Yesterday’s Well Marked LOW over South Odisha and North Coastal AP has moved in WNW direction towards Chhattisgarh and weakened into a Low pressure area. This is likely to move further in WNW direction. Widespread very heavy rainfall likely to occur over Odisha, Chhattisgarh, Telangana, East Madhya Pradesh, Marathwada, Vidharba, Madhya Maharashtra, North Interior Karnataka in the next 24 to 48 hours.
Under the influence of LOW over Bay, moisture incursion will take place over Arabian Sea causing moderate to heavy rainfall along the West Coast of India during the next 24 hours.
17
Chennai – Partly cloudy sky with day temp likely to be around 35C. Rain or thundershowers possible towards evening or night.
Madurai – City will continue to be hot with max temp around 38C.
Coimbatore – Day to remain partly cloudy and temp likely to be around 33C.
Vellore – Max temp likely to be 34C.Light rain chances during evening or night.
Trichy – Clear skies with maximum temp of 37C.
Hope today’s rains will make us happier on this auspicious day.
Battle of the day! Ecmwf vs jma/gfs. Both gfs n jma picking rains for s.ap coast and Chennai.In fact Jma shows a high probability of WS rains for Chennai/tvl Contrary to that ecmwf picking rains for one or two regions of tiruvannamalai,salem,villupuram,perambalur/ariyalur,tiruchi…
Hi friends, Wishing a Happy Vinayagar chaturthi to all.. Enjoy the blessed day ..Hope it cheers with rain today..
One of my friend from Mumbai has posted this -Welcome Bappa!!! Welcome Rains in many parts of eastern suburbs of Mumbai…
Marvellous. Happy Ganesh Chaturthi to one and all.
After 174-km travel, Godavari meets Krishna
First Major Intra-State River LinkingMajor relief for dry Rayalaseema, farmers to benefit
India took a large step on Wednesday towards its long-pending goal to interlink major rivers with Godavari being officially connected to Krishna.
The launch of the 174-km Pattiseema lift irrigation scheme in Andhra Pradesh on Wednesday formally connected the two rivers. This is the first major intra-state river-linking in the country .
This linking, which comes after five decades of being on the cards, is expected to spell relief for Rayalseema in Andhra Pradesh, which is facing water scarcity. Now, four major rivers in Andhra Pradesh are connected to one another: Godavari-Krishna, Krishna-Pennar, Tungabhadra-Pennar.
Chennai likely to benefit
——————————-
As Krishna augments Chennai’s drinking water supply, there is hope that interlinking of Krishna and Godavari will help facilitate release of water to the city. As per the agreement between Andhra and TN, the former will have to supply 12tmcft of water over eight months in a year. Due to poor monsoon this year, AP has not released water since June.
http://epaperbeta.timesofindia.com/Article.aspx?eid=31807&articlexml=After-174-km-travel-Godavari-meets-Krishna-17092015001110
I had earlier commented on the Narmada Canal which is irrigating vast dry lands in Gujarat.Gujarat and MP worked in tandem.If you see the Godavari-Krishna connection,its time for TN to consider similar steps where we do not need to bank on other states.
Visible satellite
Good morning, Today expecting heavy rains for Core Chennai, specially for south Chennai. Hopefully the best in September.
“Wish you all happy Vinayaka Chaviti”
Raoji..wishing you the same,
whats your rain forecast today?
I would like to stay away from the rainfall prediction in this September. In the mean time what ants are telling??
They are saying that great rain is pending soon. It can come within this week. no recent forecast available from them until now.
Oh..its great 🙂
No respite: City to remain hot before it rains
—————–
On Wednesday, the temperature touched 36.9 C, three degrees above normal.
The highest temperature recorded in Chennai in September was in 1883 when the mercury touched 38.9 C. In 2014, the temperature reached 38.9.
http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/chennai/No-respite-City-to-remain-hot-before-it-rains/articleshow/48994010.cms
Wishing all a happy Vinayaka Chathurthi.
OMG…as per GFS & ECMWF, the depression forecasted to enter already SWM-withdrawal region (pink circle). In addition one can see that Vamco ready to enter BOB.
Once again my words came true by seeing the nature of present Monsoon intraseasonal oscillation (MISO) evolution. I used to say that September is going to mimic June style. As per the expectation this September-MISO giving a lot of surprise in terms of rainfall events just like June-MISO, which also surprised everyone.
If the present depression travels towards already SWM-withdrawal ANNOUNCED regions directly, then it will be biggest surprise in recent years for both IMD & Skymet.
I never seen in recent years (as per my memory) any SWM-LPA that travelled into SWM-withdrawal regions, once after IMD announced SWM-withdrawal.
The power of elnino. Systems maintain their minimum strength well inside the land.
yes, elnino meant for 2 extreme ends of convection 🙂
Today we are going to reduce the gap with August. As sel said its battle between ECMWF and GFS. Hope GFS wins.
Tsunami alert as Chile hit by powerful earthquake
http://www.wired.com/2015/09/first-tsunami-waves-chile-earthquake-strike/
Vamco to crash into West Bengal
Current one in gujarat and vamco in wb
When was the last time a system from South China sea moved into BoB crashing into West Bengal. Anyone.
PJ, looks like Orissa landfall for Vamco as per ECMWF contrary to GFS?
WB/Odisha border
Happy lord ganesh chathurthi to all
Same to u ra
where are the rains??
ECMWF also agrees on Vamco crashing into West Bengal. These two models are not deviating in SWM. In NEM both will struggle.
lol 😦
yes.
Vela’s month looks terrible.
contrary to Vela’s expectations 😦
Even ap too looks bad
yep 😦
No not again..water table has gone terribly down due to 3 consecutive NEM failure. Are we staring at another NEM failure this year? Chennai will be in deep trouble..God show some mercy on us!!
Poor October doesn’t mean that Nem is going to be a failure.. we need a proper November which has been missing for the last 3 years. So November is going to be a bumper this time
Lol..still George town with 18 mm this sep..even nunga got more than u
Tsunami in chile how the river helps. In Indian Ocean Tsunami Cooum, Adyar and Kosathalyar rivers saved Chennai
Such events only can clean up those rivers a little.hopefully without fatalities.
Many places in Chile hit by 15ft Tsunami.
Did anyone remember seeing evening TS often this SWM? I don’t remember..Most of the rains were late night after sunset and we missed the enjoyment of witnessing evening intense rains
Harsha might be over happy
Jagityal karimnagar got 274 mm rain
OMG…massive 🙂
Karimnagar reduced its deficit by 20 percent at a time…
Really massive
20-60mm rains all along w coast frm kerala to ratnagiri
Is this Hoax or what?
http://www.timesofeducation.com/nasa-confirms-earth-will-experience-15-days-of-darkness-in-november-2015/
Lol
MJO just entered MTC in phase 4 with amplitude close to 1.
MJO-statistical: http://s17.postimg.org/3p2jeome7/MJO_statistical.gif.
MJO-BOM: http://s23.postimg.org/inqk0d8ij/rmm_phase_Last40days.gif
MJO by satellite convection: http://s23.postimg.org/m3io9x5qz/wm5ir.gif
Over night depression rains in Telangana
Jagityal – 274 mm
Sirpur – 153 mm
Karimnagar – 134 mm
Jainoor – 122 mm
Srirampur – 106 mm
palthem – 105 mm
kagajnagar – 103 mm
Mallial – 102 mm
Maddultha – 102 mm
Likely Tsunami propogation map for nxt 24 hrs.. 8.3 chile earthquake
Very heavy rains near Kochi.. Kakkanadu which is a suburb of Kochi has recorded 82 mm
39mm willingdon
Yes.. Ernakulam South should’ve received more. Maybe CIAL too
Wow… That’s Great !
OMG look at the clouding over Andaman
I remember pre-hudhud days around the same area with similar kind of DC
vamco
Yes massive moist pull!!
Finally North kerala !!
Vamco villian
Villian for south India
Any rains in Hyderabad due to depression? ?
Continuous drizzle…10 mm thatsole…but shamshaabad airport areas 21 mm
effects are good just 60 km north of hyd
If Vamco pulse intensifies a bit on entering BOB, it will indirectly trigger very heavy rains in kerala and maybe even Sri lanka.. Infact I remember a GFS run some 1 week back indicating heavy rains for Sri Lanka.. Will be great if it comes true
Is that why many model removed rains from tn this week?
Ouday
..even trichy doesn’t get normal thunderstorms this year? Is it
Yes atchu:-)
I remember Trichy got very heavy rains this year in June, July and a couple of times in August.. I think once this month too
Yeah but trichy in deficit still…
Normal swm rains is 300 mm
May be due to dry sep
I think city got less than outrr areas in trichy
Exactly… Outskirts of trichy got heavy rains in august
Hmm..
Good observation !!!
..and got award for Cleanliness also…pretty good year for Trichy so far..
Decent so far
Many models removed rain for TN because of the interaction of the depression and Vamco pulse.. They are likely to form a trough with all the moisture getting concentrated inside it. For TN to get rains, Vamco pulse should come a bit more closer.. Or else only isolated showers would be witnessed
Deficit likely to decrease by 2or 3% frm 16 eventually imd gonna get spot on at 12%
Vidarbha battered. I counted nearly 20 stations recording over 100 mm. Devari in Gondia records 165 mm
But it is going too north toward westbengal…
Even pull effect cannot favour interiors to get more than 50 mm
Happy vinayaga chathurthi everyone! 🙂
Have a great day ahead.
Moderate rains in Kanyakumari, Nilgiris, Coimbatore
Like PJ said,forecast looks great for some heavy rains in Chennai today.
I can’t believe it!! First time this SWM, all districts in Kerala have received decent rains.. Usually Tvm gets left out!
அணைவருக்கும் இனிய விநாயகர் சதுர்த்தி நல்வாழ்த்துக்கள்
Lol…
Ambikapur Nagpur got only 46 mm despite of depression
VAMPCO??
Next cyclone Vamco.
Its already.. Remnants reaching us
😛
Sry vamco
New name
Heavy to very heavy rains for andaman and nicober for next three days due to vamco….
What is the intensity of vamca..
Low
Ok..then how it named
??
Vamco is currently in South China sea. Only its remnants will reach wb as low pressure
Oh..kkk
Why VAMCO may go to west bengal?any strong reasons?
May be interaction bet vamco and dep in india
Ok
because winds are westerlies.
Ok
Good morning!
Happy vinayaga chathurthi everyone!
sry edited!
same to you!
But what is this???
Lol.it’s just precipitation chart
Ok…why prp is more in tat areas without sys such heavy rains possible???
No rainfall in its path to wb or orissa
That white circle will get heavy rains.
Reason may be.. The pulse entering andaman which trigger rainfall over southwest quadrant of the system…once system crossed andaman and moving north the rainfall may shift to north..
That’s y huge precipitation shown in south bay and near srilanka too think
Ok if sw quadrant is strong and low moves n nw rainfall should also move nw…but nothing in its path
Aditya.. What u posted is current week forecast…
But rainfall may start for odhisha, wb from this system after 4-5 days only..
Movement of system can’t finalise the rainfall also…
Ok…
மகிழ்ச்சியான விநாயகர் சதுர்த்தி !!!
Happy Vinyagar Chaturthi To All !!!
Hi
Hiiii
office leave aa?
Hmm…enjoy the festival….
enjoy!
hi!
thank you !!!
same to u!
Tsunami Advisory Issued for Southern, Central California Beaches Following 8.3-Magnitude Quake in Chile
https://tribktla.files.wordpress.com/2015/09/tsunami-wave-chart.jpg?w=428&h=450
http://ktla.com/2015/09/16/magnitude-8-3-earthquake-strikes-off-coast-of-chile/
Chile Earthquake’s Exact Location!
Magnitude: 8.3
Location: 46km W of Illapel, Chile
Time:Wed, 17 – Sep 2015 04:24:33 (AM) IST
Happy Ganesh chathurthi to all!
Thank You Wish You The Same!
same to u!
Wish u the,same
Happy Birthday To The Future Of Our Nation Our Beloved PM Narendra Modi Turns 65 Today!
same to u!!
Pretty close to the water for the first ever California Southern Coast Tsunami warning….
insat-IR image
sat img update – se sector
sat img -sw sector
Tsunami “not expected to exceed one foot” calm down
1 hr | Overview: Casualties reported so far after Chile quake
– 25-year-old woman killed in Illapel of Choapa Province after a wall collapsed at a restaurant
– One person killed in Maipú of Santiago Province after suffering a heart attack when the earthquake struck
– 20-year-old person killed in the commune of Monte Patria in Limarí Province after being crushed by rocks
– An elderly person died at Carlos Van Buren Hospital in Valparaiso after suffering heart problems during the earthquake
– A second, unidentified person also died in Valparaiso
Flooding in Concón, Chile, after 8.3 magnitude earthquake – video http://d.gu.com/C9qWHs
#CHILE #Earthquake First video apparently shows tsunami wave hitting street
Rain in trivandrum since morning
next month, by this time NEM rains would be pounding us.
Worst OCT on The Cards!
Po paa:-(
don’t worry PJ anna posted few days back that in an el~nino year worst october best november one time 12 mm in OCT 1086 mm in NOV even in 2009 71 mm in OCT 561 mm in NOV
then ok.. good NEM on the cards:-)
2009 not sounds good
atleast the onset will be good…
no not looking good… looks like the Onset will be only in October End.
lets see
Nooo.. Onset ll be oct 15
Who said ?
CFS
Lol.. Don’t believe models just like that
Spot on Naresh
Lol… See This… ROFL!!!
Today any ts possible in tn
yes 10000%
Waiting
ghat areas of north ap n orissa pounded expect 25 cm + report near vamsidhara,nagavalli mahanadi lower godavari river basins
Horrible hot and humid conditions in delhi
Yesterday feels like temperature reached 52 c there
wish you a very great vinayagar chathurthi to all hindus.
Same to u spot…even I celebrate… Enjoy the festival
so many of my neighbours have already shared lot of sweets and kolukatais. having one by one in home’s comfort.
Nice rains today over coastal areas of Kerala till South
s it looks like entre kerala is getting rains after a long tim.e
Good cloud cover over SK after a long time
Are you in Kerala ?
Tiruvanthapuram getting something finally
Also Andaman completely covered by huge mass
Yes… Spot on
the cloudy skies in andamans and near thailand mimicks NEM days.
3 people in the blog forecasted awesome rains tonight for us. Will it materialise or flop like other predictions this September?
it will be flop as last three days. september is strongly backing august team only.
who are the three people ?
u, Partha and Jeetender. Maybe even RsRao, not sure
we should have got a passage to jump to october from august by bypassing useless september.
How dare you can say that.. 🙂
Lol
Not all September… Only this sep..
Yeah agree
by this time. more than a lakh borewells would have already been dugged in all parts of chennai due to crippling water shortage.
HUDHUD during genesis into tc from DD
Many are expecting a massive DD tonight
http://www.foreca.com/India/State_of_Tamil_Nadu/Chennai?map=rain
biggest TS of the year
Strong Chile earthquake sets off tsunami waves
http://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-34275783
How did everyone miss this?
Ennadhu, Sivaji setthutaaraa?????
He’s the only one who has missed it 😀 lol
Bayangra suru surupu, namma captain.
only u missed it. it means u are reading the comments posted earlier.
I read all messages past 1 hour
Sep month all most end but without out any single drops of rain in chidambsram sep very worst month
Last year September Pondhichery and Cuddalore belt got 200-250 mm
Don’t blame all September boss
Yes..complacency has set in this year for their players…
Yeah..
Ok shall I start my game??
I’m ready…anybody else joining?
Chidambaram last year rainfall data pls
I know only for Cuddalore and pondy
How come aother 2 weeks are there.. How come it is almost end ?
Only 12 days left
17 days end only 13 days remaining
Many depression and cyclone are crossing odhisha
Eventhough the state having very shortest coastline of just 485 km when compare to all indian coastal states which is having above 800 km
surface winds have calmed down. Good heat and humid today. Good possibility of TS today
Daily we’re saying this but ts not coming 😦
This is a priceless WML for Maharashtra
Omg are you still there in Aug team?
Yeah of course….
This is true.. No need to show ur angry here… Cool
FLASH NEWS!
ECMWF shows a UAC near chennai on 27th!
So there will two shows one at Guindy and one covering entire Chennai!!
Oh yes!
Atchu will be angry
Lol
Ipovey kanna katudhey! 😛
But look at the steering winds! Very slow
another UAC. LOL
ECMWF expects heavy rains for Chennai region today
Yes it will for sure.
VM Susu..DD going to come from WNW
Even gfs
Ts angry
Supporting August players
Poor sep guys
Don’t know what these sentence will mean on September 30
Do you still support for September team?
That’s secret
So this means that you support
Thambi, Do remember this
For the sake of Chennai and also for the success of the Games, i wish to see a thrilling finish
Even PJ, seems so..
Enna ma Poojayellam aacha?
Balama aachu…you?
Ya over…Vadai, Kozhukattai also over 😀
Super…still Susa PRF is missing
VM1 is online only…
Along with vadivel
AmbiFlash will be busy in Poojai
Yeah
for the sake of Chennai, I wish you declare the contest over and make August team the champions.
Then we also will cheer for every drop that falls.
This sentence reveals something
it reveals nothing. I am just scared of the water scarcity Chennai is currently facing.
For that to happen, i need the consent of Sep team’s Captain & Owner
For the sake of chennai, we (all bloggers) planned to collect some fund and tour you out of chennai until nem gets over
Then..wat about next year’s SWM? May be we can allow him to stay here from Feb to Apr
We fix a pre swm meet
Yes…in every meet, this must be planned and shud be first in the agenda
Is this for match fixing with nem
Correct
For the sake of chennai, I wish to see September beating August even though I am in August team but the question is will it happen??
since predicting rains is taking us no where, let us start predicting hailstroms and snow for chennai.
So true….at least we may be able to do some thing right
GFS on 26th september.
All rains at bay
Overcast skies for us
Tumbā bisi prakaṭagoḷḷalide
I can see live satellite weather in google maps..Is it a new update or I am outdated to this..
Yeah it has been there for some time since Google Earth was updated .
Dragon flies all around here..Good sign for rains!
Thailand system Vamco, now in BOB. looks to be quiet strong still.
“Disappointing” Vamco brings rain, floods but little drought relief
http://www.bangkokpost.com/learning/learning-from-news/696992/disappointing-vamco-brings-rain-floods-but-little-drought-relief