After comfortable 3-4 days today expected to be warmer with max touching around 35-36. Yesterday evening many areas in the city received suprise showers.
The circulation over the arabian sea has shifted slightly west and is covered by huge cloud mass. An anitcyclone has developed over top of the cyclone which is providing the good outflow to the system.The vertical wind shear is low over the centre and moderate towards the gujarat.SST is favorable with some pockets of highly favourable SST near the gujarat coast.Models are developing the system into a tropical cyclone with ECMWF intensifying this low pressure specially when it reaches close to gujarat coast where there are area very warm waters. This is looks like a normal low pressure and not like Monsoon depression which forms in north bay of bengal.Shear is marginally favorable but outflow and the SST values are favorable with some pockets extremely favorable warm waters.The low pressure will move towards the Gujarat coast as the monsoon trough is well established over the India.
The Depression over the bay of bengal has partially made landfall and is pulling lot of moisture towards the AP and orrisa,Still a part of the circulation is over bay of bengal. Very heavy rain will continue for parts of coastal and interior of north AP and orrisa and is slowly progress towards the Madya pradesh,chattisgarh and parts of eastern maharastra.
same depression formed in 2009…created havoc in kurnool…..there is also a chance for triggering of heavy rainfall near karwar and honavar stetch in karnataka
since it formed in september it was under low shear going by the satellite picture of 2009 depression.And it seems to be big in size.
And is not a typical SWM depression as it has formed in September where the conditions gets better. Only the storm which forms in late june,july and august has the characteristic of the current depression in bay
which month did that depression form?
september ending….and triggired 430 mm rainfall along west coast and kurnool got 235mm in a single day…krishna and tungabadra rivers overflowed and killed many people
initially it is like this depression only but as it is partially in land and partially in sea it caused wide spread rain in interiors also
That 2009 looked in good shape. The current one has poor structure
The systems forming in october will have moderate shear values along odisha coast.Due to interaction of hot air from the south with cold indian land mass….depression forms above 14 degree latitude and frequency of cloud distribution will be in high range…..thus it will trigger rainfall along the west coast by pull effect and also can cause wide spread rainfall…..
eg: cyclone hudhud
cyclone phailin
2010 odisha depression
2009 BOB4
2005 deep depression…….these systems are very intense than july and august systems
kurnool will get thunderstorms
Some huge numbers expected in Telangana and Srikakulam districts.
wow!!!sun coming slightly making red sky in the east………i believe that such sky will cause TS evening….i don’t know the real concept why this happens….any one who knows this pls post here….. 🙂
its due to high moisture content and dust which gets reflected.And its said to be an indication of wet weather. But i am not sure whether it holds good for our region.
Wettest Day in Maharashtra – Patherpunji crosses 300 mm as predicted
==========================
Its the 2nd 300 mm rainfall for Maharashtra after Dharavi 310 mm on 19th June. As expected, Patherpunj records 336 mm other Ghats such as Navaja, Koyna records over 250 mm
Heavyweights such as Mahabaleshwar, Gaganbawada, Dajipur all have recorded over 150 mm.
Today rainfal in Maharashtra is going to be special.
No nothing Jon. Gaganbawada 34 cm twodays back was just 34 mm.
dharavi mumbai suburb received 33cm on 19th
Ok i missed it. Then Second 300 mm of the Season. I dont think any other station crossed 300 mm
Yeur touched 290
31 cm
Durajon, Dharavi, is very much heart of the city sandwiched between Sion n Bandra. Asia’s largest slum colony. (Don’t know whether I can use the word Slum) Dharavi is just about 13 kms from VT Station.
Ya I be heard abt dharavi
How about kodagu and Nilgiris today? Already madikeri crossed 9CM.Can we expect big numbers elsewhere from kodagu and nilgiris
I think there wont be long dry spell…Many models reduced rainfall to TN AP and South east Rayalaseema after tuesday….
But this is long range…need not believe it completely
Warm day possibility over Tamilnadu and Thunder Stroms expected over North Tamilnadu and Its going to be hot over South coastal Tamilnadu with Max around 38 – 39
Dinagar, always check for the storage amount than the height of the dam. Average inflow of 11000 cusecs is 1 tmc. Whereas the inflow in kabini is 2100 cusecs. If the inflow is at this rate, the balance 10tmc will be filled in 50 days.
Unusual temperature recorded yesterday nearing 39 in south coastal regions from nagai to tuty due to effect of depression, May continue 2-3 days…. anyway I escaped..
Eventhough sunny, surface Winds are pretty very very strong Trichy areas like “sooravali kaatru” day nd night, which makes comfortable stay.. 🙂
Congrats Partner…i thought you will give interview today in some FM/TV channel on the occassion of Yoga Day about role of Yoga in weather forecasting 😀
Haha :D…..U forgot to call me to give ur valuable inputs , then how will I proceed …:(
Massive Rains in Nilgiris and Coimbatore, Tamil Nadu rainfall ending 8.30 am on 20.06.2015
===========================================
The well marked low pressure area over Bay of Bengal, off South Odisha and North Andhra Pradesh coasts has concentrated into a Depression. The System would cross Odisha coast between Gopalpur and Puri on 21st afternoon.
The first monsoon depression of this SWM was off shore at Puri at 5:30 IST today. It crossed the coast and has now embedded itself in the monsoon trough, and lies over interior Orissa. It has brought in very heavy rainfall in Telangana, coastal AP, southern Chhatisgarh and southern Orissa as expected. The trough has caused decent rainfall in Vidarbha too.
Heavy thundershowers and rains likely in interior and mountainous regions of Orissa, parts of Telangana, Vidarbha and eastern Madhya Pradesh, and widespread activity in southern Chhattisgarh.
It will move along the monsoon axis till east MP in the next 2 days. A trough is likely to extend eastwards from this system as the monsoon trough would turn active. This trough will host a UAC over West Bengal and neighbourhood triggering a heavy and much needed SWM spell over the Gangetic delta.
No heat tmrw just 33 I think but yesterday gud rains in northand some parts of central chn tdy max will be 35to36 so there is gud chances of heavy showers tdy wait and watch:-)
Yes, there is an amazing simulator for that, not the one I showed you. Clearly shows effect of isolated mountains… Pattern is related to Karman vortex
Yes Susa , it starts of as small packets of moisture accumulating and over a period of time works together with other conducive factors to produce a result what we need……..effective initial contributors though
Thanks for the info susa 🙂 🙂 gets easy to search with ..
No prob GTS! Came to my mind a few days ago, but I forgot about it by the time I came to blog.. You reminded me with your post this time!
🙂
Shall we create an artificial mountains near “chennai”??
Something like that has already been proposed by Dr.T.K Krishnamurthy , from FSU , near Javadu hills
Mountain range near Kanchipuram would make NEM give 1500 mm+ regularly at Chennai 🙂
If 6000 meters height mountains are present west to chennai…then how much rain will fall in chennai
Hehe… 1500-2000 is enough for Chennai to compete with Mumbai in terms for annual rainfall.. But majority of it depends on slope
Lol 6000 mts. Himachal range mountains …we may even see snow capped ranges in TN(core tropics)…
Dapoli is rocking!!
Rainfall last few days.
———————-
14th – 63 mm
15th – 60 mm
16th – 26 mm
17th – 21 mm
18th – 71 mm
19th – 140 mm
20th – 201 mm (Till 6:30 am)
21st – 191 mm
22nd – 22 mm so far
Total rainfall from 14th = 795 mm (800 + if you include last 2 hours of 20th of which data isn’t available)
Looks like forecasts on rainfall from BOB 01 have been spot on.. Because it was easy to predict :p Massive rains, I’ll post rainfall figures when IMD data comes out
BoB systems are good as they try to drag the moisture from arabian into west-coast and further interiors. But arabian systems are main culprits as they hold the mositure (lot more damage if they deviate towards gulf). For example we had seen how Ashobaa dragged all the mositure into it.
What about evening rains for today?
Most of the day today, kea weather station will be offline. Severe electrical problem at home.
Hi All,
Temp likely to touch 35C from today onwards…
Ratnagiri 171, dapoli 168,devgad 90, colaba 60,thane 54mm
flash…after this active SWM-spell, rainfall going to reduce drastically till july 2nd week 😦
so sad for us sir!!! 😦
The circulation over the arabian sea has shifted slightly west and is covered by huge cloud mass. An anitcyclone has developed over top of the cyclone which is providing the good outflow to the system.The vertical wind shear is low over the centre and moderate towards the gujarat.SST is favorable with some pockets of highly favourable SST near the gujarat coast.Models are developing the system into a tropical cyclone with ECMWF intensifying this low pressure specially when it reaches close to gujarat coast where there are area very warm waters. This is looks like a normal low pressure and not like Monsoon depression which forms in north bay of bengal.Shear is marginally favorable but outflow and the SST values are favorable with some pockets extremely favorable warm waters.The low pressure will move towards the Gujarat coast as the monsoon trough is well established over the India.
rains reduced in north and central AP…..today there is a fair chance of TS around chennai
The Depression over the bay of bengal has partially made landfall and is pulling lot of moisture towards the AP and orrisa,Still a part of the circulation is over bay of bengal. Very heavy rain will continue for parts of coastal and interior of north AP and orrisa and is slowly progress towards the Madya pradesh,chattisgarh and parts of eastern maharastra.
interior regions will get electrical storms.
same depression formed in 2009…created havoc in kurnool…..there is also a chance for triggering of heavy rainfall near karwar and honavar stetch in karnataka
2009?
hmm….do you remember that event vinodh???
No sai . i did not monitor that depression 😦
since it formed in september it was under low shear going by the satellite picture of 2009 depression.And it seems to be big in size.
And is not a typical SWM depression as it has formed in September where the conditions gets better. Only the storm which forms in late june,july and august has the characteristic of the current depression in bay
which month did that depression form?
september ending….and triggired 430 mm rainfall along west coast and kurnool got 235mm in a single day…krishna and tungabadra rivers overflowed and killed many people
initially it is like this depression only but as it is partially in land and partially in sea it caused wide spread rain in interiors also
That 2009 looked in good shape. The current one has poor structure
The systems forming in october will have moderate shear values along odisha coast.Due to interaction of hot air from the south with cold indian land mass….depression forms above 14 degree latitude and frequency of cloud distribution will be in high range…..thus it will trigger rainfall along the west coast by pull effect and also can cause wide spread rainfall…..
eg: cyclone hudhud
cyclone phailin
2010 odisha depression
2009 BOB4
2005 deep depression…….these systems are very intense than july and august systems
kurnool will get thunderstorms
Some huge numbers expected in Telangana and Srikakulam districts.
wow!!!sun coming slightly making red sky in the east………i believe that such sky will cause TS evening….i don’t know the real concept why this happens….any one who knows this pls post here….. 🙂
its due to high moisture content and dust which gets reflected.And its said to be an indication of wet weather. But i am not sure whether it holds good for our region.
Wettest Day in Maharashtra – Patherpunji crosses 300 mm as predicted
==========================
Its the 2nd 300 mm rainfall for Maharashtra after Dharavi 310 mm on 19th June. As expected, Patherpunj records 336 mm other Ghats such as Navaja, Koyna records over 250 mm
Heavyweights such as Mahabaleshwar, Gaganbawada, Dajipur all have recorded over 150 mm.
Today rainfal in Maharashtra is going to be special.
yest couple of places did cross 30cm mark in maharashtra
No nothing Jon. Gaganbawada 34 cm twodays back was just 34 mm.
dharavi mumbai suburb received 33cm on 19th
Ok i missed it. Then Second 300 mm of the Season. I dont think any other station crossed 300 mm
Yeur touched 290
31 cm
Durajon, Dharavi, is very much heart of the city sandwiched between Sion n Bandra. Asia’s largest slum colony. (Don’t know whether I can use the word Slum) Dharavi is just about 13 kms from VT Station.
Ya I be heard abt dharavi
How about kodagu and Nilgiris today? Already madikeri crossed 9CM.Can we expect big numbers elsewhere from kodagu and nilgiris
Not yet updated. Will share with u
imd expecting super dry spell after this rain spell…..will this happen guyzz??
I think there wont be long dry spell…Many models reduced rainfall to TN AP and South east Rayalaseema after tuesday….
But this is long range…need not believe it completely
Asurde in Chiplun has recorded 300 mm, Shirgaon in Chiplun gets 350 mm in Maharashtra
Track for Arabian sea system
Arabian sea system has defined circulation. Sad IMD does not even call it as LPA. While other agencies are tracking it for Possible cyclone
Winds would have increased quite significantly as the circulation has developed intense thunderstorm over it.
winds would have reached around 25 knots.lets wait for JTWC update.
Which agency is tracking this? I don’t see any tracking for this low.
NRL Navy, FNMOOC
Good morning guys…sunny.morning
Gokul in the news ( not sure whether this has been posted )
congrats Gokul 🙂
Thank you na 🙂
Guru, congrats….
Thanks Gaje 🙂
Congrats Gokul 🙂
Thanks Mouli 🙂
Congratulations GTS.. Kudos.
Thanks Thala 🙂
Congratulations GTS sir!
Thanks Ameen sir !!!
Congratulations GTS. Thanks for your good work of enlightening us.
Thanks very much Bharath 🙂 🙂
Congrats Gokul ( GTS)
Thanks Jeetu 🙂
http://www.weatheronline.in/weather/satellite/India/India/Infraredcolor.htm
it will be upgraded to depression by tonight
still there is is some displacment of clouds to the west of circulation. will become better organized by tonight.
thunderstorms are to the western part of circulation , eastsen part of circulation is wrapped by mid level clouds.
Guess the current depression crossed land.No major rainfall in vishakapatnam,srikakulam as of nw.
Depression crossed over S.odisha and Rainfall to increase over Central India and this going to spread SWM over the Country.
Warm day possibility over Tamilnadu and Thunder Stroms expected over North Tamilnadu and Its going to be hot over South coastal Tamilnadu with Max around 38 – 39
Src: Dinamalar
misleading heading…they want people to read this news….thats all
Only who follows weather like our bloggers knows where it will make landfall. Other people doesn’t know much. They doesnt even check sat images.
But almost 75% people’s don’t follow weather except farmers
Congrats GTS .:)
Thank u Sir 🙂
Congrats Gokul ji
Thanks Kiran 🙂
Congrars gts sir
Thanks Deepak 🙂
Continuous moderate rain Hyderabad with strong winds
But radar is.clean
Hyd radar not working from yesterday
Oh
Many tiny ts around kolkata
96B INVEST As of 00:00 UTC Jun 21, 2015: Location: 19.0°N 85.8°E Maximum Winds: 20 kt Minimum Central Pressure: 1007 mb
Congrats GTS 🙂
Thanks Naresh 🙂
97A INVEST As of 06:00 UTC Jun 21, 2015: Location: 19.3°N 67.1°E Maximum Winds: 20 kt Minimum Central Pressure: 991 mb
Happy Yoga day and Father’s day!!
08W KUJIRA As of 00:00 UTC Jun 21, 2015: Location: 15.4°N 111.4°E Maximum Winds: 30 kt Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 mb
JTWC
93W INVEST As of 00:00 UTC Jun 21, 2015: Location: 4.7°N 151.7°E Maximum Winds: 15 kt Minimum Central Pressure: 1010 mb
RADAR CLEAR NO DRIZZLES POP PUP ANDEVNG PURE HYBRID VS-TS POSSIBLE:-)
Wow big fireball in arb
Second cloudy ball in bob
Thanks Jupi 🙂
KRS dam increases by 5 ft and kabinio by 1 ft
That is last year level.It didn’t increase yet.It will increase in the coming days
Dinagar, always check for the storage amount than the height of the dam. Average inflow of 11000 cusecs is 1 tmc. Whereas the inflow in kabini is 2100 cusecs. If the inflow is at this rate, the balance 10tmc will be filled in 50 days.
Congratulation gts
Thank U 🙂
Winds r getting stronger day by day. Ellam parakkuthu
CONGRATS GOKUL TAMIL SELVAN ANNA:-)
Thanks Steve 🙂
Ur must welcome gts bro:-)
Unusual temperature recorded yesterday nearing 39 in south coastal regions from nagai to tuty due to effect of depression, May continue 2-3 days…. anyway I escaped..
Eventhough sunny, surface Winds are pretty very very strong Trichy areas like “sooravali kaatru” day nd night, which makes comfortable stay.. 🙂
In Karaikal yesterday it was Gusty Winds Today its Not that Much windy
Strong winds blowing in neyveli
Congrats GTS Bro 🙂
Thanks Bro 🙂
Again Nilgiris battered. Parsons Valley gets 230 mm today. Yesterday it got 342 mm.
Parsons Valley
===========
20.06.2015 – 342 mm
21.06.2015 – 230 mm
——————-
572 mm in two days.
Avalanche
===========
20.06.2015 – 225 mm
21.06.2015 – 182 mm
——————-
407 mm in two days.
Upper Bhavani
===========
20.06.2015 – 240 mm
21.06.2015 – 133 mm
——————-
373 mm in two days.
Awsome.Pillor dam is the main water source for half of coimbatore now.It never disappoints
Almost half of our annual rainfall
*** International Yoga Day ***
Yoga for ALL! Let us all practice Yoga to get peace of mind for forecasting weather effectively and make this World a great place to live.
Happy Yoga Day !!!
-Ministry of Dashayush
Oh very cute……………..
Did you do it?
Unnala mattum dhaan ippadi yosikka mudiyum partner …
Congrats Gts.
Thanks Pradeep 🙂
Congrats Partner…i thought you will give interview today in some FM/TV channel on the occassion of Yoga Day about role of Yoga in weather forecasting 😀
Haha :D…..U forgot to call me to give ur valuable inputs , then how will I proceed …:(
Dash Puli 1st Look Therikudhu
super
Sema collection’a appo? 😀
Semma
neenga pakaliya?
Inaikum thonga matala?
Yes thunga maten
Therii mass…….:-D
Record breaking online download pic in india break the record of pk amirkhan pic;-)
Why is everyone congratulating GTS?
He came on DC paper
Oh, I thought he has found the formula to bring rains here
Lol!!!
Lol:-P
Then he will be God of Weather bloggers in Chennai
R u saw news article in dc??
Just woke up
Ok , I send the pic to your WhatsApp no
Thanks Paul 🙂
Congrats gts.
It all started late but now becoming frequent for you. Keep it up.
He is like actor Vikram…immense talent getting recognized after waiting for years 🙂
Thank u Partha 🙂 🙂
Many pop ups at Kolkata radar
Monsoon is vigorous. Super windy and low level dark clouds r moving fast like smoke. Perfect swm day.
monsoon going strong and stronger!! http://apdrc.soest.hawaii.edu/projects/monsoon/ismidx.today.gif
Which in turn makes Skymet’s confidence grow stronger… 😀
haha..anyway july,august outcome decides.
IMD expects July to face 8 % below normal rains across India considering their parameters feedback into their models
for july and august
tis is the status till now!!
IMD predicted 15% deficient monsoon… Look like it going to be 15% excess
Going too eat break fast:-P
Break fast or luch
He is going for a brunch …:P
Ootathinga:-P
Partly cloudy and bit windy at kk nagar
Congrats GTS !!
Thank u Susa 🙂
Congrats gts
Thank u 🙂
Any chance of rain at bangladesh?
radar:-
May be
Today bright chance for chennai
Yes
Eve or night
Eve
After4pm sir or late evng yesterday rain is only firsl look today is teaser:-P
08W KUJIRA As of 06:00 UTC Jun 21, 2015: Location: 16.4°N 111.5°E Maximum Winds: 30 kt Minimum Central Pressure: 1000 mb
Small blue dot in W ?
Next 2 days heavy possible in nilagiri and coimbature
Already heavy rain going on in nilagiri .
93W INVEST As of 06:00 UTC Jun 21, 2015: Location: 4.5°N 150.1°E Maximum Winds: 15 kt Minimum Central Pressure: 1010 mb
Any possible in chidambarAm
Rain??
Yes
Congrats GTS for coming up again in DC article 🙂
Thanks Raijin 🙂
96B INVEST As of 06:00 UTC Jun 21, 2015: Location: 20.1°N 85.6°E Maximum Winds: 20 kt Minimum Central Pressure: 1007 mb
Heading toward chattisgarh
:-PTROPICAL CYCLONE KOMEN
97A INVEST As of 06:00 UTC Jun 21, 2015: Location: 19.8°N 67.6°E Maximum Winds: 20 kt Minimum Central Pressure: 991 mb
Congrats Gokul!
Hoping to see you write an article soon.
Thank u Rajesh 🙂
Congratulations Gokul…. Hope to see more and more….rock…
Thanks Atchu 🙂
Massive Rains in Nilgiris and Coimbatore, Tamil Nadu rainfall ending 8.30 am on 20.06.2015
===========================================
The well marked low pressure area over Bay of Bengal, off South Odisha and North Andhra Pradesh coasts has concentrated into a Depression. The System would cross Odisha coast between Gopalpur and Puri on 21st afternoon.
in mm (min 30 mm)
Parsons Valley – 342
Upper Bhavani – 240
Avalanche – 225
Emeralad – 117
Porthimund – 110
Sholayar – 100
Makkinampatti – 89
Lower Nirar – 85
Valparai PTO – 82
Chinnakalar – 77
Manakadavu – 75
Devala – 63
Mukurthy – 60
Negamam – 60
Pollachi – 60
Ketti – 52
Upper Kodayar – 49
Periyar – 47
Chincona – 47
K Bridge – 46
Naduvattam – 45
Papanasam – 44
Valparai Taluk Office – 44
Gudalur Bazar – 44
Sultanpet – 37
Glenmorgan – 36
Lower Kodayar – 30
Kea Weather – http://blog.keaweather.org/index_current.php?id=1354
Vagaries Rainman – http://tamilnaduweatherman.blogspot.in/p/blog-page_2.html
Tamil Nadu Weatherman – https://www.facebook.com/tamilnaduweatherman
GTS congrats again……more and more people from this Blog should come in news.
Thanks a lot bro 🙂
Now it has become a regular affair seeking experts views from Kea . What made me happy is that they have specifically mentioned ” Kea Blogger”
only kea can keature his own comment.
Lol:-P
Treatu???anyhow congratulations
Heat related contest la adhaan
U r the winner:-P
Its very windy at kk nagar…
y?
Normal in swm:-)
CONGRATULATION JEETENDER FOR WINNING CONTEST 8 WITH HIS BULL EYE 😛
Ada pavi….yet confirmation is to be leaked
Tmrw will be a sizzling hot day with possible ts around late evng
The first monsoon depression of this SWM was off shore at Puri at 5:30 IST today. It crossed the coast and has now embedded itself in the monsoon trough, and lies over interior Orissa. It has brought in very heavy rainfall in Telangana, coastal AP, southern Chhatisgarh and southern Orissa as expected. The trough has caused decent rainfall in Vidarbha too.
Heavy thundershowers and rains likely in interior and mountainous regions of Orissa, parts of Telangana, Vidarbha and eastern Madhya Pradesh, and widespread activity in southern Chhattisgarh.
It will move along the monsoon axis till east MP in the next 2 days. A trough is likely to extend eastwards from this system as the monsoon trough would turn active. This trough will host a UAC over West Bengal and neighbourhood triggering a heavy and much needed SWM spell over the Gangetic delta.
When will be next BOB-LPA?
Not sleeping?
Rami, 3am…. Pls sleep
Just now wake up to feed the baby (milk)
Okkk
Raoji…3am sleep is awesome sleep… Don’t miss early morning sleep.. It’s like heaven
Next UAC by 3-4 days.. not sure if it will descend
Heavy rains lashing south coastal tamilnadu… Tamil, pradeep enjoy……
I don’t think it’s raining.
As per forecast I’m telling….but didn’t check radar
Lol…
Ava ava anga veyila kaiyira neenga vera ponga na:-P
no rain achu … cloudy, windy nd comfortable day.. max around 33 deg…
Your baby?
Yep…lol
Oh, I thought you are single!!!
Married
It’s partly cloudy in chennai with bearable heat, maybe today isolated chances are there I think
No heat tmrw just 33 I think but yesterday gud rains in northand some parts of central chn tdy max will be 35to36 so there is gud chances of heavy showers tdy wait and watch:-)
Ha ha…after baby slept…. U sleep….
Fact
There will be a UAC over WB and neighbourhood though
But for ap and tn…chances bleak right??
Yea looks so for next week
Yes soi will be dead negative!!!!
We need to sleep like elephant with “one eye-closing” and “one-eye opening to see the baby”
Jeetender won contest 8? I am so handicapped without electricity.
What abiut yesterday’s contest. Mouli do u hv the data?
Yeah consulted with Mouli… Already
Are you living without electricity from yesterday?
Yes internal wire burnt
Omg.
OMG
Vizag radar is back !!!
Super
The Global Observation System
Tdy?
I think it’s last 2 days. Situation looks better today by looking satellite picture. http://www.imd.gov.in/section/satmet/img/globe-ir.jpg
So today we can expect pure HYBRID VS-TS
Need to see. It’s only a matter of 1or 2 days before BOB-depression completly fizzle out.
Some observations of Orographic lifts in Caribbean
Something similar to this happens here in our case , Eastern ghats west of us usually behaves this way in initiating pop ups along the orographic…
Yes, there is an amazing simulator for that, not the one I showed you. Clearly shows effect of isolated mountains… Pattern is related to Karman vortex
Yes Susa , it starts of as small packets of moisture accumulating and over a period of time works together with other conducive factors to produce a result what we need……..effective initial contributors though
Thanks for the info susa 🙂 🙂 gets easy to search with ..
No prob GTS! Came to my mind a few days ago, but I forgot about it by the time I came to blog.. You reminded me with your post this time!
🙂
Shall we create an artificial mountains near “chennai”??
Something like that has already been proposed by Dr.T.K Krishnamurthy , from FSU , near Javadu hills
Mountain range near Kanchipuram would make NEM give 1500 mm+ regularly at Chennai 🙂
If 6000 meters height mountains are present west to chennai…then how much rain will fall in chennai
Hehe… 1500-2000 is enough for Chennai to compete with Mumbai in terms for annual rainfall.. But majority of it depends on slope
Lol 6000 mts. Himachal range mountains …we may even see snow capped ranges in TN(core tropics)…
Dapoli is rocking!!
Rainfall last few days.
———————-
14th – 63 mm
15th – 60 mm
16th – 26 mm
17th – 21 mm
18th – 71 mm
19th – 140 mm
20th – 201 mm (Till 6:30 am)
21st – 191 mm
22nd – 22 mm so far
Total rainfall from 14th = 795 mm (800 + if you include last 2 hours of 20th of which data isn’t available)
Vizag radar is typical, ideal for swm and Oct cyclone… I’m glad its back
But problem is it goes down just before SWM spells and October cyclones.
Yeah…I often saw this happening
Looks like forecasts on rainfall from BOB 01 have been spot on.. Because it was easy to predict :p Massive rains, I’ll post rainfall figures when IMD data comes out
The BOB system was the real culprit!
So close yet so far 😦
BoB systems are good as they try to drag the moisture from arabian into west-coast and further interiors. But arabian systems are main culprits as they hold the mositure (lot more damage if they deviate towards gulf). For example we had seen how Ashobaa dragged all the mositure into it.
Vythri 71mm
Mananthavady 71mm
Pookot 70mm
Good rain in waynad continues
thariode – 120 mm
Clouds pics