After 4 straight days of rainy day this December, Sunday is expected to be mostly dry due to lack of moisture. A stray shower cannot be ruled out.
After 4 straight days of rainy day this December, Sunday is expected to be mostly dry due to lack of moisture. A stray shower cannot be ruled out.
KeaWeather Archives 
Light drizzle &very chill in neyveli and I am first to comment in this topic wow…….
How is the water situation in neyveli?
Expecting another 2 cm at 8 am tomorrow in Adam for the 5th consecutive day
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Dry Sunday 😦 😦 😦
If it rains 2moro….then it will be sixth consecutive day with at least 1mm
For the last 5 days, wat r the rainfall amounts in and around Chennai
Sunday just a break for upcoming rains to start again..cheers.. Gfs looks great for Stn and Chennai..
GB sir,
Either one of the 2 factors SOI/QBO to become at least neutral/+ve/mild -ve for BOB to host any powerful cyclone (cat 1 or above).
This whole NEM-season both SOI (around -10) & QBO (around -20) are too -ve.
Hope on eof these 2 factors turn at least neutral from December 2nd half.
Not bad we have reached almost 5cm for nunga mid way into december – hope it gathers steam as some systems are
expected during the 3rd week of december.
Spacecraft Rosetta Discovers Water on Comet 67p http://www.theguardian.com/science/2014/dec/10/water-comet-67p-earth-rosetta
Good morning Friends. Will it rain today? Have an appointment with Thalaivar. Can’t afford to go wet.
With Rajinikanth??? :O
Strong easterly wave entering BOB.
Yep. But need to materialize properly.
Susa, what is Nunga n Meena total this month n this season so far..
No idea thala, haven’t been tracking this spell that keenly, but Nunga’s figures are : 11.1 + 14 + 11.8 + 1.9 +4.5
Will ask my daughter to do the additions.
43.2 Sir
Kanakula weak’a? 😀
UPS…plan ready for Jan sports meet?
Nothing as of now. As usual we will do it at the last minute.
Will it effect chennai also?? And NTN
Mild mammatus formation over Adam..getting cloudy
No rain today at 8 am 😦
Hello
Hai
Odm how’s the weather is adam?
Munnar weather…so cool
Do you want my pappu photos
Not here..send in fb
Afterwards I am living to restaurant
No keatured comment today?
Poi seekiram breakfast saapdu
Okok
Hey guys has the mid level winds changed from E TO W ?
Because the mid level winds were blowing SW TO NE that spoiled our chances from this system has it changed to E TO W??
MJO QBO IOD SOI expert our Rsrao sir!
already given my verdict: no change
Either one of the 2 factors SOI/QBO to become at least neutral/+ve/mild -ve for BOB to host any powerful cyclone (cat 1 or above).
This whole NEM-season both SOI (around -10) & QBO (around -20) are too -ve.
Hope one of these 2 factors turn at least neutral from December 2nd half.
See my comment below
Wowooi!
Yday pachai vandu advised u rite?
No rains no comments
Except ur soi soi comments 😀
Hagupit Entering BOB
Source Accuweather
like good last week easterlies will bring decent showers with cloudy interval from Tuesday to Thursday. Cheers.
Yes great rains are coming for Chennai.
Good view to track hagupit
http://weathergaines.blogspot.com/2014/12/Tropical-Cyclone-Hagupit-Ruby-22W.html
Hagupit remnants ( just a trough with few cloud bands) will interact with the Northern tip of Sumatra in a while..We need to see whether it is able to come out unscathed..Shear is favourable
Yday ur bday?
yday is yday..today is a new day!
ok..agreed..but which day is bday?
Mid latitude convection
A quick analysis of Hagupit
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/goes/blog/archives/category/coms
why tirupati is cloudy and rainy for past 3 days…….while chennai remains hot and dry??
Who said its hot an dry
Mass flux scheme …….
A circulation to the west of Sumatra , Aceh …is likely to get bigger and larger Troughing activity is expected to the span of equatorial Indian ocean to the south of Bay …
Sri Lanka and extreme S.TN is expected to get some heavy rains mid week ….
ECMWF and GFS are in agreement with this
Chennai????????????????????
Not much is expected , but depends on the movement and the extent of cover in the coming days
GTS sir, can chennai get something from the Aceh-Hagupit merged easterly wave / LPA
Chennai could get something similar to what we had last week. Nothing much expected!!
I just saw IMD GFS rain forecast , it did signal some easterly wave like band moving in offshore C.TN and N.TN,,,I am not sure on its effect
GTS the Hagupit pulse is merging with Aceh circulation – http://www.imd.gov.in/section/satmet/dynamic/iso.htm
A 2nd easterly wave (Hagupit pulse) of December will reach TN on 17th December. We should thank the last easterly wave which was also a pulse from Gulf of Thailand which ended yesterday. It lasted 4 days and gave much more than we expected.
Gulf of Thailand is our new Savior.
Yes ,in the verge of mixing ……More expected to cross GOT ….
accuweather says rains on thunderstorms on wednesday from what we getting rains on tuesday
Rainfall for chennai depends on how much trough activity extends North…. Hope it will help to get to the average December rainfall
Lets see…I am expecting at least 50mm out of this
50mm out of the 2nd wave coming on 17th December ah Raijin Sir.
50mm illana oru 5mm? Kaasa panama…Namma 500mm kooda expect pannalam…Ana varadhu dhan varum
looks like some wave activity in equ indian ocean…
is X-mas Gift And New Year Gift Possible In BOB??
recent gfs not developing the 2nd system into a big one.. but another one seems promising
GFS shows four more systems affecting TN before the end of this year.SL and S.TN likely to be major gainers from these.However these troughs iarealso expected to extend till N.TN. SAP may miss out all!!
Another sign of good rains, Bats resting under the plantain tree leaf. 🙂
‘Dislike’ button may be introduced in FB soon….
super
Who is BelleCheatham??? 😀
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heading is not properl. 4 days of straight rains. going by the total quantum for city around 4 centimeters, will never be termed as rainfall that too during NEM.
ss
ok when is next easterly wave hitting TN
From tuesday..
oh ok thank you
For your kind information, Chennai city is Not only Nunga…
Many other parts of chennai got nearly 7-8CM from this system!
Avg 6 cm for SS group
SS group?
Sutham….u r also part of it..
SS abbreviation?..
Forgot? very bad..very bad..Southern Spice group (South Chennai)
Then it should be SCS group
SCS – super cyclonic storm 🙂
Correction- Severe Cyclonic Storm!!
Yes….Nunga missed badly…Many storms intensified when it reached inland compared to coastal area
Yes my RG recorded 146mm from this system!
Almost 2times higher than what Nunga got
Mine 101mm..
Oh
Blog index shows Dec 13, Sunday. Please change it to 14.
Topic should have created on Dec 13 itself
It was created yday before 11 pm itself
is that the pulse or hagupit entering BOB??
Pulse of weak Hagupit
Weak hagupit na. Another 8CM expected next weeknu solunga!!
yes sir
don’t say Sir!!! i am a Kid Studying 7th Standard
Green bee sir
yes.
oh good
What odm, reason for super active from last evening till now
guys, i want to install a rain gauge in my home. pls advice
Keep It In The Middle Of Your Terrace Ensure That NO Other Water Falls On It Except Rain Water
More Advice Needed From Experts!!!
Use any symmetrical container with flat bottom. You may use a soft drink 1lit bottol.cut the top portion to make it symmetrical inverse the top to make it a funnel and insert it on the bottle to help collect water. You may stick a scale or use a scale to measure collected water.
Naresh, Go through the post I made under vijay fan to know how to make it
You can go to this website it shows how to setup one – easily on your terrace.http://www.wikihow.com/Build-a-Rain-Gauge
Hey any one tell me will the coming easterly effect Chennai? Because in paper they have given this spell is over in Chennai and another good spell could start in Chennai anytime in coming week…
We need to hope that the red/white spot which is crossing from GOT into Andaman sea maintains its strength.
Gopal sir please tell me
Yes..Bijlisir..tell what?
Don’t tell me sir I am a school going boy see the given paragraph by me below and answer
Think Selva replied before…looks like that this remnant may at best land up as easterlies and benefit Srilanka and Southern TN
But lets keep tracking and also watch the SOI values and SST
then will we get that x-mas day system?????
most models are indicating a decent 25th to 31st Dec period..pulses will come from GOT,but our friend BOB should quickly ramp up the SOI,SST and other parameters to maximise the final pulses for 2014
oh ok
East Mediterranean sea is under the influence of Cut-Off low for the past few days resulting in resulting in severe thunderstorms and numerous waterspouts over Greece…
What is Cut-Off low?
When an upper level low pressure system becomes stuck in place due to a lack of steering currents, it is known as being “Cut-Off” low
AccuWeather forecast for Chennai.. They are telling heavy rains would start in Chennai from Wednesday
yes thundershowers tomorrow
Going By Dragon Fly Theory[Easal] There Are Rains Awaiting Us Still Dragon Flies Flying Around And Ants Coming out of Their Houses!!!
Easal is nothing but flying white ants.
Dragon flys are not easal, but thattan poochi. easal comes after the rains and night time.
Easal season is during SWM rain
sat image update
pulse entering!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
i think its only for STN
Chennai will get its share go and look the AccuWeather forecast they have predicted heavy rains from Tuesday night till Saturday for Chennai
Ameen, instead of “go and look”, use “please check”.
Ameen…Never look AccuWeather… its the worst
Should start tomorrow or tuesday, if it maintains its speed and strength.
IMD gfs prediction not looking positive for chennai
Don’t go with imd. They have predicted this NEM correctly 0%
Yes
Kea sir did you see AccuWeather forecast for Chennai
Just checked. But if we follow accuweather blindly we will be challenging Cherrapungi
If its not raining in the coming week .. we will not see big rains after that.
massive easterlies seen over west of andaman. hope by tomorrow afternoon, likely to touch coastal tamil nad.
ss
Our next pulse in JMA 48hrs charts.
Don’t expect any useful rains for chennai till Tuesday
Yes we need a break with good sunshine
Raijin, is the Tuesday mentioned by you is 16th or 23rd?
16th…Good chance of rainfall for chennai on Wednesday…Thursday too we have decent chance…Let’s see
Ok.
Small pulse now seen North of Banda Aceh and east of Great Nicobar..Shear is favourable for development.
All is well for up to central Tamilnadu…
sat image update asia sector
clouds of hope from GOT
let this bands reach us and give rains
Official figures for Nunga this December. 44.4 mm
How much are we trailing now?
5.6 mm for Vela’s forecast.
Thnk u sir. Can u plz tell me how much as per IMD?
Many places around and on Chennai seemed to have got 15 CM.
Nungambakkam observatory is a desert by itself !!
What to do sir? Desert of chennai is the official reading of whole city.
Bright and sunny day. Perfect for a ride around ECR.
Lingaa?
How can one miss Thalaivar appointment?
but its a huge diss appointment
It’s a KSR / SS film. Period. Nothing else matters.
then why its getting negative reviews…what u said is wrong,people expect more..rajni/kamal are versatile and they cope up with current trend ,that’s where they will be able to succeed until now..KSR/SS film means blindly people wont watch it..period..rajni defined “excellent commercial cinema” but if he/his fans think Lingaa is good commercial cinema then sorry my friend it will be bad for tamil cinema..hope he will be back with bang in next movie as your name indicates..
read this:
http://www.thehindu.com/opinion/blogs/blog-by-the-way/article6688696.ece
I will stop my argument here since this is not the place to discuss
Wtbsc, cool Bro. I’m a victim of 1am show. Did I said anything about that here? Not the place to discuss about the movie. I asked boss, because he said last night, he is engaged with the hero.
Valid points. But no point putting too much introspection into films. At his age there is only so much he can do. He has carried the film as much as he could. The screen play is laggy in the second half leading to the abrupt end.
Only someone like Rajni can carry a film like that at his age
I thought you are roaming on ecr after watching it?
If not for the appointment I would have roamed around.
Within a day conditions turns to be different.
Moisture can do anything so lets all hope for moisture which atleast provide some showers althrough the day which looks like monsoon eventhough there is no systems.
Next easterlies effect to start by 16th and it is expected to give rains for 48hrs in coastal tamilnadu.
CM sir, is chennai included in that coastal TamilNadu list?
an excellent question, chennai is not included generally
Bro, I asked a question to Chandra Mouli. But you are answering with lot of fuel.
Yes whole coastal Tamilnadu to get benefitted.
Kelambakkam & Poondi 7cm till 8.30am today.
Source : Sun News
why blog is so dull???
Sunday effect
Tomo i have 1st half yearly exam Tamil
ok all the best!!!!!!!!!!
oh oh
tirupati 7cm till 8.30 am today
Raijin sir will the easterlies extend North to effect Chennai?
We will get rains for sure on Wedneaday and possibly on Thursday too…But no one can judge quantum of rains and how widespread it will be
Ok what is your name?
I’m not yet prepared for tomorrow’s exam Tamil because I’m worried about easterlies will it effect Chennai??
It won’t. Concentrate on your exams.
Why
Because you are spending your time here!
lol
Ayioo
How Strong Will It Be?????????????????????????????????
It won’t be that strong to give holiday to school going kids!
aiyoo why?? susa was saying it will be very strong
Still 48 hrs no chance of rain
All the forecast telling rains in Chennai from Tuesday night will it happen
Just wait some time
If you prepare well next 2 days for you exams, rains will pay a visit 🙂
super reply!!!
ameen no excuse for not preparing for exams. when u don’t do ur duty how do u expect rain to do it
Super!!!!!!!!!!
The thought of school kids spending time here instead of preparing for exams is not a comfortable thought.
why Rains Are More Needed Than Preparing Exams!!!
Would rains come just because you spend time here?
NO
just sitting in front of ur computer or mobile will not bring rain, once or twice a day is more then enough to know the real pic
Hagupit marching into our bay. Very intense clouding.
http://www.imd.gov.in/section/satmet/dynamic/iso.htm
Sir will Chennai get rains from coming easterly?
yes ameen go and prepare for exams. Rains will come only on 17th
SST is around 30 degree C near Coastal Karnataka and Kerala
SST is hovering around 26-27 degree C near our Coast.
Would you please help BOB to swap them? 😛
Source : http://www.imd.gov.in/section/satmet/img/3Dhalfhr_sst.jpg
Foreca towers hve gone on 17th ; as usual they keep changing and as expected
Aceh circulation is dominating and pulling severe moisture from ENE resulting in good rains in Southern Thailand. The circulation is going to develop and move W. However, we have 2 more pulses to watch out for. One is going to develop from this same trough after the current one near Aceh moves to the W near Sri Lanka and could result in some rains for us. After that, a strong pulse will enter BOB from S. China Sea and that could become the named system we’ve all been talking about
We hope this system has enough moisture to make the required deluge to NTN – and cover our deficit – fingers crossed.
Here is our possible future cyclone.
where is it susa???
240 hours later, need to see if forecast changes
Hailstorm and heavy rains due to LWD in Maharashtra
LWD caused by Easterlies give super rains to Karnataka
vagaries of the weather
PJ has posted it in vagaries.
wil we get rains on 17th dec
Yes for sure it will rain. models keep changing. But it will rain.
ok thank u
I know.
Wowooi
Anaconda biting chennai directly… Great….
Going to Attend a meet organized by EAK Chairman Shiva.
Tower Park aa ?
oh please let us tell tale
You mean “Headless”
It’s a rival meet. I am informed only now.
Am reminded of this popular internet joke.
‘One Bengali is a poet. Two Bengalis are a trade union. Three Bengalis are a Durga Puja committee. Four Bengali’s are two political parties.’
Just joking.
Shiva is a bengali ???
Who is this Boss?
There is only one boss. The one and only Thalaivar
When is our next meet captain?
Latest GFS predicts severe rains for TN including Chennai
Maddy sir, next 15 days is the best models are showing for TN for a while.
Yes C- I mean GB
oh great
From when?
18th
Can any tell me about this circulation..
That is the one near Aceh.
system ??
yes
Seems to be a weak one and i presume that it will move towards SL and S.TN will benefit from this system! 😀
Great changes in BOB.
http://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=-272.53,9.78,2017
First snow fall
32 dead, 76 missing in central Indonesia mudslide
—————–
http://www.thehindu.com/news/international/32-dead-76-missing-in-central-indonesia-mudslide/article6690927.ece?homepage=true
Any idea what this is in the middle of the ocean? Not an island….!!!!!
Oil spilling by a ship?
It was sky blue in color and i saw several such pools of water. Btw saw it on the way from manila to kaulalampur
The color of sky and Coral reefs play a major role to get the water color. If sky is deep blue , it will reflect the same . Coral reef will enhance it further . Its very common near Malaysia, Mauritius and our Own Lakshadweep. 🙂
I guess its a coral reef!
Might be..
Are We In March Why Is The Blog Slow Today Only 256 Comments??When We Had Dry Days We Crossed 1500 Comments Now Very Good Days Ahead Now We Are Going At 256 Per Day
Today Users Have Not Crossed 35
GFS parallel expects good rains for us.. Adhula oru sandhosham.. looks like we can get 100 mm from next wave
Coming wave?? From 16th dec?
yes, 18th
Looks like RIP Hagupit…the pulse is fading slowly in the Andaman sea
The One SW of Aceh is still active
oops..sorry,another pulse is in GOT..getting into Andaman sea
Hey
Tower park meet still on. Deep long discussions.
Pachai Vandu..!
What is Pachai and what is Vandu?
Green, bug(because I don’t know the word for bee)
Bee is teni
Omg correct, I forget, thanks
So Pachai teni
Yes i.e. Green bee
Vandu is beetle. Bee is தேனீ.
Susa you told gfs parallel expect good rains for Chennai from 16th dec ah?
Hi Ameen, yes from 17th/18th
Ok
18th
Pachai Theni* (thanks ameen
No probs
Shankar missing in 1st image
I can recognize ehsan, shiva, PJ(GB), selva and who is 5th one(sorry)?
jeetu and seshu
Ok thx. No ehsan, it’s seshu
Jeetu 5th one
Ok then who is green bee
Susa & gopal, the bob pulses lack the penetrating abilities across TN interiors
There is one near Aceh, but the main reason is due to unfavourable conditions like shear/ upper air winds
Since yesterday onwards SOI started again decreasing. 1 week increase in SOI given the recent rains.
Till again SOI started increase in values, the waves in BOB won’t breathe to the power. Hope the present decrease in SOI is temporary. 😦
https://www.longpaddock.qld.gov.au/seasonalclimateoutlook/southernoscillationindex/30daysoivalues/
One more strong rain wave approaching USA-West coast.
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/windmain.php?&basin=eastpac&sat=wg9&prod=ir&zoom=&time=
It seems they may get back to back rain bands. Will these bands continue at least for a week?
yep due to Elnino-conditions sub-tropical jet stream will split in 2 branches. one sub-branch will go throw California state, which resulting more flooded rains for California state.
Thanks Rami.
In the below picture, I am not able to recognise black T shirt, blue T shirt guys. Who are they
Jeetu looks much more bubbly and older compared to his avatar image
RS Rao can spot me in the picture. Super
u r not there at all in that image.
How can I be in the picture unless somebody used photoshop ?
@ramisettisrinivasarao:disqus now you can identify KEA ok
Kea U Look Like Virender Sehwag
lol
Where am I in the picture?
You need to go to Dr Agarwal’s clinic
sir in the middle who is that Kea Ehsan
Backbone of this Blog
what who is this kea-weather???
Centre sitting is shiva. Centre standing is Selva. I didn’t go to the meet
They are talking about our first meet picture (Jupi’s) house picture which I have posted.
Oh I didn’t know that
have posted with names as far as I remember
All names is there in Kea.metsite in meets page
But the new friends may not go and find out know, hence I have spoon fed to make life easy for everyone
Kea Ehsan in the middle
yes I can. confused bit 😦
where is the confusion
not confused. its ok sir.
super picture..
This is today’s attendance of the aek meet
is the blue t shirt guy is our selvafun?
Yes
I am there behind Jeetu
Don’t believe him
He is talking about green background!!
Is it with Solar Power or without
No solar today
Can u name them, as old timers like me
saw those days..standing ..left to right….
sitting left to right….
Ehsan next rains can start much earlier, we need not wait till 18th.
Is it historical meet
Yes..17th
is 2014 NEM over for chennai?
oh it is just started at Anna Nagar Park!!
what rain has started???
No Tsunami any time
Tsunami??? I Cannot Understand???
Yes bit difficult terms – better not to understand
ok
I dont think so. Satellite image is still showing clouds over chennai lattiude though some 100 KM away.
we mite see few showers nxt week but nothing significant as per gfs
I remember GB and others posting good GFS pulses last 3-4 days?
Did you see the picture I have posted?
no sir. I will see it now.
No We Have More 15 Days And An extent To January Expected!!!
Margazhi is not very far away so you may be right.
Can This Reach Chennai????
4.9 earthquake, 138km ENE of Bitung, Indonesia. Dec 14 22:14 at epicenter (depth 41km). j.mp/1sqxWHA
The current 0600 GFS run looks promising…better than yesterday
nice pictures of Aek meet…What is this aek meet? was it a planned one?
Nope, just a casual get together..Not an official Kea meet. Myself, Selva, Pradeep n GTS meet once in a while at Tower Park, Anna Nagar West..Today Jeetu, Shankar, Gajendran joined..That’s about it.
ok..nice
What was the hot hot “menu”
Nothing boss, Arun Ice cream Kulfi n Filter Kaapi.
oh all “Cold” menu
First cold and then hot
Blow Hot Blow Cold – interchanged is it
Ha ha
Next official Kea meet should be at Surya’s farm house in Periya Palayam soon. Kea will announce the date that is decided in the blog page.
Last time also I joined thala
Yes Silver boy.
looks like silver price is picking up as market comes down
Another downfall is certainly on the cards, tricky month ahead
“Downfall” we should not allow that to happen
Some big and gigantic meets ahead, this is just a trailer
looking forward to that
Dry Sunday likely or Dynamite Sunday
Dhamaaka week/month ahead
@jeetu,
OMG…ur profile picture looks very young than today’s picture. For this reason I could not able to recognize u in today’s picture 🙂
Rami I recognised him easily 🙂
great….
How
I will update soon, that was 2 years back
ok
Severe Weather Takes Aim on Southern Plains, Texas Sunday:
ow.ly/FRo1J
vela ur profile picture also looks very old 😦
Thunderstorm triggered by the next pulse already visible in radar. lol
You mean radar is cracking
No…See the radar….line of thunderstorm 200km east of chennai moving west
Thenwill reach Chennai! it w
I don’t think so…
OMG…
GB (PJ) is too confident about rains or rainy systems? But I would keep my forecast to be not that much intense (based on SOI/QBO) due to recent experiences.
Either one of the 2 factors SOI/QBO to become at least neutral/+ve/mild -ve for BOB to host any powerful cyclone (cat 1 or above).
This whole NEM-season both SOI (around -10) & QBO (around -20) are too -ve.
Hope one of these 2 factors turn at least neutral from December 2nd half.
Snow will continue to fall across western Salt Lake and Utah counties from Magna to Spanish Fork this morning.
why are you posting so much about US weather? planning on a travel?
Nothing happening here
whats ur forecast for December 2nd half?
Nothing happening here!!
That is more of Cache valley
The blog appears recharged after Arun Icecream Kulfi and Filter Coffee
See it is pouring now with lot of “Data”
Bee buzzing?
ush that is Buzz word