The well-marked low pressure area that lay over Chhattisgarh and adjoining areas underwent a round of intensification and is now a depression. It will move west/southwestwards and weaken gradually in the next few days. Under its influence heavy rains will occur over Madhya Maharashtra, south Madhya Pradesh and Konkan Goa. This will be the only major rain bearing system for the core Monsoon regions. In the meantime, a Super Typhoon “SOUDELOR”, in the west Pacific seems to intensify rapidly and thereby gradually modulating the cross equatorial flow patterns close to south Bay, bringing a change in Monsoonal flows.
With regards to TN, isolated convective rains to continue in north interior along with coastal districts.
Chennai to remain partly cloudy with maximum close to 34-35 C, with a slight possibility of rains towards evening/night.
Coimbatore to remain pleasant at 29 -30 C, with cloudy skies.
Madurai to remain sunny with temperature settling close to 36 C.
KeaWeather Archives 
At times,it is better to watch the torrents of comments from the sidelines!! Thoroughly enjoyed reading EACH AND EVERY comment…thanks, friends.
It is people like YOU who keep weather interesting. Instead of saying “it’s raining”, the hyper-excitable comments make this blog TOO addictive! Thanks again!!
As for me, my RG consists of an old bottle and a ‘mug’..figures from my house were ~ 7 cms which is not too unbelievable considering the intense localized heat build up in that part of T Nagar, and the subsequent release of all that pent up heat in the form of severe TS.
And people like RS Rao, sitting in Greenland or Spitzbergen or Antarctica or somewhere, yet predicting Chennai weather within an accuracy of ~100%..what can we say except, Keep Predicting!!
Chennai rains had no influence from the remnants of Komen!
Gears shifted from Komen to BOB/WP typhoon.
27.3 mm from yesterday’s show.Anna Nagar West.
Not to worry. Our day will come soon
More than happy for the rains . Close to 3 cms..Can’t ask for more.
Gud morning guys .yesterday my area royapettah recives 50 mm rain 🙂
Good mrning guys! 🙂
Recorded 63mm from this TS in my RG!
Good morning! 65 mm here! 🙂 What a night it was.. phenomenal day for South Chennai
A total of 107mm in just 4 days!
August 1st- 36mm
August 2nd- 4mm
August 3rd- nil
August 4th- 63mm
Perfect!!!
102 mm here since Aug 1
Good morning, Dr Rao.
You prediction 100% accurate. The intensity also perfectly predicted by you.
Hats off.
Ambattur – 46mm as per my RG.
Due to Heavy winds it may be under reporting as its diameter is 11cm. So we can add other 10mm in it so the Range will be 55 – 60mm
Super ji…….August is rocking
66 mm as per Ambattur Agro
kea site getting 31 mm is a good figure indeed.
Exactly as I’d said earlier, the last and the best storm flanked south to cover the entire of Chennai, widespread Rains is Chennai as a result, we can safely say city got an average of 4-5cm, although Nunga was a bit on the lower side comparatively.One of the best nights ever! Although it was 65 mm here, there was no major flooding which meant rainwater had enough time to percolate into the ground. This is a major boost for the ground water levels.
The water in my rg was damn cool and refreshing.. even used it to wash my face! It was like water straight from the refridgerator 🙂
Amazing Rains Across Chennai…..South Chennai Gets battered
Rainfall in mm
LMOIS Kolapakkam – 68 mm
Anna University – 57 mm
Tharamani – 61 mm
Madhavaram – 49 mm
Puzhal – 46 mm (Hope waterflow is increased)
Poonamallee – 35 mm
Avadi – 42 mm
Nungambakkam – 31 mm
Anna University under reporting. Manual readings could be anything from 65 mm to 70 mm.
are you the one who is the standing left in your avatar.
yes
I learnt new word today from your avatar. pluviophile – rain lover.
Oh cool 🙂 but where is that in my avatar?
OMG. It is mentioned in your avatar. “I am a hardcore pluviophile”
this word is first used by P.J in his previous avtar, that was the first time i heard that word
Amazing rains at kk nagar yesterday!!
no surprises my rg recorded 64mm!!
The last spell added the rain amount to my rg!!.superb squall yesterday..there was 2 squalls yesterday both came to my area!!
Good morning.Heavy rain lashed many parts of Chennai city last night.Chennai meenambakkam airport reported 70mm
Tambaram- 60mm+
Guindy-50mm+
Nungambakkam- 30+mm
Anna Nagar -30mm
Thiruvottriyur-20mm+
Overall south Chennai areas had heavy rains official figure of rainfall would be released soon.
Further medium to rather heavy rain would occur in Chennai city for another 4 days from today in the evening/night.
Many parts of north Tamilnadu districts would have medium to rather heavy thundershowers
August 1- 27 mm
August 2- 10 mm
august 3- 0 mm
august 4- 64 mm
Was it a cloudburst yesterday? Super heavy rains with thunder lasted more than an hour hre at Pallavaram after 9.30 pm
Chandra Mouli, Ambattur 11 hours ago
August is worse than July till Now. No squalls or Major Storms Hitting us.
After i posting this yesterday evening storms are very monsterous one. I expected this and Hopefully got it. yesterday north chennai battered from Single squall reaching close to 60mm and South Chennai had three squalls crossing which results up to 65- 70mm.
Wat a Heavy Rains True colours of August which resulting widespread showers in and around Chennai.
sir my prediction came true..yesterday morning i told today heavy rains expected!!
Good enjoy today as well storms will be Hitting Chennai.
kk.thanks!
sir where is mine?
2 squalls touched my area!!
by the last spell covered entire chennai!!
monstrous!!
How much in Ambattur?
46mm
oh……good…..so August is rockin
66 mm
heaviest rains of the year lashed kk nagar!!!.
I expected!!!
cyclone Deepaak(kk nagar) • a day ago
moisture availability at chennai at 5 00pm
700hpa-96%
500hpa-96%
850hpa-63%
so expecting very good rains at chennai towards evening/night!!..
this was yesterday!!
My rg recorded 64mm!!
MY rg filled 3/4th amount of water..mostly filled..it has the capability of filling 9cms and its has filled 6cm more!!
48 mm Here !!!!
Wettest Day In SWM !!!
happy sai. we got more than expected.
yes Intense TS
Yesterdays monstrous last spell.
Radar image!!
In this ts my area got more!!monstrous!
Moisture availability at 700hpa is 99%
reload for image!!
this is at 5pm today!!
Another day with very heavy rains expected!!
First 4 days of August records 101mm here!!
Saidapet – 71 mm
OMG!!
mine 64mm..
rainforest is now urs!!
Yes deepu heavy rains
IMD official Meenambakkam – 61 mm
sir here 64mm!!
So it rained….!
yes..
heavily!!
It should be more than that here at Pallavaram, it rained heavily 3 times and drizzled for a long time after that.
August 1- 43 mm
August 2- 2 mm
August 3-0
August 4- 0
August 5- 71 mm
as per IMD?
No my rg
kk!
Nungambakkam badly missed both days of august spells…but july it rocked…
30 mm isn’t bad
yes!!
One more great TS awaits chennai today.
I hope everyone is monitoring this, the trough merged with monsoon axis dipping to TN. GFS is showing this for past few days. I know we have to wait. But if this happens, it is going to 100 mms at many places in TN thats for sure…….!
Thanks. …I have all radar images, name the date and time i will give u any station radar image…ppv, vvp2 maxz……so on.
Data man ke data uh
That’s typically graphed ameens radar pic
great rains yesterday, should be 70mm in madipakkam and South Chennai areas. nice to see house flooded outside:) also happy NUngambakkam numbers are less.
Why r u happy that nunga numbers are less? Don’t you like rain?
Ehsan, No not in Nungambakkam until august 🙂
Why is everyone talking like nunga missed yet again? We got 30 mm last night and are above normal this swm.
In all probability we will have a very good swm this year.
yes
There is widespread thunderstorm possible around late evening and night.
Yes. Today is the main show
Today less rains than yesterday.
OMG
Ambattur – 66mm as per PJ Data :O
Three squalls over south chennai has balanced with one strong squall over North Chennai 😉
Wow looks like balancing nature
Mouli electromagnet did the trick
Rofl
looks like widespread rains everywhere in chennai and surroundings.
Yes Mouli….master spell…special quota as always for n.chn
So pls give back the rains tat u got yesterday.. lol
meena inching closer to 50cm mark.. whatta come back
I think Meena missed the first one which lashed here
no.. intensity was very high during the 1st spell
super jon
i predicted that i should be atleast more than 7cm.
Meena 125mm so far this August if I am not wrong
Does this shows the proper location of the system?
http://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/isobaric/700hPa/orthographic=-276.47,21.31,1225
Yes.. that is where the system is right now
Exactly. But we can not locate the system by convection as most of it get sheared-off. I think we can use CIMSS virticies maps too to locate approximately.
This is the circulation at approximately 3 kms above sea level.
Rao ji, will the rains decrease in the coming few days?
What is the Avadi reading yesterday
Actually I am surprised that so called desert region getting 31 mm. infact IMD nunga reading should be higher also.
nungas comeback is fantastic…for a place which was in the bottom of the table until July first week.
bubble storms are nungas backbone and i am sure that it will give good fight to Meena.
Meena is a consistent performer nowadays.
My RG readings
August 1st – 23mm
August 2nd – 3mm
August 4 – 51mm
already 80 mm. fantastic.
Yes
Gud start to August for Meena and Nunga and all parts of chennai and surroundings.
RG are busy these days collecting severe intense TS rain droplets.
power came by 230am in chilapakkam but happy that it rained.
Yesterday night was a great show with good ts. Is there a possibility of rains today?
Yes. Rain is possible today evening/ night.
Signs oh Hope!!!
https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/a615c92a42ebd1c1844f7e36d48c040967761e2502a130a905d28b646d731ec6.jpg https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/9904975e410b408f8ef43b32e1067fac28a6f69d494d7bba998f005648e0addf.jpg
Surya how much there?
24 mm
Another spot on prediction by kea bloggers Rsrao, Selvan and Partha last night. See partha’s forecast 8 days agom
sorry ,i just gone thru models precip output and said that.. it cant be said as forecast or data interpretation!!
congrats sel, all are going thro models for prediction, the unique thing this earlier prediction, for that you and others should be congratulated,
Yes
yes i agree but it gives immense pleasure only wen we hit the deck by observing the fluctuating thermodynamic conditions and not into precip output charts
I like your modesty.
at last , the rainfall is what that matters,
Fantastic selva!!, Rao!!, & Partha!!
Wonderful. Predicting rain before a week with asuch accuracy and with timing, is really great.It looks like Dr Rao, Selva and Partha beat professionals and experts.
Fantastic selva!!, Rao!!, & Partha!!….keep rocking always
Congrats and thanks Partha sir, Raoji and sel for your wonderful predicions.
Perfect rains. And the last round was simply the best. Though expected to cross 100mm. It was 68mm.
Adam nandheeswarar temple tank ..after yesterday’s rain..
Dhamaka night y’day, congrats Partha,Rao, Sel, for the rain predictions, min 7 cm i hope
Due to flash floods 2 trains derailed in M.P in a same bridge, 30 people feared dead,
Lol
Kamayani Express, headed for Uttar Pradesh’s Varanasi from Mumbai, was derailed near Harda town, 160km south of state capital Bhopal, just before midnight. Moments ago, the Janata Express (13201) en route to Mumbai from Patna had also derailed at the same spot.
The mishap took place at Kudwa, about 18km from the district headquarters Harda, which is between Bhirangi and Khirakia railway stations.
30 feared dead, several injured
Chembarambakkam 88mm. Could top today’s imd RF data.
super rains
chembarambakkam in south , and Ambattur in west always got super rains this season
Redhills 59mm.
200 hpa velocity potential anomaly for the month of july!! JUNE was completely dominated by intraseasonal wave so there was no clear ENSO signal but tis july showed the clear impact of ELNINO in indian ocean
Save this image.. its a lovely one. Entire 20 km circle is filled with atleast 3-4 cm rains, with some places getting more than 8 cm! Going by this , southern parts of Adyar and Thiruvanmiyur would have received more than 70 mm
This is it
Massive sinkhole opens up in NY, swallowing an intersection. http://abcn.ws/1MLoje3
Hello all.. Have we got the official numbers for the storm last night??
Valasaravakkam 43.4mm till 8:30am today
Chennai Lake Areas get highest rains of the year ending 8.30 am on 05.08.2015. Atlaast they generate some inflow.
====================================================
The rains were widespread, north,south, west and central chennai got rains. Best day for chennai. Groundwater sure to be increased.
in mm
Chembarabakkam Lake – 88
Tamaraipakkam – 88
Kolapakkam (behind AP) – 68
Ambattur – 66
Tharamani – 63
Chennai AP (Meenambakkam) – 61
Redhills Lake – 59
Tambaram – 59
Marina DGP Office – 58
Anna University – 57
Poondi Lake – 51
Madhavaram – 49
Poonamalle – 48
Puzhal – 46
Kunnathur (near Mahabs) – 38
Poonamallee AWS – 35
Thiruvalangadu – 43
Tiruvallur – 42
Avadi – 42
Cholavaram Lake – 31
Chennai City (Nungambakkam) – 31
Ellapuram (near Periyapalayam) – 26
Sathyabama Univeristy (near Uthandi) – 21
Arakonam – 20
Hindustan University (near Kelambakkam) – 16
Katupakkam (near SRM University) – 16
Kelambakkam – 12
Ponneri – 10
Minjur – 10
Ennore – 7
Gumidipoondi – 6
very happy to see lake areas top especially when we are heading to a water crisis god given gift to chennaites!
PJ thanks for the readings.
Meena should have missed the first spell i guess.
waiting for tambaram readings
I think this s first widespread rains of the season for chennai..Nice to see our reservoirs got good rainfall..
these rains are some consolation. not at all enough. the core city is left high and dry. 3 centimeter not all that big. we need quite a few 5 centimeter + till 30th september. The NEM has to bring at least 10 + for quite a few spells to bring back the water table to a comfortable level.
As lakes are getting somewhat better rains, inflow for another 2 days could be good. we hope for more such widespread spells particularly in nights which is quite common in august/sep. In a way SWM never fails in chennai and we are getting closer to 50 centimeters in 3 months.
ss
These rains are much enough in the coming days it could be even intense. See below how lake areas pounded much needed Rains
Omg Akola 203, Indore 197mm
we can take official imd readings just for calculation purpose only, not as real reflection of rains chennai surrounding got, TBM and surrounding areas, like pallavaram, chrmpet, madambakkam should have also reached the max amounts, y’day night it poured in 3 sessions, , i’m sure even some other areas in chennai surroundings in all directions, should have got more rains, not only this time, but every time, surpassing official readings,
unfortunately we have to go with official readings only.
When can I see a 15 cm rainy day in Chennai? SWM or NEM?
NWM?
NEM sorry….
definitely in this nem!! i guess its been a long while
last year nem first spell on 17.10, gave that rain, it just one year wait,
Yeah, it was one good wet spell, remember the entire atmosphere got soaked….affecting normal life
oh is it? ..my memory is too bad.. did v got 15cm in one day?
Chennai’s wettest day in last 4 years, TN rainfall ending 8.30 am on 18.10.2014
The trough of low over southwest Bay of Bengal off Sri Lanka coast now runs from Sri Lanka coast to Tamil Nadu coast with a cyclonic circulation alo ft over south Tamil Nadu coast and extends upto 3.1 kms a.s.l.
in mm (min 30 mm)
Chennai Marina DGP office – 181
Chennai City – 162
courtesy : P.J
more over this was the first nem rainfall, after i started posting comments in this blog, which i would cherish through out my life
Conditions very much perfect for intense Thunderstorms today. Some low level clouds started to form over west of Chennai.
Heavy Rains possible by evening/night over North Tamilnadu and some places over south interiors.
“Anu gundu vizhundhadhu pol oru satham”
“Irundhalum vandum nittham”
“Yellam mazhai magalai un sittham”
“Aarugal iyangum varai oyakudadhu un yutham.
Yesterday’s sea breeze front was quite dense and thick, and as it continued to creep inland , it triggered some overhead pop ups and interacted with one tower between Tbm and cgl and intensified the cell..
Tis 2015 may end up as an unique year if positive iod fails to occur in indian ocean even after a strong elnino in pacific.. indian oceanic conditions failed to respond to ENSO so far although we could see the atmospheric response of elnino in indian ocean ..so by all means tis may definitely light up a fresh debate among global experts on IOD whether it is the enso component of indian ocean or not..
This image will better explain the interaction of sea breeze front and intensity gain…of the evening pop up ..
Short video of the flashing lightnings with roar thunder sound.. While taking this video..my phone got switched off immediately..What a deadly night it was..
Thrilling one sir
btw .. i m stuck with no words http://origin.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/sweaver/cfs_fcst/images1/wk1.wk2_20150801.wnd850.gif
Oh no….serious blunder
just checked my rain gauge. it shows 36 mm from yesterday’s spell
what is a trough ? some one explain please ?
To make it easy, it is an area of low pressure with elongated wind pattern. it can be E-W or N-S ..convection in and along the trough varies with different layer
ok..when it forms ? or the scenarios when these troughs will form ?
Heating over land makes air just above to also heat , air expands and rises reducing pressure, thereby a trough forms…this is just a basic mode, there are many complex mechanisms too
Then there should be a cut off point rite? Or elsr the trough will form daily?
Actually troughs are not an immediate response to heating though, a lot many things come into action. Air subsidence can also lead to heating , there it becomes a ridge rather. Troughs form with relatively lesser pressure than the environment. They can also be seen at mid or upper levels, irrespective of surface conditions. Climatology of a place and prevailing winds are also important.
hmm….ok. thank u for explaining
OMG…what’s really happening??/Why MJO again and again trying to enter Indian ocean despite strong Elnino forecast that too under neutral IOD??
As per latest MJO forecast, all models indicating MJO to recurve back towards IO especially around Phase 2 by 3rd week August. This MJO phase 2 has special feature as Chennai-rain maker (don’t know about the mechanism, but we already seen during July 2nd half explosive TSs).
So from august 3rd week onwards there will be highest probability for Core-Chennai to receive continuous “explosive electric VS-TSs” till the MJO weakens.
OMG…why Chennai receiving this much SWM-rainfall? what could really happen during NEM-2015??
NEM 2015 dumaal dumeel dhan:-)
hit or fail?
Super dooper hit:-)
For Chennai’s sake, just enough rain to recharge the aquifers will do..
Without proper policies in places (due to several reasons, which most of us are aware of), it is scary to think what can happen in Chennai..crucial infrastructural decisions are simply being put off or postponed..and once 2016 election dates are announced, no work can legally happen..too bad..
hope NEM doesn’t fail. i will be happy only if we end up with 2000mm for this year
We will:-)
Adhu seri..we have no clue as to what is *really* happening in Chennai, we don’t know who usually takes crucial decisions pertaining to the city’s betterment and infrastructure etc…
yeah. dono whats going to happen. J.J not well it seems. hope these rains smashes chennai and proves how poor our infrastructure is.
Why this kolaveri! Due to policy paralysis..if there’s a major epidemic during the NEM..what will we do (we can afford to escape to safer places, how about the poor masses..) ??
yes they can’t ..but namakae mazhai eppavadhudhan varudhu. lets hope for the best. what happened to her? is she in japan now ? did u see swamy’s tweet about her health ?
I saw news..channels will be very keen to further their own selfish interests..
Btw what did Swamy say?
I think he said she has some liver problems…dono how far it is true..now he is facing consequences for that…
Please refrain from such comments
Text on CM’s Health Lands Man in Net….
http://www.newindianexpress.com/states/tamil_nadu/Text-on-CMs-Health-Lands-Man-in-Net/2015/08/04/article2956738.ece
Hmm…
I’ve conveyed the same very diplomatically now..I do understand we have to be scared..in our own interests..and thanks for pointing it out
Lol I hope Komen’s grandchild doesn’t ruin Mumbai yet again..that city will crumble completely..it is hard to describe Mumbai in rains..doors get jammed..everywhere is squishy..moss and mold everywhere..and every breath you take is almost similar to a wheezing kind of feeling..
Komen’s grandchild??
Lol the remnants of Komen sweeping thru Central India
1965 is a strong Elnino year with neutral IOD.
IOD indexes:
1965 1 -0.118593
1965 2 -0.237335
1965 3 0.0174806
1965 4 -0.0516374
1965 5 -0.292395
1965 6 -0.244566
1965 7 -0.119003
1965 8 0.098114
1965 9 0.241956
1965 10 0.441352
1965 11 0.0674396
1965 12 -0.0385502
where is partha? His ER wave in action over indian ocean..
He announced’he will not blog’
oh no!!
When did this happened??
y, what happened?
Things are not clear
Ok
for time being only, i hope, more over he said he will post occasionally, hope he will return soon,
Swm rainfall in chennai…( very high possibility to reach normal rainfall still 57 days to go )Normal- 440 mm
Till now
chennai nungambakkam- 269mm
chennai meenambakkam- 313mm
So 57 balls 171 runs needed….. 😀
Can even exceed these figures by a huge margin, looking at current trends…
Chembarabakkam
9
Chembarambakkam arg
Thamaraipakkam
8 each
Sriperumbudur
Kolapakkam arg
7 each
Chennai AP
Taramani arg
Red hills
Tambaram
DGP office
Anna uty arg
6 each
Poondi
Madavaram AWS
Poonamallee
Puzhal arg
5 each
Devakottai
Thiruvalangadu
Tiruvallur
Hvf avadi arg
Kamudhi
4 each
Smashing WS rains for chennai..
VS?
Guess he says wide spread
Oh OK OK…
its widespread rains
Almost readings are from chennai and surroundings. Very good Rains
Flash..alert…this time ER wave going to weaken at the door steps of MTC (unlike July’s ER penetration till west-Indian ocean). So MJO after entering phase 2it will enter phases 3& 4 too? If MJO enters Phases 3 & 4 via phase 2, then oceanic tropical convergence zone (OTCZ) will be connected well with ITCZ (SWM-axis). This favorable good conditions will make entire southern peninsula with flooded rains from august 3rd week onwards.
http://cawcr.gov.au/staff/mwheeler/maproom/OLR_modes/f.5.n1ER.html
ECMWF picking uo a Depression in WC/NW BOB around 14th August.
MJO forecasted propagation will be exactly matching with this scenario.
Looks like this upcoming event is especially made for AP, TS, Karnataka and TN.
Both GFS and ECMWF expecting mjo to enter IO around 3rd week of August.
anyhow short break phase is expected before a fresh MISO .. mid level winds are indicating break phase ,present convection anomalies are associated with ER wave
I think this break event will be short lived as next wet spell will begin from 14th August due to the Depression in WC bay.
What about positive IOD development..?
that still under puzzle 😦
Yes, all the models are really struggling with IOD forecast. Most of them expecting strong positive(0.8) in August but till now IOD is going in reverse direction. With mjo entering IO in coming weeks we can forget about positive IOD for next few weeks.
Will mjo travelling in reverse direction,i.e, phase 4,3,2 help in positive IOD development.
but MJO can not travel In reverse direction for long time
check this out.
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/MJO/CLIVAR/clivar_wh.shtml
within circle movement can not exhibit any drastic change on IOD.
I think strong mjo in phase 1, 2 may help in positive iod development.
actually MJO’s presence at dateline (phases 7&8) will help +ve IOD development.
August at it’s best yesterday, superb smashing rains, it is getting better day by day
Yeah…very scary too…non stop intense lightning..
a mid level trough extending from s.india to malaysia ..tis kind of scenario evolves only when monsoon conditions goes into break phase and also when s.peninsular india get rains.. tis normally happens simultaneously during ER wave propagation
http://www.imd.gov.in/section/nhac/dynamic/nwp/48hgfs_500wind.htm
Hmm..South Andamans and the Nicobar islands will be affected..
but season already entered in 2nd half, where southern India will receive bulk of the rains. This cloud pulling might be due to distant WP-typhoon (+distant ER). This cloud pulling will be weakened drastically once WP-typhoon weakens after making landfall only to set up much needed WC/NW BOB-depression 🙂
Will the BOB depression morph into a DD, subsequently into a hurricane, and head straight for the Mahanadi delta/ B’desh?
😦 😦
Yes, LPa will form in WC/NW BOB immediately after typhoon weakens.
stunning animation of ST SOUDELOR
Perfect and puzzling till date…
I was searching for the 2nd half while 1st half was blogging…here you came
August team on high at the moment 😀 divided by Nunga/Meena united by August 🙂
Yea if nunga miss meena will get .if meena miss nunga will get so def we will win.;)
how about chances of TS rains today? think conditions are favorable..experts??
very good chance this evening as well
nice to hear… we should not get electric thunder bolts,very scary..let’s see
Thats’s a sure shot. High voltage electric thunders guaranteed.. These are all tall and intense clouds we are talking abouit
Good to hear that from you!
While it was pounding at tambaram-guindy sketch..the three storms merged together ..& pounded the catchment areas, & covered the whole chennai soon..
Conditions are in favour for South of Chennai to get more rain for another 4 days.
We will not be surprised even part of north and south Chennai get more than 120 to 150mm in four days.
your statement is unclear. Please elaborate
North, South West and East Chennai will get rain of around 120 to 150mm, which is the cumulative of next 4 days
Vela.. Ehsan wants “central” also to be part of list..This was his intention..Same will be added..:)
Ok, Updated…
Note: Please include Central Chennai also in the above post
Get ready august team to score another half century . 🙂 today.
@ kea…is it possible to throw any daily contest
nee pannunu solvaru. matikadha
adichu kepanga, othukatha
At last the Tibetan high settling closer to it’s mean position after wandering to the SE and NW…
Climatologically ther will be a break phase between aug 7th and 15th ..If it miss tat time period, aug 14th to aug 18th will be a break period.. experts call tis as “mid august break”.. so tis year it may b right with 1st case if we consider the ongoing conditions… wondering how those experts observed all tis and documented even before the satellite era
I always wonder how did people predict cyclones movement with just radisondes derived synoptic charts available only twice a day…and the process of locating center.
it was possible because mother nature remained unpolluted those days and the monsoon wasn’t that eractic unlike now. If we all remember, until late 90s before the high raise buildings started appearing, the rainfall pattern was very consistent with chennai. how many agree with me.
Until late 90s, we received consistent moderate rains starting late June..every single night..then something went wrong and now it either rains very heavily, or not at all
While there was a debate b/w aug and sep rains ..just gave a info..Meena always gets smashed during august.
Dry phase frm 7/8 to start for aug need to pile in bfore tat
That will be chennai’s strong period.
Chennai wont have any break in rains irrespective how monsoon behaves. We have again gone into Daily Rains slot. Like the July 3rd and 4th week rains. This time there is no depression. But Chennai will get rains.
Enjoy the golden period.
chennai will double its chance when monsoon goes into break phase
S last few days there was very little link between w coast monsoon n chennai rains
The bay wing is active, don’t forget that!
trough extend ayiruchu
60 days to catch up with our favourite NEM.. Rains will only increase in Chennai region as we can see the annual rainfall pattern from Aug – Dec. Good wet times to come.
So… it is pure of Heat Convective Rains (Veppa Salanam Rains)
One interesting observation regarding cyclones was that ,they found that cyclones have a spiralling nature, just by looking at the overall vegetation fall impacted by cyclones over hundreds of km. Those days there wasn’t a radar nor satellites..