sst din support, if sst was favourable it might hav been turned into super cyclone ,or atlantic hurricane status. It had such a warm core ,and showed cirrus clouds like a tail around it ,tat v seen in cyclone sidr ….
S.ind ocean gettin more active … Madagascar get ready for cat 3 or cat 4 cyclones..
I saw pradeep John name in Times of India today !! .. Is that is the same pradeep john who is in KEA blog ?
Wow.look at the shear wher its going to move.. http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/indian/winds/wm5sht.GIF
is that black line is wind shear ? if yes means will they block the patch of it ?
Increasing Shear could push the Dry air to the core which will make the system to weaken.. Now we have to wait and watch.
Moisture is less in the north of bengal and the dry air is thinning the core.
till IMD not name it as cyclone
21-11-2012/0530 13.4/83.0 45-55 gusting to 65 Depression
it little bit aways from chennai
Check in the Times of India today..
Good Morning. We have likelihood of cold dry air enveloping our Mahasen and weakening it. But Mahasen is not going to get affected and going to remain isolated from it. The way Mahasen intensifies shows this.
If it intensifies in to CAT 1, the chances of minimum TC hitting Chennai is possible. We have to watch for intensification. So far, so good.
Mahasen is for chennai.. No doubt about that… I’m little bit concerned on the Increasing shear in the south that is is pushing the dry air to the centre of the system..
YajurAdithya, blue dotted line denotes decrease in shear,.and continous white line denote increasing trend… Dark navy blue for 5-10 knts, green 15-20..yellow n red- above 20knts
thanks for detail info and will decrease in shear favours for the system ??
BBC predicts for Chennai ..
http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/1264527
996 mB at 49 knts
Yajuradithya,decrease in shear favours intensification.. Actually warm air 4m system and cold n air near chennai getting mixing up each other.. Tat cold air wil destroy the thunderstorm tat develop around the system..
Rapid intensification might occur anytime.It has possibility to show lot of fluctuation.If it intensifies enough,we can worry less about dry air.paakalam.
950 KM from chennai : IMD 8.30 report
Not yet named it.Ayyo.
It wil intensify gradually for sometime..
Latest 8.30am track from IMD shows a Concave loop straight coming into Chennai..try plotting the last 4 coordinates in Google..you can understand
Click to access cwind.pdf
Raja sir,post the imd report…here current off 4m 8-10 am
The deep depression over eastcentral Bay of Bengal moved westward and lay centred at 0530 hrs IST of
today 18
th
November 2012 over eastcentral Bay of Bengal near latitude 16.0
0
N and longitude 88.5
0
E, about 950 km
east-northeast of Chennai, 600 km east-southeast of Visakhapatnam and 520 km southeast of Paradip. The system
would intensify further into a cyclonic storm and move slowly west-northwestwards during next 6 hrs and west/westsouthwestwards towards south Andhra Pradesh and north Tamil Nadu coasts during subsequent 72 hrs.
Based on latest analysis with NWP models and other conventional techniques, estimated track and intensity of
the system are given in the table below:
Date/time(IST) Position (lat.
0
N/ long.
0
E)
Sustained maximum surface wind
speed (kmph)
Category
18-11-2012/0530 16.0/88.5 55-65 gusting to 75 Deep depression
18-11-2012/1130 16.2/88.0 55-65 gusting to 75 Deep depression
18-11-2012/1730 16.1/87.3 65-75 gusting to 85 Cyclonic Storm
18-11-2012/2330 15.7/86.5 65-75 gusting to 85 Cyclonic Storm
19-11-2012/10530 15.2/85.7 65-75 gusting to 85 Cyclonic Storm
19-11-2012/1730 15.0/85.0 55-65 gusting to 75 Deep depression
20-11-2012/0530 14.5/84.5 50-60 gusting to 70 Deep depression
20-11-2012/1730 13.8/84.0 45-55 gusting to 65 Depression
21-11-2012/0530 13.4/83.0 45-55 gusting to 65 Depression
Upperlevel anticyclone just moved a bit s.east of the system… Continues to provide a gud flow.
after coming to 13.4 83.0,i think it will move west north west like cyclone nilam.what do u say?i think south andhra and north tamilnadu may witness only very less rain.
No,I actually think it will just keep moving south.No factor for it to head north after that.
This system cannot survive in Bay. It will intensify into a cyclone by evening and stay so only for 24 hours. It will start to weaken after that as the cyclone will head south
Yes,aware of that fact.But I have my own doubts.We’ll see.
3.1,3.2,3.3 Int.
This is right now in it’s most favorable position.Staying stagnant and intensifying.
Mean cloud temperature -71 .
MSLP 994.8.
See the southern qudadrant ,no rain band http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tcdat/tc12/IO/03B.THREE/ir/geo/1km/20121117.2330.mtsat1r.x.ir1km.03BTHREE.35kts-996mb-162N-882E.100pc.jpg
It may be because it’s aligning towards south right now.
But yes,it has less rain.
I think if tn is going hit by southern of part of systém there will Not be much of rain. Dunce there is no raind band
It is pulling clouds from Pacific and intense convection is ON. Rain bands will have uniform distribution in 2 days.
Karthik,Tats bcos of dry air.. See how its affecting,omg,absolutely no rain band..
No rain band to the south of system. When it moves south and makes landfall,rain bands would start forming everywhere.
Oh my god.Dry air can kill it like this?!
yeah sel, dry is playing a lot wit tis sys..
Maddy, if the same trend continues ,v wil land in huge disappointment….
Landfall area will always get heavy rain for system not affected by shear
wat disappointment… ? can u tell clearly
Ya,Dry air can cause damage wich v cant even imagine….
if dry air wraps the system completly, the system will collapse in just few hours.
Infact sum convection to build twrds s.east of the system.., http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/indian/winds/wm5conv.GIF
system lies to the south of anticyclone under moderate shear .The dry air coming from TN trying to wrap the system but still has not reached the system visible in water vapor channel.The system is showing regular central dense overcast of 1 degree latitude with banding feature .The intensity should be close to 40-45 knots.
The forecast is expects the system to loose strength as it near the coast .It has to more to do with the lesser water vapor(dry air) rather than shear.The thunderstorm are not widespread in this system as the water vapor is not abundant in that area.If it could gain some good strength now it will hold for a longer time as it nears the coast.
Pressure in Chennai has been showing decreasing trend since morning. What does this denote?
The cyclone is closely that’s the reason for the decreasing pressure
Normally pressure decreases due to the heating of air.The pressure decreases in day and increases in night.Not sure whether its a normal decrease or due to the cyclone.
OMG!!
Chennai Nungambakkam 17.6 C !!!
i was about to post the same 😀
bengaluru city 13.6 HAL AP 13.9
generally HAL AP records 1 or 2 degrees less than city.. this has not yet happened this year.
Yeah… Was very pleasant early morning.. Hope this mahasen doesn’t mess up the lovely weather we have been having
it was damn cold outside.. with no fog or any such kind.. it was jus the cold breeze..
what is the maximum landfall point?i think it will be between chennai and nellore.
Dry air is nothing but an air without water vapor ,if there is no dry air no matter how much air gets lifted it will be unable to develop thunderstorm as clouds wont form due to less water vapor.If there is no clouds then the rain rate will decrease drastically which will decrease the wind speed and the pressure will go up.The whole system will collapse in matter of few hours.
Only the SW quadrant would get affected. Wet air coming from all other directions.
I am taking about dry air in general not about the current system.Even there is moderate amount of dry air gonna reach the core, then system will have tough time.
No matter what the shear value going to be if there is no water vapor nothing can be done.Only thing that could save system at that time would be high SST as it could supply some vapor but if the dry air is extensive then its difficult for the water vapor to develop widespread around the system.
So evrything depends on dry air’s influence… the sys was getting good inflow from the NE clouds few hours back
v r xpecting the usual rain from a cyclone but it shld not disappoint us like jal,nilam
If it weakens to a low pressure near chennai then we could get usual rain
but again dry air vil come into play??
Never. It will not disappoint us.
Picture will be clear in next 36 hours.
Hope it doesn’t affect the system drastically
According to JTWC, this system will intensify but would weaken when it nears Chennai as will turn in to Depression.. Now it all depends on moisture… If the pulling of Dry air continues, then there is no doubt that the system weakens..
I feel it’l be clear in another 24hrs !!
Systems current position..
tats not the cuurent position.. not a updated one.
We can see dry air surrounding the system towards West and SW near Chennai. Also we can see the Pacific is feeding our system. Need not worry about the collapse. It will slightly weaken during landfall.
IMD’s Track:
http://www.imd.gov.in/section/nhac/dynamic/obtrack.htm
navy nrl shld come out with TRMM image in next update..
Me being currently in Chennai until 30th Nov, I don’t want to miss this system.. Hope something positive turn out..
nellore -chennai stretch may b the point of landfall as wml or as depression…cola,noaa rain map shows above 15 cm for two days
15cm wont be enough sel.. but we cannot expect much from tis…
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_pregen_sat/PUBLIC/tc_pages/pages/tc12/IO/03B.THREE/amsub/rain/2degreeticks/thumb/20121117.2134.noaa18.x.rain.03BTHREE.35kts-996mb-162N-882E.92pc.html
Not many rain bands,yeah, but look at rain rate
a perfect landfall !! but it shldn’t be a repeat of Nilam..
very heavy rain in storm
see the nrl mry navy page.eye completely visible.
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html
not exactly…
Pressure 993.5 according to a different satellite.Vmax 53.
But the mean cloud temperature is increasing.Not sure if that’s a worrying factor.
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/adt/03B-list.txt
Storm moving direct W
how does the temperature of centre region and mean cloud relates with intensity of rain?
whether it should be low or high? which is good?
its quite windy outside
hope u all remember cyclone “BAAZ”…
bazz came from E
but it moved north and then southwest then dumping heavy rain in chennai lets all hope the same thing happens…. 🙂
bbc predicts landfall rite over chennai
tats gud.. but wat abt the rainfall amount????? nilam just gave us forcing winds..
why there is difference in cyclone intensity and knots value between noaa and ssec at same time?
one is showing 43kts with 2.9ci and the other showd 53kts with 3.3ci.
tey are just forecasting the readings.. so it may vary
mean cloud temperature keep on increasing. it is now -58 from -71 which was some 3hrs ago.
is this because of pulling dry winds?
I am sorry I can’t help you here.Vinodh would be knowing the answer.
Is there a southwards dip yet? I find it hard to believe that it can dip that dramatically… Anyway IF it does dip I wish it weakens to a deep depression so it will linger longer over chennai… Cyclones are useless
cyclones are useless? ROFL
It’s our luck. Why don’t you see videos of thane in pondy?
It will probably weaken.But cyclones are never useless.We are yet to see the true fury of a cyclone.That’s why we’re set like this.
sudharshan and karthik – let me rephrase that – useless for chennai. Some unknown, possibly transitionary, factors work to either cause them to miss or pass through without yielding much rain. Its like Rs 10 Crores is never “useless” but if we are never going to get our hands on it, might as well hope for a Rs 10 L 😉
That’s much better and more true. 😐
onces it loses intensity it may dip south… but it wont completely lose its potential..
,latest satellite looks like its weakening. anyone?
Surely weakening.
No. Weak Flag is OFF still
Collapsing.Dry air the culprit.Damn.
weakening flag on.
not yet on.
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/adt/03B-list.txt
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/2012/adt/text/03B-list.txt
It is ON here.
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/adt/PMW/03B-list_PMW.txt
Just when we thought.Dry air is choking it.That’s it.
CTT’s increasing.Few more readings and this system is history,I think.
Please don’t die on us,please don’t die on us…
Atleast Mahasen remnants might give us something 😐
storm from the north east.. so we may not get tat also.. nilam went to South of chennai.. and tis one may go north of us…
JTWC: warning 3
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03B LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 385 NM SOUTH OF KOLKATA, INDIA HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS
THE VERY FAVORABLE OUTFLOW IN ASSOCIATION WITH CONSOLIDATION OF THE LLCC WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS WILL CAUSE A WEAK INTENSIFICATION, BUT WILL QUICKLY BE
OVERCOME BY INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT.
Guys going for photo session in birds sanctuary when I come back I may get good news
mahesan meaning DESTROYER 👿
Destroyer got destroyed by Dry air.Centre trapped.No more proper convection possible..Why.Does.This.Always.Happen.To.Chennai?
tis is blessing in disguise
Hopefully.
its struggling to survive.. poor mahasen..
dry air inflow will weaken the system 😦
post a contest for predicting minimum temperature, forget the rains. Absolutely bleak this month.
Judging by current CTT’s,even a low reaching us is now in question.
kea poll question??
How much rain Chennai can expect from this system
1. 0mm
2. 10mm
3. 50mm
4. >75mm
from today up to 23rd it is 0 mm
@jon http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/adt/03B-list.txt this one doesn’t show weakening flag yet? why is it diffeent?
may be some error but surely its weakening
OH NO..NOW DRY WINDS FROM W-SW. http://www.imd.gov.in/section/nhac/dynamic/MME_TRACK_INTENSITY.gif
intensity getting reduced to 20 by 2.30 am tomorrow…
unwritten law of chennai states that “nee evlo periya appataker ah irunthalum,chennai eh cross pannanum na adakki vaasikanum…same law also applicable for the area falling from pulicat-mahabalipuram
Dry air inflow….. New storms developing to SE of the storm.
see the south and sw quadrant …swwagaaaa http://www.boomproxy.com/browse.php?u=Oi8vd3d3Lm5ybG1yeS5uYXZ5Lm1pbC90Y2RhdC90YzEyL0lPLzAzQi5USFJFRS92aXMvZ2VvLzFrbV96b29tLzIwMTIxMTE4LjA2NTcubXRzYXQxci54LnZpczFrbV9oaWdoLjAzQlRIUkVFLjM1a3RzLTk5Nm1iLTE2MU4tODgwRS4xMDBwYy5qcGc%3D&b=13
sel
i feel that there will be no mahasen and all… 😉
ther will be update at 2.30pm lets c whether ther will b any cloud formation possible over sw quadrant http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/indian/winds/wm5conv.GIF
http://www.imd.gov.in/section/satmet/dynamic/insatsector-ir.htm
lol,hook echo to S of Yangon