Wet Weather to persist for most parts of TN

A weak disturbance has formed in the Andaman Sea which is likely to develop into a Low Pressure Area (LPA) in the next 2 days. This system is expected to move towards Andhra Pradesh coast in the coming days. Vertical wind shear is moderate to high around the system which would be a negative factor for significant organization of the system in the future. Meanwhile, TN will continue to get widespread rainfall with heavy storms occurring particularly over interior and western parts of TN (district of Coimbatore and Nilgiris). Kerala will also be getting heavy thunderstorms for the next few days. Dry conditions to prevail for the northern peninsula as the South West monsoon continues to withdraw.

02. Meteosat5

Chennai: City will see max temperature of 34-35C with partly cloudy skies, thunderstorms are likely in isolated places of the city.

Madurai: Maximum Temperature is expected to peak around 33C. Chances of thunderstorm activity in most parts of the city.

Coimbatore: Temperature will be close to 32C. Sky will be cloudy with a fair chance of heavy TS.

Vellore: City will witness a pleasant day with maximum temperature touching 33-34C. Thunderclouds are expected to develop around afternoon time giving rain to most parts of the city.

Trichy: City will see thunderstorms in the evening hours. Maximum Temperature are likely to be around 35C.

1,547 thoughts on “Wet Weather to persist for most parts of TN

  1. Sep team still dreaming of a win.
    Situation is like 70 runs needed in 1 over. Unless we give extras, it is not possible to chase.

  2. Sep team wants one extra day to make it as 31…if it bcoms 31, will it be called as September??? ๐Ÿ˜€
    Its like D/L method now…they have to win in 30 days!

  3. Septemberuku time tharlaena aug 30th rain shouldn’t be counted :p
    Ithu enna nyayam aug matum 31 naal Septemberuku 30 naal ๐Ÿ˜›

  4. I just happened to read two different versions (1) The first one -wet start expected for October and The second one (2) even if we give 1 week of October, Sep team still cant win -which means there wont be wet start in October is it.- what a contradiction or inconsistency !!

  5. Good cool morning.

    Latest gfs shows upcoming system moves towards south ap and ntn coast on 05th. So another version. The upcoming system is doubtful. As I said nem before 15th possible. The strong acc from nw does not allow the system move towards north ap and odisha.

  6. Today asusual winds are from North. Storms should form over east of Nellore or over SHAR areas for Chennai to get Rains. But sure shot west of chennai to get heavy thunderstorms from noon

  7. North Coastal TN has good chance of Heavy rainfall today or tonight.
    The elongated trough extending from the UAC over Andamans likely to produce some instability over the coast. We have chance even tomorrow.

  8. September team is a tougher team than august.
    And august is a better team than september.
    No doubt about it.
    Nature will have the final say.

    lets wait until 12am tomorrow to see who wins.

    eagerly waiting for experts prediction for a wet start to october.

    cheer up guys.

    August or september whoever wins no one can deny the fact that we all belong to KEA Team.

  9. เฎ‰เฎทเฏ เฎ…เฎชเฏเฎชเฎพ เฎ‡เฎจเฏเฎค เฎšเฏ†เฎชเฏเฎŸเฎฎเฏเฎชเฎฐเฏ เฎŽเฎชเฏเฎชเฏ‹เฎคเฎพเฎฉเฏ เฎฎเฏเฎŸเฎฟเฎฏเฏเฎฎเฏ‹ -เฎ•เฏŠเฎšเฏ เฎคเฏŠเฎฒเฏเฎฒเฏˆ เฎคเฎพเฎ™เฏเฎ• เฎฎเฏเฎŸเฎฟเฎฏเฎฒเฏˆ

  10. The inland low level convergence was so much persistent yesterday around the interiors of TN and subsequently had resulted in heavy rains as well. There was an “L” getting marked along coastal N.TN and S.AP in model forecasts which did reflect on the 12 UTC analysis charts as well. A pressure drop indeed was observed with an elongated closed isobar running north-south. Yet an other example that rains do depend on a combination of factors and just not on the surface pressure alone.

  11. As per the latest available ecmwf run, it seems the upcoming system will move a bit slow and considerable deepening expected just offshore of vizag.

  12. Tis is the area with maximum positive Vorticity, maybe with developing LLC . system is likely to get caught under two ridges at lower level one in northwest & the other one near eq.ridge under tight environment at lower level. system may get steered by mid level ridge in indo-china with near Nw’ly track and changing to westerly track in response to extending ridge from east after 4 days.. tis is the current scenario,it may/maynot change.

  13. I already clearly told everyone to keep August 30 th 8:30 AM to August 31st 8:30 AM as reserve day. But no one listen to my words. Even ODM too๐Ÿ™ˆ๐Ÿ™ˆ๐Ÿ™ˆ

  14. Guys , u all know august having 31 days and sep 30 days..then y u didnt pick august???? simply dont turn ur lose into something something…
    August won thatsole….
    No extra time or day ll be given …

  15. a possibility of good low pressure system forming over south east bay. already there are indication in radar as we could see massive rains close to chennai coast. if we get a good system in 2 days, NEM would start with a bang well in advance. Already south west monsoon winds lost its strength, but IMD yet to declare withdrawal of monsoon.

  16. normally when we get thunder-cells close to chennai coast that too in the morning, this coincides with north east wind pattern. if it moves towards chennai this can further indicate SWM winds cease.


    • Also look into the other tiny one managing to gain strength near north Vietnam coast, but it seems to fluctuate with every update.

      • I guess Sel was saying about the TY that is seen near 150 E longitude…That is too far to send any kind of energy into our basin, and in fact it may transfer its energy to mid latitude westerlies at the max.

      • Yeah , that far , it may not drag the Monsoon Trough too much along with it, will get detached and move out with it’s steering flows.

      • i hav a different thought that If ther is no system in bay,we may see major sinking from pacific typhoons moreover they disturb flow across eq eastern indian ocean. so i feel chances are there to influence us if we see sw’y winds at that time.

      • Yeah agree with u on the pt. that equatorial flows will take a huge impact from a system that is of this larger scale. And yes, it is better to look at the 200 VP average and anomaly to check on the possible impacts.But , i disagree with Partha’s view on possible remnants of this coming into BoB , which I’ve never seen until now , especially when it is expected to move with such high intensity. Though Wilma kind Depressions may track westward , but feel not a system with this magnitude.

  17. Radar animation looking confusing to me. Bigger storms and most others are moving SW. One or two tiny intense storms from 13N close to coast is moving NE beyond SHAR

  18. 21W DUJUAN
    As of 00:00 UTC Sep 29, 2015:

    Location: 25.0ยฐN 119.1ยฐE
    Maximum Winds: 75 kt
    Minimum Central Pressure: 967 mb

  19. Guyzz..pls keep our expectations low!
    The band might go south of chn!might it also flank west!
    New pop ups forming NNE of chn too

  20. Future super typhoon!
    99W INVEST
    As of 00:00 UTC Sep 29, 2015:

    Location: 13.8ยฐN 174.1ยฐE
    Maximum Winds: 15 kt
    Minimum Central Pressure: 1007 mb

  21. โ™ฆ The upper air cyclonic circulation over Gulf of Siam & neighbourhood now lies over
    north Andaman sea and neighbourhood and extends upto midtropospheric
    level. Under its
    influence a low pressure area would form over north Andaman & Nicobar sea and adjoining
    southeast Bay of Bengal during next 12 hours

  22. The condition to bloggers from now on is, they have to forget the sultry and hot weather, switch off the AC’s, open the windows, so that we can enjoy this type of climate. Once again we will witness low minimum temp, nights will be cooler.

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