1,609 thoughts on “Slight drop in max temperature expected

  1. Ok… I have drawn observed track and forecasted track for this UAC…. which is lasting since may 11th….. pls see the Diagram.. and pls tell me if it correct or not experts….. and if it is correct pls approve and i will draw in India map in my PC and will post my forecast for uac

  2. Jeet and Ehsan are u expecting 40 today ? Please tell after seeing the wind and cloud pattern ?

  3. Cherrapunji in Meghalaya & Panbari in Assam continue to put 100 mm rainfall with ease, ending 8.30 am on 26.05.2015
    ======================================
    The upper air trough from Sub Himalayan west Bengal extending upto 1.5 km asl has become less marked

    (min 20 mm)

    Meghalaya
    ========
    Cherrapunji – 147
    Cherrapunji RKM – 117
    Williamnagar – 100
    Baghmara – 59
    Nongstoin – 55
    Barapani – 40
    Mawkyrwat – 40
    Ribhoi – 28
    Jowai – 23

    Assam
    =======
    Panbari – 113
    Dhubri – 49
    Manas NH Crossing – 48
    Pagladiya NT Crossing – 34
    Goalpara – 34
    Nalbari – 30
    Beki Mathanguri – 30
    Rangia – 29
    Mathanguri – 27
    Kokrajhar – 26
    Dharamtul – 26
    Tezpur – 24
    Dhupdhara – 23
    Aie NH Xing – 21
    Majbat – 20
    Tangla – 20
    Mushalpur – 20
    Guwahati – 20
    Patharughat – 20
    Dhekiajuli – 20

    Kea Weather – http://blog.keaweather.org/index_current.php?id=1354

    Vagaries Rainman – http://tamilnaduweatherman.blogspot.in/p/blog-page_2.html

    Tamil Nadu Weatherman – https://www.facebook.com/tamilnaduweatherman

  4. Comfortable Morning with Good Breeze in Chennai. Today its going to be a partly cloudy sky due to the effect of UAC. Temperature may stay around 38.

  5. Ehsan spreading false post in FB in Kea Weather.

    Chennai Nungambakkam recorded 39.6 C today, 6th straight 40+ weather.
    Highest temp recorded was 42.2 on Monday. Will that remain highest?

  6. East west Shear Zone to form tommorrow with a embedded UAC extending over 5 kms in height.
    ==================================.
    Inference, Rains will start in the Interior Tamil Nadu from Tommorrow. The rainfall will continue to increase as days progress and it can become intense assisted with the heat factor. The key to this rains is the UAC embedded in the zone and it is expected to move towards TN from Andaman sea like NEM.

    Chennai can get some rainfall activity from 31st May / June 1st. More to follow as we get closer to the event. SWM is knocking the doors, dont be surprised, if we get rains from Sea like NEM.

    East West Shear Zone with a embedded UAC shown below.

  7. One of the favourite topics in kea blog..

    Take your umbrella,U might need them as easterlies

  8. Our UAC has joined the strong monsoons and going away….and speeding the monsoons to India mainland..???

  9. Tibetan High @ 200 hPa layer is currently seen located close to 25 N parallel…It has moved up almost as it was expected by models ….
    Easterlies have established quite firmly across the tropics up to 15 N latitude …..in the 200 hPa layer …..

  10. That storm is spreading out a bit in mid troposphere ….along with some deep and intense convective columns …..

  11. If you thought Chennai was hot… then you’ll be shocked.

    The hottest place in the world is Dallol, Ethiopia, it has a yearly average temperature of 34.4°C. Chennai’s is only 29°C ( for comparison) and the yearly average of the daily max temperature there is 41.2°C!!

  12. The latest GFS run is amazing for us, but then a depression or so at such a low latitude after SWM is a rarity!!

  13. Last time a LPA came to Chennai in June was 1996 and it become a Cyclone and another LPA came in 1991. We are long due for a LPA in June (20 years). In 1996 we got 667 mm in 3 days and in 1991 we got 200 mm in 2 days.

    2015 ___ mm in ____ days ?

  14. Dear All, please dont post any where that cyclone is coming to Chennai or Bombay in FB or anywhere else. This is the 1st run of GFS. Lets wait for 2nd UAC to form then we can track it better than “IMD”

    If u post now it will be false alarm. U can be arrested too after what happened recently with false GFS landfall shown by xtremeweather blog.

    • Yes from past few months GFS success rate has fallen down considerably. So lets wait for ECMWF run before taking final call.

  15. wow two uac back to back in chennai is something special in this part of the year and atleast if one materialise out means chennai definitely will be pounded, thanks to Pj sir and all other experts to bring some good news in this harsh summer

  16. Stroms to the 100km SE of Chennai is not visible clearly in the Sky.
    More High clouds around.

  17. Hi guys
    Been a week since I blogged.
    Was busy shifting my house 🙂
    so what’s new?
    Anything good for chennai to take away this heat?

  18. Even a mild drizzle with good cloud cover can reduce this heat and bring us some happiness 🙂

  19. Gud news is that some rains possible on june 7th and but i hav to go to school on june 8 which is bad news

  20. I want to see how IMD announces SWM onset this year. The westerlies has to be in depth upto 600 hpa. In 700 hpa we can see NW winds upto 1st june. Tricky days for IMD.

    • lol exactly i noticed and posted last night, rains are gonna be caused by UAC and will be moving from east to west, so I don’t know how they will announce it

    • புதுடில்லி: அடுத்த மூன்று அல்லது நான்கு நாட்களில் கேரளாவில் தென்மேற்கு
      பருவமழை துவங்க வாய்ப்புள்ளதாக இந்திய வானிலை ஆய்வு மையம் தெரிவித்துள்ளது.

  21. Today’s topic seems to be very apt -40 °C + has gone for a six and though it s 37.8°C appears to be very pleasant

  22. Good cloud cover here in thiruvanmiyur, I think we can get some surprise showers now thanks to low level dark clouds which reminds me of nem

    • hi PJ the 2 UACs anticipated in 1st week of june in the east coast is it hinting that we will have a weak SWM in west coast like a break monsoon period..

    • It is moving towards SW. New storms need to form west of the current ones for u to get rain, but it will have to travel a lot

  23. Everything slipping SW.. These are the kind of thunderstorms that can give you 10 cm in some 1-2 hours without you even noticing..

  24. Guys do you think, no body died in TN due to sun stroke or sun exhaustion. Definitely people would have died. But y the TN govt nor media is focusing on this issue in TN as well as we are liked by sun for ever.

    • Only people from Vellore, Tiruvallur and Chennai districts are facing this heat. It is neither extreme, nor unusual. Everyone is acclimatized to this

      • But people would have died due to sunstroke and they should be compensated by govt whether heat is extreme or not. As you know even though temperature in chennai is 42, our feeling temperature is 50-55 C. That is extremely dangerous.

  25. It would be awesome if those 2 blobs converge n hit CTN coastline serious rains r getting wasted in sea 😦

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