Total rainfall for nunga from the final system was around 90 mm upto 10:30 pm last night. Some more showers can be expected today also.
Total rainfall for nunga from the final system was around 90 mm upto 10:30 pm last night. Some more showers can be expected today also.
KeaWeather Archives 
I think only few showers possible today…lets see
Its so calm outside.
Yeah
FLASH NEWS
System has moved NW direction during past hours now it is 10.2N, 82.7E heavy rains possible today also
Oh great
Radar is not that much active… Don’t worry it will become active when day progresses
We need convection to increase all around the system for us to get pounded….Yesterday was the best we got than we expected
why no rain at present ? when will start again ? update of radar pl.
Don’t be surprised if there is no more rain
Isolated showers about to start across the city
Many many popo’s popping up in radar and intensifying and radar is becoming active
Raining heavily for past ten minutes in Royapuram still no holidays declared
The system is following the BBC predictions
N it has moved NW and moving NW…. NE movement will start on 31st December as the WD approaches north India and pushes the system
Heavy rains here today we can see convection will increase gradually in radar as said by PJ sir due to system has moved NW direction during past hours…..
is there any possibility at all for the system to move North West completely
Australia batting india out of the game
How much did chennai received yesterday from this system. And what is the current position. Can anyone let me know
Current position is 10.2N and 82.7 moved NW direction during past hours…. This will bring in. More rains today
Thanks. And what was the rainfall recorded in ur rg yesterday
TS consolidating near our coasts it is strong and very slowly moving…. It will pound us because it will also move slowly oon us!
Rainfall measured by my weather station in Thalambur till 6:30 am today from this system is 118.6mm
Sunday – 2.8 mm
Monday – 105.2 mm
Tuesday – 10.6 mm
The system seems to be moving more North than North West.. Eventually will make the North East turn.. what baffles me is why the rains that are due for us evades us and moves away to other areas that are SWM heavy weights
We should be content with what we got yesterday.
yes content. But our reservoirs are not even half full
Then send your rains to my area
Light rains here now
One band coming it is small
Seems schools will b shut today in tiruvallur dist due to rains
Who is going to school this time?
Lol no idea flash news in sun news
Lol, may be the teachers are working hard!
Some schools are working
79mm for 24 hrs ending 6:30 today at K K Nagar. It is 16+79=95 mm from the sys
OMG….intense one towards the city….Bad this is miles away south urban areas
Waiting for marsh ton declaration inevitable at last
99 run out
Pity
Deserved it
He wasted Australia chance of winning
I don’t understand this strategy by Smith. He does not deserve to be an Aussie captain
Seems clearly Aussies r rattled after adelaide n kohli blitz
Declared
Forced due to lunch
Don’t understand the tactics of Aussies. They already pushed Indians against the wall.
series is won, why should he declare.
Think might have taken delayed declare decision based on previous test 2nd innings indian batting
Lol For his form sake deserved it
Next match haddin’s chance to score, against India all make merry
What’s happening to 95B? Is it splitting into 2 or sliding down???http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/weather/satellite/Asia/India/Infraredcolor.htm
At 5.30 am ..95B : 11.3N, 83.3E, 25 knts
Coordinates suggest a N/NE movement.
The NW bands are getting sheared and so Chennai is possibly getting the sheared band rains ( very high shear off Pondy / chennai coast).System is building a good East/NE band where the shear is favourable.
Its now 400km SE of Chennai
which means rains will subside by today
Finally they have declared
Because they want to eat
What NEM onset?
Lol….
No .. NEW withdrawal .. lol ..
Declared n lunch awkward n weird
Aus in Aus not beatable at least not by Indians
No one can beat Australia in Australia ..
SA can win an odd test maybe, but series not possible. Indians have never won and will never win an series ever.
Don’t be surprised if India wins next test series in Australia
dont joke, will never happen in our times.
It will happen just see this team is too good but just the results went other way.
what do u mean too good, cant get the tail out, and out tailenders useless to score even 25 runs.
even this test, just watch we may just hang on to a draw
This is the 12th series in Australia, we are yet to win, we have drawn a 1-2 series.
DRS indians dont know to use, so dont want to accept it.
S this was India’s closest chance to beat them thy had their chances but let them go… This Aus side by far the weakest team
Alert….. Next system is under making. This system will follow complete westward direction after entering BOB from MTC towards TN/SL unlike 95B. Very good rains possible from this january system.
lets wait and watch.. nothing is sure till we get those actual rains
Thinking 95B will rapidly lose its steam to next BOB system to form very rapidly.
From this position,System will face high shear if it moves N or NW..it has some respite if it moves NE for the next 300kms
It will lose the steam very fast to give the way for next system.
Omg Line forming radar looking good upper winds also good
Not as active as yesterday though.. but 1 heavy spell on the way..
as per radar..clouds r coming from north..we have to watch the one coming from ponneri..
Post 95B system will be the real “new year system”
This itself gave more than 100mm. What can we expect from that 250mm??
Yes definetly
do u have any models that is forecasting the new year system?
Chandra, due to Combination of certain parameters. In general I don’t follow any models
The faster the 95B getting sheared, the faster the formation of “new year system”
Our next pulse will be a very strong one and it might enter bay at higher latitude supportive for NTN.
Exactly raijin, this is what I am trying to tell.
Rao how do u say that.. any Model links?
Chandra, due to Combination of certain parameters. In general I don’t follow any models.
I have not checked any models….But i am confident of very strong pulse entering bay but whether bay turns this to System is upto nature’s decision
95B cleared all the hurdles for next BOB system.
Today is the day for our reservoirs..clouds mvmt are perfect to get rains in that areas..let it get filled
Next system will be typical “NEM style system”. Hope it will penetrate deep into interior TN too unlike 95B.
I think its too early to draw lines for this system. January systems are rare of the rarest.
2015 January could beat the past records. At least depression is guaranteed, which might penetrate deep into interior TN with good rains.
No way. If at all it develops, it will take NE turn quickly due to Myanmar HPA.
lets see. Hpa/ridges are not permanent. they will oscillate.
3 years record broken..Thanks to 95B ..we got the max rains in December ..Dec 2010 : 287.6 & after that …
Dec 2011: 136
Dec 2012 : 126.5
Dec 2013 : 85.8
…………
Dec 2014 : 150.1 + ..
Jangmi
wow….
Enama line katti nikiraanga pa.radar looks awesome
Moved much more NE than expected
yes…atleast it would have waited for one more day..
it would disintegrate rapidly and give the way for new year system.
yes I am in support with rami for jan/new year system..this year its unusual everywhere..not that much snow in north America,california rains,,no rains in south east asia by nov..mild el-nino,,so NEM will extend till jan-20 with easterlies currently ok at this time of year..ateast 1 good spell is left before pongal..
now its like spring in USA in peak winter. typical Elnino type atmosphere, which is now decaying very rapidly.
I don’t think the pulse would arrive that early, probably around 5th Jan it would be in BOB
jan1 or jan5-as far there is one good spell in jan of around 10CM everyone will be happy
still we can consider as early only, by keeping in mind the ability of systems to stagnate for weeks.
more than us south AP,CAP needs rain badly..
SAP might be needed. but CAP-NAP crop season over.
45mm between 8.30pm and now..BN totals 112mm..satisfactory innings from 95B
drizzling
Chennai lakes storage not bad compared to last year..
http://www.chennaimetrowater.tn.nic.in/public/lake.htm
last year total -3409mcft,this year-3022mcft..
with wet days towards end of December which will improve ground water table as well the storage of water in lakes can extend couple of days in summer months than last time..hopefully if jan system hits TN then its going to be great year for Chennai with no water problem
any big showers
expected today?
No only some isolated showers
2-3 cm perhaps or less?
That could be a bonus
”
Rains from final system exceeds expectations” – but our system gone for a six whole after noon yesterday -same old problem unable to access Kea Blog
rains not from complete system. rains due to outer bands. if whole 95B went for six, then Chennai might have crossed 350 mm rainfall.
High shear will wrap up the 95B , once it crosses 13.5N..
SAT IMAGE
The system’s mid/upper level outflow is converging with the westerlies. As a result stratiform bands have developed along the outflow boundary which can be seen in Vizag radar
susa where r the storms in the radar?
will this upcoming spell be our lasts spell form this system?
probably, storms are far out in the sea
when will the new storms reach us to give heavy rains like yesterday?
Who said we will get more rains ? Only isolated rains possible from now
oh..radar looks gud for next few hours.
will the ts close to coast reach us?
Wind is from NNE, maybe some light rains
Lol GFS was horrific with Jangmi too it was expecting straight up WNW movement to central Vietnam
Dhawan out..ivana vachikuttu oru kolai kooda panna mudiyaathu..
India team has 2 denda soru in tests,dhoni and dhawan..
Dhawan k dhoni ya solakudathu:@
dhoni is king in ODI but we need to accept he is joker in tests,atleast in overseas
Hmm
Dhawan out
waste of picking u dhawan i think so..its better to open rohit..
Rohit is worse, he is just bad
but he is a quicck hitter..dhawan?
LOL. Sorry. He is just a bad batsman and even worse overseas. He can’t cross 30 in Australia
Rohit will play only in home conditions .. against the likes of quality bowling in quality pitches he won’t even take his guard properly..
yes..he is too lazy..lazy foot work will not help in swinging,fast conditions..
In Australia you need to use the crease well and for that you must not be lazy..example smith,clarke,ABD,duplessi,hayden,ponting..all of them use the crease well with fast footwork,fast hands..for Indians now kohli,rahane using the crease well
exception case shewag-he has quick hands which is missing with rohit..he doesn’t have quick hands as well..
Rightly said
He is even more worse..
typhoon hagupit doesn’t fulfill our dreams/thrust.
but Jangmi, which is following similar track of hagupit, would fulfill our real typical NEM-thrust.
Oh thank god blog is work:-)
what about rahane to get as opener?
Rahul out
oh
rightu..trying to push the tail over the head..next dhoni or ashwin??
next rahane
95B can climb the latitudinal ladder according to models???? I am slowly getting doubt about its ability.
http://www.imd.gov.in/section/satmet/dynamic/olr.htm
how many areas got 100mm form this system?
My area got400mm:-P
54154541547854mm
10000000000000000000000000mm:-P
Indians may struggle to save this test
virat kohlli next man!!!!
Aussies are too good at home
a partner ship of 200 between then before tea would help us to win
u r expecting to win..ohh man,,in Adelaide we had full day of 90 overs chasing 350+..here we need 384 in 70 overs with 5.4 runs/hr..not at all possible..but to save the match they must play natural game instead of blocking..
No bro is possible:-P
This is not cricket 07
@steve- its impossible even if you have 11 gilchrist in playing 11 its very difficult..
Omg kate rapidly intensifying 105knots:-o
kate winslet???
Kate cyclone:$
94 mm here in 16th Main Road Anna Nagar West from this system. Will it reach 100?
Avalodhana ?
96mm..here u?
and i didnt count the light showers
I need to call and ask other house as AWS is not here in T.Nagar, Nunga got 100 mm + hough
i think so here 100+..
but somene tol d 96mm
think its 94 out đŸ™‚
another wicket here, Indians will be bowled out
who?
Noo safe vijay
All lions at home only, I mean all cricket playing countries presently.
Atleast India has a couple of players who can play abroad.. we badly need the likes of Bhuvi next game and need some other bowler like Zaheer Khan.. sadly he is way too unfit nowadays
Forget zaheer, done and dusted. He also never won us a match in australia,
Rohit, Raina, Yuveraj all IPL kings, test zeroes,
raina is better I feel,no one expects him to perform in tests and righty sitting out giving chances to others..how abt rohit,dhawan,dhoni?
All these dont like slips to be around.
Raina is much better than the other 2
Raina is young and atleast has some potential, deserves tries way more than Rohit Sharma because he has learnt to play the short ball decently
Its time for Kohli and Vijay to maintain sanctity.
95b still 25knots but in moves n I think 11.3 dge N. 83.3 dge E:-(
LLC visible at 11N, 84E apprx
Oh no warner messes up
Started drizzling
latest SOI unchanged and stood at same -6.4
SOI: http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/soi.txt
System gained some convection and moved north.. Convection shifting north northeast unlike yesterday (northwest) .. still n.tn have a decent chance of winds and rains as day passes.
are u sure??
are u ready to jump into jangmi, next powerful BOB-pulse than 95B?
Rami….let us wait till it enters bay….anything can happen
Right , let’s wait n watch..As v move into January, instability conditions would slowly cease of above 10N
Elnino conditions rapidly decaying (already less severe WDs), so jan-system can turn good system than 95B in terms of track and intensity. lets see.
Oh no u move nne to burma:-o
Still not out of reach for Chennai.
kosu malai started
Pei mazhai down to kosu malai….the squall line collapsed like indian cricket team
Look at Sat picture it just away from the coast.. There is good convection seen..
You should have seen earlier radar pictures….it looked awesome
The system looks elongated now and straddles the entire TN Coast in parallel
The vorticity has indeed shifted N and NNE as expected!
Susa, how can we know little early that vorticity will shift N/NE?
Seeing wind patterns, I was confident it would happen, that’s why I predicted rains to stop today
ok
And also force exerted on system at mid level is clearly seen at 500mb vorticity ..
Yes outflow is also interacting with westerlies producing stratiform bands near Vizag
Oh ..
Drizzling here.
Micro drizzles here;-)
Its Pretty dark here in ayapakkam i think this december rains is the best this NEM season!!!
Global models;-)
System is now 11N, 84E. Seem to follow GFS track
Hmm:-(
Any Chance this will turn back to NNW and give us some final rains or for very sure this is moving twords Vizag??
đŸ˜¦
This is only moving NNE from now
Nne means towards vizag or what
yes
Vijay out
Cha:-P
This is time.for off the watch cricket….
Moderate rains here for the last 10mins…mybe 5mm
u r telling “raining” when it is “raining”.
similar style telling its “not raining” when there is “no rain”.
overall realistic rain-man (not snow-man đŸ™‚
Any Rain Today Raosir
yesterday only full “sapatu” over.
need to wait till January 1st week system.
then today no sapatu???
January 1st week system awaits for us with “five star full sapatu”
Enathan sola varinga:-P
He Will Not Understand Tamil
Who rsroa?
Vijay out for umpire bad decission—
Missing by a long way.
Dharmasena is agst india all the time…
Gud Morning Friends Any Rains Today???
All r saying this system move towards vizag light rain possible đŸ˜¦
may end up in open waters.
lets see.
Any chance this system move nw ah:-(
I don’t think so. but it is splitting into 2.
lets see what will happen after splitting.
Hmm thang u:-)
Heavy drizzles here
Guys yesterday blog is not working i’m dindn’t say yesterday 5totnow nonstop rain 120mm I think;-)
Is This A Radar No No Nothing
Why blame umpire? He is only human. If decisions go against You, It’s Time To Accept DRS
Well Said!!! We Have To Accept DRS
what’s the problem in DRS to be accepted by BCCI?
They r scared Dhoni will take wrong decisions and make fool of himself
oh…then its the same with all other captains too.
anyhow captain can discuss all other important players before going for DRS.
We did use DRS in the beginning and india used up all the reviews in no time.
yes I remember. DRS is like bowling power play. Captain has to be in at most alert.
its all started with SL tour,sachin Tendulkar don’t want DRS and BCCI bend to sachin words and adamant till now not to use..actually they need it now but its more of a prestige issue now that’s stopping to use..
Australian bowlers create more chances than india so DRS will benefit us more than aussies
bcci respecting umpire job. if drs is there, then there is no job for him
Our future system jangmi 40knots;-)
Bright sun in s.ap…clear skyy
Procession at Melbourne
It is expected of an Indian team.
One ts makes the way different
The only level which is helping the rains!
http://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/isobaric/850hPa/overlay=relative_humidity/orthographic=88.51,8.29,1024
This could be a last rain in this year mostly tomorrow no rain possible so today only have a chance for rain but isolated but we should welcome that
No one can complain kohli batting skills..but
Many indian commentators and media folks blame kohli attititude..but aussie cricket commentators except ian are loving kohli attitude..thats the mentality of Indians..brett lee will hit Tendulkar with beamer but Tendulkar will forgive that and indian ppl will praise him like anything..what is this?? we must be aggressive in words as well
Sledging is the attitude of Australians, we are seeing this from Alan Borders time.
Several times they have teased opponents and also they have influenced umpires to give decision against opponents.
We have seen Ricky Ponting doing it when we went in 2008.
I praise Virat Kohli for his temperament, even though he gets angry, he scores, why sachin was not doing the same, because, he is afraid off, if he does not score after he shows his anger, then it will become shame for him.
That is why he will be silent always.
Virat is extremely confident that he will score. Generations are changing, we have to accept that fact.
yeah true..but sledging and getting out is totally different as kohli said..he said “I wont feel shame or afraid of getting out”..aussies never feel ashame even if they are down,,Johnson going for none for 100 + runs with 4.7/hr but still he sledges
95B initiated by MJO/Kelvin wave combination and drifted north by unexpected last minute (when 95B is on ventilation on boxing day) increase in SOI.
Overall MJO-kelvin combination has good record in creating 2014-BOB-pulses. Most of them (including Hudhud, 99W except 92B) successful in yielding good quantum of rainfalls.
http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/enso/soi.txt
Rainfall chances slightly reduce from tonight.
We are going to end with near normal category thanks for the rains from the final system.
Now system making speed movement s.ap will have some showers in next 24hrs.
Chennai:-)
Omg bright sunshine here:-(
expected
Here Also>
u both are same????
Look at the insat picture, dry air from west pushing the convection into the sea, these dry air are driven by mid level steering winds.
http://www.imd.gov.in/section/nhac/dynamic/nhacsatimg.htm
Convection is not being driven back to sea Partha. Vorticity shifted to N and NNE as forecast and that’s where the rainbands are
yes, this is what i too mention, why vorticity shifted to NNE?
kea can log in with penultimate system, so that one more can visit chennai
Sunshine at Pursawakkam
continue till January 1st week system.
500 mb vorticity struggling as usual.
500 mb vorticity: http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/windmain.php?&basin=indian&sat=wm5&prod=vor2&zoom=&time=
You confident of jan 1st week system?
yes sure.
Atleast then a cyclone can be expected?
it will be good rain-bearing system.
not confident about strength.
I’m also;-)
Sunshine @ Ambattur
95B getting sheared off very rapidly with intense power.
Still doubt about its latitudinal gain forecasted by models.
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/windmain.php?&basin=indian&sat=wm5&prod=ir&zoom=&time=
Is the shear high in its projected path, ie in North?
yes
shear: http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/windmain.php?&basin=indian&sat=wm5&prod=shr&zoom=&time=
shear tendency: http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/windmain.php?&basin=indian&sat=wm5&prod=sht&zoom=&time=
I think it has intensified into a Depression, look at the mid level shear factor, it is increasing.
The mid level steering winds has pushed the 500mb vorticity away from the coast.
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/windmain.php?&basin=indian&sat=wm5&prod=midshr&zoom=&time=
but 500mb vorticity is not in good condition. without this how it can become depression?
dont take this image or any other image as final, check with OLR and WV maps…
unless it has intensified, it cannot move in NE direction, it has moved in NE direction since last night.
but its not moving in good speed.
Weak D, will move slowly, once it starts moving, it will weaken..
Chennai AP 70 mm