KeaWeather teams up with Deccan Chronicle for daily forecasts in Chennai, Coimbatore & Madurai editions

Starting from today, Deccan Chronicle will carry forecasts from KeaWeather. This is the biggest step for KeaWeather since the blog started 9 years ago. Would like to thank all bloggers for making it happen.

deccan

1,442 thoughts on “KeaWeather teams up with Deccan Chronicle for daily forecasts in Chennai, Coimbatore & Madurai editions

  1. WOW…kea and fellow bloggers wish you (me to 🙂 all good luck for making it grand entry to 4th estate of the constitution i.e. print media.

    Be more responsible to take our blog to higher heights in future too 🙂

  2. Congratulations to all the bloggers.. Collective effort has paid! From now, we have a social responsibility as well.. So request everybody to keep raising the quality of the blog.. Congratulations captain Ehsan ji!

  3. Congratulations to ehsan and entire team. This is just the beginning due to the consistent hardwork over the last 8+ yrs. Cherish the moment and happy responsible blogging for attaining greater heights.

  4. super….flash…

    (1) As everyone expecting SOI may not decrease sharply and stay permanently at -ve values. SOI will show frequent increase in values.
    (2) Moreover BOM revised that IOD to increase further to previous forecasts during July, august and September months.

    In conclusion:
    SWM will be in normal-excess mode during July, August and September months.

    Note:
    1) After skymet, I am also too +ve regarding normal SWM prediction.
    2) This normal SWM rainfall doesn’t result in bad NEM. So no worries about NEM-2015 🙂

  5. Congrats to Eshan, PJ and other fellow bloggers who made this to happen. Let us all be more responsible in the posts hereafter because there will be huge visit of newcomers to the blog in the coming days. Let us not disappoint the decision of Deccan Chronicle. And hope there will be strict moderation of unwanted posts. God be with us.

  6. Congrats to Kea. One small step but a big leap forward. From now on, you will be watched by the outside world and so more responsibility on the bloggers to provide analytical discussion in the forum.

  7. BoM made crucial July month IOD in +ve mode, this will reduce the troubles in SWM-rains.

    Most interestingly BOM reduced IOD amplitude from august onwards. This low amplitude in IOD will enhance the BOB-vortices. So we can expect more synoptic systems from august onwards.

    It looks like NEM-2015 will witness very active BOB-cyclone season. I am expecting Chennai will brace 2 direct named-cyclones in NEM-2015.

  8. Its not too early to say that SWM-2015 will end at normal mode. Please note that international agencies (even IMD) has poor record in estimating SWM-rainfall in advance.

    For example:
    All agencies underestimated SWM in 2012, 2013 & 2014 continuously.

      • Expecting that SWM won’t take much time to become active again over peninsular India. During next 1 week SWM will cover remaining N/NW India with widespread rainfalls.

        It looks again Uttarakhand (adjoining Nepal) will be in flash flood situation like SWM-2013 avalanche phenomenon 😦

  9. Super KEA Congratulations!!! This A Big Milestone Hope We Also Tie Up With Hindu and Big Papers Soon!!!

  10. Great day for Kea Team…..Congrats everyone……Congrats to the Unknown one who took the initiative 4 months back. Very happy.

  11. Lets see what will happen to next phase of SWM-2015 as every where there are favorable active synoptic conditions.

  12. Happy to see a achievement title in morning..congrats to kea team and for their hard work which resulted a milestone..This day will be the memorable day for us..Thanks for them who have been worked for this.. Great & congrats again..

  13. Woww.A great news! Congratulations to KEA and our blog members…something which every single blogger should be proud of this 🙂 feeling really happy.wat to go buddies!!!

  14. Inspite of various agencies like ecmwf indicating positive iod ,In latest bulletin imd still sticks with basin wide warming &neutral iod for entire year!!

  15. Congratulations Kea Weather . Thanks Deccan Chronicle. .
    Wouldn’t have been possible if not for the passion. Enthusiasm and never ending pursuit of seeking knowledge in a subject like climatology and weather. Every single bloggers contributions right from the inception has paved way for what we have seen today. .

    The journey is on, has just begun so to say..let’s show the same Zeal and Zest to gather more knowledge and wisdom..

    Let’s be guarded and grounded in this journey…

    • Now the organizer of the party/meeting posting is keatured once Ramadan is over we can be rest assured for a big event

  16. Congratulations kea for this great work and congrats for everyone for this effort …way to go!!!

  17. Ecm, Gfs expecting current arb sea depression to intensify into deep depression and make Landfall in Gujarat coast. This system will move in land and trigger monsoon onset over North west India.

  18. Congrats kea. I have been following your weather updates for past five years and it has been super impressive and spot on. Way to go:)

  19. Congrats KEA, all Experts, and fellow bloggers, this is a phenomenal achievement, We are moving in the right direction, I know one day we will be in this starting step, Happy it started this much early, I know our experts with their knowledge and passion will do wonders, Way to go,
    Again congrats to KEA and All friends.

  20. Daily featuring of weather updates in Deccan chronicle by kea blog is the greatest success achieved till now..
    I wish the blog features weather updates for entire nation soon in all National newspapers.

  21. According to the India Meteorological Department (IMD), monsoon is likely to set over Delhi and the adjoining states on June 25, three days ahead of the normal onset date.
    “Our earlier forecast still holds good. Though we get fairly high cumulative rainfall in June, we may have dry spells in July and August,” IMD director general (meteorology) Laxman Singh Rathore said.
    Sky met contradicts IMD in predicting normal rainfall for July.

    http://indiatoday.intoday.in/story/monsoons-hit-delhi-early-june25-india-meteorological-department/1/446373.html

  22. Congratulations every one for the big step taken. All of your hard work paid off, the blog will fly more and more higher in the days to come.

  23. Monsoon 21% higher than normal till now
    According to the Met department, the quantum of rainfall during June 1-22 has been 126.1 millimetres, which is above normal by 21% from the benchmark of 103.8 mm arrived on the basis of a 50-year average shower.

    On the region wise distribution of rainfall, the central India has observed maximum amount of rain and is surplus by a huge 45% of benchmark while the south peninsula has experienced 35% more rainfall than normal so far. The east and northeast regions have received 3% more rainfall than the normal. However, rainfall in the northwest region is deficient by 7%, largely due to less rain in Uttar Pradesh.

    The Met department has also predicted that the rainfall over the country is likely to be 92% of LPA during July and 90% of LPA during August.

    http://www.financialexpress.com/article/markets/commodities/monsoon-21-higher-than-normal-till-now/88671/

  24. Congratulations to all kea bloggers and kea himself, wonderful achievement.

    We can give lots of inputs and remain silent, but when we get these kind of recognitions, that is the time we get satisfied, that satisfaction and happiness cannot be fulfilled by any other means.

    This gives me lot to cherish in future and motivating to learn and write more and more in the coming years.

    Keep Rocking Friends.

    • Absolutely Paartha..Spot on,,This blog is indebted to all the old timers who have contributed and still contributing so much since its inception..Few may not be here right now..Its fitting that they deserve all the accolades,,

    • Is it going to be heavy rains today for Coimbatore? We could have added that to DC edition..

      • We added. due to Space constraint it was removed. We are working on this. Heavy rainfall warning will be added once space is finalized.

  25. MJO in Phase 5, still the effect over India. The impact is still available over the country even though MJO is in West Pacific.

    The extension of moisture can be seen in the following picture, as the blue lines depicts the same, this is why SWM is very very active till date and given excess rainfall so far.

  26. Scientists claim breakthrough in improving monsoon predictions
    Scientists have made a breakthrough in predicting monsoon rainfall over India after studying more than half-a-century of data for rainy season
    The IITM team observed in the paper that strong extra-tropical sea surface temperature anomalies in the North Pacific and North Atlantic along with weak tropical sea surface temperature anomalies were responsible for the above-normal rainfall over India during 2013.
    sea surface temperatures will prove to be important predictors on those years when El Nino is not there. You might recall 2013 when monsoon was above normal. That time, the sea surface temperatures in North Pacific and Atlantic proved to be important predictors,”

    http://www.livemint.com/Politics/dlGVN4ZNt5yo2Vc5YvQgAP/Scientists-claim-breakthrough-in-improving-monsoon-predictio.html

    • i hav observed on many occasions when monsoon fails ,the study gets focused on warm eastern equ indian ocean and when monsoon gets good status,the reason could be of all possible signs they see elsewhere apart from tat eastern indian ocean.

  27. Just out of curiosity – is smoke emanating elsewhere in Chennai after Kea-DC teaming up in Daily forecast!!

  28. Sriram, IMD average for 3months of SWM = June-120%+ JULY-92%+August-90 coming around 100.6% It looks according to IMD also SWM will be ending on normal mode. Note: by assuming September as normal.

      • Actually in a Elnino year, if JUNE records normal/excess, in that year SWM never failed and recorded in normal category. For example if we take strong Elnino years like 1957, 1965, 1972, 1982, 1987 and 1997; then both 1957 and 1997 June recorded normal-june SWM rains. So both 1957 & 1997 ended as normal SWM years. All other strong Elnino years with deficit-Junes, SWM ended in deficits.

      • good, but according to D.S.Pai, Chief Forecaster at the IMD, ” The correlation between the June rainfall and the performance of the monsoon does not take into account the El Nino years,” El Nino can badly affect the monsoon.
        As Dr. Pai pointed out, the previous three El Nino years —
        1991, 2002 and 2004 — have seen normal to above-normal rainfall in June,but the overall monsoon was below-normal to deficient.
        source: Hindu

  29. Congratulations to KEA blog..feeling proud i am too part of it..wish we may team up with some news channel as well and someone presenting the weather report like bbc or cnn..waiting for that day

  30. this june supposed to be the wettest (we initially predicted) is turning out to be one of the driest. when do we get our first Powerful TS

  31. Hearty Congratulations to Kea Team! It is a late but well deserved recognition for the passion exhibited by Kea and our blogger friends from the outset.

    At this moment, i would like to reiterate something which i posted last year. I’m not sure how many of you remember this…

    https://disqus.com/home/discussion/keaweatherchennai/attention_turns_to_arabian_sea/#comment-1651670453

    Everything else still holds true (and has to be followed in future too) except the following lines… 🙂

    “this blog is not being run for providing any official forecast for the Country or assist any Govt. agency in weather forecasting or providing reports to the Press”

    Keep Rocking Team !!!

    Endrum Ungal
    Dash

  32. “For blog founder Ehsan Ahmed, the involvement of these young minds in Kea weather has only added more value. “Despite studying in school, these kids are very enthusiastic and are able to spend extra time on weather-related research,” Ehsan said. “Based on my interaction with them, I feel these three bring in new inputs and fresh ideas,” he enthused.” -Well said

  33. Nilgiris getting historic rainfall, Parsons Valley gets 1000 mm in just 3 days
    ===========================================
    The offshore trough at mean sea level from south Gujarat coast to north Kerala coast persists. Since, i started compilation of heavy rainfall from 2009. This is the
    heaviest rains in Nilgiris district.

    Parsons Valley last 3 days rainfall
    ————————-
    20.06.2015 – 342 mm
    21.06.2015 – 230 mm
    22.06.2015 – 398 mm
    ================
    970 mm in 3 days
    ================

    Avalanche last 3 days rainfall
    ————————-
    20.06.2015 – 225 mm
    21.06.2015 – 182 mm
    22.06.2015 – 324 mm
    ================
    731 mm in 3 days
    ================

    Upper Bhavani last 3 days rainfall
    —————————
    20.06.2015 – 240 mm
    21.06.2015 – 133 mm
    22.06.2015 – 135 mm
    ================
    508 mm in 3 days
    ================

    Tamil Nadu Rainfall in mm ending 8.30 am on 22.06.2015
    ========================

    Parsons Valley – 398
    Avalanche – 324
    Emerald – 147
    Periyar – 141
    Upper Bhavani – 135
    Sholayar – 108
    Valparai Pto – 82
    Valparai PAP – 79
    Sandyanallah – 67
    Ketti – 66
    Devala – 66
    Manomboly – 62
    Glenmorgan – 60
    Upper Kodayar – 50
    Uthagamandalam – 50
    Kodimudiyaru – 50
    G Bazar – 48
    Naduvattam – 44
    Pykara – 43
    Valparai Taluk Office -40
    Lower Kodayar – 33
    Pechiparai – 33
    Kundha Bridge – 32
    Mylaudy – 30
    Papanasam – 28
    Nallar – 24
    Karupandhi – 24
    Palmore – 23
    Karuthancode – 22
    Servalar – 21
    Thenkasi – 21
    Nagercoil – 21
    Thirumoorthy -20
    Amaravathy – 20
    Ramnadhi – 20
    Pollachi – 20
    Eravangalar – 20
    Lower Papanasam – 20

    Kea Weather – http://blog.keaweather.org/index_current.php?id=1354

    Vagaries Rainman – http://tamilnaduweatherman.blogspot.in/p/blog-page_2.html

    Tamil Nadu Weatherman – https://www.facebook.com/tamilnaduweatherman

  34. OMG. Never seen anything like this in TN. Its Cherrapunji type rainfall.

    Parsons Valley today 392 mm. Around 1400 mm in 4 days.
    Avalanche 245 mm today. Around 1000 mm in 4 days.

    Periyar posts 118 mm rainfall. the second 100 mm after it got 141 mm yesterday.

  35. Am following Kea since 2012, am a reader, not contribute to this blog any, but I am happy today.. Big thanks to Kea & Team. Who all puts effort without any expectations.

  36. Looks like monsoon is getting active yet again after a day’s break in South Interior Karnataka. Low level clouds have completely covered Bangalore.

    • Yes as kerala started to get rains and also places above kerala so definitely bangalore Will see the effect of swm

  37. Pookot in Waynad gets 179 mm and Thariode in wayand gets 162 mm. So more inflow into Kabini dam.

  38. So its Keaweather vs IMD on very first day. Kea predicts large parts of TN to be dry today, where as IMD predicts VS rains for large parts of TN.

  39. ELNINO Consolidates.

    NINO 3 increased from 1.5 to 1.7
    NINO 3.4 from 1.3 to 1.4
    NINO 4 from 1.2 to 1.1

    SST has reduced in West Pacific that is NINO 4 and increased over East Pacific in NINO 3.

    Water in the top 75 m of the far eastern Pacific is more than 5 °C warmer than average.

    Reversal of Trade winds sustains at times.
    Cloudiness near the Date Line is also increased and consistent.

    This indicates the perfect ELNINO emerged already and the intensity cannot be said at the moment as the ELNINO will peak late in the second of the year

    Positive IOD is again not clear.

    http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/
    http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/#tabs=Trade-winds
    http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/#tabs=Cloudiness
    http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/#tabs=Indian-Ocean

  40. Wow Swm giants rainfall picking up, this ll lead over all tamilnadu rainfall to some excess conditions….

  41. El Niño consolidates

    The 2015 El Niño continues to strengthen. Central and eastern tropical Pacific Ocean sea surface temperature indices are more than 1 °C above average for the sixth consecutive week. International climate models surveyed by the Bureau of Meteorology indicate further consolidation is likely. El Niño events typically strengthen during the second half of the year, reaching full strength during late spring or early summer. It is not possible at this stage to determine how strong this El Niño will be.

    El Niño is typically associated with below-average winter and spring rainfall over eastern Australia and above-average daytime temperatures over the southern half of the country during the second half of the year. The strength of an El Niño does not always determine the strength of its effects on Australia’s climate. There are examples of weak El Niño events resulting in widespread drought and strong El Niño events with little impact on rainfall.

    The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is currently neutral. Of the five international models that provide IOD outlooks, three suggest a positive IOD is likely during the southern spring. A positive IOD is typically associated with reduced winter and spring rainfall over parts of southern and central Australia.

  42. El Niño consolidates

    The 2015 El Niño continues to strengthen. Central and eastern
    tropical Pacific Ocean sea surface temperature indices are more than 1
    °C above average for the sixth consecutive week. International climate
    models surveyed by the Bureau of Meteorology indicate further
    consolidation is likely. El Niño events typically strengthen during the
    second half of the year, reaching full strength during late spring or
    early summer. It is not possible at this stage to determine how strong
    this El Niño will be.

    El Niño is typically associated with below-average winter and spring
    rainfall over eastern Australia and above-average daytime temperatures
    over the southern half of the country during the second half of the
    year. The strength of an El Niño does not always determine the strength
    of its effects on Australia’s climate. There are examples of weak El
    Niño events resulting in widespread drought and strong El Niño events
    with little impact on rainfall.

    The Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) is currently neutral. Of the five
    international models that provide IOD outlooks, three suggest a positive
    IOD is likely during the southern spring. A positive IOD is typically
    associated with reduced winter and spring rainfall over parts of
    southern and central Australia.

  43. Congratulations KEA Weather (Ehsan and Team) on teaming up with DC. This will take our blog to a whole new higher level and i am sure that in no time we will be forecasting for the entire country. I can sense that day coming soon.

    And i can even sense that the number of bloggers are going to increase exponentially and we need to keep rocking with the same tempo like we have been doing till this moment.

    Once again Congrats Ehsan and would also like to congratulate the experts (PJ, Susa, Selva, GTS, Rao, Guest11k, Partha, Vinodh Chellam, Jupi and etc etc, Sorry if i have missed any). This would’nt have been possible without any of you!!!

  44. Mumbai Scruz recorded 89mm rainfall ending 8:30am today. With this seasonal total crosses 1000 mm mark. Total stands at 1039mms from 1 June till today ending 8.30am. With this break it’s old time record of highest rain of 1037 mm which was in June 1971.

    Infact it has broken the all time record today for June rains..
    Report courtesy- Abhijit Modak-Vagaries weather..

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