1,978 thoughts on “Chance of showers from Monday onwards

  1. 95B – S-W Bay Low –
    At present, a low,mid-level circulation is seen over a
    Sea level LOW pressure system over S-W Bay near to
    East Srilanka coast.
    Present pressure is around 1004mb
    And location is 7.5N , 83.3E.
    GFS model doesn’t expect the system to deepen to
    Depression (or) move North or N-W before Monday
    morning. And after that, it’ll deepen to a Depression
    or Well marked LOW and drift into central Tamilnadu
    coast on 30-Dec.
    NAVGEM model almost similar to GFS, expects the
    system to become Well Marked LOW on Monday and
    drift into central Tamilnadu coast on 30-Dec.
    On Tuesday, 30-Dec… an upper-level W.D trough is
    expected to drop upto 21N along S Pakistan, W,N-W
    Gujarat. This is expected to drift East into India in
    subsequent days, this can make the S-W Bay system
    to drift North initially and then N-E along S-E coast of
    India into N Bay.
    According to GFS, Showers will reach central,N
    Tamilnadu coast and even Chennai after morning or
    noon of Sunday, 28-Dec.
    On Monday, HEAVY rain expected along central,S-E,N
    Tamilnadu coast

  2. Forecast for chennai rains till 4 January 2015
    GFS EXPECTING 10 INCHES
    GFS PARALLEL EXPECTING 12INCHES
    GEM EXPECTING 10 INCHES
    JMA EXPECTING 7 TO 8 INCHES

  3. 95B fighting like the warrior under the partial support of SOI. Today SOI increased by 0.5 points, which is a good increase. Whenever SOI is increasing, 95B showing some good & healthy convection

    • Vorticity the term describes the local spinning motion of a fluid near some point (the tendency of something to rotate), as would be seen by an observer located at that point and traveling along with the fluid.

      Here v can easily identify the circulation location and its intensity

  4. Hi Gud Morng all, we are having sathabhishekam at home(terrace) at T Nagar, any chances of rain before 12 PM, please help with your inputs. would be much appreciated.

  5. Good morning.

    SYSTEM CHARACTERIZED BY CIRCULARLY DEFINED CLOUD LINES AND A CENTER NEAR A COLD OVERCAST THAT IS GREATER THAN 1.5 DEGREES, WHICH YIELDS A DT OF 2.0. LOW CONFIDENCE IN CENTER POSITION MAKES DT SUSPECT,SO FT IS BASED ON PT OF 1.0. MET IS LESS THAN 1.0

  6. I seen in my today’s early morning dream that 95B has become deep depression and going to cross i marakkanam and chennai was getting very heavy rains and recorded 34cm in 9hrs!

  7. NEM giants started to get rains from this system too.
    Chidambaram – karaikal belt under battering it could be moderate showers.

  8. Today Pondy to Shar strech Will be under cloudy and misty weather and some light rains possible over some places.

  9. how far is this system right now from chennai and what direction is it going to move and when will rain bands reach chennai… this should be our discussion today.. i am building some confidence since yesterday after seeing radar and sat images, there is going to be plenty of rains atleast 5-10cm for us. Let’s hope it materialize.. Maaveeran is facing tough times on cold water but will overcome hurdles today.

    • convection has increased but it is scattered , lets hope for the best that it could organize well before today and what is your opinion sir about this any chances is there for it to develop as a D

  10. I think it has already intensified into depression because winds are blowing massively and about 20kmph gusts to 35 kmph

  11. Moderate to strong Convection around the llc keeping the system intensity to 25knts..few north nw movement will keep the system in perfect low to moderate shear region.. interesting day ahead

  12. Good convection seen around the LLCC πŸ™‚
    Looks better than yesterday.
    N.TN and chennai watch out for some heavy rains soon.

  13. 8am IST update:SYSTEM CHARACTERIZED BY SPIRAL,LOOSELY DEFINED CLOUD LINES WITH A CENTER LESS THAN 1.25 DEGREES FROM A VERY SMALL COLD OVERCAST FOR A DT OF 1.0 USING A SHEAR PATTERN. METAND PT ARE 1.0

    • Is it? I am seeing chaos for the past 15 minutes. Power of Test Cricket. It will test your technique as well as your character.

  14. Very jolly! Tonight rain is going to start in chennai today it will become depression! Now seeing singam 2!

  15. alert…..

    airasia flight no. QZ 8501 with 162 passengers from Indonesia-Singapore missed . What’s happening the flights originating/travelling from/to Indonesia nowadays.

    This is the 4th flight mishap in less than 1year.

  16. going my the model Chennai will get around 80mm in 2 days (Mon & Tue). GFS shows good towers. I pray god it must be true at least this time, bcs may be this is the last rain of this NEM.

  17. Guys,It’s Not Raining Heavily In Karaikal It is Just Moderate Not Even That Light Showers 5mmhr Got From My Bro

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