Maximum and Minimum temperature will start to rise gradually as we head towards the peak summer season. Last week was pleasant thanks to the surprise showers where Meenambakkam recorded 104 mm.
Maximum and Minimum temperature will start to rise gradually as we head towards the peak summer season. Last week was pleasant thanks to the surprise showers where Meenambakkam recorded 104 mm.
KeaWeather Archives 
Yesterday heavy rain in cbidambaram
Yeah that was visible from RADAR …….
ya ya
On 2014 april 17 temperatures
Kothagudem 47.1
Rentachintala 45.6
2015 april 17 temperatures
Kothagudem 34.9
Rentachintala 35.7
Wat a difference…….
Areas SSE of Tambaram with a rainfall totals < 10 mm seems to be the only ones to have received some in the last 24 hours surrounding Chnai region .. the monsters have kept their presence to the west running south …..
If definitive Elnino conditions develops with neutral/+ve IOD & neutral/cold West African coast’s Atlantic SSTs by the time of SWM onset, then it may not effect the SWM-performance badly. SWM-2015 will have normal performance (onset, progress & rainfall) unlike SWM-2014 (erratic & deficient).
ECMWF s forecast is not encouraging for much of North west India , and some parts of N India too…..
Head Bay seems to be active , with some really above normal rainfall forecasted .,..Will have to look out for its effect in the Gangetic plains …..But much of it seems to be a retention in Bay ….
JAMSTEC predicts the evolution of positive IOD through the boreal Summer and Fall….and a short peak in the fall season. If it happens as per the JAMSTEC predictions, then the post monsoon cyclone season could have an impact ,since a negative IOD in place till September/October is considered quite favorable compared to positive IOD conditions both in terms of sea surface conditions and as well as the upper level steering patterns ….
Precipitation anomaly patterns forecasts from the JAMSTEC gives an idea of positive above normal rains for much of the equatorial Indian Ocean , and adjoining Sri Lanka and S.TN .Clear indications of last year repeat for NEM , with low latitude placement of equatorial trough and the rains….
With lower rains predicted for Chennai and north coastal TN both during SWM and NEM along with El Nino being predicted , I fear we might end up in some real shortage of annual rains for Chennai this year…..provided the JAMSTEC s prediction takes a lead ….
OMG!!! we don’t want NEM failure for fourth consecutive year for chennai…….
its too early ameen
Ameen it is too early , as PJ said ….Just an outlook …..and quit too far on the long range
Varthur in blore east has received 2cm overnight. Banaswadi just 1mm. There was a small rain for 2 minutes..
City also 8mm. Kial 6mm. Hal ap 6mm. Only our area seems to have missed out 😦
North bangalore received decent rains too…. My RG recorded 7mm…. Kodigehalli 9.5mm, Byatarayanapura 9mm, Jakkur 8.5mm, yelahanka 10mm….. Yuktix AWS located near columbia asia hosptial on intl airport road got 18mm….
My RG has now recorded exactly 100mm in the last 7 days….
Great. We have anyway received very hood rains so far. So okay to miss out one day. Beniganahalli at 17cm for the year. Hot and sultry now. Let us see if any thunderstorms today
Great. We have anyway received very good rains so far. So okay to miss out one day. Beniganahalli at 17cm for the year. Hot and sultry now. Let us see if any thunderstorms today
Radakrishna ward is at 13 cm for the year 😦
Have to look at the rainfall map. Looks like it rained everywhere leaving a hole over our area
Radakrishna ward only 1mm!!..should be atleast 5 mm in my place..again my home fell into southern tip of rain..
On Monday, April 24, 1815
The morning temp. in chennai was 11 deg C. On Apr 28, it had dipped to (-)3 deg C.
There were unverified reports of snow falling too……
(Interesting…. read it all in today’s Hindu – (SEction – Minimag – Page 4)
Oh …sounds much weird …….
all due to a volcanic eruption in Indonesia…. so powerful….that dust settled
in the atmosphere…. the sound was heard even 2,000 Km away says this article…
The reason sounds to be even more interesting …..Thanks for sharing :):)
Is this a faking news or something??
A bit hard to believe …no idea of the reliability
What could be the relation between volcanic eruption and snow in chennai
the ash should have covered our skyline… thereby blocking the sun’s rays…resulting in freezing temperature… but the after effects were devastating says the article…
Its getting better and better than NEM, Historic April Rains in Tamil Nadu, ending 8.30 am on 16.04.2015
=====================================
The cyclonic circulation over central parts of Madhya Pradesh & Neighbourhood persists and now extends between 3.1 & 4.5 kms a.s.l. The trough from central parts of Madhya Pradesh to Lakshadweep area now runs from southern parts of Uttar Pradesh to Comorin area extends between 5.8 & 7.6 kms a.s.l.
The trough of low at mean sea level over south Andaman Sea and adjoining southeast Bay of Bengal now lies over southwest Bay of Bengal.
Chennai gets 100 mm rainfall in less than hour. Entire Theni and Madurai district got battered. Tiruppur getting second day of 100 mm’s. Isnt the current spell better than NEM.
in mm (min 50 mm)
Periyakulam, Theni – 145
Marudhanadhi dam, Theni – 140
Taramani, Kancheepuram – 116
Dharapuram, Tiruppur – 110
Mulanur, Tiruppur – 108
Aranmanaipudur, Theni – 107
Theni, Theni – 106
Chennai AP,Kancheepuram – 103
Tirumangalam, Madurai – 102
Vaigai Dam, Theni – 102
Devakottai, Sivaganga – 100
Erode, Erode – 99
Komarapalayam, Namakkal – 94
Bhavani, Erode – 91
Kamatchipuram, Dindigul – 88
R.S.Mangalam, Ramanathapuram – 82
Palani, Dindigul – 81
Aravakurichi, Karur – 81
Thenkasi, Tirunelveli – 76
Paluvidihi, Karur – 72
Anna University, Chennai – 69
Manamelkudi, Pudukkottai – 69
Pulipatti, Madurai – 67
Pennagaram, Dharmapuri – 65
Manjalar, Theni – 65
Andipatti, Theni – 65
Vadakadu, Theni – 63
Parapalar Dam, Theni – 63
Aruppukottai, Virudhunagar – 63
Madurai AP, Madurai – 63
Upper Kodayar, Kanyakumari – 62
Kadaladi, Ramanathapuram – 61
Anaipalayam, Karur – 59
Tiruppur, Tiruppur – 58
Kolapakkam, Kancheepuram – 57
Melur, Madurai – 54
Usilampatti, Madurai – 52
Sankarankoil, Tirunelveli – 51
Ayikudi, Tirunelveli – 51
Thaniamangalam, Madurai – 50
Kovilankulam, Virudhunagar – 50
Dindigul, Dindigul – 50
Karur, Karur – 50
Vagaries Rainman – http://tamilnaduweatherman.blogspot.in/p/2015-tamil-nadu-rainfall-data.html
Tamil Nadu Weatherman – https://www.facebook.com/tamilnaduweatherman
Kea Weather Converse – http://forum.keaweather.org/viewforum.php?f=50
Anybody noticing Kerala, its getting rainfall daily, ending 8.30 am 17.04.2015
======================================
The cyclonic circulation over Lakshadweep area and neighbourhood has moved away westwards.
in mm (min 10 mm)
Pambla – 89
Perinthalmanna – 66
Thenmala – 60
Punalur – 50
Angadippuram – 49
Idukki – 34
Vadakkancherry – 34
Munnar – 32
Idamalayar – 30
Neeriyamangalam – 24
Chimoni – 23
Poringal – 18
Chalakudy – 18
Ponmudi – 17
Ottappalam – 17
Palakkad – 13
Pattambi – 12
Myladumpara – 12
Mannarkad – 11
Vellanikkara – 10
Vyanthala – 10
Vazhathope – 10
Vagaries Rainman – http://tamilnaduweatherman.blogspot.in/p/blog-page_2.html
Tamil Nadu Weatherman – https://www.facebook.com/tamilnaduweatherman
Kea Weather Converse – http://forum.keaweather.org/viewforum.php?f=48
Just another dayin kerala
Kottaram 9cm in cape dist. Reports of rain in mayiladuthurai n surroundings this morning
Tirupuvanam (Sivaganga Dist)
10
Attur (Salem Dist), Thathiengrpet (Trichy Dist)
9 each
Grand anaicut (Thanjavur Dist), Mylaudy (Kanyakumari Dist), Virudachalam (Cuddalore Dist), Sethiathope (Cuddalore Dist)
6 each
Manamadurai (Sivaganga Dist), Thammampatty (Salem Dist), Ulundurpet (Villupuram Dist), Samayapuram (Trichy Dist), Tirumangalam (Madurai Dist), Lalgudi (Trichy Dist)
5 each
Madukkur (Thanjavur Dist), Sholavandan (Madurai Dist), Kamudhi (Ramanathapuram Dist), Valangaiman (Tiruvarur Dist), Airport Madurai (Madurai Dist), Sattur (Virudhunagar Dist), Arani (Tiruvannamalai Dist), Thuvakudi IMTI (Trichy Dist)
4 each
Kottar 93 mm
The storms near vlr was no match to stn ones yesterday
How much has arani received in the last 10 days
Prob 200mm above
Current status
Mango Showers Continue in Karnataka without break, Rainfall ending 8.30 am 17.04.2015
======================================
The cyclonic circulation over Lakshadweep area and neighbourhood has moved away westwards.
in mm (min 20 mm)
Balluru – 80
Hoodi – 78
Hosakere – 76
Gangavarachow Dappanahalli – 65
Thopanahalli – 61
Abbenahalli – 57
Bengaluru Kial – 55
Maddur – 49
Krishnarajapet – 46
Honnudike – 41
Halaganahalli – 41
Thayalur – 40
Seelunare – 40
Dammaningala – 40
Kadahalli – 38
Anekal – 38
Kudur – 37
Hunsur – 36
Magadi – 35
Kanakapura – 34
Halagur – 34
Hoskote – 33
Karadi – 32
Mudabalu – 30
Ravandur – 29
Saggiam – 25
Tekal – 24
Kestur – 23
Solur – 22
Markandeyanakere – 22
Kamasandra – 22
Manchanbele – 21
Malemahadeshwara Hills – 20
Nelamangala – 20
Shantigrama – 20
Kundana – 20
Anantapur – 20
Masti – 20
Thanakushanur – 20
Vagaries Rainman – http://tamilnaduweatherman.blogspot.in/p/blog-page_2.html
Tamil Nadu Weatherman – https://www.facebook.com/tamilnaduweatherman
Kea Weather Converse – http://forum.keaweather.org/viewforum.php?f=48
Clear sky nd Very Hot in Madurai now..
Theni district battered. Eravangalar tops today with 120 mm rainfall.
I cant recall a better April for Tamil Nadu than this year, Rainfall ending 8.30 am on 17.04.2015
===================================
The trough of low at mean sea level over southwest Bay of Bengal persists.The cyclonic circulation over Lakshadweep area and neighbourhood has moved away westwards.
in mm (min 20 mm)
Hosur, Krishnagiri – 123
Shoolagiri, Krishnagiri – 73
Chittar II, Kanykumari – 57
Valparai Taluk Office, Coimbatore – 55
Perambalur, Perambalur – 53
Palladam, Coimbatore – 40
Puthen Dam, Kanyakumari – 39
Suralode, Kanyakumari – 39
Valparai PTO, Coimbatore – 38
Perunchani, Kanyakumari – 38
Upper Anaicut, Trichy – 37
Thuraiyur, Trichy – 35
Salem, Salem – 34
Rayakottah, Krishnagiri – 33
Chittar I, Kanyakumari – 32
Denkanikottai, Krishnagiri – 32
Kothagiri, Nilgiris – 28
Thiruvidaimaruthur, Thanjavur – 28
Sulur, Coimbatore – 27
Tozhudur, Cuddalore – 26
Nagapattinam, Nagapattinam – 25
Sholayar Dam, Coimbatore – 24
Karunkulam, Thanjavur – 24
Barur, Krishnagiri – 23
Tirupattur, Vellore – 23
Pochampalli, Krishnagiri – 23
Mettupalayam, Coimbatore – 22
Chinnakalar, Coimbatore – 22
Naduvattam, Nilgiris – 22
Tirupathur PTO, Vellore – 21
Tirumurthi, Coimbatore – 20
Thalavadi, Erode – 20
Krishnagiri, Krishnagiri – 20
Sendamangalam, Namakkal – 20
Mettur, Salem – 20
Penucondapuram, Krishnagiri – 20
Pollachi, Coimbatore – 20
Chettikulam, Perambalur – 20
Namakkal Nicra, Namakkal – 20
Trichy Town, Trichy – 20
Ichanvidudhi, Thanjavur – 20
Golden Rock, Trichy – 20
Trichy Junction, Trichy – 20
Thenparanadu, Trichy – 20
Vagaries Rainman – http://tamilnaduweatherman.blogspot.in/p/2015-tamil-nadu-rainfall-data.html
Tamil Nadu Weatherman – https://www.facebook.com/tamilnaduweatherman
Kea Weather Converse – http://forum.keaweather.org/viewforum.php?f=50
Flooded Hosur.
IMD:
The trough of low over
southwest Bay of Bengal & neighbourhood and another over south Andaman Sea & neighborhood persists
UAC gone Out of the country.. Now LAC is the only hope to bring some evening showers to interior regions
Vellore Just 5.2 mm yesterday..(as of 8.30 am) Surprising, the radar images showed as though it would register big numbers…
Northeast India going to get widespread rains. Heavy rains expected.
http://m.thehindu.com/features/metroplus/when-madras-froze-over/article7112961.ece/
This was the article…. Can we believe?
Very interesting indeed…Will history repeat?
Future generations know
http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/todays-paper/tp-agri-biz-and-commodity/early-global-models-outlook-indicates-indifferent-monsoon/article7115005.ece
The report says..
Conditions in the equatorial and east Pacific suggests a building El Nino in which waters of the west (and closer to India) cool down. This suppresses evaporation and cloud-building.
Instead, the equatorial and east Pacific warm up. Resultant stormy weather and excess rainfall are driven away from Asia and towards the South American coast.
El Nino has no direct cause-impact relationship with the Indian monsoon but has at times coincided with deficit monsoon as in year 2009.
The forecasts for specific periods by these agencies are as follows:
May-June-July
ECMWF – Below normal for Gujarat, northwest India and east India.
IRI – No major deviation for whole country.
UKMO – 40- to 60 per cent chances for below-normal for northwest, central and east-central India.
APCC – (April-May-June) Excess rain for south peninsular and northernmost India.
June-July-August:
ECMWF – Largely below normal for west, north-west India and coastal Tamil Nadu.
IRI – Below normal in parts of Gujarat and Jammu and Kashmir.
UKMO – 40- to 60 per cent chances for below-normal for most parts of country going up to 60- to 80 per cent in some regions.
APCC – (July-August-September) Below normal in west and northwest India.
July-August-September:
ECMWF: Below normal in west and northwest and more parts of Tamil Nadu.
IRI – Below normal in peninsular India, Gujarat, Jammu and Kashmir, Himachal Pradesh, Uttarakhand.
UKMO – Below normal in almost entire country except east-central, east and north-east India.
Report courtesy[-The Hindu Business Line.)
Were is main picture about our nem? Oct-dec
Yes jon. For past 2 days, GFS is showing them. Looks like s certain event. Is there a twist to Chennai in April
Hi PJ……Is any wind discontinuity going to raise in south central India on 24 to 26 th April…..again
Gfs predicting 70 to 80 mm rain in Anantapur and chittor kadapa kurnool districts……
Kiran yes. The westerlies is again dipping to karnataka. LWD is present right from lower to upper level.
http://www.imd.gov.in/section/nhac/dynamic/nwp/168hgfs_500wind.htm
think we are having a similar situation like the recent rain system…
again 4-5 cms possible…what a great april that would be
Awesome
Can anyone please explain why vellore is reaching more temperature even though its altitude is 220 m high comparing other places in tamilnadu ???
Its a semi desert.
with hills
heat radiates from hills
mostly rock cut hills so heat radiation is more also there is vry lil cloud cover over daytime same applies to tiruvanamalai dist n surroundings too
Very hot now in chennai need a intense ts through the evening
this is ok boss…34 deg april…it is very bright n sunny not hot just came from a bike ride quite windy and nice n warm…loved it
Wow…excellent place for a low to send rain to interiors
Why vellore is reaching maximum temperature and recording top ??
its rocking with rocks
mr. flashu
What Was The wind direction?
east south east at lower lvls, n ne at mid
Thanks jon
GFS close zoom up on the Heavy rains forecasted on April 25th Night / April 26th Morning
bang on banglore 😦
am sure.. Chennai will get rains
heavy rains
Omg!!
Gfs meteogram (banglore.) 10 total = 215.13mm!
Wowww….
dark clouds surrounded theni… Heavy ts over ghats
Enjoy
No showers yet.. Ghat areas oly getting pounded..
Ts popup west of chennai
Working in ECMWF with fun ….Well that is quite amazing !!!
This looks like a ts lasts only few hrs
ECMWF on April 25/26th Rains.
mod please delete it
Lol….you are one among moderator, you can go ahead
No i quit mod post. I am not a mod here anymore.
Fine
jolly jolly
Shows your immaturity grow up and it clearly shows that you are disrespecting Blog Rules which was posted couple of days back.
sir it’s just for fun don’t take it serious…
Sorry there is no fun in this, if that is the case he can post Sports page
kk…
lol. u want me back. I know u want that mod post very badly.
Point
superr ji…
Probably that’s why shankaran demanded moderators post…. Think if he would have got that, we are all free under his reign
Shankararan – it totally unfair on your part to post this, Also Jupi I am surprised that you pressed the “like” button for this.
Huge thunderstorm over kodai,palani hills…dindigul and Theni dist will post good numbers tomo…
Rains over nilgiris dindugal dist now
very encouraging…
North India, especially North west India along with Gujarat areas and Pakistan should be reeling under severe heat wave conditions in 2 spells …in the next 10 days, By 26th April Iran and west Pakistan should be bearing the hot hot days starting the season of severe heat waves that starts off the Arabian peninsula and moving eastwards …………
After 3 days of pleasant weather feeling the heat virtually no breeze here
yep… light heat is felt even now…no sea breeze today…Humidity also high…
Friends… i’m going to sweat like anything tomorrow… because i’m playing a cricket match in my academy. between 10 am – 2 pm it’s going to be very hot… I don’t know how tolerate that…?
Tolerate ??Try to enjoy the heat , u wont feel uncomfortable ….
U must be happy that there is heat to save u.. Here in the US it hardly crosses 20 deg celsius in day time and drop to below 10 deg celsius at nights.
ha.ha both extremes that is nature… one side wanting heat and other for cool…
Ya.. Actually its spring here.. So bit warm.. Its was in negative values all winter
ohh.enjoy…
Will there be breaks in 100 mm’s in Tamil Nadu. 6 consecutive days Tamil nadu has recorded 100 mm.
it looks like summer-heat changing to next gear 😦
skymet still confident about normal SWM rains in 2015. Especially they are predicting excess SWM rains for south peninsular & northern India.
Tamil Nadu Pre-monsoon rains – Isnt it like NEM figures. most of which were in last 6 days. Chennai 373% is the highest.
Yes looks like onset of NEM. But Nunga is missed it.
Mouli south Chennai needed the rains most.
This gives lot of confidence for a bigger show during SWM and NEM
Temperature Today in Tamilnadu & Puducherry (18.04.2015)
Karur Paramathi
36.2
21
Palayamkottai
36.1
24.4
Adirampatnam
35.5
23.1
Madurai
35.5
21.9
Chennai AP
35.3
24
Trichy
35.2
21
Chennai Nungambakkam
35.1
25.5
Salem
35.1
22.6
Vellore
35
22.2
Coimbatore
34.9
22.1
Cuddalore
34.8
24
Puducherry
34.4
23.2
Pamban
34.1
26
Tondi
34
24.5
Dharmapuri
34
20.5
Nagapattinam
33
23
Karaikal
32.9
22.6
Kanyakumari
32.5
23.4
Thoothukudi
31.2
23.3
Parangipettai
–
23.5
Tirupathur
–
20
Valparai
27.5
14.5
Coonoor
22.6
13.4
Kodaikanal
17.6
11.4
Tamilnadu Rainfall ending 8.30 on 18.04.2015 in Centimeters.
South Tamilnadu Battered Heavily and But Vellore is Missing in the list though there is a Squall Yesterday Nearby it.
Tirupuvanam (Sivaganga Dist) – 10
Attur (Salem Dist), Thathiengrpet (Trichy Dist) – 9
Grand anaicut (Thanjavur Dist), Mylaudy (Kanyakumari Dist), Virudachalam (Cuddalore Dist), Sethiathope (Cuddalore Dist) – 6
Manamadurai (Sivaganga Dist), Thammampatty (Salem Dist), Ulundurpet (Villupuram Dist), Samayapuram (Trichy Dist), Tirumangalam (Madurai Dist), Lalgudi (Trichy Dist) – 5
Madukkur (Thanjavur Dist), Sholavandan (Madurai Dist), Kamudhi (Ramanathapuram Dist), Valangaiman (Tiruvarur Dist), Airport Madurai (Madurai Dist), Sattur (Virudhunagar Dist), Arani (Tiruvannamalai Dist), Thuvakudi IMTI (Trichy Dist) – 4
Mayanur (Karur Dist), Tiruchirappalli AP (Trichy Dist), Trp town (Trichy Dist), Kaveripakkam (Vellore Dist), Gingee (Villupuram Dist), Madurai south (Madurai Dist), Tirukattupalli (Thanjavur Dist), Keeranur (Pudukkottai Dist), Thuraiyur (Trichy Dist), Mettur (Salem Dist), Rasipuram (Namakkal Dist), Kodavasal (Tiruvarur Dist), Dharamapuri (Dharmapuri Dist), Yercaud (Salem Dist), Shencottah (Tirunelveli Dist), Thanjavur (Thanjavur Dist), Cheyyar (Tiruvannamalai Dist), Vallam (Thanjavur Dist), Trangambadi(or)tranqueb (Nagapattinam Dist), Illuppur (Pudukkottai Dist), Mudukulatur (Ramanathapuram Dist) – 3
Vandavasi (Tiruvannamalai Dist), Bhoothapandy (Kanyakumari Dist), Chengam (Tiruvannamalai Dist), Perungalur (Pudukkottai Dist), Tirupathur pto (Vellore Dist), Tindivanam (Villupuram Dist), Coimbatore south (Coimbatore Dist), Orthanad (Thanjavur Dist), Ambur (Vellore Dist), Periyanaickenpalayam (Coimbatore Dist), Pechiparai (Kanyakumari Dist), Sirkali (Nagapattinam Dist), Kovilpatti (Toothukudi Dist), Mayiladuthurai (Nagapattinam Dist), Vadipatti (Madurai Dist), Gandarvakottai (Pudukkottai Dist), Srivaikuntam (Toothukudi Dist), Musiri (Trichy Dist), Ariyalur (Ariyalur Dist), Pullambadi (Trichy Dist), Gobichettipalayam (Erode Dist), Wallajah (Vellore Dist), K.m.koil (Cuddalore Dist), Vazhapadi (Salem Dist), Anaikaranchatram(KolliDam (Nagapattinam Dist) – 2
Nagercoil (Kanyakumari Dist), Chinnakalar (Coimbatore Dist), Thuckalay (Kanyakumari Dist), Melur (Madurai Dist), Kovilankulam (Virudhunagar Dist), Dharmapuri pto (Dharmapuri Dist), Mangalapuram (Namakkal Dist), Papanasam (Thanjavur Dist), Kanyakumari (Kanyakumari Dist), Sivakasi (Virudhunagar Dist), Periyar (Theni Dist), Kumarapalayam (Namakkal Dist), Padalur (Perambalur Dist), Panchapatti (Karur Dist), Harur (Dharmapuri Dist), Pappireddipatti (Dharmapuri Dist), Tozhudur (Cuddalore Dist), Kulithalai (Karur Dist), Chittampatti (Madurai Dist), Perambalur (Perambalur Dist), Satankulam (Toothukudi Dist), Aruppukottai (Virudhunagar Dist), Melalathur (Vellore Dist), Bhavani (Erode Dist), Tirupattur (Vellore Dist), Valparai taluk office (Coimbatore Dist), Mettupatti (Madurai Dist), K bridge (Nilgiris Dist), Mannargudi (Tiruvarur Dist), Thiruthuraipoondi (Tiruvarur Dist), Thiruchuzhi (Virudhunagar Dist), Srivilliputhur (Virudhunagar Dist), Tiruchengode (Namakkal Dist), Omalur (Salem Dist), Polur (Tiruvannamalai Dist), Nilakottai (Dindigul Dist), Kumbakonam (Thanjavur Dist), Shoolagiri (Krishnagiri Dist), Kothagiri (Nilgiris Dist), Tiruvaiyaru (Thanjavur Dist), Thenkasi (Tirunelveli Dist), Vaniaymbadi (Vellore Dist), Eraniel (Kanyakumari Dist) – 1
Any one missing dash man???.
no
You dont know the value of dash man. He was the superman for me.
Get a real hero. He is fake. Dont idolize him. Idolize ur dad. He is ur real superman.
Yep Dad is my real super hero.
Idolize??? Toomch emphasis its just a blog n noone is real hero wrto weather….
Jon i said to him to idolize his dad as super hero. Its not related to weather.
me.. yes
No. I have totally forgotten him. Novak misses his humor. This site is more than an individual. Tomorrow if i am leaving this blog. The blog will go on. I can see so many weather lovers here than in 2009.
Maybe he can join and post in only sports page. Not here.
Rightly said anna but he was the great entertainer of this blog
studying or working?? dude..
Studying
Paul has nothingelse to post that is why he has posted this to time pass. One must learn from Gokul who has posted nice clipping for learning.
but he is very much up to his word he has not upvoted or commented after the day when he told he is quitting…
Who is dashman???
Let us worry about next bout of rain than these things
Yes I have some good news for the blog now!
good answer…take charge…
https://disqus.com/by/originaldashman/
a blogger view this if you want to know about him…
Vijay move on I gave a hint of posting some thing learning on weather than these . There is plenty of information available in the net, Plus you can study the data provided by Pradeep today
yep..i saw we will move on sorry sir…
R u kidding me??
sir you are working or studying?
I am telling the truth, Paul now you bit growing in this blog and post some thing useful, which you are capable
Only bit growing??
If you have grown well you would not have posted this – correct and would have posted something useful. That is why
Yes Pradeep, this weather page or any platform is bigger than any individual..Be it sports, Our Job whatever… i have always enjoyed dash’s presence in the blog for the way he used to mix up weather with some humour..Many a times you yourself have acknowledged this fact about him in the blog..Am i right or not? .Yes yes yes- i do miss him…Not only me, many here share the same feeling..He had that uncanny knack of diffusing tense situations with his light hearted comments…
Very well said….!!!!
Me missing dasman
Ohh i know he was a good partner to you
Dasha fakeinnu sonna namma Jon broku kovam varathu and avaru dasha miss pannuraru.
Jon, dash can come and join and only ehsan can have his number it wont be put into public.
Its just pathetic to talk behind som one who is forced to leave the blog.. he has left no use continuing commenting bad now..
Very useful rains across TN in april ,to help rejunvte groundwater table and keep temp under check..
Absolutely we were almost planning to outsource water, and timely over record breaking 10 cm rain shot up the ground water level here and I can postpone atleast next two months
Nice to hear that
Its going to get better, with next week rains in April and May 1st wek rains. I can only see rains, rains, and rains. Will there be a summer at this rate.
then will we have a good SWM?
That means quite a lot of money saving for us and reduced pressures at home front
If SWM advances in the last week of May i( I trust this will happen – mark my words)nstead of first week of June – then the chances “pleasant” summer
June is horrible than may.
Its for coastal TN..
Wish ur words come true
the hindu article….
When Madras froze over
Our city has only three seasons — hot, hotter and hell. Given this, would people believe me if I said that the temperature once dipped below freezing in our city, and that too, in the sweltering month of April? It would probably be dismissed as an April Fool’s Joke. And yet it happened exactly 200 years ago, in the last week of April 1815. The morning temperature was 11 degrees Celsius on Monday, April 24, and by Friday, April 28, it had dipped to minus 3 degrees Celsius. There are unverified reports of snow falling too but that may be an exaggeration.
The cause of this freak phenomenon was the volcanic eruption of Mount Tambora in distant Indonesia. At that time, this was the tallest peak in the archipelago which formed that country, rising to a height of 4,300 m.
Lava burst forth from it on April 10 and 11, 1815, with such ferocity that the explosion killed around 12,000 people and was heard 2,000 km away. It holds the record for being the largest volcanic activity ever in world history till date.
What followed next is best described in Tambora: The Eruption That Changed The World, by Gillen D’Arcy Wood — “Tambora’s dust veil, serene and massive above the clouds, began its westward drift aloft the winds of the upper atmosphere. Its airy passage to India outran the thousands of waterborne vessels below bent upon an identical course, breasting the trade winds from the resource-rich East Indies to the commercial ports of the Indian Ocean. The vanguard of Tambora’s stratospheric plume arrived over the Bay of Bengal within days”.
Madras was perhaps the first to feel it two weeks later, with the temperature dipping to freezing point, thanks to the aerosols in the volcanic cloud absorbing heat from the sun and the earth. Given that our public dons monkey caps and earmuffs in December each year, what was the fashion statement in freezing April 1815? There is, however, not one East India Company record that notes the reactions of the colonial masters or the people to this freak occurrence. There is also no mention of a tsunami. Pumice stone, however, washed up on the coast for a long while.
What followed thereafter was not as pleasant as the cold weather. The ash cloud spread globally, making 1816 the ‘year without summer’. In Madras, and the rest of India, it also meant a year without monsoon. Crops failed, as they did internationally. Famine in India was followed by cholera, which is now directly attributed by scholars to the volcano. Over 70,000 people perished globally, due to Tambora.
In August 1815, the brig Catherina — the first vessel from Java after the eruption — arrived in Madras.The Madras Courier interviewed the craft’s master for an eyewitness description of what happened. He also brought with him a bag of volcanic ash, which was forwarded to Calcutta for further analysis. But nobody linked the big freeze in Madras to the volcano!
too late.
yes i just saw that link down… sorry
Very hppy to see Madurai, Tiruci and importantly Thanjavur getting rains in April….
GOOD NEWS!!!
South peninsular india?
Yes south peninsula
Which all parts are south penin india?
KA,KERALA,AP,TN
That is south india, why peninsul india?
South Peninsular india = 3 sides water and one side land… inlcudes part of orissa, maharashtra , guj
So does GFS Jupie.
I doubt it PJ…
check again Jupie. GFS has already picked it up 2 days ago the rains till 1st week of May. Thats what i was telling Rainman and Bhaskaran Sir.
Yes PJ you’re right! ☺ GFS is showing some rain atlast!
GFS upto 216hrs…
http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=216&image=data%2Fgfs%2F12%2Fgfs_asia_216_precip_ptot.gif&model=gfs&area=asia¶m=precip_ptot&group=Model+Guidance&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20150418+12+UTC&imageSize=&ps=model
I re post some of the links that I had posted yesterday late night …..I found them really good , sharing it again for those of u who missed it ……..
http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/feeds/22546735
http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/22849212
http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/features/24056514
Gud one
Thank u 🙂
Gokul : you shud think about doin a ph.d in fluid dynamics/ meterology…
Yeah , definitely have an idea ….I m trying for it ….
If you need any info, details let me knw
Sure , I m at Siruseri currently , would like to meet u …
Ok…I will let u know one day before I come to sruseri
Thank u 🙂
My favorite weather presenter in BBC , Tomazs …
Thght for the day: Lets think about Groundwater…does it flow or stagnant? For example why is groundwater vry gud/at a better level in tambaram than in pallavaram? Does groundwater evaporate into/ thro rocks?
pallavaram rocky terrain. we did lot of Grond water test while preparing DPR for restoration of Pallavaram and Kilkatalai lake.
Very true that was the main reason we had leave chrompet-pallavaram after 25 years of life there, Mushrooming flats, rocky surface , virtually we had to depend on outsource water 8 months in a year
Tambaram has good acquifers.
mostly in south TN like madurai and other patti’s around there for water one well is there the come take water in those villages,whereas in madurai many place with water lorries
Yes , here at my residence(Madambakkam, East TBM) the water is usually found within 20 – 30 feet in the bore well.
Many of my relatives from core city get surprised with this and also the taste of water(of course technically water is tasteless ….etc.,), …
I am a regular visitor to Madambakkam, it is very true , also few years back there were even Paddy fields near the famous temple there
Sir even today there are paddy fields near the Dhenupureeshwarar temple(I guess u r saying abt. the same)
Rocky under ground makes distribution uneven ..sometimes we may get plenty of water sometimes only rock powder…. Soft soil underground makes water bed even…and spread is uniform
Heard that in London the increase in water table posing serious problems to infrastructure
Unless the even distribution if human population… We can’t expect the rise in n water bed…at some places excessive human population is exerting lot of pressure on natural resources..
Periyakulam 53mm till 21.30
Periyakulam rocking Jon.
Thght for the day : Aircrafts produce about 10 trillion cubic feet of water vapour every year.
Do you knw the amount of water vapour in a basktbll size cloud?
Artificial clouds —–> Weather modification and The vonnegut theory
looking forward for next week rains, hope atleast now n chennai gets it share
Shall we try this unique umbrella when it pours this NEM…Japanese way of doing things in an innovative manner.
Nice one !!!
Thanks..Are you planning to buy one?
Yeah , I may need it, as I often have travel to Agumbe ….
Yes yes Yes…Will have a word with my cousin who keeps shunting between Tokyo and T,Nagar..
Planning to squeeze inside!!
Problem is that, the moment you realize, there will be few ppl in our region who would squeeze inside the cage umbrella..Sir Sir Sir…Konja nerem Sir..
Another reference to the Madras Freeze in 1815 here
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2009/01/31/691274/-What-Made-1816-So-Cold
Nice to see you Chandru after a long gap? still in US? how is the weather there..We now have 4 to 5 bloggers there in US..
Hey Shiva.. am doing good.. been busy of late.so i was just a silent visitor to this blog.. weather is much better here in New York.. today it is touching 77 F.. spring is well in here.. am visiting India in June ( Chennai ). So if you guys planning a meet that time i will join 🙂
Ohh nice to hear that..Enjoy your time there and do call us when you touch down..Will plan a meet for sure..Most Welcome…
awesome .. will do
How do we contact you? Your whatsapp number…
whats app is 91 9003094418 yes i still use my india number for whatsapp
Shiva… Its 80 F in New Jersey today and my neighbour says its a heat wave. I couldnt control my laugh..
Invite your neighbor to our city. Let’s see his reaction..
November 1988 cyclone – Chennai got direct hit.
Anne–How many mm’s we got?
In 1888 four cyclone crossed Chennai.
wow.. need more details buddy
In the year 1888 Madras was affected by four cyclones. The North East monsoon rain was unusually heavy, especially about the end of October. A considerable cyclone passed over Madras and Chengleput and a portion of the North Arcot District on October 31 st, on that day the rain was 9.2 inches and the daily velocity of the wind was 66 miles. A second storm, with its centre southward of Madras, also brought strong wind and considerable rain about December 13 th
.
Account of the weather was furnished by the port officer is as follows: “The weather on the morning of 30 th was unsettled, but the barometer was steady and did not, at that time, indicate the approach of a storm. At noon the wind began to increase in force, and at 8 pm, the barometer began to be felt at first very slowly the weather became more unsettled during the night, with constant rain.
The wind had now shifted to North West and increased steadily in force. At noon of the 31 st the weather was very stormy, and the barometer began to fall rather rapidly, the wind remained steady at north-west, and the squalls became more violent and were extremely severe between 6 pm and 9 pm. There was a lull of half an hour from about 9.30 pm to 10 pm and almost immediately after 10pm the wind began to come from east. The lowest reading of the barometer was taken very shortly after at 10.30 pm. The wind now blew for some time in furious gusts from the east and then shifted to south–south–east, at which it remained for some hours. It rained continuously for 49 hours from about 10a.m of the 31 st when the centre was probably nearly 150 miles distant, until 1 am of the 1st
November. The rapid fall of the barometer which coincided with the period of frequent
furious squalls of wind lasted from 6 pm, (when the distance of the centre was probably about 40 miles), to about 2 am. The outer storm area was from 200 to 250 miles in diameter from east to west and the inner storm area 80 to 90 miles in diameter. Cyclone of 19th to 27th 1889 December crossed the Madras coast and broke up in South India.
Thanks.. interesting accounts
Some more quotes on Madras Freeze.It looks like the Freeze happened every April between 1815 to 1818
In southeastern India (Pant et al. 2 ), the total June-September rainfall in 1816 at Madras (13 °N)
was, by contrast, about one standard deviation above the 1871-1988 normal (and similarly below
normal in 1815). While the rainfall series for Bombay (19°N) only begins in 1817, the
occurrence of famine (drought?) in Kutch (above) suggests that this western part of the
Peninsula may also have been drier in 1816. With respect to temperature, Stothers (1984) notes
that Madras experienced a remarkable cooling in the last week of April 1815: morning
temperature stood at 11°C on Monday dropping to -3°C by Friday. (On the other hand, there
was no drop at Canton, China.) In summer 1816, the temperature again dipped below freezing
in Madras, which is almost unheard of (Rampino 1989). The annual mean temperatures for
Madras (Stothers after Koppen 1873) show that values had fallen below the long-term (1800-40)
mean in 1814 to a low in 1818, returning to above normal in 1821.
Super info mate…
am wonderng what it feels like to be below Freezing in chennai.. forget below freezing even 11 Deg ??
I still can’t believe it…Yes even 11 degrees c is biting cold for us here..
great job….i was looking for further information on this…
Not sure how far this information is true!
These values look like ice age for Madras!!
i see in many articles references to Madras Freeze in Google.. all from different sources
nino 3 region showing increasting trend in warming so elnino modoki like conditions turning into a traditional elnino flavour.
This is good for south india right
yes ,nem point of view.
Tamil Nadu continues to record 100 mm rainfall, Rainfall ending 8.30 am on 18.04.2015
===================================
The trough of low at mean sea level over southwest Bay of Bengal persists. Sivagana, Theni, Kanyakumari and delta got heavy rains. After Vellore, Chennai, Madurai, Salem, its the turn of Trichy to get battering.
in mm (min 30 mm)
Eravangalar, Theni – 120
Tirupuvanam, Sivaganga – 101
Kottar, Kanyakumari – 93
Budalur, Thanjavur – 92
Attur, Salem – 86
Thathiengrpet, Trichy – 85
Kammapuram, Cuddalore – 73
Navalur Kottapattu, Trichy – 72
Chittar II, Kanyakumari – 72
Vathalai Anaicut, Trichy – 67
Devmanagalam, Trichy – 66
Grand Anaicut, Thanjavur – 62
Mylaudy, Kanyakumari – 61
Manalar Dam, Theni – 60
Kuppampatti, Trichy – 60
Virudachalam, Cuddalore – 59
Sethiathope, Cuddalore – 57
Thirupparankundram, Madurai – 56
Budalur, Thanjavur – 52
Chhittar I, Kanyakumari – 52
Manamadurai, Sivaganga – 52
Thammampatty, Salem – 51
Ulundurpet, Villupuram – 51
Samayapuram, Trichy – 50
Tirumangalam, Madurai – 50
Sembanarkoil, Nagapattinam – 48
Puduchatram, Namakkal – 47
Trichy Junction, Trichy – 46
Manachanallur, Trichy – 45
Lalgudi, Trichy – 45
Madukkur, Thanjavur – 44
Avalanche, Nilgiris – 44
Sholavandan, Madurai – 43
Gengavalli, Salem – 42
Narikudi, Virudhunagar – 42
Adayamadai, Kanyakumari – 41
Thiruparappu, Kanyakumari – 40
Kamudhi, Ramanathapuram – 40
Madurai West, Madurai – 40
Thottiyam, Trichy – 39
Valangaiman, Tiruvarur – 38
Madurai AP, Madurai – 38
Nandhiyar Head, Trichy – 38
Thiruverambur, Trichy – 37
Manalmedu, Nagapattinam – 37
Sattur, Virudhunagar – 37
Arani, Tiruvannamalai – 37
Thuvakudi, Trichy – 36
Edappadi, Salem -36
Mayanur, Karur – 35
Trichy AP, Trichy – 35
Trichy Town, Trichy – 34
Salem, Salem – 34
Virkanuar, Salem – 35
Kaveripakkam, Vellore – 34
Gingee, Villupuram – 33
Madurai South, Madurai – 33
Golden Rock, Trichy – 32
Tirukattupalli, Thanjavur – 32
Keeranur, Pudukkottai – 31
Thuraiyur, Trichy – 31
Mettur, Salem – 31
Kalakadu, Tirunelveli – 30
Rasipuram, Namakkal – 30
Kodavasal, Tiruvarur – 30
Dharamapuri, Dharmapuri – 30
Yercaud, Salem – 30
Shencottah, Tirunelveli – 30
Thanjavur, Thanjavur – 30
Pulivalam, Trichy – 30
Thenparanadu, Trichy – 30
Vagaries Rainman – http://tamilnaduweatherman.blogspot.in/p/2015-tamil-nadu-rainfall-data.html
Tamil Nadu Weatherman – https://www.facebook.com/tamilnaduweatherman
Kea Weather Converse – http://forum.keaweather.org/viewforum.php?f=50
Flooded Road in Kottar in Kanyakumari
Nilgiris and Kovai have reported some rainfall.
exactly on tis day in 2006, a surge of equatorial westerlies had an interaction with easterlies at lower level on south,southeastern parts of bay just 3 days prior to very severe cyclone mala genesis.. Indonesian archipelago may have some great role in pre monsoon cyclogenesis just like how lankan landmass influence nem cyclogenesis over sw bay.
One amazing distant Cyclone that was …..!!!
Se
Precipitation forecast
Periyakulam AWS (Theni Dist)
5
Periyanaickenpalayam (Coimbatore Dist), Valparai pto (Coimbatore Dist)
4 each
Periyakulam (Theni Dist), K bridge (Nilgiris Dist)
3 each
All models have removed rains for Chennaii. Rains are stopping at border.
Jon, we will get rains on 25th / 26th
PJ but CFS model maintains the same forecast…. Good rains for us
All models???
Rains forecasted for stn coast on Mon
CFS week 1… http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/cfs-avg/2015041818/cfs-avg_apcpna7d_ind_1.png
CFS week 2… http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/cfs-avg/2015041818/cfs-avg_apcpna7d_ind_2.png
Foreca looks encouraging for us!
http://foreca.mobi/old/7d.php?l=101264527
they are yet to update. But they wont change. They will stick to rains.
PJ/ Jupi, Are we talking about 25th/26th or any other dates before that?
It appears from chances from 20th
Yes…
Why Gaje, i know u dont want too be specific on dates. Its 25/26th only.
Ok data annae.
We need some positive news in blog. else there wont be any blog.
100%
Any way thats good news for us…
But PJ has already mentioned yesterday that brighter outlook for Chennai from April last week and May first week – but my gut feeling is that it will advance
GFS on 25th mid Night. Storms stop ahead of Chennai. But dont worry guys they will change. Chennai will get rains.
Nothing to worry about… We’ll get it again
Yes. Jupie always for rains.
GFS on 26th Morning. Big ball expected near Chennai. We are surely going get something. Hopefully Nunga gets something this time being close to sea
Anyone has plans for travel on 26th morning. Please enjoy the rains. Its going to be cloudy day.
Really? hoping to catch 60mm
Ameen why 60 mm
already my rg recorded 68mm abd on 15th it recorded 60 mm in 3 hrs… now i want 60mm in one hour in my RG!
april month my rg recorded totally 68mm from first January 2015 its.. totally 75mm
Did say Amen Pradeep
When PJ is confident then even rain-GOD also can’t stop the rains 🙂 We had seen so many times in the past.
Good one
hoping for rain
No question of “hoping” we are getting it
Rao u too. Enna Achu sir.
🙂
Rao “unmaiyai” solraar” PJ
Cloudy day?? Mazhai??
Pradeep, Travel within the city or outside city?
Only Anna Nagar Tower travel
This time the places which is missed out on Wednesday should get more rains in Chennai.
Novak we can all meet on 25th evening on Tower Park. So it will confirm the rains.
Are you free on Saturday’s ? No problem for me..We will meet, let anyone who wants to come, come..
Evening. after 6 please.
PJ having said rainy days ahead, now you will see flurry of comments – from 255 to 500 in one stroke.
PJ.s forecast always spot on. Expecting rains..
PJ, so some treat is waiting for us next week as per some models.. For entire city (or) part ?
Govind Sir, how are u. It will be widespread sir.
I am fine and always looking for Rain God’s (PJ) forecast.
Yeppa neengalama Sir.
PJ, We are flying back to USA from Hyderabad on 26th. Will there be any chance for the rain-wave to escalate in latitude till Hyderabad by 26th?
Yes Rao, rains will welcome you.
See the LWD in 700, 850 hpa its starting from Telangana. More than good chance for rains.
looks like that PJ. Pre-rain wave temperatures already peaking (crossed above 40 oC) in parts of AP. Just now i completed the drawing fro this month end rain-wave. will post within a minute.
wow another cartographer in the making
Yes Rao, did u see the big HPA moving in. Already Gujarat and other central india covered. Check the OLR.
yes PJ. already seen. since yesterday we can see feel the heat wave in telangana too. temperatures further increases during next 3-4 days before cooling down by rain-wave.
can the below image (drawn based on satellite pic) depict the early view of this month end rain-wave??? Nature will take its own course!!
note: direction of arrow represents the moisture transport in to continental peninsular India??
hello rao garu so rains by 26 in hyd ? r u sure?
even before that as LWD starts early there
but wer is the summer in telangana 😛 … ??we r seeing much premonsoon showers this time
PJ it looks like this is exactly replica of recent last LWD, which given record breaking rainfall for parts AP. Am I right?
The UAC which was pounding south TN, Kerala and Karnataka has become more intense and has moved away from India.
http://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/isobaric/500hPa/orthographic=-278.73,8.09,1024
the UAC is visible in 200 hpa too, very rare UAC
http://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/isobaric/250hPa/orthographic=-278.73,8.09,1024
Hi PJ….I am very astonished to find the obvious entire wind patterns all across the globe shown in earth null images…..what will be the consistancy of the wind patterns shown in the earth.nullschool images……will they be accurate sir
They are GFS nothing else.
Temperatures increasing in Rayalaseema and Telangana………
But this time the temperatures are more in telangana than rayalaseema
Today kurnool Nandyal Nizamabad Ramagundam kothagudem medak shamshaabad cuddapah may record 39 to 40 today
Many models forecasting the temperatures to raise to 41 to 42 this week and then reduce by sat an sunday due to some thunderstorm activity
Hyderabad temperatures at 11 30
shamshhabad airport 37
Manuguru 39
kurnool 35.6
hai kiran bro do u observe any cumulus clouds over ther?
no…clear sky….in kurnool now…very hot…it might have reached 39 now
ayyo…….. wait for 4 days then bang 🙂
yes….very hot days for telangana in coming days….soon in may 1st week…45 degrees in kothagudem…nizamabad and other coal belt areas
ya thats for sure
wen does hyd radar work @ramisettisrinivasarao:disqus@kiran kumar reddy:disqus? u people know about it??
GOD knows 😦
i want to see those upcoming seasonal red dots 😦
Hyd radar is shut off temporarily. Please raise a RTI with IMD regarding the functioning….
Srinivas in begampet imd confirmed that some UPS problem in the main radar channel……Probably they may open in may
The almost full depth cyclonic circulation in the southern Arabian Sea currently , was a result of the dip in the Jet streams which was directly and indirectly responsible for the rains to much of the peninsular India last week. The rains were a combination of the common LWD , interaction of tropical and sub tropical flow patterns , etc…
This large circulation in the Arabian Sea currently is seen extending well into the 200 hPa level…..This is a remnant induced pattern….at the fag end of the dip in the westerlies ….
It is moving towards the Somalian coastline , with very little rain …………..
http://www.imd.gov.in/section/nhac/dynamic/nwp/00hgfs_500contour.htm
Why we are not having rains GTS. A UAC extending such heights have to bring instability ?
PJ, the first thing is that it is a wide one , not a concentrated circulation. It was just a circulation that had resulted because of different and opposite flows on either sides shaped by surrounding High Pressure environmental circulations.More important is that the air sea coupling factor is almost nil underneath it.
If u see the lower levels u have no hint of any circulation coupling with this upper level circulation. Thus, the air sea coupling is almost not happening there. Only if u have a coupling of air and sea, we can see moisture being lifted into this vortex to develop and sustain with deep convection , which is not simply happening here.
The surface level MSLP charts in the region does not show any considerable pressure drop too, and moreover the sea surface underneath it is having outflows from the HPA to the NNW of it, and that flow is least bothered and is not trying to get into this one as some inflow also…
Dry air is already seen getting wrapped into , and with more on the way, the word convection will find no use ….
To say in simple terms this vortex is just an empty cylinder with no fuel(moisture) , being mechanically rotated by surrounding cylinders, and not rotating by its own power(no latent heat release to rotate)
agree GTS on the wide circulation. But in lower 500 hpa. Its very concentrated. So it must be dry air as u rightly pointed.
Lower levels and sea surface conditions showing least response to upper levels of the Troposphere ……
No significant sea pressure changes and very mild response in 925 hPa winds making an insignificant curvature of flows ….
Gokul, Can some moisture will escape travelling towards Somalia and reach Indian sub-continent???
Rao, this one is almost incapable of generating moisture , and it would not gain latitude ….will move westwards only
Any relation with mascarene high?
Hmm..I don’t see any …
Ok
OK
Kiran & Harsha,
It looks like next rain-wave will be in particular for the coastal regions of AP including Khammam district. Overall the regions which doesn’t covered by last LWD will receive good amount of rains by next LWD.
Chennai too will get heavy rains
Yes definitely.
yep im sure about chennai getting rains 24-27 april
Hi
hope radar works by then
From last two days GFS shifted the precipitation towards east…….towards godavari districts
This much of heat will vaporize any moisture that will come in at the end of April… it is becoming very hot across TN and AP
heat will vapourize. But where will the vaporized air go. It will lift up and then they will get condensed and have to come down as rains. Rainman.
not all vaporized air will give rain…
if it is mositure, it will rainman. It all depends on moisture at what level of height the moisture is and the lifting it has to do from that level.
Rao, Last Year AP rains during April / May
LPA pounds Andhra Pradesh, rainfall ending 8.30 am on 10.05.2014
==========================================
The low pressure area over north interior Karnataka and neighbourhood has become less marked. However, the associated cyclonic circulation extending upto mid tropospheric levels lies over north coastal Andhra Pradesh and adjoining Odisha and Chhattisgarh
in mm (min 30 mm)
Tadepalligudem – 172
Kakinada – 146
Nuzvidu – 143
Mangalgiri – 115
Tanuku – 115
Kaikalur – 112
Gudivada – 110
Koderu – 108
Rajahmundry – 105
Koyyalagudem – 104
Paderu – 95
Narsapuram – 94
Peddapuram – 93
Vijayawada AP – 87
Bhadrachalam – 86
Mahbubabad – 85
Yellamanchili – 79
Yellandu – 79
Polavaram – 77
Tuni – 74
Eluru – 73
Nandigama – 68
Chintapalli – 67
Anakapalli – 63
Guntur – 60
Bhimavaram – 60
Chintalapudi – 60
PJ, next rain-wave from LWD will mimic the above rainfall figures for the same regions i.e. central & Northern AP apart from Khammam district (Telangana). These regions doesn’t received significant rains form the recent past LWD that pounded Rayalaseema & Telangana with record breaking rains.
On that day Kunavaram recorded 204 mm
Aswaraopet 186 mm
Kajuluru 186mm,
Varamachandrapur 176mm,
Penamaluru 174 mm
Tadepalligudem 172 mm.
sat img update
ECMWF Rains on TN on 25/ 26th – Widespread as expected.
S even foreca predicting overcast day with some showers on 25,26
The stage has been preparing at Arabian sea for 25th low for second round of rains to interiors
Its raining in Mannargudi,Tiruvarur dist now with heavy thunder….
Dark clouds around.. Showers seen over west..
A line of wind discontinuity forming all along the west coast……..but winds coming from the BOB and Arabian sea does not have a lot of moisture in them…paticularly from arabian sea…
The high pressue near andaman moved west…and helping in driving the winds more westerly…..from BOB…….
wind discontinuity rising slowly near westen ghats…If the HPA near andaman moves NW …It helps to increase the inflow of moistured air……Today….thundestorm activity for western coast and adjoining areas..
more rains for kerala and adjoining Tamil Nadu areas
what level is this.
700 hectopascals at 3500 m height