Dry weather likely to continue; Cherrapunji crosses 337cm in 12 days

Weather is expected to remain mainly dry in Chennai. Maximum of 37-38 C is expected today. Isolated showers cannot be ruled out in the interiors this evening. Deficit for Nungambakkam has crossed 14 mm.

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1,540 thoughts on “Dry weather likely to continue; Cherrapunji crosses 337cm in 12 days

  1. But does anyone know that Sohra faces a severe water scarcity despite being a v high rainfall area? All the water runs off into Bangladesh downstream and government has made no effort to conserve.

  2. So ehsan, Kea bloggers were perfect once again in predicting a TS near Chennai boundary. Lets see if it can breach or Trigger new cells.

      • Sir, we spend so much time looking at radar pics, satellite images, thermal maps etc..But ultimately, it rains only when the convection currents actually become stronger and pick up moisture.

        Nature always fools us and gives us a big lollipop to suck!!

      • Monsoon is derived from the word “mausim” in Arabic. As the hot winds of Sahara reach Somalia, they start swirling and slowly pick up moisture. This swirling winds are known as convection currents. When hot winds from land meet the cool water, moisture builds up and the billowing clouds reach the Indian subcontinent and unload as rainfall called “monsoon”.

        Nobody has understood this complex phenomenon so far, why it occurs year after year, why it pours in Mumbai inspite of not a single tree or greenery there..We can look at maps and 3-D models, but the phenomenon is much more complex and beyond human understanding.

      • Yes, I saw in a documentary called “Chasing the Monsoon” on The Weather Channel when I was in Chicago some months back.

      • Ippo velai vishayama Bangalore for few days. But basically a Chennai local from S Usman rd.

      • weatherbug if u dont mind….are u “concerned Indian” who blogged before. He too stayed in S Usman Road.

      • ? lol what was that supposed to be? Population of T Nagar itself is like a mini city lol and though I may be concerned and an indian, don’t get your point. All of us are concerned indians, regardless of whether we have green card (which is pink) or PR or whatever.

        Kindly elaborate…

      • I dont have GC btw! Advanced Parole, so dont lump me into unnecessary stereotypes, my tenant has GC but it proves nothing. I am among the 20,000 odd ppl in T Nagar/ West Mambalam/ Besant Nagar and select areas who have deep US roots and born Indian..

  3. South-west monsoon onsets in Odisha, heavy rain predicted

    Where is Mitan these days? Not to he seen at all

  4. Ok..If there is any Uac in nw or west central bay we might stand a chance for evening storms. .. Since ap n tg getting rains this might v well be possible

  5. So Ehsan, did we make perfect forecast yesterday. TS will form and it got intense and in the last 30 kms circle it changed direction and went south.

  6. Chennaiites eternal wait for rains continues. When the news of rain in North, South,East and West pours in here, we, in chennai pour out our frustration. Of course, we are glad it’s raining somewhere. And it does rain here also. How? It rains for my house, I check with my next door neighbour, rains are unheard of in that region. What’s this syndrome? Are we asking too much?
    With the suburbs feeding water and sand to the ever thirsty city, little it occurs to us that this process is irreversible. Our only hope is the RAINS.
    But, there’s hardly a hooe of groundwater getting recharged, with this kind of inadequate showers once in 15 days. Let’s pray and wish for massive rains.

  7. As expected SOI still in increasing mode and reached -2.80, as SOI reaching to “0” value then heavy rainfall chances for Chennai is in increasing mode.

  8. Don’t worry and beleive in MJO & SOI, which turning into ideal position for chennai. So heaviest rains for chennai is really on the card so soon.

  9. Today too same forecast Like yesterday as conditions are similar. TS will form and move near Chennai around the 50 kms circle. Then it will take own course like yesterday. Lets see whether chennai can get lucky tonight. The Midnight club will be active again.

    For past 1 week daily TS is moving into Chennai’s circle and the wind pattern differs near coast and TS changes direction. It can be the same daily. One TS is sure going to break the barrier.

  10. There is one solution- let us take Chennai and put it near Chinnakallar, and take Chinnakallar and dump it near Chennai.

    • lol…then its plenty of rains. That spice wont be there. Since rains are precious here. We are so desperate. Else no one will be interested.

      • Molaga sapidamale it is spicy in Chennai! Btw people living in areas like Indira Nagar closer to Buckingham Canal are saying they have enough ground water, and even well water. Not sure if the water’s pure or impure..

      • Lets see. I just put an positive news. GFS is good in precipatation than ECMWF on any day.

      • Last year the same conditions gave perfect rains to Chennai. this year SWM is not moving above Chennai lat for last 3 days. Technically SWM is yet to set in Chennai

    • Pradeep bhai..will it be enough to recharge the aquifers? City has been sucked dry by borewells and tubewells..

      • already acquifiers are getting good rains. They are west and north of our city outskirts. We did a study and have mapped all acquifers and its capacity.

      • I was referring to the groundwater reserves within city limits. Chembarambakam/ Poondi/ Red Hills might not be in bad shape but usually gets mixed with drainage water by the time it reaches pumping station.

      • People always refer to Palar water..but ever since I’ve seen, that “river” is bone dry..so how come suburbs in and around Tambaram receive “Palar water”? Is it some kind of underground river?

  11. Today Vela model, GFS model are all predicting good rains. Foreca as usual no rains. Lets track one more TS tonight. Yesterday night was so thrilling.

  12. As I was asking Pradeep, people always refer to Palar water..but ever since I’ve seen, that “river” is bone dry..so how come suburbs in and around Tambaram receive “Palar water”? Is it some kind of underground river?

    • Palar water comes from digging borewells under the river. It has a unique taste like milk so named palar,

      • Actually now a days there is no water in Palar river and what we get is Seyyar River – since it has been named Palar Water it continues. The latest news is that Metro Water connections are being laid in Pallavaram Chrompet ( L & T) one can see this near Vaishanav College and expected to complete by this year end

    • Yes there is a underground river, Tambaram, Pallavaram, Pammal all get water from there.

  13. SWM picks up activity along the west coast.A hot day with an early seabreeze is poised to get us the TS rains today evening.The destination is difficult to predict,but lets hope its our turn today.But I am confident.

  14. The east-west shear zone always produces a system. The 5th UAC to form and move towards AP coast around 21st June

  15. Synoptic conditions looks good to TN our bloggers hate the word UAC. With 3 gone. Lets see on 16th on the 4th UAC.

  16. Massive rains in Telangana and Coastal Andhra..
    Rayalaseema is dry with rains confined only in Kurnool district

  17. my well water will get dried up fully in 1 or 2 months…in all other houses it already got dried…last time this situation happened was before a decade…we need rains

  18. Hyderabad is getting 3 to 4 cms with more than 7 cms in some places daily making it,the wettest in Telangana State
    Heavy rain till 3 am today and drizzling till now in hyderabad

  19. Morning between 2-3 AM thiruporur received good rain with lightning and loud thunders..power off by that time..checked the radar by that time and it seems chengalpet,m.city area received the most..this year thiruporur also getting good summer rains..

  20. Lots of scattered High cirrus clouds ,not even an invading cirrus (indicating high moisture levels in upper atmosphere). There is a slight possibility of mild showers in the evening.

  21. Smashing rains here 30kms away from kochi for the past 1 hour 🙂
    Typical monsoon clmate! Makes kerala more greenish.
    Temp currently 25 deg here!

  22. A massive east west shear zone at 4.5 km a.s.l runs from Orissa/Jharkhand border, extending SW towards coastal Karnataka and west there onwards till central ARB with 2 embedded UACs.

    Getting a bit lower, a well marked upper air trough is present over Orissa-Jharkhand border out of which a trough extends WSW, from 1.5 to 3 km a.s.l.

    From this trough, A UAC running from 1.5 to 4.5 km a.s.l is expected to form over northern Orissa. This UAC will trigger massive rains over Orissa and parts of Jharkhand, West Bengal. The trough which extends WSW will trigger scattered thundershowers over Telangana, N & E AP, and parts of Chhatisgarh. Some rains in Madhya Maharashtra. Isolated rains are possible in interior KTK, TN, and Rayalaseema

  23. KEATURED CMNT TDY
    Pj sir said. Today too same forecast Like yesterday as conditions are similar. TS will form and move near Chennai around the 50 kms circle. Then it will take own course like yesterday. Lets see whether chennai can get lucky tonight. The Midnight club will be active again.

    For past 1 week daily TS is moving into Chennai’s circle and the wind pattern differs near coast and TS changes direction. It can be the same daily. One TS is sure going to break the barrier.

  24. One more snap from yesterday evng blind rains in trichy outskirts… Scary cloud mass nd rain smashed after.. 🙂

  25. Ok. Bye guys, tomorrow i have test. So i have to study now. I’ll come back soon @ 4o clock after studying. Then let’s track ts! Byeeeee

      • Lol PJ how can i see Chennai conditions from Karaikal. I hoping for Rains through the Conditions nothing yet.

      • Earth Null Only even yesterday it shows moisture but today i feel there should be some Rains.

      • Earthnull is GFS. So u also rely on models. Next time dont put that seeing model is a waste and only naked eye works.

      • PJ i dont use charts much when the system forms they always changes the LF in every Run but i use earth null only to see Moisture and Steering Winds and to locate the system currently Nothing Else.

      • Ok mouli. Dont take it in other way. U have been posting models are waste. Thats why i posted it.

      • PJ not always i posted only one or two times when sombody post here i just lookout thats it.

    • Today in our area I saw more dragon flies close to ground, my father said its a indication of rains today

  26. Mouli, the wind pattern is good today and so are the steering winds. If a dull day like yesterday can produce TS. Today the chances are much better. Lets track the last 50kms. Its impossible to predict the last 50 kms movement. Now

    • Yes PJ thats what i mean to say after TS forms and nears 50kms radius with Favourable movement we can have hope for City Rains till then lets wait and Watch.

  27. Wow very good moisture, Rh value, very good steering pattern all is good for ts today evening, I think now it’s time for chennai people to enjoy the show

  28. Santacruz. Is in outskirts like Meenambakkam, then why imd taking santa cruz as main data as nungambakkam….

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