BL says ” Meanwhile, the
European Centre for Medium-Range
Weather Forecasts has forecast surplus
rains for extreme southern peninsula
during November, December and
January.” Where does extreme southern peninsula start? Madurai or tirunelveli or kanyakumari?
My wife was saying it was pouring for about 3 hours with some good sound and light show in Padi. May be Pradeep’s figures would confirm if the rain was quite heavy on that side of the city.
hey guys I think I got it right about the rainfall fo weekend, had predicted 35-40 mm, we got 15 mm so far. This nobody in blog dare predict except Kea who said 25 mm. cheers
Sandy impact: Gas shortage fuels tempers:
Pockets of frustration among cold and hungry residents festered Friday, in the aftermath of Superstorm Sandy, even as other areas sputtered back to life.
The biggest challenges in places like New Jersey and Staten Island — where the majority of New York’s storm-related deaths were recorded — include food and electricity shortages.
Across 15 states and the District of Columbia, utilities reported that about 3.3 million customers remained without power.
And people shivered, their heads peeking out from bulky sweatshirts, waiting hours at stations to fill their gas cans.
Four days had passed since Sandy hit, and survivors pleaded for basic necessities.
At a Hess petrol station in the Gowanus section of Brooklyn, the line snaked at least 10 blocks through narrow and busy streets. That caused confusion among other drivers, some of whom accidentally found themselves in the petrol line. People got out of their cars to yell at them.
But still they couldn’t avoid the damage and loss of life… what vil happen if something similar to sandy strikes India?? in this current political situation..
US has good prediction systems but nature is even more powerful. Also why sandy is highlighted so much is because the media and people are sensitive and reactive. Actions are taken very fast. Tsunami 10,000 minimum death in Tn….rehabilitation still going on. Nilam effects so less on chennai ..yet roads are terribly bad in chennai…who cares…all repairs will be done during next election only. Chennaites wont react we are used to live in these roads,mosquitos,dengue,sewage mixing with drinking water etc etc…people will adjust to any thing and life goes on…
Most of the Kea bloggers were sleeping…while the TS (SW monsoon type) lashed Chennai, It was unusually slow moving due winds from SE as it neared the coast.
he’s monetising his site 🙂 but have told him Already, tat wil be annoying to show pop ups.. Its better to display inbuilt ads.. Frequent users can use Opera, As it supports blocking those ads, while new visitors wont be knowing abt tat..
The technique used here for QPE was developed by Arkin (1979) to estimate tropical precipitation for climatological purposes.
Arkin found that radar-estimated precipitation was highly correlated with the fraction of the area covered by pixel colder than 235 K. Of course, the correlation coefficient depends on the area and time over which the precipitation is estimated.
Richard and Arkin (1981) tested averaged areas between 0.5×0.5 and 2.5×2.5 latitude and averaging time from 1 to 24h.
They found that correlation increases with averaging area and with averaging time.
Arkins and Meisner (1987) call their precipitation estimate GOES Precipitation Index (GPI).
They use a 235 K threshold and a constant rain rate R of 3 mm/h. The precise equation is;
GPI = RfΔt
where GPI is an estimate of the mean rain depth (millimeters) in the area, f is the fraction of area colder than the threshold (235K), and Δt is time in hours for which f applies (e.g. if the images are collected each 1h, then Δt = 1).
It is a wave travelling towards the east which results in deep convection in some areas and low convection in some areas. Negative MJO is deep convection,so more powerful thunderstorms are likely to form.
this keep on changing either way both negative or positive…
Animation shows that there is no system till 09th.
even though we have easterly wind until may… why dont we get rain post dec 15, is this due to bay getting cooler
No,the MJO itself is a wave that moves east. When we’re under negative MJO,there’ll be a lot of convection resulting in cumulus and other cumulus family clouds.
nilam’s disaster : one cat found dead under a tree branch nearby my hme
From what you have seen around,Do you think Chennai or any neighbouring part of tamilnadu will be able to bear the brunt of a Very severe cyclonic storm or higher?What few things can be changed to ensure it can?
I’m actually aspiring to be working in a position where disaster management and administration go hand in hand.Something like the civil services.Hence if you can give suggestions,It would be helpful for preparations and developing a different perspective.
if u want civil services then you wont be doing disaster management at the level you would love to do. You will face political pressure. so you will become a disaster. if u like corruption then u will shine. but if u want to serve society then do a MBA in a reputed college and join top NGOs and provide services to society. You will be paid well and you will be happy too.That way you will be happy to see results. Arun Kejriwal is fighting corruption , he is an ex IIT guy. tough life whether u are in the system or against the system.
Yes,college student.Yeah,I catch your drift.But that is the only position which can bring about some considerable change.Politics is not my cup of tea.I am aware of the ramifications around it but we can’t keep blaming the system without being in the system,sir.Given,a few are corrupt but there are some outstandingly honest officers who aren’t noticed enough,say,Ashok Kemka for example.You an never have smooth rides in any responsible position.But that is no reason to berate the system itself,isn’t it?9 times out of 10,the change is in our hands.
For me,administration is about serving people,not ruling them.This is where most officers falter in their ideology according to me.
Amazing karthik , convinced about your determination. go ahead. the new generation has to be better than the previous. Ofcourse the system has to be cleaned.
ebay the best..but no safer for mobile phones.. Also flipkart.. But my experience wit healthKart is terrible. Tey take 10days to deliver.. Rediff also ok. But sometimes i get diff one,which wen complained had no action..
flipkart gives very good service , but when u take delivery check the correct quantity , model has been delivered. Also see if any damage has happened during transit. Once i recieved a broken CD , ofcourse they replaced but it takes time for replacement. Otherwise 99% they are good in delivering.
ebay is cheaper for electronics.. Have purchased loads of items. For books i use flipkart. Coz its Cheaper and u can find many publications also.. I stopped using rediff, a bit costlier..
based on Nowast….they are going to humiliate themselves….
Nowcast predicted 0 mm till morning…pity what alerts they are going to provide. North Chennai got battered yesterday night…and Nungambakkam got 13 mm…Nowcast said all clear….
The recent monsoon and cyclone saw a renewed interest in weather updates and Regional Meteorological Centre, Chennai plans to capitalise on it. The centre plans to launch a mobile phone service to disseminate forecasts and other information through text messages.
Cyclone e-atlas, an online facility, has been regularly accessed since it was introduced in January. On an average, nearly 500 persons use the service every month. On Wednesday, 613 persons had logged on to the website to check the crossing of the cyclone Nilam near the Tamil Nadu coast. The electronic atlas presents the tracks of depressions and cyclones that formed over the north Indian Ocean since 1891.
What kind of a forecast is this, that too on a news paper:
See the last line!!!!
Meanwhile, Friday remained relatively hot with city’s maximum temperature rising to nearly 34 degree Celsius, four degrees above normal as there was no cloud cover. Residents may have a warm weekend with the day temperature expected to be around 33 degree Celsius and not much rain.
This was how yesterday’s volcanoes started 😀 Thick blue dots and became red masses. btw, anna nagar would’ve got around 50-60 mm. Ennore and Madhavaram got 45. So the core must have moved to korattur or somewhere close to that
ReallY? I missed those smaller dots tat developed..
I have the complete collection from 10 pm to 12 am. Maybe from 9 pm itself! But didn’t have the image when the storm hit us. Looks like Nunga missed by only a bit.
have a look at the Ctt over south bay and north indian ocean..
Partha,high wind shear increases the life of thunderstorm it doesnt mean that thunderstorm wont form in low shear.Moreover we have a low pressure over AP which will produce thunder storm.
I have created space fo 6 readings. Anybody interested can update it using their WP account. Let me know so that soon. THere is no automatic method available
All you have to do is create a new post in your blog with the readings. It will automatically update into my site. Just create a new post for eg. 4 mm (5pm 4/11)
To change the reading just edit the post. If you want me to integrate into my site. Tell me your location and user id
I can only update 8.30 am and/or 5.30pm(like IMD) readings is that ok?,My location is Adambakkam . user id – joel1610
Tiruvalangadu and Cholavaram (both Tiruvallur dt) 6 each, Pallipattu, Ponneri, Red Hills, Thiruvallur and Thamaraipakkam (all Thiruvllur dt) 5 each, Poondi (Thiruvallur dt) and Arakonam (Vellore dt) 4 each, Ambattur (Thiruvallur dt) and Kanchipuram 3 each, Poonamalle and Chembarambakkam (both Thiruvallur dt) and Sriperumpudhur (Kanchipuram dt) 2 each and Anna University and DGP Office (both Chennai dt), Chennai, Cheyyar (Thiruvannamalai dt), Alangayam, Kaveripakkam and Walajapet (all Vellore dt) and Barur (Krishnagiri dt) 1 each.
Depressions do occur in South west moonsoon but mostly it forms in north bay and it doesnt affect the southern regions wind pattern.North east moonsoon are not strong as SW monsoon.Wind pattern in NEM mostly depends on the tropical disturbance.
KeaWeather Archives 
Nungambakkam IMD : 13 mm
Meenambakkam IMD : 6 mm
guindy 20..
Gummidipoondi 186 mm? 😮 😮 😮
when and how?
today,186 mm in one hour according to Data Man!!!! 😯
Anyone has yesterday’s radar image ???
i’ve it. I’l upload soon.. ‘M on mobile..
Pradeep,any idea for Korattur figures? You must take korattur figures as you should be closer to it.
guys, i’m from korattur
@kea
“November opens its account with 13 mm”
Anyone has 2:10 am or something radar image? I have them till 12 am
i’ve 😀
thanks 😀
BL says ” Meanwhile, the
European Centre for Medium-Range
Weather Forecasts has forecast surplus
rains for extreme southern peninsula
during November, December and
January.” Where does extreme southern peninsula start? Madurai or tirunelveli or kanyakumari?
when is the next Depression forms in BOB??? any Idea
around 10-13
My wife was saying it was pouring for about 3 hours with some good sound and light show in Padi. May be Pradeep’s figures would confirm if the rain was quite heavy on that side of the city.
hey guys I think I got it right about the rainfall fo weekend, had predicted 35-40 mm, we got 15 mm so far. This nobody in blog dare predict except Kea who said 25 mm. cheers
RR in my rg reached 139 mm/hr. Any idea how much in kea?
I saw 115.. Pj said it was 154
Radar image :- 2.07am
Hi All,
Good morning,
Sundar,
Yesterday i have forecasted rain in the early hours of today.
Also said that it will be between 10-15MM.
100% accuracy!!!!
contest was open on Nov 1, when nobody willing to predict after the Nilam debacle! Kea and myself only entered.
Rainfall from the TS :-
Tiruvallur – 57
Madhavaram – 45
Ennore – 44
Avadi – 34
Puzhal – 33
Poonamalle – 23
Chembarambakkam – 20
Cheyyur – 14
Chennai – 13
Kolapakam – 7
Meena – 8
Over 90 killed in superstorm Sandy, up to USD 50 bln losses
http://www.rediff.com/news/report/superstorm-sandy-kills-over-90-up-to-usd-50-bln-losses/20121102.htm
Hi @hr649,
Even though it rained, we still feel the heat.
ya kind of.. hope it doesnt reach 32 today..
The heat is because the MIN temp is 2-3 degress above normal for the past 1 week.
above?? I dont think so.. It was close to 23 for 2 days.. 2days it was near 24 and 25-27 for 3 days..
Cloud activity is strengthening over Bay.
yes.. http://www.imd.gov.in/section/satmet/img/sector-ir.jpg
No current system in western pacific also… we need to wait for few more days..
Sandy’s Aftermath :-
http://www.rediff.com/news/slide-show/slide-show-1-sandy-aftermath-us-struggles-to-get-back-on-its-feet/20121102.htm
Sandy impact: Gas shortage fuels tempers:
Pockets of frustration among cold and hungry residents festered Friday, in the aftermath of Superstorm Sandy, even as other areas sputtered back to life.
The biggest challenges in places like New Jersey and Staten Island — where the majority of New York’s storm-related deaths were recorded — include food and electricity shortages.
Across 15 states and the District of Columbia, utilities reported that about 3.3 million customers remained without power.
And people shivered, their heads peeking out from bulky sweatshirts, waiting hours at stations to fill their gas cans.
Four days had passed since Sandy hit, and survivors pleaded for basic necessities.
At a Hess petrol station in the Gowanus section of Brooklyn, the line snaked at least 10 blocks through narrow and busy streets. That caused confusion among other drivers, some of whom accidentally found themselves in the petrol line. People got out of their cars to yell at them.
US is a developed country.
Vital forecasters were present before the storm.
They were planning to move some people to safe area.
They would have planned about recovering from damages and also providing shelters, food to people.
Lots of precautionary measures taken.
But still…….
Hmmm
But still they couldn’t avoid the damage and loss of life… what vil happen if something similar to sandy strikes India?? in this current political situation..
Not much wind shear.
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/windmain.php?&basin=indian&sat=wm5&prod=shr&zoom=&time=
@hr649,
We have seen tsunami. Clinton himself has appreciated about the recovery process.
Definitely the supply will get affected, but the loss of life will minimal.
Our houses have been constructed with concrete, not like US.
We can take people who lives in hutments to safe area like Govt Schools, Public halls.
US has good prediction systems but nature is even more powerful. Also why sandy is highlighted so much is because the media and people are sensitive and reactive. Actions are taken very fast. Tsunami 10,000 minimum death in Tn….rehabilitation still going on. Nilam effects so less on chennai ..yet roads are terribly bad in chennai…who cares…all repairs will be done during next election only. Chennaites wont react we are used to live in these roads,mosquitos,dengue,sewage mixing with drinking water etc etc…people will adjust to any thing and life goes on…
@hr649,
Yesterday’s MIN temp is 25.6C, 2 degrees above normal.
Lets come back to Bay,
I could see huge difference in the acitivity over bay since last evening.
Also the HPA which is moving to north bay as per the IMD NWP report.
http://www.imd.gov.in/section/nhac/dynamic/nwp/24hgfs_mslp.htm
Most of the Kea bloggers were sleeping…while the TS (SW monsoon type) lashed Chennai, It was unusually slow moving due winds from SE as it neared the coast.
Here are Rainfall figures in mm
Gummidipondi -186
Cholavaram – 60
Tiruvallur – 57
Redhills – 46
Madhavaram – 45
Kadambathur – 45
Ennore – 44
Poondi Lake – 37
Avadi – 34
Puzhal – 33
Poondi Agro – 30
Ellapuram – 29
Poonamalle – 23
Kanchipuram – 23
Chembarabakkam – 20
Cheyyur – 14
Nungambakkam – 13
Sholinghur – 10
Kolapakkam – 7
Meenambakkam – 6
Guindy – 6
@john, how much rainfall in mint/seven wells/stanley medical college area? It was thundering heavily last night at 2 .30am
There is no aws there…Madhavaram & Ennore would an ideal comparison
Which means around 40 -50 mm in ur area
@KEA.. What is that pop up when we click few links in metsite… Have you done it purposefully or is the website hacked?
he’s monetising his site 🙂 but have told him Already, tat wil be annoying to show pop ups.. Its better to display inbuilt ads.. Frequent users can use Opera, As it supports blocking those ads, while new visitors wont be knowing abt tat..
For those of you who were sleeping, here is collection of wonderful radar image of yesterday awesome TS
You can see the time (19:47 to 20:47) the storm moved so slowly and got intensified
https://picasaweb.google.com/Pradeep.Tnudf/November22012TSRadarImages
Pradeep,
Good one.
Thanks,badly wanted them 😀
Wonderful collection,Thanks.But it looks as though chennai deserved more than 13mm if I am not wrong.
Lots of development over bay.
http://www.imd.gov.in/section/nhac/dynamic/nhacsatimg.htm
Wind velocity on sea in from SE.
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/windmain.php?&basin=indian&sat=wm5&prod=wvir&zoom=&time=
No change in Wind direction for next 3 days.
Precipitation is upto 60% forecast for coastal AP.
http://www.monsoondata.org/wx/india.72hr.html
Wind pattern over bay.
http://www.imd.gov.in/section/satmet/dynamic/cmv.htm
see extreme north got good numbers…. gummidipondi 186 wow… ponneri missed out… but in ponneri also it rained more
Ind ocean reviving aftr cyclone nilam …mjo is active in equatorial eastern ind ocean.,.hope it could trigger sum activity ..
This one clearly shows the formation of easterlies.
http://www.weather-forecast.com/maps/India?over=arrows&symbols=none&type=cloud
its 10.20am temp. Already 31*c.. We might end up in 33 today also
Bay revamping.
http://www.weather.gov.sg/wip/c/portal/layout?p_l_id=PUB.1023.15
TODAY’S INFO :
————————————————————————————————
1.Quantitative Precipitation Estimate (QPE)
The technique used here for QPE was developed by Arkin (1979) to estimate tropical precipitation for climatological purposes.
Arkin found that radar-estimated precipitation was highly correlated with the fraction of the area covered by pixel colder than 235 K. Of course, the correlation coefficient depends on the area and time over which the precipitation is estimated.
Richard and Arkin (1981) tested averaged areas between 0.5×0.5 and 2.5×2.5 latitude and averaging time from 1 to 24h.
They found that correlation increases with averaging area and with averaging time.
Arkins and Meisner (1987) call their precipitation estimate GOES Precipitation Index (GPI).
They use a 235 K threshold and a constant rain rate R of 3 mm/h. The precise equation is;
GPI = RfΔt
where GPI is an estimate of the mean rain depth (millimeters) in the area, f is the fraction of area colder than the threshold (235K), and Δt is time in hours for which f applies (e.g. if the images are collected each 1h, then Δt = 1).
MJO heating up in pacific, negative in indian ocean.
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/MJO/tlonhov_u850.shtml
negative MJO is good for rainfall. Positive won’t allow clouds to grow high.
Yes, So we will get above normal rainfall.
The same is forecast by JTWC.
what is MJO
It is a wave travelling towards the east which results in deep convection in some areas and low convection in some areas. Negative MJO is deep convection,so more powerful thunderstorms are likely to form.
this keep on changing either way both negative or positive…
Animation shows that there is no system till 09th.
The wind changes to NNE only on 09th.
@nellaivel
Yes,during NEM,there’ll be positive MJO (dry phase) atleast twice unless a low pressure keeps forming. It changes often
Untill there is a stronger easterly wave which meets the lower convection and pushes the MJO wave towards east will bring more rain.
This is called negative MJO.
Correct me if i am wrong.
even though we have easterly wind until may… why dont we get rain post dec 15, is this due to bay getting cooler
No,the MJO itself is a wave that moves east. When we’re under negative MJO,there’ll be a lot of convection resulting in cumulus and other cumulus family clouds.
nilam’s disaster : one cat found dead under a tree branch nearby my hme
😦 😦
I’m so sorry.
poor kitty
IMD chennai down again….
gfs predicts an lp associated with easterly trough to form over s Andamans around 9th.it mite move towards tn around 11th
nogaps predicts a dep/cyclone over s bay around 8th
but is it possible for a cyclone to develop so soon?
yes,happened many times. 2005 had a depressions forming non-stop
ya it can.remember 2005
what a co-incidence . 😆
Jon/Sudharshan/@hr649/Selvan,
I hope that we can get one more rain before 10th November.
Due to high humidity and above normal night temp.
From what you have seen around,Do you think Chennai or any neighbouring part of tamilnadu will be able to bear the brunt of a Very severe cyclonic storm or higher?What few things can be changed to ensure it can?
I’m actually aspiring to be working in a position where disaster management and administration go hand in hand.Something like the civil services.Hence if you can give suggestions,It would be helpful for preparations and developing a different perspective.
What are you doing karthik , are you a student.
if u want civil services then you wont be doing disaster management at the level you would love to do. You will face political pressure. so you will become a disaster. if u like corruption then u will shine. but if u want to serve society then do a MBA in a reputed college and join top NGOs and provide services to society. You will be paid well and you will be happy too.That way you will be happy to see results. Arun Kejriwal is fighting corruption , he is an ex IIT guy. tough life whether u are in the system or against the system.
Yes,college student.Yeah,I catch your drift.But that is the only position which can bring about some considerable change.Politics is not my cup of tea.I am aware of the ramifications around it but we can’t keep blaming the system without being in the system,sir.Given,a few are corrupt but there are some outstandingly honest officers who aren’t noticed enough,say,Ashok Kemka for example.You an never have smooth rides in any responsible position.But that is no reason to berate the system itself,isn’t it?9 times out of 10,the change is in our hands.
For me,administration is about serving people,not ruling them.This is where most officers falter in their ideology according to me.
Amazing karthik , convinced about your determination. go ahead. the new generation has to be better than the previous. Ofcourse the system has to be cleaned.
Jon,
Is this you were projecting?
http://weather.uwyo.edu/cgi-bin/model?MODEL=GFS003&TIME=2012110300®ION=SEASIA&FCST=180&LEVEL=850&F1=none&F2=none&C2=tmpc&VEC=none&C1=pmsl
yes
Guys,
get me the best online shopping portal. Which will deliver the products in high quality and most reliable.
For india,I suggest flipkart.Never once been disappointed.
yes,amazing website. Cash on delivery too
flip kart is the best.rediff worst
ebay the best..but no safer for mobile phones.. Also flipkart.. But my experience wit healthKart is terrible. Tey take 10days to deliver.. Rediff also ok. But sometimes i get diff one,which wen complained had no action..
Thanks karthik & sudharshan.
Let me try.
Jon, Sudharshan & Karthik,
Can you tell me is this web is cheaper, also how much time it takes for them to deliver?
Again,Flipkart.Much lower rates.Depends on the item.Usually 2-3 days.If it is rare and not readily available on the market,maybe 5 days.
Ok,
Thanks again.
No mention,sir.
flipkart gives very good service , but when u take delivery check the correct quantity , model has been delivered. Also see if any damage has happened during transit. Once i recieved a broken CD , ofcourse they replaced but it takes time for replacement. Otherwise 99% they are good in delivering.
ebay is cheaper for electronics.. Have purchased loads of items. For books i use flipkart. Coz its Cheaper and u can find many publications also.. I stopped using rediff, a bit costlier..
Thanks @hr649,
I wanted to LED TV, let me check these sites.
IMD Morning Forecast,
Nilam still exists as LPA over Telengana.
Isolated and Scattered rainfall would occur over South Peninsula India from 10th onwards.
Our RMC Chennai planning to deliver forecasts by text messages. – Page 4 hindu
How come they will send?
Can u clarify?
based on Nowast….they are going to humiliate themselves….
Nowcast predicted 0 mm till morning…pity what alerts they are going to provide. North Chennai got battered yesterday night…and Nungambakkam got 13 mm…Nowcast said all clear….
The recent monsoon and cyclone saw a renewed interest in weather updates and Regional Meteorological Centre, Chennai plans to capitalise on it. The centre plans to launch a mobile phone service to disseminate forecasts and other information through text messages.
http://www.thehindu.com/news/cities/chennai/excuse-me-boss-you-have-a-weather-update/article4059184.ece
it could be the nowcast in text messages. Tey may allow subscription for text messages in future.
Thunderstorms forming west of Chennai…. Will it rain in the evening?
Light rain possible.
Alert Guys,
One building on Monday.
http://www.foreca.com/India/State_of_Tamil_Nadu/Chennai.
Few Buildings from tomorrow. And look at 11th, that is where the start of a new session.
Go through this lines – IMD to Hindu
Cyclone e-atlas, an online facility, has been regularly accessed since it was introduced in January. On an average, nearly 500 persons use the service every month. On Wednesday, 613 persons had logged on to the website to check the crossing of the cyclone Nilam near the Tamil Nadu coast. The electronic atlas presents the tracks of depressions and cyclones that formed over the north Indian Ocean since 1891.
Unlike last night system, this is moving east southeast….
thunderstorms popping again
btw is the smiley which looks like mrgreen,but is purple with a sweat drop on the right indicating a mistake available? 😀
IMD has to come to a modern era of updating minute to minute weather updates.
Also the 10 day forecast system like what Weather.co.uk presents.
Also integrated system for cyclone predictions in 10 days advance like JTWC.
Finally they should digitalize their website for current and future scenarios.
As of now we are far behind.
What kind of a forecast is this, that too on a news paper:
See the last line!!!!
Meanwhile, Friday remained relatively hot with city’s maximum temperature rising to nearly 34 degree Celsius, four degrees above normal as there was no cloud cover. Residents may have a warm weekend with the day temperature expected to be around 33 degree Celsius and not much rain.
we had showers by 2am , north and west chennai by 10to 11pm.. Tey would’ve printed the article before tat time.
thats what i said….they rely only on their model….GFS, ECMWF does not matter to them
But their model is terrible.
today’s max. 32.3*c
Clouds moving in from SW direction.
Land to sea wind pattern, that is why it is hot.
All because of Nilam, Nilam, only Nilam (Land to Sea Wind).
This is the exact meaning of Nilam.
yea.. Swm for a while..
This one 😀 But can’t get a bigger image of it 😦
This is also nice
Cloud moving in from SW direction.
Land to sea wind pattern, that is why it is hot.
All because of Nilam, Nilam, only Nilam (Land to Sea Wind).
This is the exact meaning of Nilam.
Volcanoes moving towards Chennai in SW direction
http://www.imd.gov.in/section/dwr/img/Animation/dop_ani_main.htm
This was how yesterday’s volcanoes started 😀 Thick blue dots and became red masses. btw, anna nagar would’ve got around 50-60 mm. Ennore and Madhavaram got 45. So the core must have moved to korattur or somewhere close to that
ReallY? I missed those smaller dots tat developed..
I have the complete collection from 10 pm to 12 am. Maybe from 9 pm itself! But didn’t have the image when the storm hit us. Looks like Nunga missed by only a bit.
have a look at the Ctt over south bay and north indian ocean..
http://www.imd.gov.in/section/satmet/dynamic/iso.htm
………….
Lightning map updated every 10 mins. Nice work 🙂 to the people who did it.
sorry,every 1 hour
Storms already thenjifying.
thenjify???? i thought intensify….
thenjify is dissipatind 😉
dissipating
Some mild thunderstorm to the NE
no school today?
compensation was on, but no school today. Might be there next saturday
oh ok..
Some Small Red Dots are visible in SW.
1. There is a Low on 06th near South AP coast. It moves to Central TN coast by 07th as per ECMWF model.
https://keaweather.wordpress.com/2012/11/03/november-opens-its-account-with-12-mm/comment-page-1/#comment-83745
2. On 08th an HPA moves to south TN along with south Bay of Bengal. This will reduce the chances of easterlies.
http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/d/charts/medium/deterministic/msl_uv850_z500!Wind%20850%20and%20mslp!120!Asia!pop!od!oper!public_plots!2012110300!!/
3. On 10th HPA is completely moved from Bay.
http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/d/charts/medium/deterministic/msl_uv850_z500!Wind%20850%20and%20mslp!168!Asia!pop!od!oper!public_plots!2012110300!!/
4. On 11th there is a low in Andaman Sea.
http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/d/charts/medium/deterministic/msl_uv850_z500!Wind%20850%20and%20mslp!192!Asia!pop!od!oper!public_plots!2012110300!!/
5. The low is moved to Indian Ocean on 13th.
http://www.ecmwf.int/products/forecasts/d/charts/medium/deterministic/msl_uv850_z500!Wind%20850%20and%20mslp!240!Asia!pop!od!oper!public_plots!2012110300!!/
Some red dots have developed. Present movement is W to E.
Some big spots seen with in 50KM radius. This is developing after reaching 50KM radius. Possibility is high.
http://www.imd.gov.in/section/dwr/img/Animation/dop_ani_main.htm
Mid-Day Report
LPA over telengana persists. A trough from this system extends to Manipur across Odisha and West Bengal.
Scattered to Fairly Wide Spread Rainfall over TN from 10th onwards.
Bapatla 14CM
Gopalpur & Puri 13CM
Bubaneshwar 10CM.
Nandigama 8
Angul & Paradeep 5,
Gannavaram, Honavar 4
All recorded due to the LPA (Nilam).
wow
All clouds diverging at 50 km w of chennai. 😆
My story of the day after seeing storms
🙂 😀
😀 🙂 😐 😦 😡 👿
Sudharshan,
The clouds moving in West which either north of chennai and south of chennai.
Nothing in the centre to attack chennai.
the one’s which were coming here changed dir to NE from E
Left over of nilam intensifying storms in AP as it moves closer to the sea.
It is causing storms to form near chennai and SW movement of the clouds.
heavy drizzles in guindy
now its moderate rain here.. wit sunshine also..
not a drop here
i could see clouds moving towards north east..
stopped
Not even clouds in oragadam
Intensity over North and North Coastal AP. Forecast suggest heavy rain for next 48 hours.
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/windmain.php?&basin=indian&sat=wm5&prod=vor&zoom=&time=
Wind shear is not strong, we may not get TS today.
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/windmain.php?&basin=indian&sat=wm5&prod=shr&zoom=&time=
yesterday also there was no wind shear. But the outer bands of LPA is supposed to be over us,so the LPA will cause TS
Partha,high wind shear increases the life of thunderstorm it doesnt mean that thunderstorm wont form in low shear.Moreover we have a low pressure over AP which will produce thunder storm.
Kea check if anything is there. Drizzling here
I can confirm this.
lite drizzles
Sudharshan,
Some red dots are appearing near to chennai. Please check out.
Small one as of now.
Some dots near chennai.
Tropical storm in west pacific ocean moving in west direction. Located14N & 122.5W.
Very looooooooooooooooooong way to travel.
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/storm.php?&basin=eastpac&sname=17E&invest=NO&zoom=4&img=1&vars=11111000000000000000000&loop=0
4607 kms.My god.We can’t track this one so far. 😆
Actually a lot more.
Raijin and other who own/planning to own a rain guage,
pls check out this site. http://www.kea.metsite.com/test.htm
I have created space fo 6 readings. Anybody interested can update it using their WP account. Let me know so that soon. THere is no automatic method available
I have a rain gauge .please tell me the procedure to update using Wp
All you have to do is create a new post in your blog with the readings. It will automatically update into my site. Just create a new post for eg. 4 mm (5pm 4/11)
To change the reading just edit the post. If you want me to integrate into my site. Tell me your location and user id
I can only update 8.30 am and/or 5.30pm(like IMD) readings is that ok?,My location is Adambakkam . user id – joel1610
KEA,
Please update my blog count so far.
Light Rain here in medavakkam 🙂
I could see a red dot down south of chennai and near to sea shore.
I hope that it is raining in East Tambaram, Selaiyur and OMR.
GFS forecast looks decent if not worst for the next 7 days
Light rain reported in selaiyur also
Nowcast again..
http://www.imdchennai.gov.in/nowcast.htm
Rainfall in MM so far.
Tiruvalangadu and Cholavaram (both Tiruvallur dt) 6 each, Pallipattu, Ponneri, Red Hills, Thiruvallur and Thamaraipakkam (all Thiruvllur dt) 5 each, Poondi (Thiruvallur dt) and Arakonam (Vellore dt) 4 each, Ambattur (Thiruvallur dt) and Kanchipuram 3 each, Poonamalle and Chembarambakkam (both Thiruvallur dt) and Sriperumpudhur (Kanchipuram dt) 2 each and Anna University and DGP Office (both Chennai dt), Chennai, Cheyyar (Thiruvannamalai dt), Alangayam, Kaveripakkam and Walajapet (all Vellore dt) and Barur (Krishnagiri dt) 1 each.
KEA,
My location is Tambaram, How to create my blog?
KEA, Very Important,
My stat says that i have all time total views is only 101.
How come it is? I have given lots of views.
Please confirm,
SW monsoon will bring rain tonight to Chennai
SW monsoon is over .It is just Temporary SW winds caused by the low pressure over AP.
Rain wil come
Very rare to see NE wind during SW Monsoon. But vice versa is very common
Depressions do occur in South west moonsoon but mostly it forms in north bay and it doesnt affect the southern regions wind pattern.North east moonsoon are not strong as SW monsoon.Wind pattern in NEM mostly depends on the tropical disturbance.
As LPA moves west towards the bay .Some very minor organisation of thunderstorm can take place.
Joel – create a new topic. Urs is integerated into the test site
Do i need to create new topic everyday,or can i edit it daily
i have created new topic like u ve said,but in that page it still showing my old topic “Hello world “
i can set up my blog..
Yes Raja,
We have a chance of rain tonight or early morning.
Mostly early morning shower is possible.
Expect light drizzle in central parts of chennai in next few minutes
KEA,
Please update my blog count. Where i have to see it????
@parthsri
the total views you are seeing in your blog means total # of people who have came to your blog. It has nothing to do with your comments here.
currently you r #3 on the recent comments list.
Sudharshan Madhavan – 172
hr649 – 156
parthasri35 – 137
sampathca – 48
Pradeep John – 45
Jon – 44
keaweather – 40
I’ve not even made 40 comments?Time to be more active.
wow…..cant explain wit words jus awesome weather here….. squall around…. wit lightning nd heavy rain….. i vl upload photos 2mrw in fb
Wow.Radar looks great.Be sure to send the leftovers our way.