The Deep Depression (DD) off Bangladesh coast intensified into a Cyclonic Storm (CS) “Komen” and becomes the 1st cyclone to form in the last 26 years during July in the Bay of Bengal. The cyclone had made landfall over Bangladesh coast during the day, weakened further and will merge with the monsoon axis in the coming days. The system will bring heavy to very rainfall to West Bengal, Odisha and other eastern states. The Depression (D) over North West India has weakened into a Well Marked Low Pressure Area (WML) and is drenching the desert region of Rajasthan with heavy rainfall. The Western Disturbance (WD) meanwhile will continue to pound Kashmir, Himachal and North Indian states.
Tamil Nadu – The mini-break of two days for rains in North Tamil Nadu will come to an end. Intense Thunderstorms will form over interiors during the course of the day and will move towards the coastal areas by night.
Chennai will witness rains associated with thunder and winds in the evening / night with temperature in the day settling around 36-37C.
Coimbatore will see a cloudy day with temperatures close to 32-33 C with chance of rain in the day.
Madurai will continue to have typical hot day with a maximum temperature around 38-39 C.
KeaWeather Archives 
It’s 102 F in Portland right now!!
enjoy
Only good thing is, it’s dry heat.
Gud morning guys. 😉 .
Good Morning!!!
Good morning!!
26 years back July Cyclonic Storm (BOB 04) (July 22-25, 1989) can be the product dead neutral IOD just like present July Komen in 2015. Whenever there is probability of tropical disturbances in BOB, then one has to see the state of IOD.
Dead neutral IOD can enhance the strength of a tropical disturbance to many folds (TS might work on its own to strengthen rapidly).
Jamstec-1989-IOD
1989 june (-0.537)
1989 july (-0.087)
1989 august (0.034)
Komen-Cyclone (july, 2015) IOD:
20150706,20150712,(0.27)
20150713,20150719,(0.02)
20150720,20150726,(-0.17)
Rami, have you done the MJ-SOI drawing for Komen? Couldn’t see blog regularly this whole week.
SWM-cyclones will travel along SWM-axis. so need to see this model in pre/post-monsoon time when SWM-axis in volatile state.
Ok.
OMG….July Cyclonic Storm (BOB 04, july 22nd-25th, 1989) exhibited catastrophic losses in terms of property and life-loss along its entire track starting from AP till Pakistan.
On July 22, the IMD began monitoring a depression over the Bay of Bengal. Tracking west-northwest, the system intensified into a cyclonic storm later that day before making landfall in Andhra Pradesh, just north of Vishakhapatnam. Once onshore the storm accelerated towards the northwest and weakened. By July 24, the remnants of the cyclone were located over the state of Maharashtra. The system was last noted the following day over Gujarat and moving into Pakistan.[14]
Across Andhra Pradesh, Orissa, and Uttar Pradesh heavy rains produced by the storm triggered flash flooding and mudslides that killed at least 414 people.[15] According to Chief Minister Nandamuri Taraka Rama Rao, approximately 70,000 homes were destroyed in Andhra Pradesh. While over Maharashtra, the storm produced torrential rainfall, reaching 280 mm (11 in) in 24 hours in Bombay, which caused deadly flash flooding and mudslides.[16] Most of the railway tracks in metropolitan Bombay were left underwater, paralyzing the city and forcing businesses to close for several days. The city’s stock exchange remained open, though only sparse trading was observed.[17] Flood waters isolated 46 villages in the region, prompting the deployment of the Indian Army for rescue missions.[16] At least 500 people were killed throughout Maharashtra, more than 200 of which took place in the Raigad district.[18][19] An unknown number of people were killed after a bridge collapsed with two train carriages on it.[17] Additionally, 75 others were reported missing in the district according to local police.[18] Offshore, 500 fishermen went missing in connection to the storm and are believed to have died.[20]
Flooding rains extended into Pakistan by July 26.[21] Flash floods in the slums outside Karachi killed at least 16 people and washed away 500 huts. An estimated 20,000 people were left homeless in the city. Communication and transportation throughout Karachi was reportedly paralyzed as well due to widespread power outages. Further north in Hyderabad, six others were killed by the storm.[22] Throughout the country, at least 31 people were killed.[23]
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1989_North_Indian_Ocean_cyclone_season
@sai, please add me in August team.
Added Sir!!!
😦 😦
Hi. Please add me in September team.
Added !!!
welcome to our team 🙂
Thanks rao
Bloggers have started to join their favourite teams for the Games…Hurry up!
Note : July 31 (11:59:59) Cutoff Time !!!
The List Stands Like This As Of Now!
Please Join to Kea Weather Blog’s AUG-SEP Games!!!
(Updated List)
Aug – Jon,Sel,GTS,Jupi,Novak,Arshad,Vignesh,Raghavendra,Atchu,Kea Weather(Ehsan),Tuboli,Parthasri – Rajakilpakkam,,Rajeshrd,Hrishi Palavakkam,chnrainlover-adamsaligramam,Yogesh,Gajendra Kumar T Nagar
– 18 Bloggers
Sep – guest11k,Susu,Sai_Vijayfan,bhaskaran19,Jeetu,PJ,Senthil prabhu,Vinod,Naresh Kumar,
Chandra Mouli,Rsrao,Anand ECR,Bharath-Ponneri,Deepaak,Tornado Koushik,Sai Praneeth,Ameen Bijli
Asad- Royapettah,Rajkmr – Choolaimedu,Siva@Chrompet,Sriram Rangarajan,Vijay Nagarajan,Paul Abraham,Aman- Madipakkam,Pradeep – Agaram,Sriram Balakrishnan,Keerthi Vasan,Kalai,Cat 5 Hurricane
– 29 Bloggers
Organizing Commitee
ODM
Novak
I am with sept team
Move me to the organising committee. Both months will be forgetful one.
Hi frnds will it reachd the easterwards popups today. Looks very hope
Rare Blue Moon
—————————-
July 31st will be the SECOND full moon of the month…
What is a blue moon?
Whenever there are two full moons in a calendar month, the second one is called a “blue moon,” according to popular definition. The first full moon this month appeared on July 2, and a second one — the “blue” one — is happening Friday. While the moon will rise just before sunset Thursday, it wont be full until 6:43 a.m.
Is the blue moon actually blue?
Short answer: yes and no.
OMG….Telangana region going into scanty category…Hyderabad will reach scanty category by sunday if it does not rain…..
Rayalaseema and North interior karnataka are also very near to scanty category.Hard time for crop productivity for south india
No worries as AP & TS states will receive strong TS activity similar to chennai style once Komen started to move in land.
Today is blue moon
Did you see my posting on this few minutes back
Sorry missed it
but will now be seen becoz it will rain today!
😛
What to see? Moon is actually not blue
I think IMD will revise their forecast today??
Y there is an intense ts NE of Chennai?
Due to trough extension from the depression
Good morning everyone!!
Strong ts forming in sea is due to that depression I think so!!
Till August 4th & 5th we can have good chances.
oh kk
radar update!!
super intense ts over sea!!!
what is the direction of those storms?
storms moving NW to SE as per radar animation!!
sorry NW to SE
Intense storms has formed Jst off coast of sap ntn during last 2 hours early morning outta nowhere..due to synoptic conditions persisting over n bay..
Will this tgt Chennai???
No its moving away blooming in sea may throw cloudy conditions if expanded
Big blunder again!!! 2 different region of landfall by two different agencies.. seems the system had moved more NE before making the landfall in Chittagong as per jtwc.. IMD points Hatiya island as lf point wich means system had moved nearly north.. Difference may be of 150 to 250kms
Must have been a problem in fixing it’s center due to its elongated llcc
Acc to both the agencies, it was a tropical storm wen it made lf
So rains expected to return after 2 day break
Yes, Chance is there.
Rains to come back after a very short break of 2 days in that too we had isolated showers on 29th july.
Today temp in Chennai is expected to be 35 – 36.
North Tamilnadu might see rains today. Chennai will see intense TS through convecion which will come from west towards evening/night.
Sky Met revised it’s monsoon forecast to 98%
Taking cognizance of July rain, and the updated August and September forecast, we are revising the Monsoon forecast to 98% (normal) of the LPA from 102% issued in April (error margin of +/-4%). There is 63% chance of normal, 35% chance of below normal and 2% chance of drought. Cumulative rainfall for August and September is forecast at 92% and 112% (error margin of +/-9%) of their monthly LPA’s respectively.
The major quantum of rainfall in August is likely to be received during the first fortnight. We expect a break between the 15th and 20th of August, a revival between the 20th and 24th of August and another small circulation at the end of the month. Peninsular India continues to be at risk. North Interior Karnataka, Marathwada and Rayalaseema will be the most vulnerable pockets in India. West Coast too is not likely to revive in a big manner, affecting Konkan region (Mumbai) and Kerala.
The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is presently neutral and is on track to becoming positive in August. This is favorable for the Monsoon.
MJO might not affect August rainfall adversely and might be favorable in September.
http://www.skymetweather.com/content/weather-news-and-analysis/ceos-take-revised-forecast-for-monsoon-2015/
The IMD expects good rainfall in the first 10 days of August, Data from the IMD showed that 23 out of the country’s 36 subdivisions received excess or normal rainfall this season, while some parts of south and east India got less rainfall. The weather office said 73 per cent of the country’s area received excess or normal rainfall this year.
The weather office will issue its next update on the second half of the monsoon season by August 1-2, said Pai. head of long-range forecasting at the IMD.
Read more at:
http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/articleshow/48290043.cms?utm_source=contentofinterest&utm_medium=text&utm_campaign=cppst
If farmers follows skymet, then they cannot do farming.
Good one Shri, thanks for the info.
whats the wrong in skymet? you are worried about 98% revised forecast??
i think even IMD also not up to its mark in both June, and July, it expected dry July, but things were different so far, hence i feel it is not at all fair to pin point just one forecaster, where every one is failing this elnino,
if you see it regional data, western part of the country has huge deficit.
SWM-2015 season will end on September 30th Partha.
West will not catch up make up deficit here on for sure unless a miracle..the rainiest months r over
yeah,june-july is the primary peak season for w.coast.. august scores them according to the synoptic in bay
yes. but thus particular elnino working in different style as the rain-waves are moving very slowly and with strucked-pattern at same area for longer time than normal. So same thing may happen for those rain-deficit areas in second half of the season. so no need to worry 🙂
no single model predicted accurate prediction regarding this SWM-2015
can you read my July forecast, just NW was beyond mine, but all other areas got rains as per my table.
all agencies also forecasted same except NW-deficits. Models miserable failed in predicting abnormal performance of the SWM at NW-India. It looks Elnino-2015 working beyond imagination. so 2nd half anything may happen 🙂
This drought for Rayalaseema and Telangana is the rarest drought in past 20 years
TS period from today or tomorrow and continued till 04th.
As I was saying the time for TS starts mostlyfrom tomorrow, 03rd will be the day of massive and widespread TS.
Partha, No single equatorial wave (OLR) may not be at IO during July31st-August 4th. Then what could be the reason (in your words 🙂 for the expected TSs??
the trough extending from the system over north west bay, this will move in wnw direction from tomorrow.
http://www.business-standard.com/article/economy-policy/monsoon-21-above-normal-between-july-23-29-115073001806_1.html
Historic Worst july rainfall in Telangana Rayalaseema and North interior karnataka.
…probably these figures might be the least in past 100 years
Medak district – 6 mm (normal 148 mm)
Gulbarga – 9 mm (normal 139 mm)
Mahaboobnagar – 15 mm (normal 127 mm)
Hyderabad – 24 mm (normal 136 mm)
kurnool – 34 mm (normal 116 mm)
friend there is a hope that always tomorrows are there, hope it will be a reverse in the coming months as well as in this year NEM
But worried to see clear blue skies with not even a single cloud in hyderabad
Nem should be good for AP with a cyclone/system or two
Massive damage to the crops due to heat and nil rainfall in most parts of kurnool Anantapur mahaboobnagar medak rangareddy nellore ongole bidar gulbaga karimnagar
Poor Farmers:(
Hmm..AP has some hope from the NEM, but TS? No hope for TS…I hope they compensate the poor farmers..
Yes….AP needs minimum 2 strong cyclones…If they hit machili it would do better to Telangana also
Right now they need compensation…but they have a leader who is busy with “water” issues..not drinking or irrigation water..other types of “water”
If they announce compensation also…It would be 2017 by the time the compensation reach them…worst administration here
If YSR had been alive, this unholy mess would never have occurred..but what’s the point in dwelling on the past..future is so bleak..TS should learn from some of the Himalayan and North-Eastern states, excellent administration and infrastructure
That is exactly the people here are thinking…..
We always got floods during YSR gov and mostly droughts during CBN gov..It may be by coincidence.
Anyhow no perfect leader here..
Teknaf 106
Chittagong 100
Sandwip 97
Cox bazaar 68 mm
cox bazaar was expected to top the list as per the 24hr forecast! anyway already they hav got big numbers from tis system
See the intense TS forming in Interior TN along the trough and moving with the trough
Showing intense rains to South AP and east karnataka also
Then today dhamaka only:-)
Finally medak made it first to enter scanty…with almost nil rain in july.Soon mahaboobnagar kurnool nellore are going to enter scanty category…They are only 5 percent
ahead.
I am posting this again, it mainly applicable for north TN and South AP. Wecan expect decent NEM even if October fails.
In some El-nino years, i find this amazing trend in Chennai rainfall. This is only postive analysis.
1918 October got its least rainfall of 11 mm. But november got 1088 mm
1896 October got 75 mm. But november got 832 mm
1997 October got 235 mm. But november got 813 mm
1976 October got 371 mm. But november got 807 mm
1884 October got 382 mm. But november got 851 mm
Ok it looks encouraging only! 🙂
Unfortunate to see ker ktk doing real bad this time..similar case with rayalseema but its a drought prone area..
.
This is the first time in my life that I did not see a perfect rainy day in july in Hyderabad
ha..ha..i had seen in 2002, 2004 & 2009 July at Hyderabad (and most parts of the state) with nil rains. Its common. No need to worry
In these 3 years july rainfall crossed 30 mm…though it is also very low..
But this year below 30 mm..only one day to enter into August
Dry Lands
Dry lands in Tamil Nadu are mostly confined to the rain shadow regions of Western Ghats. The dry lands could be found in Virudhunagar, Sivagangai, Thoothukudi and Ramnad Districts as they fall under this shadow region. In ramnad and tuticorin districts one could find vast tracks of exposed red soil spotted with palm trees and recently infested prosophis sp.; a typical land form of this category looks like the landform found in the photograph.
This photograph was taken at ‘Theri’ near ‘Panchalankurichi’ of Thoothukudi district.
You also forgot the dry lands of Tirunelveli district, and the pattis and thottis of Theni which are mostly in the rain shadow region..Perambalur is dry as a bone, Tiruchi..too many to list
Yes. But the above mentioned districts receives very less rainfall.
Mumbai has received 1,457.2 mm rain since the beginning of monsoon, which is 56.97 per cent of the annual average.The average rainfall of the entire season is 2,558 mm. There has been 56.97 per cent rainfall so far this year as against 59.12 per cent last year.
http://www.mid-day.com/articles/monsoon-gives-city-a-break/16415153
Cloudy and Pleasant Morning due to the outer bands of TS touching land which is located over NE of Chennai
Bombing in Birmingham as Australia Reduced to Ashes
Omg what happened?
England eye massive after just two day’s play with
Australia seven down and leading by just 23 in the second innings of the
third Ashes Test.
Hi plz add me to the August team… I was there in chennai for 5 years.. I witnessed August is the rainiest month in swm.. One of the biggest storm I witnessed is August 21 2011.. When chennai nunga received 16cm … It was a rocking night.. Ts was following up like fire…
The Cyclone Komen has lost impact after making landfall in coastal Bangladesh
http://cherramarathon.com/
We all missed this. Had I knew earlier we could have planned it this year.
Sai,
Keerthi Vasan in Aug or Sep..i think he told Aug..can u chk again?
Kea,
Do u really want to be only in Org team???
I want to be in July team. This july will win easily
eppo paaru edaakoodama oru reply 😀
even google cant translate that
Ask your Son
he gave up on tamil and moved to cbse
whenever see, wrong wrong one badhil
Ok…we will remove u from the contest and place in Org commitee…
Heavy rains in Dhaka. Why schedule cricket match in this month?
What’s Today’s forecast???
intense TS will hit chennai
soopeer:-)
Chennai will witness rains associated with thunder and winds in the evening / night with temperature in the day settling around 36-37C.
woww
1st time you have replied a proper forecast….Congrats
lol
Upper level winds bringing the cirrus outflow of the strong thunderstorm in bay causing the cloudy skies!!
4GB for Rs 98. What kind of fool am I . Does not load even Google search page.
lol..which network?
Tata Docomo.
ok
2g or 3g or 4g:-) lol
2g
Tooki potidi:-) switch to another network… Tata ko Tata solide
Maybe you aren’t a fool, but you’ve been fooled by your service provider lol
Pre-NEM 1st Cyclone. Going the Phailin Way…..No debates based on this.
Aiyo:-(
dont worry….just he is posting for information…but reality ll be different
Thats the spirit:-)
no wonder there is a trough(WD) moving simultaneously ,moreover the track is given for pre nem system
WD trough always pushes any system. It always curves to Bangla / Burma.
More like hudhud
Jupie, Pre-nem cyclone is imminent.
Lol yes no doubt… But where will it go this time???
I think time will answer us
finally july ends with 205mm much more better than june 20.4mm
Guys,
I want the best weather station with the system enables to connect to PC.
If it is available in EMI option, then its fine. I want it before NEM.
Please suggest.
i will mail you. give ur mail-id.
parthasri201477@gmail.com
mail sent.
thanks saw that, but i could not understand on what is that steel rods?
sir, its the IDI THANGI (FREE)
its the mount…click the links.
did you find that hidden guy
its a girl. So partha did not want to probe further.
lol
that is amukkified, avalavuthan…
What u amukkified the girl….?
Massive ball over north TN. Its all mid-high clouds.
So, when we can expect the rain might start
Today Will TS form. Temp is so low. But the Temp and clouds now dont show the truth.
The Temp in Interiors may be high. But high clouds seen there too
NET is failure. Does the cloud indicate any rain. No.
Today’s rain will prove that NET cant be applied all times. Surface Temp nor Surface Temp in city / interior does not matter.
you are 1 confident man
why dont you ask for source
somtimes i fail. But my concepts are always correct. Its not the heat which is creating the TS. Heat is one of the factors.
that cloud over SAP/NTN shows the pull effect from the system over north.
this shows the dip in trough too…
PJ even below the high clouds we can see clouds formation especially cumulus and cumulonimbus.
When these high clouds clears by evening the TS will be sighted it works.
PJ,
Normally if we buy a weather station, wont they give those mounting rods without additional costs.
For example i have seen some other brands also, they have provided the weather monitors and other instruments and they have not said anything about that mounting rods, that means do we need to buy those rods for ourselves, i am confused?
No. Davis wont. Tell someone to buy in US and come. Like Raijin did. Its only half of the cost. Dont buy Weather Station in India.
nothing is free in this world
then why are they showing only the weather instruments?
mounting tripod is not included in the cost.
whats your budget?
Kea,
Dont shout at me, my budget is within 10K.
LOL…
why should I shout?
http://www.aliexpress.com/item/Free-Shipping-Professional-Wireless-Weather-Station-Touch-Panel-with-PC-Interface-Indoor-Outdoor-Weather-Forecast-Station/2023847483.html
Order it now, it will arrive before first rains of NEM
Acurite might be within ur budget
http://www.dhgate.com/product/professional-wireless-weather-station-with/216190036.html#s1-2-7b|3938703672
dh gate is reliable, bought tons of stuff off of them in the US..they deliver worldwide
is delivery free?
China Post, they pack nicely
Partha Sir, the option for you would be to go for an Oregon Scientific WS or an Ambient Weather one. Davis will be too expensive and you have to purchase a tripod separately. You also have to separately buy the Davis PC software which is also expensive
How ’bout this- http://www.dhgate.com/product/professional-wireless-weather-station-with/216190036.html#s1-2-7b|3938703672 – everything included
OMG that look exactly like Ambient Weather
Bloggers considering Weather Station with RG’s can consider this one. You wont find a better package anywhere. Okay it is not a Davis or an Oregon. But it is a weather station that works.
Total cost is $145 which translates to approx. Rs. 9,000.
Shipping is free. Delivery normally takes anywhere between 15 and 45 days.
partha this connects to PC, all softwares included. But your fav tripod is not
What brand is this?
Chinese
Sorry forgot the link
http://www.aliexpress.com/item/Hot-Sell-Professional-Wireless-Weather-Station-Touch-Panel-w-Solar-sensor-w-PC-interface/1663055052.html
We’ve heard of Chinise mobiles.. Here is the Chinese fake version of Ambient Weather, my old weather station!
Lol, they fake everything!
you never know your ambient was made in the same factory
Of course, everything is made in China.
rejects get branded as Ambient
Not everything..we should debate it separately offline lolz
okay agree. 75% in China, 25% in Taiwan
Lol.
Has anyone cared to notice that all Nail Clippers are made only in Korea..reason unknown
aren’t we talking about Electronics here?
Yeah, but talking about stuff not made in India..nothing’s made in India these days..
Nope, most are made in China now.
But atleast it was branded as “Ambient “
Kea, is your Davis showing “Blue Moon” ?
yes of course
Ehsan,
I saw that link of green solution, do i need to order that mounting pole separately?
Partha the 2d link I posted is better.
Pole is included
see the package. Pole is there inside
Early forecasts showing pre NEM cyclone going to N AP. .. not good not good at all 😦
As if it’s going to happen!
I wont even trust forecast on Oct 15th. How come so early?
Hi plz add me to the August team… I was there in chennai for 5 years.. I witnessed August is the rainiest month in swm.. One of the biggest storm I witnessed is August 21 2011.. When chennai nunga received 16cm … It was a rocking night.. Ts was following up like bubble…
One of the greatest storms passed on 1996 in September.
Thunderstorm r cyclone r low pressure area? How much it rained?
hi,thiruvarur man..why three big lines.. one word is enough to justify the month of august.
yes one word “lost”
but ther is a different meaning for august in dictionary!! check it out pj
Just giving example y am choosing August
One more blogger joins the victory team!
better stay with us in September. August is a looser’s team
Will see brother.. Nature is a decider..
Will we get any rain this September? Thats a big question mark
September is meant to be second summer … In Tamil month called PURATASI… Penjalum peyum kanjaluum kayum.. Whether it rains like anything otherwise borne dry.. Tamil old weather analysts (grandfathers) report..
sep is always a hit or miss..wont be widespread,but will be a isolated strong ts ..
chances of missing are high
Poonuruga kaayum Mannuruga peiyyum..This is the right line for september which means land will be heated up like anything in morning and experiences some massive TS to compensate that heat..it is the speciality of tamil month purataasi..
Yes September is a dry month in general
No way
Spot on
Lol spot off
Spot off for Aug
Welcome to August team buddy!
August Team Guys,
Since this is ELNINO year i am with August, otherwise i would have been with September.
September might less number of rainy days than August, but in September even one day rain can pour greater than 10 CM.
I still remember 2013 September 10th night, i was taking my son from hospital for the first time to Urapakkam house, that night we had around 15 CM rainfall.
so u chose august bcos of tis year’s forecast? btw forecast is poised well and good for august!! inactive phase of monsoon-> trough maybe axed twrds north of its actual position-> so peninsula may score good
I will make my friend MJO spoil it.. Only little bribes required
is mjo going to be intense as last one?
Not as of now, but a super typhoon is expected to develop in WP.. That could have an effect on MJO circulation I guess
exactly based on the dynamics present this year and forecasted.
i am sure that second half of august going to get battered over Tamilnadu.
Also september team has to be aware that there is a chance of emerging Positive IOD this month, if so then September rainfall will be affected.
Ny idea when the rains will stop in Rajasthan and Gujarat.. My native flooded.. with JSM to Jodhpur highway blocked
Showers will continue in extreme N and NW Rajasthan today and maybe tomorrow as well, reducing thereafter
ohh Ok
Incase anyone missed out last night’s post, PJ will tally the rainfall data of all the IMD and AGRO stations nearby and I will help if needed. I’m also keeping track of all official stations’ rainfall and have been doing that since July 1st.
In addition, I will also try to maintain the rainfall data of unofficial rain gauges owned by Kea Bloggers. Both the official rain gauge data and the unofficial rain gauge data will be shared on google docs.
are your serious?
Yes. You missed the post last night. I’ve already been maintaining data since July 1st, I’ll create another spreadsheet for unofficial blogger RGs and share it. PJ said he would maintain IMD and AGRO stations and share those as well
Ehsan will share it in 5 mins
Very good heating in all parts of Tamil Nadu except Chennai and Tiruvallur district. But favourable conditions like today’s would witness thunderstorm formation near Tirupati hills too.
Oh no…again school leave?
Yes lol.. School there from Monday onwards
Enjoy
Where … I mean chennai uh?? is that gonna rain like that????
Susa has to tell the reason
South AP will get TS today, especially places around Tirupathi, Kalahasthi and upto Nellore latitude.
Namma Chennai???
I hope everyone remembers September 2nd half action after flop show in the first half last year.. After September 20th 2014, atleast 1 place recorded 10 cm each day till September end and IMD even declared SWM “vigorous” over Tamil Nadu which is a very very rare event.. But sadly winds were from NE during that phase. If something like that happens with winds from land to sea, Chennai will get smashed like it got hit in 2011, 2012 and 2013.
yes as of august and sep …tn cant be full rains shadow region for swm….monsoon axis ll dip to tn and ap
Yes but it is not occurring during the nem
Let it happens anytime as it wish
I want Chennai to rock both aug & sept, hope it happens. A bit greedy 🙂
How’s the cricket match in chennai? Already kohli complained about the chennai heat yesterday in Instagram..
Heat ah it was just 35 C. Kohli is blaming weather for his failure.
Its keatured kohli
CORRECTU!:-P
hello steve….irukiya
Just now he came out from birthday bash delights
He should play in cold England where he is always at his “best”.
He should just shut up and play for the money he is getting.
Looks very cheap.
Hi please add me to september team.
i have taken the decision after i saw a nit full of rains on september 11th 2013.
It was a nit to remember when both nunga and meena received 8cm.i have not seen sep rains like that.
i hope this year too we get gud rains in september.
That’s a wise choice and a concrete winning team
Now the keabkog is well poised.. Interesting two months ahead.. August vs September.. Huhu
Spicy sessions/debate expected ahead… Stay tuned
Watch out
Konkan coast revived from today
Contest is for Nunga or Meena?
Nunga and Meena for August vs September and a contest to predict the wettest place in Chennai for August and for September. This contest would include all the IMD and AGRO rain gauges and the bloggers’ RGs’ data would be obtained for more info and reference!
I will make the bloggers’ RGs spreadsheet after I finish the work I’m doing atm
ATM?
at the moment
But many meanings is there for atm
Yaaravadhu English project “any time money” la pannuvaangala ? :p
Last night odm told the ” nee summave kasu kepiye” to you…
Correct.. My english project is based on a story where money is the main component.
it does not answer my question. Are we taking Nunga or Meena or average of both?
If one station sees a wetter August and another station sees a wetter September, then average
What contest between this two?
I would love to see Kohli suspension for some time. His attitude has completely changed nowadays, he is not fit to be in the team for some time.
Bcoz of love love love
Anushka- ‘nuf said!
lol
why blame the lady.
MSD sensed it in right time to leave the test arena once for all. He knew very well Kohli team will not survive with his attitude. Like Azharuddin with Sangeeta Bijlani Kolhi with Anushka will be in deep…..s……t. He will vanish quickly
Lol
Kohli will retire soon
Whether you like it or not, he will be Indian captain for next 10 years
Happy you said that now everyone will know the fate of Kohli – it is like you said Aussies will bounce back and we are seeing what is happening to them
ha ha. I said Australia will bounce back after 1st test.
They won 2nd test. Now I am saying they will bounce back and win 4th test.
10 years? count me he will be in captainship not more than 3 years
This is for information only
August
2014-222 mm
2013-196mm
2012-90mm
2011-366mm
2010-233mm
September
2014-134mm
2013-241mm
2012-213mm
2011-286 mm
2010-120mm
Atchu r u in aug team or sep team
no doubt august only
August leading
I posted this yesterday, but many of you missed it. Hence I’m posting it again.
”
Here are the average rainfall stats for August and September last 15 years. Shockingly, Nungambakkam and Chennai AP are pretty even whereas Chennai AP has been wetter historically in SWM.
There is one CLEAR winner.
Chennai Nungambakkam last 15 years average rainfall.
————
August : 138.9 mm
September : 162.6 mm
Chennai Meenambakkam Airport
————
August : 139.8 mm
September : 159.2 mm
September has been having the upper hand since 2000.
“
Come on susa…
jeetu u r in which team?
Hybrid electric vs ts season—SEP
Hyb electirc vs ts season is august not september….poor jeetu
Lol good one atchu
Rich atchu…sep not showed his power in recent years
Past is past .. Future is uncertain..
Exactly
So dynamics will change things this time
One half of combo guys appeared
Blog is missing combo guys compact attack
The cyclonic storm ‘KOMEN’ over northeast Bay of Bengal moved northwestwards, weaken into a Deep
depression and lay centred at 0530 hours IST of today, the 31st July, 2015 over Bangladesh near Lat. 23.1°N and
Long. 90.0 °E about 85 km eastsoutheast
of Jessore (Bangladesh). It would move westnorthwestwards
and
weaken in a depression during next 24 hours.
Maddy here is the link. Ehsan we will update it daily. Please announce some contest with prizes too.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1iesWMot4h0vBoxPufTcmlsUPdxmAOvfrbybjnRXGMHw/edit?usp=sharing
Awesome!
Superb work.
who will fill the columns
What hppn to keaadhar card?
today only i got aadhaar. it will take time for other-aadhaar
Kea has already appointed you as a chief head…infact he is waiting for further updates regarding that
me and maddy.
PJ, which one can be compared with my area
you take which place got thunders
I meant readings
Madhavaram – https://www.google.co.in/maps/dir/Madhavaram,+Chennai,+Tamil+Nadu/Perambur,+Chennai,+Tamil+Nadu/@13.1304108,80.2241325,13z/data=!4m14!4m13!1m5!1m1!1s0x3a5264db59c3d4b5:0x9be03109019f05f!2m2!1d80.2309861!2d13.147819!1m5!1m1!1s0x3a5265054291a09b:0x276fe51caf7b48d3!2m2!1d80.2316646!2d13.1160178!3e0
Kohli doomed –
கிரிக்கெட் வீரர்களின் மனைவி, காதலிகளுக்கு இலங்கை டூரில் அனுமதி மறுப்பு!(BCCI refuses to allow cricketers wife and their girl friends tour to Sri Lanka
Earlier it used to be like this- Anushka waves from the balcony..come soon hun, remember our movie date..Kohli says ok ok 5 mins..goes to bat, promptly gets out, breaks his bat and the umpire’s nose..hits the bowler..blames the match officials..and walks back and disappears with Anushka..Her name reminds me of Kuskha which I used to eat in college!! That reminds me..need to eat!
it is foreign culture, previously our team members were never allowed to go with their wags,
Super ooo Super
Special rule implemented for kohli
Lol (ABJ) poor.. Rofl
im expecting minimum 35c for today….but struggling to cross 34c it seems
Couldn’t agree with you more. I am also hoping minimum temp will be 35’c hahaha..then max will be what 50’c?
English option is Available
They use their allocated funds properly while IMD doesn’t 😦
Since July got over at 8:30 am today, we can conclude that Skymet failed badly.
skymet goes with iod…but iod failing to be positive till
Lol IMD fails on most occasions..someone should make a list of all existing IMD sites, of course created by wasting tax payers’ hard-earned money..
IMD has been much more accurate this SWM though. Skymet is full of vetti bandha with 0 performance.
Totally agree, but IMD can delete so many useless websites in it’s kitty.
Not so useless thy hold innumerable datas if only ppl kno how to use them
Every city and district does not need it’s own website. 1 website each for East (cover NE too), West, N, and S, and one for the Himalayas (which has it’s own peculiarities) will suffice.
Well yes the high number of websites makes the update very very slow, but it is necessary due to the size of the country. The USA might be big, but data for each and every station isn’t available from the late 19th century here which is why IMD is special. But yes they can improve a lot
One bad ass website with all the info vs 10 clumsy websites with all the info, I am sure Indians design many websites worldwide, definitely we have the brains to revamp, but laaazzzyyyyy!!
We can’t expect more unless it’s a private organization :p
Cyclone ‘Komen’ weakens into deep depression
========================================
After weakening into deep depression, the system moved West-Northwestwards and lay centred over Bangladesh, about 360 km north east of Balasore. It would further move West-Northwestwards and weaken into a depression in the next 24 hours, it said.
Under its impact, rain and thundershower would occur in most places in Odisha. Heavy to very heavy rainfall in some places with isolated extremely heavy rainfall would occur in northern part of the state and heavy rainfall at one or two places in southern part in the next 24 hours.
http://www.deccanchronicle.com/150731/nation-current-affairs/article/cyclone-komen-weakens-deep-depression
Can anyone give your feedback on this, this includes even the mounting brackets and connects PC too.
http://www.acurite.com/8-pro-digital-weather-station-with-weather-ticker-pc-connect-01035.html
September team is too much crowded i think. I wish to be in August team 🙂
Welcome;-)
I also want to be part of August team.
Vandhitanya..cooling glass karan vandhitan!!
Kolkata’s radar showing dragon snake wall of ts from komen
Ppl r forgetting tat it is very tricky to predict accurately all the time particulaly in a tropical country like India…
But the problem is IMD can forecast well.. Just refusing to change :p
Rome wasn’t built in a day…. We have observed some changes in last few months in IMD’s attitude.
Flash News,
July rainfall across the country is 15% below normal.
July rainfall as forecasted from 01st to 29th July was 15% below normal.
The highest contributor was South India with -46%. The rainfall giants of West Coast not revived entire month. Many agencies were believed the MJO in the second half of July, but i was saying from the beginning that MJO will never going to help July rainfall this time.
The link from IMD below and my prediction made on 29th June 2015.
The only deviation from my prediction is NW and South India.
NW has reported 5% excess and South Deficit.
http://www.imd.gov.in/section/nhac/dynamic/Monsoon_frame.htm
This forecast gave by me on 29th June 2015 for July month
Rainfall During July 2015
Keeping in mind that ELNINO peaking this month, hence mostly UAC’s likely than LOW’s. There
might be lots of Upper to Mid Air Disturbances, this will benefit SE Coast of India and bring
lesser rainfall over the main regions of SWM impacting.
NW and Extreme North India likely to get below normal rainfall in July.
East India likely to get Near Normal Rainfall.
NE India Normal rainfall expected.
Central India likely to get Normal Rainfall.
South India Excess Rainfall.
West Coast to get Below Normal to Normal Rainfall.
Overall this July likely to be Below Normal all over India.
1. July first week NE, South and West Coast will get good rainfall.
2. The peaking of the season likely in the Mid of July from 13th to 20th.
From July 14th South India will get good numbers and West Coast will get the same
pattern from 17th or 18th July, will continue till 21st. TN will get good rainfall during first week and
mid of July. Tamil Nadu overall likely to get above normal rainfall during this month.
Note – The above forecast is based on IOD stays neutral, if it becomes Positive all the above
forecast might change vice versa.
Mettur dam will be opened on Aug 9th
Still not yet picking up radar.
Hama.. Yeppo Radar Active avum
After 2pm:-)
🙂
Sari..Lunch k poit waren:-)
At present enjoy be seeing kolkata radar
It will be late show today.
Looks a challenging day
dont send msgs on 2nd Aug
friendship day,
Is Axis dipping so low in August.
Kiran August looks very good for Andhra/ Telangana in long run GFS.
Even for kerala..
Very good news PJ…. 🙂
Moderate rains are back in the west coast as forecast earlier. Rainfall ending 8:30 am on July 31st.
————————-
Trasi – 92
Halkod – 81
Haleyangady – 66
Kanakumbi – 50
Kere – 48
Nemmar – 48
Agumbe – 47
Mangalore Pananmbur – 40
Sanguem – 38
Honavar – 27
Valpoi – 27
Such exotic names, are some of the places in Africa?!
There are names like Mudibidre, Mani, Manki, Mulki, etc.. So confusing
OMG Komen’s LLCC is visible in Kolkata radar near Khulna which is “KHL”
nice one.
Burma Rainfall
The noteworthy amounts of rainfall recorded were Maungdaw (9.53)inches,
Kyaukpyu (8.98)inches, Paletwa (7.56)inches, Kyauktaw (6.77)inches,
Hakha (6.65)inches, Ann (5.90)inches, Myauk U and Myaungmya (5.43)inches
each, Thandwe (5.23)inches, Mindat (4.92)inches, Taungkok (4.65)inches
and Hlegu (4.29)inches.
http://www.dmh.gov.mm/myanmar-daily-weather-report-100
is it due to komen?
yes
Aerially it will be less.
Could be…but rains never misses when Anna nagar to puzhal battered…
why kea still include june as wettest month in polls…..who will vote for june???
OMG! 3 votes for june….who are they????
lol.
So much of rain has fallen just 50-100 km west of Kolkata, probably accumulating to 200 mm while the city has missed out a major portion of it.. If Chennai was in Kolkata’s place, Komen would’ve faced many insults and bad words. It looks like Kolkata’s cyclone Jal.