The low pressure area (LPA) over Bay of Bengal is likely to intensify into well marked low pressure area (WML) in the coming days and is expected to leave a trail of heavy rains in AP, Odisha and Telangana. With the trough dipping down, North TN will get moderate rainfall in isolated places, while remaining part of the state will stay dry.
Chennai – Lots of cloud cover with maximum peaking around 35-36 C. Isolated showers are possible in some areas.
Madurai- Continues to sizzle as temperature rises to over 39 C with no chance of rains.
Coimbatore – Dry day with temperatures settling between 33-34 C.
Trichy- Competes with Madurai for hottest city as temperature expected to soar to 38-39 C.
Vellore – On and off cloudy day with temperature around 34-35 C.
KeaWeather Archives 
Let us pray at least for today.
Finally match started around 4:45 after 3 hours rain delay. For a change me, Naresh, Raghavendra and Rajesh were following New York radar. Raj was giving live updates from New York.
Oh so your influence worked there too, no rains
Lol
VAMCO http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/wp1915.gif
Good morning!
All are seeing match!
Thiruporur 16.5mm
Foolish meteoblue shows 63 mm thursday!
Lol…
Today expected to be cloudy with temperature hanging over from 32 – 34 with some rains expected in the evening
Omg 16 days end dry weather continue in Cdm when rain come
Soon
Just wait by this evening, show will be cancelled
something wrong with blog. server is down
Good morning all,
No rain in sight, we might see rainfall again by 16th or 17th, that too with less confidence.
The upcoming WML likely to become a D in the next 24-48 hours time and cross North AP coast by 16th. Once this system starts intensifying, the UAC over Central parts of India will start to weaken.
Server gone with Federer
Poor eshan must be weeping bad
Great TS chance for Chennai on 17th. We have trough from the upcoming system extending up to NTN latitude after crossing the coast on 16th. This will bring decent spell on that day.
The low had formed already!
i said a system, not a LOW, it means that the upcoming Depression.
This descending of trough only I was asking Rao last week. But used the word low instead of “trough”.
Early morning rains in TBM and surrounding, hope min 1cm
LS Rathore, director general of India Meteorological Department, said the June-September monsoon season may end with a deficit of 12-14 per cent.
This would make it the driest monsoon seasons in several years, barring the drought years of 2002 and 2009.
Rathore said rainfall will improve to some extent in the days ahead with the weather office forecasting rainfall in the east, northeast, southern states and rain-starved Maharashtra. But dry weather is predicted in most northern and western areas.
So far around 44 per cent of the country has received deficient rainfall, while 50 per cent had normal rain and only 6 per cent of the area saw excessive rainfall.
Read more at:
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/articleshow/48949714.cms?utm_source=contentofinterest&utm_medium=text&utm_campaign=cppst
Since when Meteoblue started putting up jokes?
“Unless there’s a big volcanic eruption it looks likely that globally 2014, 2015 and 2016 will be among the warmest years ever recorded. This isn’t a fluke. El Niño is an important factor, but this comes on top of the longer-term warming caused by human activities,”
Read more at
http://www.independent.co.uk/environment/climate-change/2015-will-be-the-hottest-year-on-record–but-experts-predict-2016-will-be-even-warmer-10499220.html
big day ahead for GOA
and mumbai as well
Monsoon deficit increased to -16%
Light rains recorded in ambattur during midnight
meena too had slight drizzles
PAC
Rains cheated ap
Machillipatnam – 4 mm
Vishakapatnam – 4 mm
Kakinada – 6 mm
Hyderabad – trace
Bhuvaneswar – 10 mm
Kalingapatnam – 6 mm
Forecast withdraw all heavy rains from north coastal ap..only light rains for next two days like above figures ll follow
lol
Why no featured/keatured comment today?
no hot comment from my side.
why u expect feature comment should be always yours?
that is the level of achievement i expect every time, then only we can achieve at least to a smaller level.
Why you were missing yesterday ?
i was not missing, sat and sun off.
also yesterday was my son’s star birthday, celebrated well and went to Kanchi by 04 PM. Went to varadharaja perumal temple and had dharshan and did archanai for my son and came back at 09.00 PM.
May be “Blog started running”
Could be
Som decent rains over ap starting frm w godavari dist n beyond north 19 stations have received 65-125mm
Today again look big TS approaching Chennai. See the rain predicted by GFS along the trough. Jeet again today we can track the TS.
test.. seems to be running now
what did u test? I used my skills
I just tested if the comment gets posted.. u r great! 🙂
blog finally up and running
what happened to the storms yesterday. I was expecting it.
I woke up at 1:30 and was surprised to see Zero mm. There was so much build up last night in blog
we are building up almost every alternate day but the rains are remaining elusive. We should blame our luck mainly.
Congrats to all who has made the blog to run again.
skillful ehsan.. has lot of controls to switch ON when down..
he has lots of skills, especially blocking rains.
Super stroke
but inside his heart, he is a hardcore rain lover.
from Sep 30th, I will be supporting rain group.
Aug-Sep competition end on Sep 30th 8:30 am. Being owner of the august team, I have to support them.
Nowadays chennai and tamil nadu blog is doing free service to andhra weather. Lots and lots of andhra weather info being shared here.
Not only through blog, we also service them through giving NEM a part.
They giving krishna so we help them
Nagari did not “nagar” towards Chennai. We need to look at Vellore
Spot on we majority including two key members from S.C
Who?
Mr Partha and GTS
Add me for reporting that area
and other active players Mr Jon, ODM, Mr Shan and many from Adam/Madikappakam forming part of SC
Good, but gts is s.chn
Yes Tambaram, Madambakkam forming part of South Chennai.
Thats awe-inspiring video.
Please go through the details attached along with the video.All 3D and 2 D interactions are explained , even the stratospheric air intrusion.
why no news about Kea-Federer lossing
it has become usual nowadays, like sun shine everyday, hence nothing to discuss.
i think blog was down bcos kea is crying for federer
Today central and coastal southern peninsula may see heavy rains under the influence of lpa…can expect many above 100 mm stations by tomorow morning
There is a problem with my mobile. If i dont use it for nearly 5 minutes, it shuts down. Also when i receive a call, that time also it gets shuts down, after that i could not restart, even though i press the IO button for longer time. After several minutes of idle time when i press IO button then it is getting boosted.
What could be the problem?
chapter close
unga vai mugutham (mouth auspiciousness), now not even switching on.
Sounds like a bad battery.
1st Do the factory reset and try the Phone…. Once the problem continues, check in to service station (to claim warranty)
if nothing works, put it in the dust bin
his son will use it as a toy
Appo unga phone’eh problem thaan..
any chances for an intense TS today????
very dry and a clear day in coimbatore….
today our college was visited by a team of 80 HR from TCS to select 510 candidates…..
Dont miss the video in it
http://www.nasa.gov/aero/nasa-completes-high-ice-water-content-radar-flight-campaign-in-florida
Massive towering, unbelievable…
Kelambakkam, kalavai 2cm, kanchi 1cm 🙂
yesterday evening i was in Kanchi, it was just overcast sky, till 7.35 i was there, did it rain after that?
I was there till 8.30 was clear but greeted with som showers near tirumalpur it was after 10 wen actual rains started
Is the September team still dreaming like Federer?
3rd set was crucial. He had his chances. Who knows 4th set if he broke again what would have happened. Djoko was very vulnerable. Fed should have won it.
nadakkum enbar nadakkadhu…………..
So impressing mod session starts?
But Federer was unable to make use of Djoko’s vulnerability.
ACC likely to move towards North India and start to dominate. Further withdrawal might from 22nd or 23rd.
Over hyped actor… vijay shoot happened in technopark, pacifica n polaris on sat night Tat atlee was also seen..
note : jeet told no thala thalapathi in weather blog
he is not over hyped than ajith!
most actors are over hyped…
dhanush
sivakarthikeyan
udhayanidhi stalin
arya all are over hyped…
Rainfall across the country was -55% below normal during September 03rd to 09th.
However South Peninsula got 65% excess rainfall. Otherwise the deficit would have reached beyond -80% for the week.
NW India -90%
Central India -76%
East and NE -53%
Click to access weeklypress.pdf
Hats off to the Vagarai Panchayat in Dindigul, if every village / town follow this there will be no water scarcity.
திண்டுக்கல் அருகே பஞ்சாயத்து தலைவர் ஒருவர், மக்கள் பங்களிப் புடன் பண்ணைக் குட்டைகள், தடுப்பணைகள் அமைத்து ஒரு முறை பெய்யும் 2.5 செ.மீ. மழை யில் 1.70 கோடி லிட்டர் தண்ணீ ரைச் சேமித்து, குடிநீர் பிரச்சினைக் குத் தீர்வுகண்டு சாதனை படைத் துள்ளார்.
‘வாகரை பஞ்சாயத்தில், தற்போது 2.5 செ.மீ. மழை பெய்தாலே அவர்கள் அமைத்த 30 பண்ணைக்குட்டைகள் மூலம் சுமார் ஒரு கோடியே 50 லட்சம் லிட்டர் மழை நீரும், ஒரு தடுப்பணை மூலம் சுமார் 15 லட்சம் லிட்டர் மழை நீரும், ஒரு கசிவு நீர் குட்டை மூலம் சுமார் 6 லட்சம் லிட்டர் மழை நீரும் மொத்தம் ஒரு கோடியே 71 லட்சம் லிட்டர் தண்ணீரை சேமிக்கின்றனர். இதே 2.5 செ.மீ. மழை ஆண்டுக்கு 5 முதல் 6 தடவை பெய்தால் 8.5 கோடி லிட்டர் தண்ணீரை இவர்கள் சேமிக்கலாம்.
http://tamil.thehindu.com/tamilnadu/25-%E0%AE%9A%E0%AF%86%E0%AE%AE%E0%AF%80-%E0%AE%AE%E0%AE%B4%E0%AF%88-%E0%AE%AA%E0%AF%86%E0%AE%AF%E0%AF%8D%E0%AE%A4%E0%AE%BE%E0%AE%B2%E0%AF%8D-170-%E0%AE%95%E0%AF%8B%E0%AE%9F%E0%AE%BF-%E0%AE%B2%E0%AE%BF%E0%AE%9F%E0%AF%8D%E0%AE%9F%E0%AE%B0%E0%AF%8D-%E0%AE%A8%E0%AF%80%E0%AE%B0%E0%AF%8D-%E0%AE%9A%E0%AF%87%E0%AE%AE%E0%AE%BF%E0%AE%AA%E0%AF%8D%E0%AE%AA%E0%AF%81-%E0%AE%AE%E0%AE%95%E0%AF%8D%E0%AE%95%E0%AE%B3%E0%AF%8D-%E0%AE%AA%E0%AE%99%E0%AF%8D%E0%AE%95%E0%AE%B3%E0%AE%BF%E0%AE%AA%E0%AF%8D%E0%AE%AA%E0%AF%81%E0%AE%9F%E0%AE%A9%E0%AF%8D-%E0%AE%9A%E0%AE%BE%E0%AE%A4%E0%AE%BF%E0%AE%A4%E0%AF%8D%E0%AE%A4-%E0%AE%AA%E0%AE%9E%E0%AF%8D%E0%AE%9A%E0%AE%BE%E0%AE%AF%E0%AE%A4%E0%AF%8D%E0%AE%A4%E0%AF%81-%E0%AE%A4%E0%AE%B2%E0%AF%88%E0%AE%B5%E0%AE%B0%E0%AF%8D/article7648206.ece?homepage=true&ref=tnwn
Should b made as featured comment
but not in english, at least tanglish would do.
google will translate any language
Great Man..Really we have to hats off him..
Chances of intense TS are bleak today i think. Should wait upto 3 afternoon i think
With 14% rain deficit, this monsoon may end up among worst 3 in 30 years
Read more at:
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/articleshow/48949714.cms?utm_source=contentofinterest&utm_medium=text&utm_campaign=cppst
As of yesterday it was -16%
West coast goes big : Karwar 116 mm
lenticularis clouds in russia yesterday..
Canacona 135 mm
Good afternoon!
No school?
exams!
just now came!
Oh same! How did u do
well!
but tough!
managed to write like 110-120/150!
Oh, maths ah ?
chemistry!
maths enaku no tough!
Adhane paathen 😛
ennadhu susu?
Chemistry thaan problem for many students
ya!
but u r brilliant!
Apdilaam onnum illa.. When is ur next exam
tomorrow.
english 23
😛
easy!
sry english 2
just i was typing that..u did that..:)
If u had typed we could’ve said “timing”
Looks like Jon and Partha sir secretly met at Kanchi yday
Historic
does Jon really exist?
I’ve seen ODM posting from Adam while Jon was travelling
Wow..
lol
you are solving singapore problems, but not adams
Shame on u all these yrs… U cant agree but its the reality
Yes, ODM’s proxy!
It was a coincidence that we were both in Kanchi, but we did not meet unfortunately.
Secrets are never revealed nu solluvanga 😛
I think we should award cash incentives if anyone meets the secret(Jon/ODM/Rame etc) bloggers and take a selfie with them.
It would have been easy to spot both of them. Which are the 2 souls looking at the dark clouds with their mouth drooling all over for rains and TS and trying to figure out the direction of the wind and bump into each other and say are you from KEA blog !!!
Moist winds turning westerly.. Expecting heavy rains from Ratnagiri to Udupi in line with sel!
Susa here?
ya
Present w.coast rains hinting elnino’s return journey?
Not at all.. Heavy rainfall occur during El Nino too.. But during El Nino, break periods are more frequent and prolonged with low rainfall in NW due to no systems going there.. El Nino expected to stay alive longer
But sel once said that at times following year can become a strong lanina too
Yes but doesn’t happen immediately.. El Nino is expected to last till NEM end and even after maybe.. La Nina will start to develop only after a few more months
El Nino impact will be till June / July 2016
So el nino year must send more easterlies into bay during nem which will embed into wml
avanae yoppayo varan!
Hit movie yellam appo appo than release aagum
Massive popups in South Telangana and North Rayalaseema..Heavy rains guarenteed today
replied
Thanks
LPA structure has improved a lot.. Could turn WML by tomorrow
Well it move westwards or North westwards
Expected to move W and cross Orissa AP border
sat img update
sat img update -se sector
sat img update -sw sector
GPP
IMD-GFS
Kea,
It seems PM Modi is going to meet Mark and attend town-hall session at FB HQ on 27th..they are encouraging ppl to post questions on their FB page or app…u can post your long pending doubt (which has been troubling u for a long time) and get it clarified…
“How did FB allow a person to create a profile with the name originaldashman odm?” 😀
No offense partner but u ve been a big 7 1/2 to me these yrs.. I m starting to like it… 😀
Enna vaartha sollita partner..manasu valikudhu….namma apdiya pazhaginom? 😀 like it or hate it? 😀
The low has circulation stacked inline up to 500 hPa
Good Rains in Karnataka ending 8.30 am on 14.09.2015
Gokarana – 118
Karwar – 116
Baad – 107
Basgod – 106
Aversa – 100
The weak MJO stopping the progress of SWM withdrawal, at the same time it gives excess rainfall to south india. Till 23rd we cannot expect further withdrawal.
Chennai in s.India?
not only mjo. ER,kelvin also to influence and we may see direct elnino forced convection soon in equ w.indian ocean and eq central indian ocean
What about rossby?
tat is what ER
But I like rossby…please call like that ..ER =electro magnetic radiation
I know why you like the word “rossby”..
That’s why I created that doubt….
mudiyala.
ER approaching, the positive phase now turned neutral, will turn to negative by 17th, hence i said from 17th chennai has chance for TS. By 20th ER peaking and inducing strong Negative OLR.
Who is wellwisher for chennai..Mjo?
MJO and Rossby.
Rossby indeed
Active monsoon extending to sep 29??http://expert-images.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/en/2015/09/14/basis00/swas/prec/15093000_1400.gif
forget this map…
Haa…but Even Ecmwf showing some disturbance in north arabian sea around 24-25..
lolz
By September 30th the positive anomaly of ER, Kelvin and MJO start to develop, from then on the withdrawal will be from central and east india. Meanwhile the next withdrawal likely from 23rd.
Yes then we can expect NEM to knock our door.
last night had a 0.5 mm rainfall.. today cloudy afternoon, pleasant, no heat wave effect, mild breeze…hoping this evg / night turns rainy… LP should push some moisture patch of clouds to NTN
No much heat so not possible for hybrid ts
but horrible humid today
Not really
did u went out?
good question atchu
One more crane collapses, many trapped
Where?
bihar, bridge consttruction
why u r playing in these messages and all?
wat playing, its the breaking news displayed in tv
sorry if it meant otherwise
Oh.god…really
r u sure???how it happened ..
SWM Rainfall in TN is -10% below normal.
Click to access hydro.pdf
OMG,
Did anyone see the latest IOD value, it has increased to 0.97 from 0.70.
http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/iod_1.txt
No surprises partha…
what is or will be the impact for the remaining SWM ?
South peninsula to get rains till September end: Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology
According to the latest extended range forecast of Pune-based Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology (IITM), rainfall is expected to improve over south India and central India, including the drought-hit Maharashtra over next 10 to 15 days.
This will give some relief to the drought affected parts in Maharashtra, Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh and Telangana.
Issued based on the initial conditions of September 13, the IITM forecast for next 15 to 20 days expects moderate to heavy rainfall over parts of Maharashtra, west coast and east coast till the end of the month.
Read more at:
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/articleshow/48955642.cms?utm_source=contentofinterest&utm_medium=text&utm_campaign=cppst
Heavy rains started in west Mahaboobnagar….
and parts of Kurnool
Pamulpadu 41 mm till 4 pm
more rain chances for Telangana till 17th.
Twin TS near Vellore, beauty is with same intensity…
Now rains from 17th . OMG
oh so September rains over literally .. bad for chennai as a whole
Don’t know rame, we’ll definitely get another good spell! Waiting for this lpa to cross nap coast
another one is forecasted ? will it be ?
Yes, that one would cross WB
But this lpa is eating up too much time
Exactly…
Chief Minister Ms. Jayalalithaa announced her government’s decision to provide Internet Protocol Television (IPTV) to all households in Tamil Nadu, making use of the Internet Service Provider (ISP) licence obtained by the Tamil Nadu Arasu Cable TV Corporation.
She said since all the village panchayats in Tamil were to be linked under the Bharatnet scheme, the state government would utilise the ISP licence and provide quality internet service to all households. Besides IPTV will be provided along with hi-speed broadband services and other internet services.
The Chief Minister announced the creation of the Rs. 3,000-crore Tamil Nadu Fibernet Corporation to implement the Central government’s Bharatnet scheme to link village panchayats through Optical Fibre.
She said when Bharatnet scheme was announced she made it clear that in Tamil Nadu the state government would implement it. As per the scheme, 12,524 village panchayats will be linked through optic fibre and people can avail themselves of the schemes of the government.
more details on http://www.thehindu.com/news/national/tamil-nadu/jayalalithaa-announces-iptv-for-all-households-special-wheelchairs/article7651501.ece
Hope it succeeds
September team scoring in decimals. 0.1 mm in meena :p
r we still tracking this contest? Victory for us is a foregone conclusion
lol 😦
September last half is not for us . it is for Interior TN and SI Kar
Oh no…
what ?
That means nothing for Chennai 😦
historically isn’t it so ?
Yes most of the time unfortunately! But there are exceptions so let’s see
September rains for Avadi is 0mm till now:(
yes most of north chennai it is like that
rame,
here you go, i said this earlier when it will rain…
http://blog.keaweather.org/index_current.php?id=1965#comment-2241950513
okay partha
Huge expectations were there in the ending days of August about good spell for NTN and Chennai . All went bad for Chennai though .
i too wished the forecasts at that time to come true.
has RsRao woken up from his sleep yet?
guess yes. Can you lease check your mail and reply?
give reply 🙂
lol 🙂
Meteoblue is a confused model. Predicting very heavy rains for Chennai on Thursday 63 mm and Friday 27 mm. But chance of rain only at 56%
please check properly
it is 5 mm and 32 mm
now changed to 5mm and 32 mm only, refresh
U telling abt confusion?? :p
oh sorry, that was morning update. Changed now
It’s gfs. Take it with a pinch of salt.
u are confused with precipitation probability
US open hangover & Federer loss effect
Trust titudora
Odm’s favourite
OMG just out from mottai madi – dark cloud formation on the West over St.Thomas Mount – NET says certain rain
oh great drizzles at least confirmed
Light showers possible in some areas
Good evening.
another day to track drizzles
Today it is bit closer need not wait from Vellore!!
then good news
Even @ NNW too
Yes , but comparatively NNW bit less on NET
From my home its promising..NNW is cholavaram belt
Anything on the anvil is welcome
Anvil master is busy right now, but he will enter blog with 5.30 imd temp update, stay tuned
You mean anvil thilagam?
Yes…in English “Anvil prince of ambattur rainforest”
u need to leave home then
Seemingly wind vela prediction fot sep is turning bright every day
Oh no god! 😦
jupi, if the second one crosses at WB, then its too good for Chennai to induce strong hybrid VS-TS. This WB’s LPA will give perfect alignment in trough lines towards Chennai.
Yes hopefully rami…
one must not forget how Komen pulse after reaching Chennai’s hot spot (Junction of WB/Orissa/Jharkhand) induced strong VS-TS on august 4th strong VS-TS.
Hope it doesn’t cross nap again!
Rao ur predictions for chennai for September totally gone awry . still any chance left in the last 15 days ?
yes.
Rame it’s all because of mjo
its not over till its over. All India SWM average can be normal too
lol :():
it is now 12-14 percent below normal
Wat 2nd one?? Who woke u frm sleep
:p
TS-Vamco forecasted to target WB as per GFS & ECMWF 🙂
Hope it doesn’t dissipate over Burma itself
no way in WB…most LPA are moving westwards so NAP or orissa only
nothing to beat GRAEB
What’s that?
PJ’s new found favouite
Lol
Oh I see
french model
Which model?
ARPEGE lol
lol
what about the junction system someone was talking the other day how can it help our weather pattern?
some strong system? trying to emerge by mid-October, unfortunately it forecasted to track N/NE direction. lets see.
Too early to predict that
no more NE or N
Pressure coming down quite steadily some rain expected ..please rain Im waiting
Jupi
this is the French model site link
http://www.cnrm.meteo.fr/?lang=fr
Don’t know rame, PJ has secret links…
he accidentally found it . august 30th spell was predicted by that . surprising
Yes I know
after that nothing. it is like 1/10
yeah . one day wonder
Yes rame
Spot on
Meteo france site ARPEGE model but low res
orange mittai getting ready nr vlr..
Tats Balli mittai lizard candy
ji lizard candy may start converging..waiting..
that orange mittai is too south . doubtful for us . unless winds support ?
500 hpa looks supportive..but how far is it..
winds now
Jeetu,
During the morning hours the border of my balcony getting sun light until 09.00 AM, after that it completely covered under shadow. The shadow extends in the afternoon after my balcony and upto compound wall, which 6 feet away from my balcony.
Noteable Evening Bulletin from IMD,
Rain/thundershowers would occur at isolated places over remaining parts of
the country, outside Himachal Pradesh, Punjab and Haryana, Chandigarh &
Delhi where weather would remain dry.
good signs
SWM likely to withdraw from those areas
farewell showers
SWM rainfall over Chennai
Nunga – 14.5 mm excess
Meena – 6.1 mm deficit
but annual total is way much less for Nunga
We are awaiting Chennai Evening Bulletin from Ambattur and Nungambakkam !!
thunderstorms going to hit mumbai….intensity not very high though
That ts itself will produce 20-30mm
Today I am expecting some late night rains…
Let’s see!
how did u manage this profile pic ?
any Computer graphics ?
No..its pip camera(an app)
i mean the DP
nice creative one
A TS at a distance of over 150 km to the west of Chennai
almost same latitude of Chennai . hope it reaches Chennai
big question is ,,,it has to sustain and converge?
still is and if …. our fate ?????
omg…jaisalmer (rajasthan)- 42C