647 thoughts on “Dry Sunday likely

  1. GB sir,

    Either one of the 2 factors SOI/QBO to become at least neutral/+ve/mild -ve for BOB to host any powerful cyclone (cat 1 or above).

    This whole NEM-season both SOI (around -10) & QBO (around -20) are too -ve.

    Hope on eof these 2 factors turn at least neutral from December 2nd half.

  2. Not bad we have reached almost 5cm for nunga mid way into december – hope it gathers steam as some systems are
    expected during the 3rd week of december.

  3. Hey guys has the mid level winds changed from E TO W ?
    Because the mid level winds were blowing SW TO NE that spoiled our chances from this system has it changed to E TO W??

    • already given my verdict: no change

      Either one of the 2 factors SOI/QBO to become at least neutral/+ve/mild -ve for BOB to host any powerful cyclone (cat 1 or above).

      This whole NEM-season both SOI (around -10) & QBO (around -20) are too -ve.

      Hope one of these 2 factors turn at least neutral from December 2nd half.

  4. Hagupit remnants ( just a trough with few cloud bands) will interact with the Northern tip of Sumatra in a while..We need to see whether it is able to come out unscathed..Shear is favourable

  5. A circulation to the west of Sumatra , Aceh …is likely to get bigger and larger Troughing activity is expected to the span of equatorial Indian ocean to the south of Bay …
    Sri Lanka and extreme S.TN is expected to get some heavy rains mid week ….
    ECMWF and GFS are in agreement with this

    • GFS shows four more systems affecting TN before the end of this year.SL and S.TN likely to be major gainers from these.However these troughs iarealso expected to extend till N.TN. SAP may miss out all!!

  6. heading is not properl. 4 days of straight rains. going by the total quantum for city around 4 centimeters, will never be termed as rainfall that too during NEM.

    ss

  7. Hey any one tell me will the coming easterly effect Chennai? Because in paper they have given this spell is over in Chennai and another good spell could start in Chennai anytime in coming week…

  8. East Mediterranean sea is under the influence of Cut-Off low for the past few days resulting in resulting in severe thunderstorms and numerous waterspouts over Greece…

    What is Cut-Off low?

    When an upper level low pressure system becomes stuck in place due to a lack of steering currents, it is known as being “Cut-Off” low

  9. Going By Dragon Fly Theory[Easal] There Are Rains Awaiting Us Still Dragon Flies Flying Around And Ants Coming out of Their Houses!!!

      • then why its getting negative reviews…what u said is wrong,people expect more..rajni/kamal are versatile and they cope up with current trend ,that’s where they will be able to succeed until now..KSR/SS film means blindly people wont watch it..period..rajni defined “excellent commercial cinema” but if he/his fans think Lingaa is good commercial cinema then sorry my friend it will be bad for tamil cinema..hope he will be back with bang in next movie as your name indicates..

        read this:
        http://www.thehindu.com/opinion/blogs/blog-by-the-way/article6688696.ece

        I will stop my argument here since this is not the place to discuss

      • Wtbsc, cool Bro. I’m a victim of 1am show. Did I said anything about that here? Not the place to discuss about the movie. I asked boss, because he said last night, he is engaged with the hero.

      • Valid points. But no point putting too much introspection into films. At his age there is only so much he can do. He has carried the film as much as he could. The screen play is laggy in the second half leading to the abrupt end.

        Only someone like Rajni can carry a film like that at his age

  10. Within a day conditions turns to be different.
    Moisture can do anything so lets all hope for moisture which atleast provide some showers althrough the day which looks like monsoon eventhough there is no systems.

  11. I’m not yet prepared for tomorrow’s exam Tamil because I’m worried about easterlies will it effect Chennai??

  12. Aceh circulation is dominating and pulling severe moisture from ENE resulting in good rains in Southern Thailand. The circulation is going to develop and move W. However, we have 2 more pulses to watch out for. One is going to develop from this same trough after the current one near Aceh moves to the W near Sri Lanka and could result in some rains for us. After that, a strong pulse will enter BOB from S. China Sea and that could become the named system we’ve all been talking about

  13. Hailstorm and heavy rains due to LWD in Maharashtra
    LWD caused by Easterlies give super rains to Karnataka

    vagaries of the weather

  14. Are We In March Why Is The Blog Slow Today Only 256 Comments??When We Had Dry Days We Crossed 1500 Comments Now Very Good Days Ahead Now We Are Going At 256 Per Day

  15. @jeetu,
    OMG…ur profile picture looks very young than today’s picture. For this reason I could not able to recognize u in today’s picture 🙂

  16. OMG…
    GB (PJ) is too confident about rains or rainy systems? But I would keep my forecast to be not that much intense (based on SOI/QBO) due to recent experiences.

    • Either one of the 2 factors SOI/QBO to become at least neutral/+ve/mild -ve for BOB to host any powerful cyclone (cat 1 or above).

      This whole NEM-season both SOI (around -10) & QBO (around -20) are too -ve.

      Hope one of these 2 factors turn at least neutral from December 2nd half.

Please restrict Comments to Weather only

Please log in using one of these methods to post your comment:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s