After a brief reprieve, Chennai’s summer has resumed. Yesterdays max temp was 38.6c. The same can be expected today also with a slight chance of evening Thunderstorms. Meanwhile Chennai’s long wait for a strong TS continues.
After a brief reprieve, Chennai’s summer has resumed. Yesterdays max temp was 38.6c. The same can be expected today also with a slight chance of evening Thunderstorms. Meanwhile Chennai’s long wait for a strong TS continues.
KeaWeather Archives 
Mny stations recorded good rains frm interior tn to delta districts 🙂
Light Rains again in Karaikal
http://www.westernpacificweather.com/2015/06/10/flooding-rains-move-over-western-japan-evacuations-underway/
Report courtesy..Robert Speta.
Robert Speta Reports ..Latest on the flooding..
flooding where? In india or japan?
In Japan
Great…. Thanks for sharing shiva… I have got another follower of Japan Weather
I was expecting such Flood in Kagoshima Prefecture but it has happened to the prefectures North West of Kagoshima
Good morning friends! One thing seems to be clear.. Swm along with the require moisture surge has not yet reached chennai! Still the limit is just under chennai latitude is what I feel.. Let’s hope it pushes further up and paves the way for our first TS soon..
GM, The SWM monsoon look very weak this year at this part of the year, can be good for rains in TN and bad for Kerala.
Hope it picks up.
soon it will pick up, no need to worry.
weather balances itself, so if not today there is tomorrow. 🙂
Roa sir upcoming UAC orLPA
We can expect any rains from this system?
rains will be by UAC first, then LPA will form over BOB later.
Present UAC?
it not yet formed
When will form?:-P
by 12th, but it may not be strong 😦
Without knowing the cross section of our weather-cycles (Hadley-tropical, Ferrell-sub-tropical and polar cycle), we can never be “masters” in weather-dynamics. Please view 3D-cross section of our tropical Hadley cycle.
So mostly during seasonal rains, our weather will be confined to our Hadley-cycles. any changes in weather-dynamics within our Hadley cycles are interlinked within short-time lags.
Please don’t think that our earth (Hadley cycle) is so big, then there will be lot of time-lags. Please don’t forget that earth (Hadley cycle) is too big for us, but not for earth (Hadley cycle) itself 🙂
3D-cross section of our weather cycles:http://s15.postimg.org/4ydfk6zcb/3d_hadley_md_v3.jpg
Yesterday medium rain in entire delta district and chidambaram
Very heavy Rains in Tirunallar (Karaikal) for more than an hour
Today any possible in chidambaram?
Pondy bus stand no drizzle even.. Jus 500m away pondy old bus stand to nagai belt received medium, some places heavy too..
Chennai missed yesterday and Central TN got the bulk of rains.
The unstoppable rally in increase in SOI continuing. If this increase in SOI continues then SOI will soon touch “0” or even become +ve in no time. Can it become +ve to surprise Elnino-forecasting agencies? Need to see 🙂
Longpaddock SOI: https://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/seasonalclimateoutlook/southernoscillationindex/30daysoivalues/
BoM-SOI: http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/soi.txt
Some of my friends will like this news article which has been featured regularly as title head here
Lol. Oh my DC, it should be wet spell to start……!
or wet spell to continue
Temp Less Compared To Last Few Days.
When dengue possible in chennai:-P
NEM 2015
Between June 1 and 6, Chennai has received only 4.4mm of rain – a deficit of 69%. However, the state on the whole has been doing well with 25.8mm of rain in the same period – an excess of 46%.
================
http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/chennai/After-a-pleasant-run-Chennais-weather-becomes-hot-and-humid-again/articleshow/47620968.cms
As I am proceeding to Bangalore (company forced me to go there for 2 days, my peer is on leave 😦 ) by 6 AM KSRTC Volvo, I can see gray skies and hint of a drizzle. I wonder how the Bangalore climate is today..Will update again from Anandam restaurant beyond Vellore..
As usual sun will shine all through the day and evening showers possible. This the Bangalore weather template 🙂
Now get cyclone alerts on phone
——————————————–
http://www.thehindu.com/todays-paper/tp-national/tp-tamilnadu/now-get-cyclone-alerts-on-phone/article7303737.ece
Dont be surprised if Ashoba stays near the Coast and weakens due to upwelling and VWS and possibility of no landfall too is there. It may go as WML / LPA
Yes
Great days to Chennai soon. The long wait for strong TS over Core Chennai will soon be a reality this week.
yes, its time for it
Did you say “yes” cant believe
When comes to Chennai rainfall prediction You are only taking leading role. All others are staying as “cat on the wall”. Great going PJ. Your Chennai’s rain-star 🙂
only early sea breeze can stop Chennai from crossing 40 today
Wow ideal topic to welcome 2nd phase of summer
Next 3 days starting from today will see intense TS in TN and SI KTK
what about Chennai :(???
ஆ : மேகம் கருக்குது மழை வர பார்க்குது
Any possible chidambaram
For N TN?
@friends,
When comes to Chennai rainfall prediction You are only taking leading role. All others are staying as “cat on the wall”. Great going PJ. He is our Chennai’s rain-star 🙂
East-pacific system I-3E openings its wings 😦
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic.php
As long as chennai not touches 40 C in june, our summer is under control. we have seen 40s in many junes previously.
How can the size of rain drops differs ?
A tiny raindrop is a droplet. Any raindrop > 1/2 cm splits into several droplets by the time it hits the ground. Sleet (frozen rain, in TN we get sleet only in Ooty (Mukurthi) and Kodai upper reaches) can fall in several sizes though.
It depends upon cloud types I think
Sudden rise of clouds causes rapid cooling and produce large drops….whereas low level clods may cause fine droplets
Moisture content a factor?
Large raindrops mean that there are strong updrafts inside the clouds
above your head. These upward blowing winds can hold raindrops inside
the clouds for a longer period, allowing them to continue to grow in
size until they finally become heavy enough for gravity to finally win
the battle over the updraft, allowing the raindrop to fall to the
ground.
That’s why thunderstorms tend to have large raindrops, as they tend to
also have strong updrafts.
Fine
Crossed Vellore, cloudy but no rain yet..certainly not as hot as Chennai.
No rain is on cards for chennai till Monday..as most of the storms fail to reach… And as monsoons move north……henc better not to expect any rains
CPC s latest outlook of Tropical hazards has stated in its report of a possible Kelvin wave related activity to have contributed to Cyclone Ashobaa s formation over the Arabian Sea ………..
“The RMM-based and CPC velocity potential MJO indices indicate a strengthening signal since the beginning of June. The 200-hPa Velocity Potential anomalies are currently consistent with a coherent MJO, and an eastward propagation is observed during the past week. Other modes of tropical convective anomalies are apparent in the OLR field, including an atmospheric Kelvin Wave that likely contributed to the development of a tropical cyclone in the Arabian Sea.”
Karaikal Rains should be around 50 – 60mm. Rains lasted for an hour with Squall Winds.
On no…!!! CPC should not have made this mistake….mentions Cyclone Ashobaa to move towards Somalia in their written statement , and expects above average rains on its track, but the map shows correct area – Oman coast ..Lol…they could have gone for a proof reading once before letting this out….
struggling ashoba ‘s cloud top temperature seen thru nasa satellite !! equatorward outflow is quite evident
Karaikal – 51mm as Expected
Wow good nos
Ashobaa stalls monsoon’s advance
An IMD official told TOI on Wednesday, “The monsoon current will strengthen again when the cyclone weakens in another 48 hours. The monsoon will then progress northward. Monsoon rainfall for June is already going to be less than normal in many parts of the country. And Ashobaa may cause a further rainfall deficiency this month.”
Another senior IMD official said the cyclone basically began moving towards Oman, taking away all the monsoon moisture with it. “Conversely, had the cyclone re-curved and hit Gujarat, the monsoon would have begun advancing over the rest of the country. That, however, did not happen,” the official said. This ultimately resulted in the monsoon being drawn out of the country, except for the southern parts of India, officials said.
http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/Ashobaa-stalls-monsoons-advance/articleshow/47622043.cms
Muthupettai 63mm
Today Early Morning Rains in Karaikal.
Water flow inTerrace
Effect of Ashoba over Quriyat and Sur in Oman Yesterday
Courtesy : Oman weather update
Heat wave in India? It will only get worse in years to come: Study
“From climate model projections, we have pointed out that there is a possibility of high occurrences of heat waves in South India in future,” Subimal Ghosh, associate professor at the Department of Civil Engineering, IIT-B, and one of the paper’s authors, told IndiaSpend.
Under the most probable-case and the worst-case scenarios, 2070 onward, there could be an increase in intensity, duration and frequency of severe heat waves.
In particular, a large part of southern India, east and west coasts, which have been unaffected by heat waves, are projected to be severely affected after 2070.
http://www.mid-day.com/articles/heat-wave-in-india-it-will-only-get-worse-in-years-to-come-study/16280172
early morning ts in delta district any possible in ts reach chennai?
Waiting eagerly for Cherrapunji Rainfall today…I am expecting some historic amounts.
My first sms alert must be a good cyclone
Ashobaa effect snaps frm fujirah n parts of oman f media..
Fatullah now
cricket needs to adapt itself. Match under rain should be possible in future.
closed stadiums will mitigate the effect of dew, and other weather parameters in the air, and the game will suffer, of course there is a stadium like this in Australia it rarely used for competitive cricket
Ya very soon may happen since every thing turning into unnatural these days..
Dampner cherrapunji 52mm
Cherrapunji – 52mm or cm?
mm
Sudden decrease in Rainfall over Cherrapunji unexpected. We expected more than 550 to 600mm
Rainfall In Tamilnadu & Puducherry till 8.30am in (mm)
T.palur (Ariyalur) – 71
Chengam – 67
Muthupet – 63
Tirumarugal ( Nagai) – 62
Andimadam – 45
Kumbakonam – 41
Virudhachalam – 39
Tirupathur (Vellore) – 39
Kaniyambadi (Vellore) – 38
Kalrayan Hills – 35
Nallur (Cuddalore) – 33
Sankarapuram – 33
Pudupalayam (TVM) – 31
Lalpet – 30
Thalainayar – 29
Yelagiri – 29
Sendurai – 26
Kudavasal – 25
Alangayan – 22
Panruti – 21
Aduthurai – 20
Kattumannarkoil – 20
Chinnasalem – 20
Sembanarkoil – 17
Kammapuram – 19
Tirukoyilur – 17
Vaniyambadi – 16
Ariyalur – 16
Jolarpet – 14
Papanasam (Tanjore) – 13
Madukkur (Tanjore) – 12
Arani – 12
Hosur – 10
Kallakurichi – 10
Mouli, exclude Alangayam, Muthupet from the list. IMD figures will be completely different.
Will do it next time PJ
Ok mouli
thanks mouli
East West Shear to form on June 17th and either side there will be UAC and Both sides they descend to sea level as LPA. Chennai falls under its influence. Great days ahead.
http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2015061100/gfs_z500_vort_ind.html
If at all the LPA intensifies into a deep depression and eventually hurricane, I’ll make sure I’m in Chennai,work or no work!!
Nearing Krishnagiri, low hanging clouds and getting slightly darker. Of course, bus glass is tinted and might filter the light. Resembles cumulonimbus clouds..
Cumulative Seasonal Rainfall Map
TN comes under excess shadow. :). except chennai (:
Chennai needs specific forecast
It is due to Pre-Monsoon Rains….
Monsoon Limit has reached Chennai
I’m still waiting for historic June rains
it will happen
Yea elnino years is typical
NORMAL ITSELF ENOUGH FOR US
I will be happy if we cross the June average of 75mm
1 or 2 good ts will do it
Madhan, thats Jujupie figure
S i know its matter of time, 1 intense ts can completely change the scenario, but eagerly waiting for the first intense spell of typical swm rains
Today’s Forecast
1) Madurai and South of Madurai will Get very Good Rainfall
2) North Interior TN also get Good Rains
3) Chennai – May be Cloudy and slim chances of Isolated Drizzles at Isolated Places
3) is for Chennai i guess
yes… 3rd for Chennai
Vela you have won yesterdays forecast Nagai and Karaikal dist got good rains.
it is all about learning phases… nothing is their like WON or LOSS ! ! !
I always like to learn and introspect, if it doesn’t happens
Yes exactly, we can keep on learning nature
24hr diff : Temperature: 2.7 °C..if sea breeze doesn’t sets earlier..40c is on cards..
Yes, it will also create electric ts
TamilNadu season’s rainfall map
just few sec b4 i mentioned below..chennai is under scanty..
Good to see most of the districts in the Excess category
Crystal clear skies with sizzling sun shine, reminds me of mid March days
same here in tirupati jeet
East West Shear to form on June 17th and either side there will be UAC
and Both sides they descend to sea level as LPA. Chennai falls under its
influence. Great days ahead.
i need this as featured comment please
Asan Memorial School facing the wrath of parents on Fee issue
It was Bala Vidya Bhavan isn’t it?
just the beginning. Expect the same to happen in many schools.
yes huge protest was happening when I left home
Very cloudy near Hosur. Nice cool breeze all around..got off for a tea break..
Thanks for the live updates
chances of ts today high…??
asking or saying?
saying since typical blue sky today and good moisture level, so chances r high today late evening and asking if anybody agree with me.
Even yesterday we had abundant moisture nothing happened so how can we believe today that it will rain
yesterday travelling from chennai to tirupati saw a very massive TS in tiruttani highway…felt that chennai may receive rain…..
but it was gone …. so sad!!!
Still chennai is waiting for its first intense rain in swm, don’t know when it will materialise
it will take some time vignesh
Still some more time?, already time is up by this time we should have got atleast one good hit by ts but till now struggling to get
Chennai’s normal rainfall from 1-10 June is only 16 mm. We are not that behind it. Expect your intense rain storm after 15th June
Ohhh then after June 15th damaka only
we already got a severe TS on 9th night..only city missed it..Many areas got rains..From june 20th only..we can expect TS daily due to rapid swm in west coastal areas
yesterday, entire east coast of andhra pradesh reported nearly 40c…..
machillipatnam- 40.3
ongole-40.7
nellore- 40.7
chennai-38.6
puducherry-37.5
Oman current Radar img:
THE CHIEF AMOUNTS OF RAINFALL RECORDED IN
CENTIMETERS AT 0830 HOURS IST ON
11-06-2015
Harur (Dharmapuri Dist)
8
Thiruthuraipoondi (Tiruvarur Dist), Muthupet (Tiruvarur Dist), Mayiladuthurai (Nagapattinam Dist)
6 each
Karaikal (Karaikal Dist), Sirkali (Nagapattinam Dist)
5 each
http://earth.nullschool.net/jp/#2015/06/10/2100Z/wind/isobaric/700hPa/orthographic=-289.50,11.43,1118.
Latest.. 700hpa
The Northern Limit of Monsoon (NLM) continue to pass through Lat. 17.0°N/Long. 60.0°E, Lat.17.0°N/Long.
70.0°E, Ratnagiri, Bellary, Anantapur, Chennai, Lat. 13.0°N/Long. 84.0°E, Lat. 16.0°N/Long. 90.0°E, Lat. 21.0°N
/Long. 92.0°E, Lat. 24.0°N /Long. 91.0°E, Dhubri and Gangtok.
Significant weather
Nungambakkam touching 37.3°C while Meenambakkam 36 °C
gfs shows lowpresre come close to chennai how possible?
we had seen cyclone itself during in june??? how that is possible
anything its possible nem share nilofer in arb and swm share komen in bay!
It appears sea breeze has already set in here
No
why chennai lacking rain even delta region , through out tamilnadu receive decent rain only chennai not receiving rain please explain ,in south west monsoon normally chennai receive good rain these year still not receive any good rain why what is the reason please explain?
Except Chennai, other regions got their Rain due to Pre Monsoon Rains…. It is asusual, nothing to worry..
Our Rainy season will start soon
why we did not receive pre-monsoon rain
We are in the coastal areas, where LWD won’t form near the coastal
i accept the fact but karaikal sirkazhi in coastal areas how they got good rain
may be that areas has covered swm………
Due to their location (lower latitude) winds are supportive for the TS Activities
South west monsoon did not reach chennai…once it happens , u will see good thunderstorm activity… Don’t worry…
when will reach S.W.M to Chennai
In a day or 2
Expected in few days…we can believe these thunderstorm activity…
Still noe not strong swm…that may be pre monsoon showers…..we ll get intense ts after june 15 and overbeat all stations except kanyakumari
very weak as usual. We don’t want it so early. We want to see 40
Sea Breeze not yet reached the coast
I saw a SE wind in Metsite
It is Showing South ans South West
Today we can expect TS activities in interiors due to strong conv near Coastal KA..
Mild Heat wave existing now..
GFS showing nice rains for N.TN/S.AP tomorrow
Temp silently nearing the 100 degree fah
Got off at some junction under a bridge in Bangalore. Driver told me to take another local Volvo to ITPL Blr. Apparently, local Volvos charge close to Rs 100 in B’lore for around 20 kms. V pleasant weather, breezy and clouds interspersed with sunshine. Wish Chennai had such weather, minus B’lore’s mad traffic.
As weather enthusiasts like we people..where we can go nd settle!!!
Super blue sky in chennai after so many days…
its indicate rain
not every time…
Super hot day in chennai, ultimate
ji wat happen to the 3 am spell
Gone bone dry
Its time for experts to analyse correlation between W Coast rains in SWM and TS activity in Chennai and interiors!
sea breeze front developing!!!
Let it arrive late
y for ts activity or to reach 40c
To reach 40c….ts chances are good
More pain..More gain ..
Exactky
but what we are now getting is not vs right…..ok then why we are getting intense ts during august and september eventhough the max temp with 33c or 34c itself
Monsoon axis is the reason
seeing heat after many dayzz…
Eagerly Waiting For 40
soon you will be blessed with 40+
What a co-incidence : Yesterday Max temp :38.6°C (2:59pm) . & Min : 24.6 c( 2.59am)…Both happened at Time 2.59..
if sea breeze is delayed to 3 today, even 41 cant be ruled out. I doubt it would happen tough. Sea breeze will arrive within 30-45 min
Sizzling heat wave is going in chennai, seems like we won’t escape from this heat until sea breeze sets in
GFs forecasting wide spread rains for TN as they are expecting some weak feature to develop in SW bay close to TN
Good, atleast this time GFS forecast should work for us
i think it will work
from when GFS is expecting the rains to start
tomorrow
Unbearable today…power cut in my area is making it even more worse…
It will breach 41 today…
another hour of heating required for 40. Will we get it?
Sure kea, we will
We wont reach 40 today
The vorticty near the myanamr has got better in mid level.its creating quite lot of storms off the coast.
its getting squeezed between two HPA over west and east.
Myanmar circulation also has a role to play in the GFS forecast for coming days as it moves towards west.
its a combination of both which is expected to trigger rains in Tn.Expected weak one in southwest bay and the weak feature near myanmar which is moving west.
Sea breeze is setting in…temp may drop soon
yeah..sea breeze had penetrated areas north of chennai.. its turn for chennai now
Breezy with just a touch of clouds in Bangalore..took a walk after lunch..no sweat no mess. But after 2 days, I will again be enjoying Chennai sizzler 🙂
Rain Just Stopped in Fattullah Play Likely To Resume On 3rd Session That Is 2:30 IST
Courtesy:Cricinfo
Your school leave because of rains in Fatullah? I thought only office goers like me have the right to enjoy during working hours!!
Nooo Today School first Day So Half Day…School Over at 12PM
finally!!! its in..
will take another half hour to reach inland
its almost seen in last three updates ..considering the delay of radar by 20 mins,so by now its shld b in i guess
great
yes elnino going to be very strong
Also positive iod likely according to NASA and PAOMA model! This will help NEM a lot…..!
38.9 currently. If last few day IMD trend follows today too. We should be very very close to 40
Almost crystal clear sky not even a single cloud so I think something going to happen at the end of the day
sea breeze struggling to climb up the altitude.. hope it reaches 300m soon to decrease this heat
earlier TS used to evade Nunga. Now sea breeze itself it doing the same
haha true!!
Typical June day
Anvils visible in NW..
is it? r u anywhere out of chennai?
its true..just taken now
just confirmed … there is a mild explosion over nw.
its quite a big explosion.now it has developed into cumulonimbus capitallus
oh,, wen i saw it was towering..it developed quite drastically
now it has a fibrous top and lot of congestus to developing closeby it
hmm ..yeah lot of new congestus developing side by side
1.40pm Finally, the inevitable. Play has been called off for the day. Join us tomorrow morning at 9.30 local time for (hopefully) the start of day three, with India resuming at 239 for 0. Until then, ta ta!
The entire match is a waste. I doubt if Bangladesh will play their first innings
ha ha true.
OMAN sea turning rough
Clouds In Sea OMAN