Weakening Low Pressure moves over East & Central India

The Low Pressure Area that lay over Odisha coast has moved inland and is currently seen lying over Odisha and adjoining Jharkhand. This synoptic scale system has brought back the eastern end of the Monsoon Trough to south of its normal position and would generate moist Monsoon clouds over East and Central India. Under the influence of this Low, isolated heavy rain is likely to occur over Jharkhand, Odisha, Chhattisgarh and parts of sub-Himalayan West Bengal as well.

Meanwhile, a feeble off-shore trough is seen in the near vicinity of west coast and is likely to produce rain clouds along coastal Karnataka and Konkan coast. Dry weather is likely to prevail across much of Tamil Nadu with a slight chance of rains restricted to northern districts.

Odisha got heavy widespread rains with Kantapada getting 130 mm and Banki 113 mm. Vidarbha too got heavy rains with Lakhandur getting 157 mm and Kurkheda 110 mm.
02. INSAT
Chennai to see a partly cloudy day with a maximum day time temperature settling close to 34-35 C. Parts of the city may experience occasional showers.

Madurai to remain warm and sunny with a day time maximum temperature settling close to 38 to 39C.

Coimbatore will stay cloudy and the maximum temperature will stay close to 33 C

763 thoughts on “Weakening Low Pressure moves over East & Central India

  1. We are perpendicular to LPA and any trough dipping down is favorable for Chennai.

    I am expecting some rains today on GTS birthday.

      • sunspot but no corelation between early oneset = excess rains and late onset = less rains.

        NEM is one difficult thing.

    • PJ….
      i have posted this some 2 weeks back (i am saying about the link) – Early onset of NEM

      I am expecting the same…. NE winds will dominate after Oct 5th

      Onset can be expected anytime from Oct 5th to Oct 15th….

  2. Sri Lanka’s ground-maintenance workers use ingenuity, speed and clockwork coordination to counteract the problems posed by a home season that coincides with the monsoons

  3. Lol… See KEA’s Meteocheck Rainfall Quantum For This NEM

    OCT – 22.8 mm
    NOV – 13.2 mm
    DEC – 24.1 mm

    NEM Total Rainfall – 49.1 mm This NEM
    I Bet This Will Not Come True!

  4. Very hot morning and breezy with crystal blue skies. Typical setting of september.. Good probability of VS-TS today..

  5. PJ
    if it rains excess in September… I will happy (not only me, everyone in this group)…

    But models are failing towards predicting the rains for our region (Especially for Chennai Region)

  6. In general Pollution has definite impact on rainfall.. There are numerous research and proven theories based on tat.. But connection to chennai rains is one entirely different thing..

    • Pollution can tend to increase rainfall as there would be more condensation nuclei in air in addition to local excessive heating

    • the arabian sea report says it has increased the rainfall. Please dont link this to Chennai rainfall. We have somany dry days in 1850-1950. Please tell then why the rains failed.

      If rains fail now. How suddenly u link it to pollution. Why cant it be the same reason of 1850-1950’s

      • Even let it be china. There are two sides, there is no way to prove why rains failed.

      • There are proved reports in som chinese mountain ranges it was published bak in 2008 itself not able to find tat link

  7. Omg…good controversial discussions by experts…ideal day for trainees to observe keenly and learn…hope for a debateful spicy Saturday

  8. look at the warning given for people of new orleans ,LA when KATRINA was about to make a LF

    HURRICANE KATRINA…A MOST POWERFUL HURRICANE WITH UNPRECEDENTED STRENGTH…RIVALING THE INTENSITY OF HURRICANE CAMILLE OF 1969.

    MOST OF THE AREA WILL BE UNINHABITABLE FOR WEEKS…PERHAPS LONGER. AT LEAST ONE HALF OF WELL CONSTRUCTED HOMES WILL HAVE ROOF AND WALL FAILURE. ALL GABLED ROOFS WILL FAIL…LEAVING THOSE HOMES SEVERELY DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.

    THE MAJORITY OF INDUSTRIAL BUILDINGS WILL BECOME NON FUNCTIONAL. PARTIAL TO COMPLETE WALL AND ROOF FAILURE IS EXPECTED. ALL WOOD FRAMED LOW RISING APARTMENT BUILDINGS WILL BE DESTROYED. CONCRETE BLOCK LOW RISE APARTMENTS WILL SUSTAIN MAJOR DAMAGE…INCLUDING SOME WALL AND ROOF FAILURE.

    HIGH RISE OFFICE AND APARTMENT BUILDINGS WILL SWAY DANGEROUSLY…A FEW TO THE POINT OF TOTAL COLLAPSE. ALL WINDOWS WILL BLOW OUT.

    AIRBORNE DEBRIS WILL BE WIDESPREAD…AND MAY INCLUDE HEAVY ITEMS SUCH AS HOUSEHOLD APPLIANCES AND EVEN LIGHT VEHICLES. SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES AND LIGHT TRUCKS WILL BE MOVED. THE BLOWN DEBRIS WILL CREATE ADDITIONAL DESTRUCTION. PERSONS…PETS…AND LIVESTOCK EXPOSED TO THE WINDS WILL FACE CERTAIN DEATH IF STRUCK.

    POWER OUTAGES WILL LAST FOR WEEKS…AS MOST POWER POLES WILL BE DOWN AND TRANSFORMERS DESTROYED. WATER SHORTAGES WILL MAKE HUMAN SUFFERING INCREDIBLE BY MODERN STANDARDS.

    THE VAST MAJORITY OF NATIVE TREES WILL BE SNAPPED OR UPROOTED. ONLY THE HEARTIEST WILL REMAIN STANDING…BUT BE TOTALLY DEFOLIATED. FEW CROPS WILL REMAIN. LIVESTOCK LEFT EXPOSED TO THE WINDS WILL BE KILLED.

    AN INLAND HURRICANE WIND WARNING IS ISSUED WHEN SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR HURRICANE FORCE…OR FREQUENT GUSTS AT OR ABOVE HURRICANE FORCE…ARE CERTAIN WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

    ONCE TROPICAL STORM AND HURRICANE FORCE WINDS ONSET…DO NOT VENTURE OUTSIDE

  9. Jon study reports of global warming and climate change. There are empty number of reports on either side. One report cant prove anything.

    If pollution is cause, then during world war II there was massive pollution and industrial output. Did it not rain then.

  10. El Nino: a way of shifting buckets of the sun’s energy across the world http://econ.st/1NPMfuZ

    EL NIÑO is part of a wider climate system called El Niño Southern Oscillation, in which the Pacific Ocean and the atmosphere above it influence each other. This interaction drives the warming and cooling of the equatorial Pacific, which in turn affects the weather elsewhere in the world.

  11. GFS confirms GTS Bday rains. Meanwhile Partha, axis is firmly moving in foot hills of himalayas. We can see Cherrapunji & Mawsynaram put very big numbers in coming days.

  12. Bloggers. Are you ready for a Sports (cricket meet) ..
    If yes, we can go ahead and plan one at Singaram Pillai grounds. Hopefully it should be rent free for us. Have to pay just the curator charges. Normally ,most of the grounds will charge anything between 8k to 10k per day.
    Today, Scope International people were enjoying a friendly cricket match at the same venue.

  13. Imd expecting 39-40 c in coming days over parts of north west india.. And above normal temperature for many parts of North adj central india…. And they are expecting withdrawal to start around sep 10

  14. Sai is not seen after Lakshmi came around. Her way of posting looks too experienced. Jeet anything to add.

  15. Referring to maddy’s feb 2000 rains, I found the role of tropical waves such ER,kelvin,MJO in that rainfall.. Major part is thru ER and LA-NINA

  16. from monday onwards the problem will be rectified….
    i will be going to coimbatore and she will be texting individually from tirupati
    i will be texting from coimbatore…..
    hope all understands my problem…..thank you

  17. OMG OMG… Deluge Rains Just Before My Birthday!!! 22nd Is My Birthday See Deluge On 21st!!!
    Hope The Deluge Should Continue Till My Bday! We Will See In The Next Update!!!

  18. what is the burst seen over Equtorial Indian Ocean. Is it Kelvin westerly burst. Its the only wave which moves west to east.

  19. While the first half of Atlantic hurricane season tends to bring infrequent cyclones, things normally pick up in earnest come August. By late in the month, seas are near peak warmth. Active trade winds south of subtropical high pressure host active easterly waves, a few of them typically capable of yielding a tropical storm or hurricane. (Accuweather)

  20. As things stand now, who is ahead..Is it IMD forecast of below par monsoon or Skymet forecast of above average rains .. August is almost done and dusted..

    • This will be my 1st team

      1. Vijay
      2. Dhawan
      3. Pujara
      4. Kohli
      5. Rahane
      6. Rahul
      7. Naman Ojha
      8.Ashwin
      9.Bhuvi
      10.Mishra
      11.Ishant / Shami /Yadhav

  21. Srilanka will struggle in this pitch. They created a green top to counter Ashwin and now they will fall prey to their own trap.

    • actually theoretically Time travelling is possible…Cox detailed how time travel to the future is possible under Albert Einstein’s general theory of relativity. Traveling hundreds, or even thousands of years into the future, could be accomplished if someone was traveling at an incredibly fast pace, close to the speed of light.Time Travels at a speed of 186,282 miles per second (299,792 kilometers per second)…but a machine for this purpose is still had not been found…

      I bet Time Travel Is Possible!

      • yes…i was reading all these just now. very interesting . is it really possible to go back and change few things in past so that our present also changes(like indru netru naalai movie)? lot of questions arise

      • yes i don’t believe in Time machine… i believe in time travel…but i don’t think we can got 1997 and change something?

  22. LOL india struggling against SL in subcontinental pitch. PJ will say india will win. He thinks Rahul and Ashwin are best players in the world.

  23. could see a slight change in arriving recent CFS forecasts, positive iod conditions getting carried away till early november.. the event is expected to peak in sep-oct.

  24. 1) 1984 cat 3 cyclone crossed near chennai and thrashed city like anything.. It gave heavy rainfall over city
    2) 1992 severe cyclonic storm spoiled entire tamilnadu… Infact widespread heavy dangerous rains occurred entire tamilnadu.. Madurai was flooded like anything…. 100 people died in coastal Nagapattinam district itself…it gave rains to adj andhra and kerala too.. It was one devastating cyclone causing entire tamilnadu to damage

  25. I m sure everyone can remember this connection MSD test debut, chennai rains, 2005 dec, 🙂 he had to wait.. Wettest test match evr 🙂

  26. Either we have had prolonged dry period or prolonged wet period.. it has been that kind of a year .. 20 dry days in may followed by 40 plus week.. June was hot with some scattered TS in the evening .. horrible first 2 weeks of July followed by mind blowing next 2 weeks in terms of rains.. terrific rainy first week of August followed by prolonged dry period once again.. so what’s next??

  27. Flash..very bad news
    Chennai nungambakkam entered deficient category today
    Deficient with 3 mm
    Chennnai Meenambakkam with excess category with 23 mm and by sep 1 it also ll enter to deficient

  28. A amazing display of Aurora Borealis, or Northern Lights, filmed over Iceland .
    It is caused by the combination of the solar wind – a stream of charged particles escaping the Sun – and our planet’s magnetic field and atmosphere.
    These charged particles “excite” gases in our atmosphere, that make them glow – BBC

Please restrict Comments to Weather only

Please log in using one of these methods to post your comment:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s