@gokultamilselvan
During NEM, its the easterly winds which produces cyclones. They are similar to africa trade winds which produce hurricanes in atlantic.
Imagine
this low pressure as kitchen sink.water comes from all directions
towards the hole,same way air comes from all directions to the low
pressure.
Vinodh its offcourse nem trough bt usually it affects ap and TN bt this trough is enough strong and bringing torential rain here…even if swm trough doent bring such rain every time
IMD warning for next 2 days 22 October: Heavy to very heavy rainfall would occur at isolated places over Tamilnadu, Kerala, south interior Karnataka, coastal Andhra Pradesh, Telangana and Rayalaseema.
23 October: Heavy to very heavy rainfall would occur at isolated places over Tamilnadu, Kerala, south interior Karnataka, coastal Karnataka, Telangana, coastal Andhra Pradesh and Rayalaseema
.
mitansunshine WE badly need rains. we are not blessed with perennial rivers like godavari, krishna or mahanadhi.
All lakes in chennai surroundings are not full. We need them badly.
mitansunshine If the LPA would have organised ,orrisa wont be getting rains.The more the organisation occurs,more the rains will be confined near the centre.
How Lightning occurs ?
When an updraft of warm air reaches a height where the temperature is just above freezing, ice crystals and frozen particles interact to produce an electric charge separation. When the electric field between the charges is great enough, an electrical breakdown – a lightning flash – occurs
Types of lightning
cloud-to-ground lightning and inter-cloud lightning.
While lightning that strikes the ground poses the most direct threat to humans and infrastructure, lightning between or within clouds can produce dangerous hail and tornadoes
Jma expects typhoon FRANSISCO to make landfall well below south of Tokyo. Most properly little south of Fuji or Shizuoka prefecture http://www.jma.go.jp/en/typh/13275l.html
Its a pity that we miss the bulk of it when the system has started to organize itself well. South AP already getting the bulk of the rains. Our only hope is for the bands to develop to the south as well strongly .
Nothing to pity about. What we have already received is 25% more than that I had estimated from the initial forecasts of 3-4 days back.
October is expected to remain weak
KeaWeather Archives 
Kea it is NT fighting…latest analysis shows its developing
steady rains for 30 mins now in purasawalkam ! 1.8mms!
mitansunshine HI MITAN
Arjunlv HERE TOO IN KOLATHUR FROM 11 PM IT IS RAINING STEADY. NOW SLIGHTLY REDUCED>>>
Raining at mandaveli
SST as of 10pm
Hii rame hope u r enjoying rain
mitansunshine YEAH IT IS PLEASURE .
rame1975 lowercase
A stretch of rain band is at the East of Chennai , it cud cover all the way from ponneri to kovalam if it hits the city!! but wil it??
sailudavey rame1975 Ok
Sail I am surprised to see LPA near TN coast giving rain to total east coast
mitansunshine TROUGH PLAYS ITS PART
Arjunlv HOPE IT COMES LIKE YESTERDAY
@gokultamilselvan
During NEM, its the easterly winds which produces cyclones. They are similar to africa trade winds which produce hurricanes in atlantic.
Imagine
this low pressure as kitchen sink.water comes from all directions
towards the hole,same way air comes from all directions to the low
pressure.
Rame there is no swm flow over north and adjoining central bay still how the trough is strong
MAX TEMP only 27.1 deg c in Nunga and 27.4 deg C in Meena !!!!!!
mitansunshine These are all bonus rains to you. take it
mitansunshine its NEM trough.
mitansunshine Indeed Mitan 🙂
mitansunshine Many october systems give this type of rains.
Yesterday 21-10-2013 0830 hrs IST PAC looks amazing…
Vinodh its offcourse nem trough bt usually it affects ap and TN bt this trough is enough strong and bringing torential rain here…even if swm trough doent bring such rain every time
VAGARIES FLASH SNIPPET.East coast trough strengthens due to Well Marked Low parked just off the North TN/South AP coast..Posted 11 pm IST Monday
mitansunshine All low pressure systems are not same.Some systems are big,some are small.This is one is quite big in size.
vinodh1986 mitansunshine VINODH still hopes alive on this system or we have to wait for next one.
Sailesh if I look to sky it looks exactly when a depression crosses odisha during swm..
mitansunshine Trough what IMD has mentioned is nothing but the clouds from this system.
Vinodh bt d LPA is still NT organised
Rame u r getting enough rain….u want another system???
IMD warning for next 2 days 22 October: Heavy to very heavy rainfall would occur at isolated places over Tamilnadu, Kerala, south interior Karnataka, coastal Andhra Pradesh, Telangana and Rayalaseema.
23 October: Heavy to very heavy rainfall would occur at isolated places over Tamilnadu, Kerala, south interior Karnataka, coastal Karnataka, Telangana, coastal Andhra Pradesh and Rayalaseema
.
mitansunshine WE badly need rains. we are not blessed with perennial rivers like godavari, krishna or mahanadhi.
All lakes in chennai surroundings are not full. We need them badly.
vinodh1986 Hopes still alive on this system ???
mitansunshine If the LPA would have organised ,orrisa wont be getting rains.The more the organisation occurs,more the rains will be confined near the centre.
mitansunshine We do not have enough water to meet drinking water needs.
rame1975 This system will give rains for next 2 days.
rame1975 yes
Rame u r right…bt there is another truth dat due to no river u dont face flood..
vinodh1986 rame1975 Can we expect 10 to 20 cm more from this one?
rame1975 vinodh1986 maybe 10 cm
Ohhh den u need more n more rain
mitansunshine I AGREE . But we face water problem every year. Last year NEM was a disaster after Cyclone NILAM
vinodh1986 rame1975 OKAY something is better than nothing…y’day 8 plus 10 cm = 18 cm … okay good beginning..
mitansunshine,
how was the thunderstorm today? is it violent like yesterday?
Got2go to sleep…gdni8
mitansunshine good night
mitansunshine GN…..
Thermal Image of the Beautiful Low yesterday morning… its a high res satellite image.. Please wait till it opens
vinodh1986 http://www.imd.gov.in/section/nhac/dynamic/Analysis1.htm
what does this mean ? can u elaborate ?
rame1975 it means link is not working
rame1975 Those areas has some potential to produce cyclones.
vinodh1986 rame1975 IT shows system crossing S-AP tomorrow close to Chennai
sailudavey rame1975 It is working. Are you kidding…
sailudavey Nice image
good night guys
vinodh1986 mitansunshine VALID point
Vinodh yesterday the storm in bhubaneswar was more violent than today bt today it rained more than twice compared to yesterday..gdni8 vinodh
sailudavey rame1975 OKAY …
Use Lowecase
Nice little rains at Mandaveli. .. Few more on the way.
sailudavey okay .. I will try . By habit it comes to me
sampathca Nice 🙂 Been hearing about lots of rains in that area
sailudavey you have deleted your post. pls repost it
i changed my mind
sailudavey content of the post ???
How Lightning occurs ?
When an updraft of warm air reaches a height where the temperature is just above freezing, ice crystals and frozen particles interact to produce an electric charge separation. When the electric field between the charges is great enough, an electrical breakdown – a lightning flash – occurs
Types of lightning
cloud-to-ground lightning and inter-cloud lightning.
While lightning that strikes the ground poses the most direct threat to humans and infrastructure, lightning between or within clouds can produce dangerous hail and tornadoes
Next set of storms hitting Chennai now… Better than the one few minutes back.
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/african_desk/cpc_intl/sasia/ensm_prob_precip24h50mm.html
AP might be the biggest benefactor today
Yeah… Let’s see tomorrow/today. .. Prediction is the system would recurve back towards TN. ..
Expecting atleast 15 mm from the approaching one…
sailudavey most of the rains stays in sea.. just off the coast
Which prediction is showing a recurve sampath
S coastal AP getting battered.. expecting big nos
system is parallel to chennai.. so places to N of the system will get most rains
Gud morning bloggers. Luks it is not gud day for chennai compared to sterday in terms of rainfall . Once again south ap is benefitting lot from this
Wow, that is one massive band. Massive!
RaijinWeather
May be we have some rainfall even today but with very less intensity. But overall gud NEM start for chennai…
RaijinWeather
Gud morning all bloggers
KarthikStorm_T.Nagar
But biggest benficary is going to AP and may be some for chennai
Rajarathnam KarthikStorm_T.Nagar We missed out big time. This may be the best band produced by the system
GOOD MORNING BLOGGERS
light rain here in ayanavaram
System is still stationary, so chances are good for us.
big mass north of chennai i think its going to s.ap
Jma expects typhoon FRANSISCO to make landfall well below south of Tokyo. Most properly little south of Fuji or Shizuoka prefecture
http://www.jma.go.jp/en/typh/13275l.html
red clouds moving fast and drizzles continue
Its a pity that we miss the bulk of it when the system has started to organize itself well. South AP already getting the bulk of the rains. Our only hope is for the bands to develop to the south as well strongly .
Whereas jtwc expected to make landfall near Tokyo
http://monsoondata.org/wx/prec.html
Any rains in Padi ?
KarthikStorm_T.Nagar Rajarathnam
Yes we missing them even after NEM has set in.. liile disappointing to miss sunc organized storm
KarthikStorm_T.Nagar
typo such..
It clearly shows more percolation for andra
Nothing to pity about. What we have already received is 25% more than that I had estimated from the initial forecasts of 3-4 days back.
October is expected to remain weak
Radar animation clearly shows the LLCC, just SE of Chennai. Pity it is poorly organised.
rainfall accumulation
http://www.imd.gov.in/section/dwr/img/pac_chn.gif
still fell tat we r in for some gud rains in coming days.. gfs looks gud for tomo n 24th
KarthikStorm_T.Nagar its puhing in all the moisture from bay into S AP.. it would have been better if the LLC is located somewhhere parallel to nagai
keaweather
yesterday’s rain has increased october tally which was very bad until then..