Heat wave conditions prevailing in coastal parts of N.TN and S.AP will gradually abate in 2 day’s time. The shift in wind pattern would bring about this change in association to a Low Pressure system that would surface in the North Bay and adjoining West Bengal during the next 48 hours. The Monsoon Trough continues to remain closer to the Himalayas and would cause scattered to wide spread rains in North West and North India including Punjab, Haryana and parts of UP. In the meantime, parts of TN will have to bear the heat wave for a while.
Chennai to remain hot and dry with maximum settling close to 39-40 C, with chances of isolated rain / Thunder Showers later in the evening.
Coimbatore to remain cloudy with a day time high close to 33 C, along with a possibility of scattered rains.
Madurai will see a sunny day with maximum close to 37-38 C
Interesting days ahead.
In term of what heat or rain?
Since June 21st temp had been over 38.4. That is 15 days. How many more days will this record run continue?
Another 40+ day expected today
Today is expected to be another hot day still 39 – 40 can be touched. Isolated TS chances for north Tamilnadu and one or two places receive showers in Chennai. Suburbs has more chance than city.
when our July severe TS will be back in Chennai ?
Did it Start ???
Today Forecast
Temperature will reach around 40+
Another Interesting day to watch Radar… Isolated drizzles at some places and isolated rains at south of Chennai (Tambaram to Pondy)…
Bangkok has 30 days of drinking water left thkpr.gs/3677535
A black hole awakened and erupted after 26 years. Astronomers are studying this event: cnn.it/1KQUfwp
MAXIMUM Temperature Expected To Hover Between 39-40
Good morning, Sun’s up, bright and shining. Few days left for aadi and aadi pattam…..
Temp Max will be around 39 c
What’s up with these prediction of maximum temps?
Anyone with internet access could do it!
Since success rate is close to 100%
Wake up…Balasundaram sir..weather reporter telling about cyclone and weather in sun tv
Sry balachandran
As we head towards the last 10 days of Ramadan, which are very important. I would like to stay away from the distractions of the blog. I hope each one of the kea bloggers can blog responsibly. Good luck to all.
Will be back to blogging after Eid.
Good luck!
even though metsite does not function, i will help bloggers on sea breeze onset daily, have a peaceful break.
Good to take a break…. Advance wishes Eid Mubarak
dont worry sir, i will take care of it
lol……. rofl……..
neenga siringa. but jeet will support me
Sir, ungla adichukave mudiyadhu…Sema..
Happy eid Mubarak Captain.
Advance Eid Mubarak wishes
Don’t worry….be happy
Dragonflies are coming out. Good indication. Not flying close to ground though.
China turns to animals to predict tremors
http://m.timesofindia.com/home/science/China-turns-to-animals-to-predict-tremors/articleshow/47966849.cms
Lots of low level clouds in Bangalore. Good to see this after nearly 2 weeks. Hope monsoon revives completely tomorrow.
Tambaram and my area recorded light rain last evening…
yes but very light drizzles around 5pm.
Kelvin arrived in Phase 2, watchout for SST increase in West IO.
Tropical storm Linfa going to make landfall today night….So intake of our monsoon moisture winds will be cut down soon thus allowing some favourable conditions in BOB
Yes, since kelvin wave arrived in Phase 2, it is good for CEW and SWM wind flow over Subcontinent.
But peninsular india need to wait for atleast 20 days…
very bad situation in south india..
Iam afraid that Agumbe Hulikal bhagamandala may receive below 2500 mm rain this time..Hope is on August
New tropical depression (04E) heading north of Hawaii
Linfa the smallest tropical cyclone of the trio looks to be on verge of Typhoon intensity. Landfall in China
Model shows 60-foot significant wave height w/Typhoon Chan-hom
Summary of GEFS ensembles at 12z for Typhoon Chan-hom is a right track turn at the Chinese coast.
ECMWF 12z bullish with Category 5 hurricane well off Mexican coast next week. Nothing imminent yet.
flipkart to be closed
ayyayo, athuvum pocha, romba cheepa items vanginathu ellam pochu.
Flipkart – web site will be closed during September, u can continue with Mobile App
i bought a vest for Rs.250 2 months back in flipkart. A week later, on the exact day i got it delivered, it appeared in their site as “flash sale 50% off original MRP 499, offer price 250” 🙂
Yesterday’s – Rainfall in Surrounding Chennai (Precipitation Accumulation (PAC) 24 hrs at 0300 UTC)
Yesterday’s – Rainfall in NEW DELHI (Precipitation Accumulation (PAC) 24 hrs at 0300 UTC)
PAC Image
SST anomaly increasing over West IO as the Kelvin has arrived in
Phase 2.
3 monsters in pacific are sucking all our moisture
these will be dead by 15 july ….
Till then the same weather going to continue
Vidarbha Karnataka kerala tamilnadu AP Telangana Maharastra Gujarath will be dry as usual…..
But Im not understanding why Arabian sea beacame very dull
This is also one of the reason for Temp Peaking up…
Thats the reason i posted some days back, temp will be in 38 to 40 till 15th July 2015
Overall disastrous monsoon for south India..
till now..
No useful rains…june rains are also not fruitful because it rained for only 5 days and is confined to only some places
Seems south AP should depend upon NEM more this time..
Below average rain for north india and normal rains for south India in second to third week…
How come this going to happen…
Let us see
HAL Airport ready for reopening of passenger flights, court told
Hindustan Aeronautics Ltd. (HAL) on Tuesday told the High Court of Karnataka that it would provide all facilities and infrastructure at HAL Airport if it was allowed to operate domestic or international flights. Though domestic and international air services have been stopped, HAL Airport has all the infrastructure for operation of the services, said Rajender Sharma, Head, Airport Service Centre, HAL Bangalore Complex, in an affidavit. http://www.thehindu.com/news/cities/bangalore/hal-airport-ready-for-reopening-of-passenger-flights-court-told/article7397064.ece?ref=tpnews
Today we have very good chance for TS.
Rare mammatus clouds
IMD
34.9°C
Trend(Last 5 Minute) : 3.6°C/hr
Max.(Since 8:30AM) : 35°C
Min.(Since 8:30AM) :
Graph
Today forecast for Chennai south, Temperature reaching 40C and TS in evening.
Does anyone have idea on how to retrieve deleted photos and videos in an android phone???
romba kastam
Is ur device rooted??
means??
Sutham!! OK try remo recover software from PC connect fon in USB storage mode let it scan..recently deleted files have greater chance of recovering..get a premium full version of remo recover from torrent sites..full version may be required to recover many files without limitations
can i get this software in play store?
costly one
the photos are costlier that this…
http://themobilebay.org/torrent/7083378/Remo.Recover.Windows.v3.0.0.1.Incl.Keygen-Lz0
Direct link
Partha Will delete this post once u acknowledge since its cracked
i have to type remo recover in search
S it ll yield only one result get tat torrent file using bit torrent
not getting any result, i have selected android in another tab.
See ss
i have to click that remo recover windows link?
hence i said, atleast now
virtually impossible once you have deleted it
atleast now
1st install dis app disk digger
so once u delete pics r videos all ll store in this app
Disk digger recovers only once u delete files after u install disk digger not previous ones I beleive
That is what he said
always save important files, photos and videos in google drive. Even if your phone is lost or corrupted. your files are safe.
Very hot day yet again. Temp might get close to 38-39 today
Even 40,
FLASH NEWS! Latest EQSOI value is out! It has decreased further from -1.8 to -1.9!
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/data/indices/reqsoi.for
I was observing for the past 2 days. good to see the strong one emerging now. Good job Jupi.
In 1997 June it was -1.5, by July only it became -1.9.
This time ELNINO is stronger than 1997.
Omg really???
Yes I think this time it would be a super El Nino…
looks like mjo may enter IO in coming weeks.
Nope not possible
Let the Arabian sea heats up before the revival of vigorous monsoon winds ….for a heavy show
Dear Guys,
I am happy that i got an New Project, in my office…. I will be busy with the New Project…
So that I can’t contribute regularly here… Whenever i finds time, surely i will update my sharing on Weather
I feel i am missing all you guys…
We will also miss your valuable comments Vela. Do come here once in a while at least
We are also happy. But don’t forget share your weather knowledge whenever possible.
Relaunched KeaWeather Android app is available for download now.
https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.wKeaWeatherChennai
Download it from the Play store
I have already installed the app .. do I need to uninstall and download again? ?
no no. If its working fine, no need
Looks good. Hope it comes true.
http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=swas&MODELL=cfs&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=-&VAR=prec&HH=432&ZOOM=0&ARCHIV=0&RES=0&WMO=&PERIOD=
CAUTION! CARE SHOULD BE USED WHEN USING THIS MODEL
you forgot to read those lines
I know about that. CFS is used for finding the trend, and not for the forecast. In the past it has picked up the systems before two months of the actual genesis of the system( eg: cyclone Mahasen, cylcone Jal and any more systems). Now it is consistently showing good rainfall for southern peninsula from late July till early August period. So we can expect good rainfall in coming weeks. Already GFS started to picking up good rainfall for interior peninsula in coming weeks.
Positive IOD might be a reason
Rami expecting SOI to increase in good numbers beginning from 13th July.
See ecmwf pressure map…. It shows a drastic fall in soi
It might fail big time
When it consistently showing a particular event, then we have to start paying attention to that event. From past two weeks it is showing good rainfall for southern peninsula during late July and early August period. So we cannot ignore it.
But try and check ecmwf forecast for the same period
CFS is the extended version of gfs… So we have to monitor it
Mjo not likely to enter Indian ocean according to ECMWF
Check this out. Click on the image.
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/MJO/CLIVAR/emon.shtml
Yeah but this model doesn’t use climatology… The one I posted above uses climatology… Btw mjo struggling to enter Indian ocean as per your link
The image is EMOM Forecast
EMOM: European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts – Seasonal Prediction Ensemble Forecast System (anomalies based on lead dependent model climatology, weekly – Thursday only)
Source: NOAA
feeling today we have a chance of ts to form for Chennai, but may not be a brief one 🙂
Something developing in South west BOB around late July as per latest CFS run . Can give good rainfall to TN. Need to keep a eye on this upcoming system.
South bob?
Yes. Very rare for the system to develop in south west Bay during this time of the year but anything can happen in weather.( example. Very very rare cyclone which had developed in south pacific few days back).
Then we’ll have easterlies
But still nothing for Chennai again
CFS is used for the trend, not the forecast. I’m sure if system develops in SW bay around late July then Chennai will get good rainfall form it.
But first chennai should get atleast 10mm
I don’t think it as a developing system.. it is a typical northward propagating MISO
What’s MISO?
monsoon intraseasonal oscillation
Oh ok thanks
but as per most of the models mjo will not be entering IO in coming weeks.
tis MISO sometimes act independant even without mjo…
Hoping for sea breeze set in earlier than yesterday, will bring TS today over NTN and Chennai.
Yesterday sea breeze has set around 14.29.
yes, still another 2 hours to go
w.pac typhoons remains as it is…only thing i could see as a change is tibetan high.. it shifted bit down south and strengthened
10 ஆண்டுகளில் மிக வெப்பமான ஜூலை மாதம்: வெப்பக் காற்று வீசுவதால் வெயில் அதிகரிப்பு – வானிலை ஆய்வு மைய இயக்குநர் ரமணன் தகவல்.
இந்த வருடம் ஜூலை 5-ம் தேதி 40.1 டிகிரி யும், 6-ம் தேதி 40.5 டிகிரியும், 7-ம் தேதி 40.7 டிகிரியும் பதிவாகியுள்ளது.
பொதுவாக தென்மேற்கு பருவ மழை காலத்தில் தமிழகத்தின் மேற்கு பகுதிகளில் மழை அதிக மாக இருக்கும். ஆனால் கடந்த சில நாட்களாக அப்பகுதிகளில் மழை குறைவாக பெய்துள்ளது. அதனால் வட மேற்கு திசையி லிருந்து வீசக்கூடிய காற்று வெப்ப மாக உள்ளது. இரண்டாவதாக கடல் காற்று தாமதமாக வீசத் தொடங்குகிறது. பொதுவாக காலை 10.30 மணிக்கு கடல் காற்று வீச தொடங்கினால் நமக்கு வெப்பம் தெரியாது. ஆனால் சில நாட்களில் மதியம் 2.15 மணிக்கு மேல்தான் கடல் காற்று வீசத் தொடங்குகிறது. அதுவும் கொஞ்ச நேரத்தில் நின்றுவிடுகிறது. மூன்றாவதாக, கடந்த 2 நாட்களாக மேகங்கள் இல்லாத தெளிந்த வானம் காணப்படுகிறது. இந்த காரணங்களினால் சென்னையில் வெப்பம் அதிகரித்துள்ளது.
http://tamil.thehindu.com/tamilnadu/10-%E0%AE%86%E0%AE%A3%E0%AF%8D%E0%AE%9F%E0%AF%81%E0%AE%95%E0%AE%B3%E0%AE%BF%E0%AE%B2%E0%AF%8D-%E0%AE%AE%E0%AE%BF%E0%AE%95-%E0%AE%B5%E0%AF%86%E0%AE%AA%E0%AF%8D%E0%AE%AA%E0%AE%AE%E0%AE%BE%E0%AE%A9-%E0%AE%9C%E0%AF%82%E0%AE%B2%E0%AF%88-%E0%AE%AE%E0%AE%BE%E0%AE%A4%E0%AE%AE%E0%AF%8D-%E0%AE%B5%E0%AF%86%E0%AE%AA%E0%AF%8D%E0%AE%AA%E0%AE%95%E0%AF%8D-%E0%AE%95%E0%AE%BE%E0%AE%B1%E0%AF%8D%E0%AE%B1%E0%AF%81-%E0%AE%B5%E0%AF%80%E0%AE%9A%E0%AF%81%E0%AE%B5%E0%AE%A4%E0%AE%BE%E0%AE%B2%E0%AF%8D-
Translate in English Pls:-)
wind from N.W has more heat, sea breeze setting in late, it is setting after 2.15 only, it also stops after some time, for past 2 days cloud less sky seen , these are the main reasons for the past 3 / 4 days high temp. – Mr. Ramanan
Thx:-)
Like the live traffic feed in the blog.
it showed your entry here
but its not working to my liking. It suppose to show the page ppl viewing. For ex. if someone is in bengaluru page, it supposed to show. Not working.
It’s working!
yes, if I open a 2nd page. it wont show
What are you all talking about?
abcd
Oh! So, I guessed it right
Ehsan, please check the memory used by this / dont want to see that dreaded resource full msg. 🙂
Temp Max 38c
don’t worry, it will rise to 40 of thereabouts
It seems so
38.2c
Sea breeze likely in few minutes from now….
It will be very very strong one today, watch out active TS today.
Temp raised to 38.8c (imd) in a gap of 3mins & reduced to 37.7..winds r oscillating…ese & wnw..
Salem sunny and warm at 36 degrees Stiff breeze blowing across and keeping the heat index under check.
Let the Arabian sea heats up before the revival of vigorous monsoon winds ….for a heavy show
39c
Rised 1 c in 21,minutes
• Temperatures in Madrid have been near or above 100 since June 27 and are forecast to stay there for another ten days. Normal high is about 84.
• London set an all-time July high temperature record with 98 on the first.
• Zurich will hit the mid-nineties today for the seventh day in a row. Normal high is 74.
• In Kitzingen, Germany, the temperature reached 104.5 degrees on Sunday; it was the highest temperature ever recorded anywhere in Germany in 135 years of record-keeping.
• Paris reached 102 degrees on July 1.
• Seattle broke its July Fourth record with a reading of 92 degrees.
• Portland, Oregon tied its record of 96 on Sunday.
• Boise, Idaho topped 100 degrees on nine consecutive days through the Fourth, including a record-tying 104 on July Second.
Dear Friends, Thank you for the support. Without you guys we could never reached such heights. During 2009, if anyone would have said that we will come in newspaper or TV or tie up with newspaper. We would have laughed and said not possible.
Yesterday when i went of office i was surpised with 4 persons standing with camera and mike. Someone had referred us. I all happened just like that. After 2008, we waited 4 years to come in News for 1st time in 2012. Now after 7 years we are in TV. Its a slow and steady journey. Its better that way, than to expect to rise immediately.
Thanks all who have wished me and Cheers for all Kea Bloggers.
Congratulations PJ…for taking KEA to the next level of Success step !!!
Congrats PJ.
congrats pj!!! way to go
Congrats!
Congratulations PJ…..
congrats P.J, some 2 / 3 days back Mr.Bhaskaran mentioned that he is trying through his friends for Kea bloggers to participate in T.V, i think he may be the back bone behind this achievement
Thumbs up…….. Spot the thunder, PJ
http://www.kea.metsite.com/clippings.php
Congratulations PJ
Congratulations PJ.
Congrats PJ.. Yours and all kea members Hard works, dedications, learnings of weather takes the blog to Next level..
congrats PJ ….
Congratulations Pradeep.
Btw, do you blog at Signal intersections ? Do you compile data even when you get that 50 seconds break there..Just curious..
Congrats PJ. Sweet memories, Long way to go.
As of now LINFA storm in West pacific is influencing our SWM moisture but this may weaken and move towards west direction in coming 36 hours
CHAN HOM storm may not have a great influence on Monsoon wind patten as it may move more NW direction and also with slight intensification
Nangka will not have any effect as it recurves to NNW in coming 24 hours
Overall the convection over the malay peninsula which is more dragged by LINFA will be stopped as Storm going to degrade soon which is an indication for strong monsoon pulse over andaman in coming 4 to 5 days
Liquid metal mercury is climbing within the thermometer tube …scientifically to say expanding …in response to heating Chennai …Now the scale reads 39.5 degree C @ Nunga AWS …
17th straight day of 38.4 and above weather today.
I am sure this is some kind of a record.
Yes , expecting some research papers published by IMD / TROPMET people if there had existed some interesting and possible correlations …
this is the whole program on tv regarding heatwave
Clouds are forming now
It was a real surprise for me when I accidentally saw our Ace Forecaster Pradeep John in Thanthi TV..My hearty congratulations to him and to everyone and as mentioned by him the temperature likely to come down from today onwards and hopefully pleasant days ahead for all of us. Best wishes to all those contributors to D.C.
looks like sea breeze has set in. temp dropping
temp increasing again
Congrats pradeep john!!!! I has forwarded our video to all my friends and family members…..more way to go pj!!! Rocking
NEM >>>BBC
amazing
Superb explanation. Nice and crisp
a professional way of detailing
Intense Popup NW of chennai inside 50km radius.
Popup north of vellore
intense ??lol
First POPUP…
Yes
NE of Poondi..
Yes.
And 3 popups near vellore
nothing near Vellore, infact nothing over TN.
Sea breeze sets in now at 13.48.
still struggling to enter IMD RMC. Looks likes their walls are very strong
Partha sir, vellore small popos
13N popos
those cannot be said POPUPS…
11 more days left. Last 10 days starts from tonight.
Yes. Very important days for us. Ramzan
today no 40…….very happy
wait till 6 pm
imd reading wont go beyond 39.8 max
40
40 will be surely touched…add min 0.5
As sea breeze set in early today than yesterday, we can see TS formation in the evening, today will be very active day.
A short spell of bigger drops of rain 5 mins back
pop ups 🙂
TS close to 30 KM radius
small cumulonimbus seen north-west
Just returned from St. Thomas Mount (near hills behind airport) it was like blow hot (while going) and blow cold (while driving back) . It appears sea breeze struggling to set in here
Pop ups near ariyalur also and south of vellore
TS within 30 KM radius, near Redhills….
Train of popo near vellore. Btw, from which direction ts will reach chennai?
In which direction Ts are moving
this question is banned, you know how to see it Mr Ameen…
Will vellore Ts affects chennai or pondy
Will it reach Chennai?
Lot of pop ups today
Light rain expected today in Cardiff…bowling 1st would be good option
Ts forming close to pondy also
most probably today will be something better for chennai….
July rainfall over metros
delhi- 38mm
hyderabad- nil
chennai- 6mm
mumbai- 4mm
bangalore- trace
kolkatta- 8.5mm
we are 3rd highest
Southwest Monsoon that has been active over East India since last few days has given good Monsoon rains inKolkata in last 24 hours. With good rainfall since the beginning of July and more forecast for next 48 hours, the city of joy is expected to surpass its monthly average rainfall, smoothly. The city has recorded 190 mm rainfall during first the first week of the month.
source: sky met today
but as per imd kolkatta with 8.5 mm
daily im maintaining imd rainfall figures for some cities
may be last 2 /3 days rain amount will be less, but not for the whole week
on 2nd july it self it reported to got 8 cm
Kolkotta got 115 mm for week ending 8th July
01july- nil ,02-nil,03- 5.2mm, 04,05,06-nil, 07-3.3mm,….this what have seen
yesterday rainfall in Kolkotta
city – 13 mm
airport – 54 mm
700 HPA mostly over TN during SWM.
Means 3.00km in VVP2?
sat img update
As partha said..TS started to form..TS from NW will reach chennai.. Nagari stretch..
Another feature “Live Traffic Feed” very interesting -someone from US visiting our blog!!
US is very common.
Somebody visited from Myanmar
And from hongkong tooo.he is from PTCC
page also comes.. bengaluru weather etc..
Pondy rajesh, guindy hr646, chandramouli, rao and many more are regulars..
Again Temp is rising why?
Rounded of to the closet number.
Millibars
By Ameenbijli (kea weather)
For reference
1000hpa- 110m- 0.11km
850hpa- 1500m- 1.50km
700hpa- 3000m- 3.00km
500hpa- 5500- 5.50km
250hpa- 10400m- 10.4km
500 HPA is 5500, 5.5 KM
Oh thanks…… All other ok?
Train of pop ups to NW of pondy
Many little pop u[s are forming today
Drizzles with strong winds.
This is the third spell here.
Temperature has come down, very comfortable now.
Strong TS over bhubaneswar, chattisgarh, jharkand..due to LPA effect in north bob..
radar update
Popups r forming near poondi & tiruvallur..
Will Anything Form In Chennai Latitude ?
Popups r forming in NW ..lets wait & c..
Places close to poonamalle will have impact over chennai city. so unless the stretch between poonamalle – tiruvallur the thudershower formation happens no rains are likely. the wind pattern both low & medium heights favors for formation of thundershower as already heat & humidity supports convection. could be possible any time between after 3 PM & 7 Pm.
ss
Welcome back
my theory on Front Near the Coast, is now working, bringing TS to coastal belts.
Yes
Can Chennai(Nunga) Expect 1 mm
y pop ups formed today & it did not last week? any correlation with western coast rains and this ?
No it think
Last week there was no Moisture in any levels
but now moisture in 700 hpa so Moisture is the reason of popups
and also the Dry NW winds were also the factor
yeah . there is good moisture level at 700 level now.
see this on 6th http://earth.nullschool.net/#2015/07/06/0900Z/wind/isobaric/700hPa/overlay=relative_humidity/orthographic=-285.20,12.63,3000
today http://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/isobaric/700hPa/overlay=relative_humidity/orthographic=-285.20,12.63,3000
a site pointed out “no reason in west coast also the reason for this dry spell in T.N and chennai ” NW winds were still there today but some thing supressed it
Yes Then Moisture is the reason for any popups !!!
but i want to know how suddenly moisture ?
Sorry No Idea For Me
Experts Will Say Accurately
Sorry
y sorry nd all…
Due to kelvin wave entered io
oh
nothing like that, it is purely wave sign at mid level.