i think it rained heavily in areas of egmore & central… road is water logged,,,
Perfect condition for NEM…Morning showers are the signals ..that NEM to be commenced soon..
As per models,dip in the jet stream moving across eastern Asia is capturing is the reason that caused Wipha to make recurve in the ocean and move toward Japan
Wipha will be the second named storm to pass near eastern Japan this season. Tropical Storm Man-Yi brought strong winds and heavy rainfall to the country in September.
Cape is btw 2500 to 3500 j/kg in western and northern districts of TN.so good chance of rain for this areas.Kattankulathur area may record upto 7 cm rain today.
jtwc on NARI: THE SYSTEM IS TRACKING WESTWARD
ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL STEERING RIDGE TO THE
NORTH. THE CYCLONE WILL DISSIPATE BELOW THE WARNING THRESHOLD
INTENSITY OF 25 KNOTS AS IT TRACKS INLAND OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS.
THEREFORE, THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT
TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED
FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION
First the topic is nari will enter into bay or not…if it enters then thats good…nw the direction,it will probably towards west i.e TN as a low coz shear is v high in south bay and if any other direction then it can intensify…
850 hpa winds changes to North East. Wind intensity is not strong. Will increase in coming days. First time clouds moving in from sea.
Expecting rains today.
Ok thanks for the update Sel I not used to blogs and I am busy with charity work so when ever I get time once in a while used to cum to this site and very useful
Ok thanks for the update Sel I not used to blogs and I am busy with charity work so when ever I get time once in a while used to cum to this site and very useful
Generally ne winds r dry winds,.. N.E winds need sum moisture in bay to dump over Tn… S.bay trough or nari remnant would bring the necessary moisture… So just Wait for 2 or 3 days … Meanwhile local isolated t.storms cant b ruled out..
There is a disturbance in central arabian sea associated with a circulation which is causing the east winds in upper levels for TN.This disturbance is under moderate shear but struggling to form thunderstorms due to dry air.Development is unlikely.
KeaWeather Archives 
As per the topic rain has started here heavily with huge thunder for last 30mins
Ennore to besant nagar stretch got good rain here
Wind & ts movement is from north north east to south south west
So current ts won’t reach west of chennai
It poured like for 15 mins and then it stopped in Adyar.
Its pouring down heavily now in Perungudi…
Back to drizzles at Mandaveli after heavy rains.. Getting brighter as well.
rains stops fulky.. but its dark in NE nd SE
Started drizzling
CoNtinuE to pour for the lAst 10mIns
foreca predicts heavy rain todayhttp://www.foreca.com/India/State_of_Tamil_Nadu/Chennai?details=20131015
rAin stoPPed
dark clouds over west rain is still storehttp://www.imd.gov.in/section/dwr/img/caz_chn.gif
Clouds West of Chennai will not come to Chennai as the wind direction is NNE… They will have to move south unless the wind direction changes…
guys sudden red spots dissipated
i think it rained heavily in areas of egmore & central… road is water logged,,,
Perfect condition for NEM…Morning showers are the signals ..that NEM to be commenced soon..
Where?
hope NEM may set in normal date
A LPA forms near SL coast on 19th oct… BBC confirms this…SO NEM will commence on regular date..
http://www.bbc.co.uk/weather/6301127
http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=swas&MODELL=gfs&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=-&VAR=pr06&HH=102&ZOOM=0&ARCHIV=0&RES=0
bye guys iam going to get ready to school i will be back 30 minutes or after 4 pm
BBC shows…
A Low or trough will be present over TN for next 2 days…this trough helps to change the winds to NE..
Pure ITCZ storms these…. interiors will get devilish storms in the coming days… Maybe a couple of coastal areas will get affected.
As per models,dip in the jet stream moving across eastern Asia is capturing is the reason that caused Wipha to make recurve in the ocean and move toward Japan
Heavy rains in Besant nagar between 5.15am and 6.15am
Wipha will be the second named storm to pass near eastern Japan this season. Tropical Storm Man-Yi brought strong winds and heavy rainfall to the country in September.
Though Man-yi didn’t have much impact over Tokyo with rains of just 75mm, but WIPHA will have huge impact over Tokyo
VP2 shows NE winds..and BBC predicts NE winds from tmrw..so are we finally there?
Raining in Nagapattinam also
Cape is btw 2500 to 3500 j/kg in western and northern districts of TN.so good chance of rain for this areas.Kattankulathur area may record upto 7 cm rain today.
Pondicherry, Cuddalore seem to have got strong thunderstorms.
Typhoon Wipha Races towards Tokyo and Central Japan
Tue. Morning Update from westernpacificweather
http://www.westernpacificweather.com/2013/10/15/typhoon-wipha-races-towards-tokyo-and-central-japan-tue-morning-update/
Severe weather warning for Tokyo (kanto region)
http://www.jma.go.jp/en/warn/
Warning by area in kanto region
Koto-ku is where I live now
http://www.jma.go.jp/en/warn/319_table.html
Good morning all
With Chennai getting raina heavy rain here in bhubaneswar at night…n nw its 9.00am with cloudy and no sun…its v v cool…
Good morning friends
great start! The pre monsoon showers have started! 🙂 wind direction has changed finally….
Hope Chennai gets nem soon and gets it part too
The upper level wind has changed to east in chennai…monsoon is NT too far….enjoy guys
ECMWF sticks with remnants of typoon Nari entering Andaman sea as a low on the 17th.
Karthik is any other models forecasting the same
mitansunshine Yes, latest GFS run also indicates a low crossing into Andaman sea from the remnants.
Yes Karthik i jst nw gfs…its saying a low…bt i think this time this will travel west towards tn
Karthik i think gfs also predicting another low over EC bay…
mitansunshine Yup, models are taking it as a low towards TN.
Omr is flooded at many streches..
Lets Hope that this nem brings in more cyclones..
ashwinv wish for cyclones? definitely we are not prepared for that… sufficient rains are enough..
Looks like more rains on the way.. Hopefully wind direction will continue to be NNE. . .
Good Morning all..Could sense change of wind direction today morning.Was more SE and should shift to East n NE in a day or two.
Siberian high has established twrds xtreme NE.. wind reversal may happen anytime. http://www.tmd.go.th/programs/uploads/maps/2013-10-15_TopChart_07.jpg
Wat is going to make 1st nem rain ?? S.bay trough or nari remnant… lets c
Nem is just round the corner. .excited at what it may be in store for us
jtwc on NARI: THE SYSTEM IS TRACKING WESTWARD
ALONG THE SOUTHERN PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL STEERING RIDGE TO THE
NORTH. THE CYCLONE WILL DISSIPATE BELOW THE WARNING THRESHOLD
INTENSITY OF 25 KNOTS AS IT TRACKS INLAND OVER THE NEXT 36 HOURS.
THEREFORE, THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT
TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED
FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION
Sel it has high possibility to come into bay….even I think I will surely come into bay
Sel if the nari remnant will enter into bay…then in which direction it will move
First the topic is nari will enter into bay or not…if it enters then thats good…nw the direction,it will probably towards west i.e TN as a low coz shear is v high in south bay and if any other direction then it can intensify…
850 hpa winds changes to North East. Wind intensity is not strong. Will increase in coming days. First time clouds moving in from sea.
Expecting rains today.
mitan,Everything is in favour of us..so It shld be moving perfect west with nem flow…..
Sel get ready for nem with a system over bay as a free with nem
Pradeep, yes, just saw VVP2 and it’s clear NE direction for the first time. Augurs well.
Selcyclone Will Virudhunagar will get normal rain fall on this NSM?
Mod rains in thekady now.. Swm still seems to be active in kerala
Gud to now tat some places in chennai received gud rainfall
Partially cloudy weather in kellys
s.bay -60% nari-40%
I didn’t understand Sel what is -60 and -40
Sel wat u mean by dis
Sel wat u mean by dis
Ya.tats the possible way thru nem gonna set in…. S.bay has 60% chance to trigger where as nari has got 40%..
Ya.tats the possible way thru nem gonna set in…. S.bay has 60% chance to trigger where as nari has got 40%..
Selcyclone Great news Selvan……Hope by this weekend NEM will set in
Ok thanks for the update Sel I not used to blogs and I am busy with charity work so when ever I get time once in a while used to cum to this site and very useful
Ok thanks for the update Sel I not used to blogs and I am busy with charity work so when ever I get time once in a while used to cum to this site and very useful
Got confirmed wit the cloud movement,.. Its from N-NE. V.cant get anything more than tis… Its ideal..
Selcyclone OKAY .. that sounds sweet
Selcyclone Will NARI be a possible cause for triggering NEM ?
PradeepJohn Hope by Thursday or Friday it will get stronger
mitansunshine How is the flood situation in Bhubaneswar and other parts of Orissa ?
R u confirming that rains would start from tomorrow Sel
mitansunshine Let us wait and watch the things happening. If any one happens it will be good
ashwinv Let us hope more from LPAs or DDs . cyclones will give more destruction
shajaya ashwinv we do not need cyclones. LPAs and WML or DD s will provide sustained rainfall to widespread areas…
shajaya ashwinv we do not need cyclones. LPAs and WML or DD s will provide sustained rainfall to widespread areas…
SenthilkumarP_Adm nice to hear . hope NEM starts with a Bang…
Generally ne winds r dry winds,.. N.E winds need sum moisture in bay to dump over Tn… S.bay trough or nari remnant would bring the necessary moisture… So just Wait for 2 or 3 days … Meanwhile local isolated t.storms cant b ruled out..
Selcyclone hope by weekend everything will fall in place….
Selcyclone hope by weekend everything will fall in place….
Good Rainfall in Chennai today morning.
Marina Beach 16.2 mm and Tharamani – 35.5 mm today
I stay in chetpet and not even a drop of rain
Latest MAX-Z image shows lots of tiny popups towards west and north of chennai
PradeepJohn It seems only South Chennai areas got rain this morning.
Hope we get some thunderstorms tonight .What horrible weather humidity is extreme
VVP2 image shows wind direction from North- Northeast in upper level winds above 1.20 KM
supremeperson We can have couple of showers tonight or evening….Hope it happens for entire Chennai
supremeperson We can have couple of showers tonight or evening….Hope it happens for entire Chennai
Mean while I just came back from cochin and no rains there just odd passing showers that’s it
Chennai Region Rainfall on 15.10.2013
—————————————-
Many areas in the morning got surprise rains.
in mm
Perugudi – 35.5
Tharamani – 34
Sholinganallur – 33
Cholavaram – 18
Marina Beach 16.2
Ellapuram – 10
Guindy – 6
Madhavaram – 4
Ennore – 3
Redhills – 1.4
Kancheepuram – 1
Nungambakkam – 0.2
There is a disturbance in central arabian sea associated with a circulation which is causing the east winds in upper levels for TN.This disturbance is under moderate shear but struggling to form thunderstorms due to dry air.Development is unlikely.
There is a trough which expected to form in southern peninsula which would start our NEM.
clouds are coming to chennai from east so arabian sea circulation is pulling the clouds from bay.
clouds are coming to chennai from east so arabian sea circulation is pulling the clouds from bay.