866 thoughts on “Long dry spell ahead of us

  1. வான்சிறப்பு

    குறள் 11:
    வான்நின்று உலகம் வழங்கி வருதலால்
    தான்அமிழ்தம் என்றுணரற் பாற்று.

    கலைஞர் உரை:
    உலகத்தை வாழ வைப்பது மழையாக அமைந்திருப்பதால் அதுவே அமிழ்தம் எனப்படுகிறது.

    மு.வ உரை:
    மழை பெய்ய உலகம் வாழ்ந்து வருவதால், மழையானது உலகத்து வாழும் உயிர்களுக்கு அமிழ்தம் என்று உணரத்தக்கதாகும்.

    சாலமன் பாப்பையா உரை:
    உரிய காலத்தில் இடைவிடாது மழை பெய்வதால்தான் உலகம் நிலைபெற்று வருகிறது; அதனால் மழையே அமிழ்தம் எனலாம்.

    பரிமேலழகர் உரை:
    [அஃதாவது ,அக்கடவுளது ஆணையான் உலகமும், அதற்கு உறுதியாகிய அறம் பொருள் இன்பங்களும் நடத்தற்கு ஏதுவாகிய மழையினது சிறப்புக் கூறுதல். அதிகார முறைமையும் இதனானே விளங்கும்.]

    வான்நின்று உலகம் வழங்கி வருதலால் – மழை இடையறாது நிற்ப உலகம் நிலைபெற்று வருதலான்; தான் அமிழ்தம் என்று உணரற்பாற்று – அம்மழை தான் உலகிற்கு அமிழ்தம் என்று உணரும் பான்மையை உடைத்து. (‘நிற்ப’ என்பது ‘நின்று’ எனத் திரிந்து நின்றது. ‘உலகம்’ என்றது ஈண்டு உயிர்களை. அவை நிலைபெற்று வருதலாவது பிறப்பு இடையறாமையின் எஞ்ஞான்றும் உடம்போடு காணப்பட்டு வருதல். அமிழ்தம் உண்டார் சாவாது நிலைபெறுதலின், உலகத்தை நிலைபெறுத்துகின்ற வானை ‘அமிழ்தம் என்று உணர்க’ என்றார்.).

    மணக்குடவர் உரை:
    மழைவளம் நிலை நிற்றலானே உலகநடை தப்பாது வருதலான், அம்மழைதான் உலகத்தார் அமுதமென்றுணரும் பகுதியது. இஃது அறம் பொரு ளின்பங்களை யுண்டாக்குதலானும், பலவகைப்பட்ட வுணவுகளை நிலை நிறுத்தலானும். இம்மழையினை மற்றுள்ள பூத மாத்திரமாக நினைக்கப் படாதென்ற நிலைமை கூறிற்று.

    Translation:
    The world its course maintains through life that rain unfailing gives;
    Thus rain is known the true ambrosial food of all that lives.

    Explanation:
    By the continuance of rain the world is preserved in existence; it is therefore worthy to be called ambrosia.

  2. Good rain, but groundwater table down
    ———————-
    Despite the State receiving considerable amount of rainfall during the northeast monsoon (October-December), the groundwater position in several districts has declined, triggering doubts about the smooth supply of water in the coming summer.

    According to the readings taken in December 2014, a dozen districts registered fall in the water table compared to what it was a year ago. Seven of them — Tiruvallur, Kancheepuram, Vellore, Tiruvannamalai, Dharmapuri, Thanjavur and Perambalur — saw the table going down by about one metre. Less rainfall has been cited as the major reason for the fall in the table.

    For the entire State, the rainfall in the last three months was 43 cm, barely short of the anticipated 44 cm. Five out of 32 districts — Erode, The Nilgiris, Ramanathapuram, Tirunelveli and Tuticorin — received rainfall in excess. While 13 districts fell under the category of “normal rainfall,” eight districts registered deficient rainfall. Among the eight districts were Kancheepuram, Vellore, Tiruchi and Madurai, which received rainfall, varying from 18 cm in Vellore to 26 cm in Tiruchi to 32 cm in Madurai to 44 cm in Kancheepuram. The surplus districts included Tirunelveli (85 cm rainfall); Ramanathapuram (61 cm) and The Nilgiris (59 cm). Chennai (72 cm rainfall) and Coimbatore (31 cm) form part of those districts which got normal rainfall during the season.

    http://www.thehindu.com/todays-paper/tp-national/tp-tamilnadu/good-rain-but-groundwater-table-down/article6762034.ece

  3. in october this year indian scientists will carry out drilling of 4.5 km in to the earth’s crust in Koyna region of maharashtra to take a closer look in to seismic activities that lead to earth quake.

  4. China has signed a deal with Russia to build the world’s longest high speed railway connecting Beijing with Moscow in just 48 hrs.
    source: t.o.i

  5. forcast for pongal rains delight though, but gaining latitude is a million dollar question. some rain clouds seen yesterday on radar above our latitude, hope it materialize when the system come to SW bay

  6. In case if it is a strong system, >= Depression, then it will interact with mid level steering winds.
    See the steering winds and ridge position on 16th as per the following pic, it is very much favorable for TN,
    that is WNW movement.

    Lets hope for this steering winds forecast remains same, mid level wind forecast changing everyday.

  7. as said earlier 17th to 20th will be interesting..rains may be back by sunday night., but system may not be for us..:(:(:(

      • Andhra?? no not likely..also not odisha..but can give a guess by next week end only.near by pongal..hopefully pogal gift for us..lets see..

    • i will be happy if we get affected by easterlies because if a system forming means then so many factors will also form with that like hpa over india pushing it away, changing steering patterns etc

  8. if binny get a chance to play in a match in w.c, then he will become the first indian, father – son pair who played for india in w.c

  9. Gfs long range also picking up some disturbance but still 10days away worth keeping an eye, in case it turns out GEM will b the one which picked it up in the first instance

  10. GEM model…. DD near nagapattnim coast….. Monster near Madagascar and cyclone nearing Philippines….. On 15 January 2015

  11. eq.westerlies is slowly getting enhanced after 9th january due to wave activity near eastern equatorial indian ocean ..tn agri forecast is the one to highlight and if tis system develop ,accuracy rate of tn agri cyclone forecast will get boosted to 90% for tis season..

  12. Slowly blog becoming active! Where is Rsrao sir missing in action? I want his MJO, SOI forecast

  13. Shriraam,

    SWM and NEM is not recent events, it was existing since ancient days. Those days there were no space research or satellites, but there were predictions for New Moon and Full Moon Day, also the rainfall predictions. How they have predicted without satellites?

    You can see the planets in one of the temple in TN, which was drawn during the kingdom rule 2000 years before, how they know there are planets and where they exist and what are their positions?

    There were predictions like when the rainy season will begin and when it will end. Those days farmers were asking Astrologers about this before cultivation, but later on people who have not learned this astrology properly has failed to predict and now people have started losing their faith.

    This time TNAU has bought the predictions based on Panchangam, the LRF was perfect, 75% said that rainfall will be near normal and some systems also formed as per the date given by them.

    Even NASA says Panchangam is the base for space science and development of space stations.

    Anything is learned and thought properly, then the existence of that method will be possible.

  14. Guys, especially young guys,

    Modern Science is based on Probability, Ancient Science that is ours based on Possibilities.

    That is the difference.

    Will you people believe, once upon a time, before the east india company came to India, our country was the leading economy in the world, followed by China.

    India were contributing 40% in global economy.
    China were around 25%.

    As per English methodology, the date changes only when the time has become 12.00AM.
    In our methodology, the date changes only when the sun rises, one sun rise to another sun rise is 1 day.
    This is perfect methodology, when sun rises only it becomes 1 rotation of earth.

    Lets be proud of our ancient system and about our country.

  15. Snow has fallen across parts of the Middle East as part of a strong winter storm moving through the region.
    Snow accumulated in the Golan Heights and northern Israel on Wednesday morning, as well as the mountains of Lebanon. Schools across Jerusalem closed ahead of a forecast warning of 10 inches (25 centimeters) of snowfall.

    Heavy fogs also blanketed parts of Pakistan on Wednesday morning

    Strong waves from the Mediterranean Sea also lashed Lebanon, Syria and Israel on Tuesday night as the storm approached.

    source: t.o.i

  16. There is a special event happening at Aircel Chennai Open today evening. 5 PM. Start..Those interested can join for some lively tennis action with two singles matches one after other..Plenty of tickets available..Rs. 150, rs.300.Rs.500 ..Dont miss it..You may get a chance to meet Kea…Discuss with him and get to know about the upcoming Pongal system..He will be ready to answer bloggers question…

  17. On the wall
    of a men’s toilet in Mumbai airport: “CSI ATTECK BY ISIS DATE 10/01/15”. It could possibly be a tasteless prank, but given US President Barack
    Obama’s visit to India later this month as the chief guest on Republic
    Day, authorities are taking the writing on the wall very seriously.

  18. @ Novak, which stand will u be at thala, I’ll try to catch up if possible, enjoyed supporting Paes yesterday aa ?:P

    • 95B fought like the great warrior to intensify to a cyclone. But the above -ve combination prevented it to become cyclone.

  19. If its a Pouring Pongal then it wont be a Boring
    Pongal :-
    If its a Pouring Bhogi then it will be a Pollution
    free Bhogi :-

  20. What is the reason for depreesion in bob in this time??now a days ecmwf.promising model.that model predecting circulation in jan…why??any technical reasons??

  21. Hey guys, will there be rains in chennai on 21 st jan and 26th and 27th January 2015?? We are having religious function…. My family members are asking me to ask in blog….

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