619 thoughts on “Chance of wet weather around 10th

  1. Breaking news!! Cyclone hagupit (ruby) weakens into category 4 cyclone and likely to weaken into category 3 cyclone before cyclone making landfall in Philippines.. Now it lies in latitude 11.7N AND longitude 230.3E and winds of 230KM/H and moving in W-NW direction…

  2. I heard it that many of them discussing abt the current year rainfall in public that this year there is not much rainfall over chennai.
    I heard it from mother and friends that less rainfall this year but they are not known about how much rain fallen in 48hrs and what is the factor.
    Let the current easterlies satisfy all of them and prove it this is NEM.

  3. Today
    Dec 5
    Clouds and sunshine28°Lo 21°
    Dec 6
    Rain and drizzle in the a.m.28°Lo 23°more
    Dec 7
    Intervals of clouds and sun28°Lo 23°more
    Dec 8
    A couple of thunderstorms29°Lo 24°more
    Dec 9
    Some rain and a thunderstorm28°Lo 24°more
    according to accu weather in pondicherry

  4. Pacific Coast Highway reopens after mud, rocks cleared

    Authorities have reopened a 9-mile stretch of the Pacific Coast Highway closed during this week’s storms.

    The highway was closed from Las Posas Road in Camarillo to Yerba Buena Road near Malibu because of rock slides and debris flows during Sunday’s rain. Caltrans officials said Wednesday they expected to reopen it late Thursday. Shortly after 4 p.m. Thursday, crews started to remove barricades and reopen the road, one direction at a time. By 5 p.m. both directions of PCH were opened.

    Matilija Canyon Road at Highway 33 also was closed because of rock slides, but it reopened late Wednesday afternoon. Ventura County got a break in the rain Thursday, but the National Weather Service reports isolated light showers might return overnight Friday and into Saturday morning. The forecast calls for dry and warmer weather by early next week. Another storm may be headed to the area later next week, but it’s too soon to say if it will materialize, the Weather Service said.

    • ha ha..no such initiative in india..Still majority of the people don’t know which month,which monsoon brings more rainfall to TN? they don’t know abt NEM & SWM..

      • no models in the world are predicting correctly for systems in BOB..ignore this..knowledge for forecasting/predicting is next thing which individual start learning after knowing the basics..India need to take initiate to teach the basics

  5. Sun Emits a Mid-Level Flare http://images.spaceref.com/news/2014/oo20141204-m6.1flare.jpg

    On Dec. 4, 2014, the sun emitted a mid-level solar flare, peaking at 1:25 p.m. EST.

    NASA’s Solar Dynamics Observatory, which watches the sun constantly, captured an image of the event. Solar flares are powerful bursts of radiation. Harmful radiation from a flare cannot pass through Earth’s atmosphere to physically affect humans on the ground, however — when intense enough — they can disturb the atmosphere in the layer where GPS and communications signals travel.

    To see how this event may affect Earth, please visit NOAA’s Space Weather Prediction Center at http://spaceweather.gov, the U.S. government’s official source for space weather forecasts, alerts, watches and warnings. This flare is classified as an M6.1-class flare. M-class flares are a tenth the size of the most intense flares, the X-class flares. The number provides more information about its strength. An M2 is twice as intense as an M1, an M3 is three times as intense, etc.


  6. Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast 4 December 2014 – spaceref.com/news/viewsr.html

    Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Geophysical Activity Report and Forecast
    SDF Number 338 Issued at 2200Z on 04 Dec 2014

    IA. Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z: Solar activity has been at moderate levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a M1 event observed at 04/0810Z from Region 2222 (S19W37). There are currently 8 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.

    IB. Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (05 Dec, 06 Dec, 07 Dec).

    IIA. Geophysical Activity Summary 03/2100Z to 04/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 568 km/s at 04/1337Z. Total IMF reached 10 nT at 04/0543Z.The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at 04/2043Z.

    IIB. Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (05 Dec) and quiet levels on days two and three (06 Dec, 07 Dec).

    III. Event probabilities 05 Dec-07 Dec
    Class M 40/40/40
    Class X 05/05/05
    Proton 05/05/05
    PCAF green

    IV. Penticton 10.7 cm Flux
    Observed 04 Dec 158
    Predicted 05 Dec-07 Dec 150/150/145
    90 Day Mean 04 Dec 153

    V. Geomagnetic A Indices
    Observed Afr/Ap 03 Dec 007/005
    Estimated Afr/Ap 04 Dec 007/008
    Predicted Afr/Ap 05 Dec-07 Dec 007/008-007/008-007/008

    VI. Geomagnetic Activity Probabilities 05 Dec-07 Dec
    A. Middle Latitudes
    Active 15/15/15
    Minor Storm 01/01/01
    Major-severe storm 01/01/01

    B. High Latitudes
    Active 20/20/20
    Minor Storm 25/25/25
    Major-severe storm 20/20/20

    • India is a country where sunny days are more when compare to rain, But Govt is not utilizing free solar energy to produce power.

      • There are so many incentives & Subsidies are there for installing Solar at each and every residential usages… People (Ourselves) have to use this for our own purpose.

  7. The record of Haiyan is still alive, Hagupit has weakened considerably to CAT4, expected to weaken further CAT3 before crossing and become CAT1 after crossing, it may not reach andaman sea, lets hope for the best from 09th precipitation, we might get moderate showers from 09th to 12th period.

    Increase in VWS has weakened the system.


  8. active rainfall ahead for chennai:
    9 dec – 10 mm – 20 mm is possible
    10 dec – 40 – 50 mm is possible
    11 dec 20 – 30 mm is possible

  9. following this long dry days till date ,the next 15days will be critical for rainfall over Chennai and TN, and as we near second week end or before we can see the rains back in action for Chennai and TN as well ,rains may not be that intense as expected from now on ,but can expect some decent numbers in next two weeks time.

    • Astrometeorology is thousands of years old and based on astronomical positions that allegedly directly affect the weather on Earth. Ancient classical astrologers created weather forecasting known as meteorology by noting the positions of stars, planets, the Sun, and Moon. According to their texts, when planets occupy constellations as seen from Earth, and that are harmonious to one another, or that are favorable, the Earth in general experiences positive weather conditions. But when planets hold mathematical aspects that are discordant across regions of the Earth, the atmosphere responds and the weather is unseasonable.

  10. All India Weather Inference

    ♦ A trough of low at mean sea level lies over central parts of south Bay of Bengal and
    ♦ An upper air cyclonic circulation lies over Comorin area and adjoining Srilanka and extends upto
    0.9 km above mean sea level.
    ♦ The trough of low at mean sea level over south Andaman Sea and adjoining Tenasserim coast has
    become less marked. However, the upper air cyclonic circulation extends upto 3.6 km above mean sea

  11. This is to just remind you my forecast given on 24th september for this NEM, this is what happening right now.

    by parthasri35 » Wed Sep 24,2014 11:55 am

    Flash News,

    NEM forecast official from sources, analysed by me. First lets see Jamstec Update.
    IOD will remain NEGATIVE in the remaining NEM 2014.

    Precipitation anomaly is on the negative side for this NEM season.

    ELNINO will reach 0.8C, the remarkable point by November End or December.

    It is globally expected that the NEM will be below or near to normal this 2014

    1. In Chennai and North TN will be below or near to normal.
    2. South TN may get normal to excess rainfall this season.

    • Yes. It also 100% coincides with what Dr Ramanan showed us in projection during the pre-NEM Meet! Good our bloggers are second to none!

  12. Chennai bad luck continues… Look at the coastal areas karaikal parangipet nagai ramnad pamban even tuticorin did best.., very bad chennai

  13. IMD report : Rain/thundershowers would occur at a few places over Andaman & Nicobar islands and south peninsular India. from 8th to 12th.

  14. A trough of low lies over central parts of south bay which means what. central tamil nadu coast. east of nagpattinam. looks like it would bring back some wet spell from tomorrow. let us hope for the best. satellite picture indicates strong cloud devlopment.


  15. personally I feel the impact of Hagupit will or should effect bob , for that we have to wait for another 6-7days..dec -19th -21st will be interesting..

  16. some more west movement of phillipine cyclone can trigger massive easterlies over bay of bengal and possibility of bay of bengal itself hosting a good weather system in the coming days.


  17. IMD chennai have come out with a forecast of commencement of rains from sunday – all coastal TN and further increase for the next 3 days. things started changing now on. they expect the prevailing trough would strengthen and becomes a well marked low by sunday.

  18. Update: 05PM today 05Dec.2014, Typhoon RUBY with maximum wind/gust
    (195/230kph), was located @ 360km East of Borongan, Eastern Samar
    (11.9N, 128.7E) and moving West @ 10 kph.PAGASA

  19. Recent SENSES
    Chennai city has more poulation with the natives of kanchipuram district
    2) tiruvallur
    3) vellore
    4) Madurai
    5) cuddalore

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