After 4 days of 42+ weather Chennai witnessed temperature below 39 for 2 consecutive days. Next few days max temp is expected to be between 35 and 37 with high chance of evening TS
After 4 days of 42+ weather Chennai witnessed temperature below 39 for 2 consecutive days. Next few days max temp is expected to be between 35 and 37 with high chance of evening TS
North west districts enjying gud rainfall
Thiruvannamalai getting gud rain now
One disturbance is still located in the northern Bay of Bengal. While this area is unlikely to develop due to interaction with land, the slow-moving nature of this disturbance has the potential to produce a few inches of rainfall in eastern India and Bangladesh through at least Wednesday night and thursday .
Finally foreca and gfs forecast of Nil rainfall for chennai city became true sterday…bad luck continues for chennai city
But GFS and almost other forecast models are showing some big towers btween june 3rd and 4th…Lets see how much chennai will get out of these
Consider models that forecast rain for Chennai to be wrong until proven right – usually error rate in that line of judgement is < 10% ЁЯШЫ
Rains in June have been unpredictable and not from organized systems. If it gets really hot in the morning, chances of torrential drizzles in the evenings increases.
onset of SWM will be a mystery….
climatic changes are unexpected
vry hvy rains forecast for calcutta
http://foreca.com/India/State_of_West_Bengal/Kolkata
From wed til friday
http://m.timesofindia.com/india/Monsoon-on-track-meteorological-department-says/articleshow/20320212.cms
Preliminary Rainfall in Tamil Nadu
in mm ending 8.30 am on 29.05.2013
Katupakkam – 43
Cheyyar – 37
Panamarathupatti – 37
Kavalai – 34
Polur – 34
Harur – 23
Arani – 20
Rishivandiam – 15
Kottampatti – 15
Mailam – 14
Yercaud AWS – 14
Alanganallur – 12
Kodaikanal – 11
Vanapuram – 11
Madurantakam – 9
Marandahalli – 9
Macdonalds Choultry – 9
Paramakkudi – 9
Kodampatti – 8
Tiruttani – 7
Kalrayanhills – 7
Paiyur – 7
T.Palur – 7
Konganapuram – 7
Sholayar – 6
Coonoor – 6
Kattumannarkoil – 6
Aranthangi – 5
Kelambakkam – 5
Thirukoilyur – 5
Virinjipuram – 5
Namakkal – 4
Chennai AP – 4
Uthiramerur
Uthiramerur ?
Expected 4cm, but ended up in mm
Lol
The bay system shows banding in clouds coming from the southern part of system.The LLC covered with intense thunderstorms and looks like it has developed into a depression.The system will further intensify under low- moderate shear over north bay and bring very heavy rain and gusty winds for orrisa ,west Bengal and Bangladesh.There is a possibility of minimal tropical storm in bay(international standards).
The system is tracking under the influence of huge high pressure located over china sea extending till myanmar.
Depression would bring flooding to the coastal area.
Yea better than a cyclone in terms of rainfall, but cyclone shldnt be underestimated, the core and proper rain bands would bring torrential rainfall……
Cyclones have very intense rains than the depression but its organized to a particular area.The intensity of rain increases in cyclones as it strengthens, as the rain intensity increases winds goes up.
Chennai got cyclone JAL and Nilam which is a sheared system and is a bad example of cyclonic storms.Well organised cyclone will have rain intensity which depressions cannot match as they don’t produce intense thunderstorms.
This storm could be underestimated since it is intensifying close to land and will move into land quickly like last year depression which made landfall in Bangladesh as it was more of a minimal cyclone than a depression.
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home2.cgi?AGE=Latest&ACTIVES=13-EPAC-02E.BARBARA,13-EPAC-91E.INVEST,13-IO-94B.INVEST,13-IO-95A.INVEST&PHOT=yes&ATCF_BASIN=io&SIZE=full&NAV=tc&ATCF_YR=2013&CURRENT=20130529.0432.mtsat1r.x.vis2km.94BINVEST.25kts-1004mb-217N-893E.100pc.jpg&ATCF_NAME=io942013&MO=MAY&STYLE=tables&YEAR=2013&YR=13&BASIN=IO&STORM_NAME=94B.INVEST&ARCHIVE=active&AREA=pacific/southern_hemisphere&DIR=/SATPRODUCTS/TC/tc13/IO/94B.INVEST/vis/geo/2km&TYPE=geo&PROD=vis&SUB_PROD=2km
good banding around the system with organized centralized convection.Winds and pressure will be upgraded soon.
Yesterday’s max and min
Chennai – 37.5 min 28.8c
Chennai ap 38.2 min 26.1c
Radar is damn clean
http://chennaibulletin.com/live-weather/doppler-radar-products/
Click to access rsmc.pdf
IMD upgraded it to depression.
@vinoth..but Most of the models suggest northward movement during 48 hrs acrss Bangla.They suggest maintenance of depression intensity till landfall today evening and gradual weakening thereafter.
So rain chances in Indian shore reduces further.
the cloud covering is towards west and south so rains for WB sure.
Heat is back after 2 days of below normal temperature
yea…………..
intense convection….
will the SWM hit india before the predicted day…..
Blogger meetup update.
As schools are postponed by 1 week, lets postpone this also to 8th June.
So its 8th June @ 4 pm
But where?
location will be decided based on the no of attendees?
Lol why did you postpone it?! ЁЯШж
Kea…if that is day,I would miss as I need to bring my family which is on vacation..anyway let it..
Change in plan???
Conditions are becoming favourable for onset of Southwest monsoon over Kerala during the next 3-4 days.
Imd says swm may set in early in maharashtra,goa and most of the south indian regions…
http://indianweatherman.blogspot.com/2013/05/monsoon-update-29-may-2013-expected-on.html?m=1
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http://www.dinakaran.com/News_Detail.asp?Nid=50915
enna kodumai saravanan sir idhu,,,
Varare puyale varadhu solluwanga…
varadha puyale varum solluranga,,????
They misunderstood the movement towards Bangladesh/WB coast as TN and AP coast ЁЯЩВ
Small TS coming up near Mahabs. Hope it continues Nowrth West for Chennai.
http://www.imd.gov.in/section/dwr/dynamic/dwr.htm
will the swm start before 2nd
Swm may set in next 36-60hrs …
SWM has set in Kerala but IMD will announce only when it satisfies their criteria, that may very well happen in next 48 hours.
Rolling clouds twrds west??
noo
Senthil, The System is expected to make landfall in Bangladesh but very close to WB coast.WB will get gusty winds and very heavy rain for next 36 hours as storm is slow moving one.Even north orrisa would get heavy rain.
The current wind speed is about 30 knots it could become a minimal cyclone(international standards) if it could linger in bay for few few more hours.
Bulk of Intense thunderstorms are present in western part of system which will move into West bengal.
The arabian system is in bad shape.Its interacting with land.Shear is low around the system but dry air is coming from arabian peninsula.
Vinodh
see the kolkata radar for llcc location… as of now its close to the coast…
yup, LLC was close to coast.
Will these thunderstorms give me a gift for my bday today?!
Jupi since I had sem exam wasn’t able to wish u in morning anyway hAppy bday jupi
Adithya
Thanks for wishing me… I was just hoping for some rain…
Ur wish would be granted today Jupi Nama blog meet eppo ???June month full of complete vettiness after 30 days of studying for eng exam paah mudiyalae
Ya I know… kea has postponed the meeting to 8th june…
Happy Birthday Jupi..
jupi,
today my fathers birthday too.
Jupi happy birthday…
happy birthday
happy b’day !!
Looks like we all have to wait until my return tomorrow for TS in Chennai
Thats why its apt to call you Sir Kea !!!!!!!
Lightning in north.
* West
Emnomc
where? тЭУ
it is moving away from uthiramerur.
Nunga 39.5 & 28.8
Meena 37.5 & 26.0
25-30 knot winds over Kerala on 1st night or 2nd morning, this is the onset time.
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http://www.dailythanthi.com/node/302982
IMD has announced that system made landfall over west bengal.Part of circulation is still in sea showing developing convection of WB coast..Wind shear is low around the system.bulk of the convection around the western part of system.Very heavy rain to continue for West bengal and orrisa.
The system is in good shape as part of circulation still over sea.
Skymet says chennai and hyderabad have good chance of rain Tom hope this is true
isolated tstorms are possible
Very heavy rain for WB and Bangladesh. Rain Intensity as well as winds will be high for entire WB coast.
http://www.imd.gov.in/section/dwr/dynamic/dwr.htm
Intense rains over WB.Part of circulation lies over the islands visible in radar.
Depression is moving slowly in a west-NW direction .
Continuous moderate
to heavy rainfall in
many districts of
Kerala in the last few
days suggests that
southwest monsoon
has reached and will
soon cover the entire
state.
http://www.livemint.com/Politics/Xt3meQvrs8gDYhfWyuJWWJ/Kerala-feels-the-effect-of-monsoon-rains.html
Chance of rain for 2mrow between morning 9am-12pm and evng 5-8pm in Chennai…
belated birthday wishes jupi! Sorry about being late,because I’m not in India and not visiting the blog everyday since april 27th
oops sorry,thought it was 30th in india ЁЯШЫ
But anyways,happy birthday ЁЯША
http://www.indianexpress.com/news/imd-s-doppler-weather-radars-under-security-cloud/952321/1
Superb news if they install and improve short term forecasts ЁЯША
http://www.hindustantimes.com/HTNext/LifeAndUniverse/Lethal-gamma-ray-may-soon-hit-earth/Article1-1067785.aspx
http://frenchtribune.com/teneur/1318342-scientists-alarmed-about-lethal-gamma-ray-burst
http://topnews.us/content/255251-fatal-gamma-ray-disintegrate-wr-104-could-reach-earth-says-scientists
http://www.indianexpress.com/news/lethal-gammaray-burst-could-hit-earth-scientists/1122203/?rheditorpick
cloud cover
On June 2nd… GFS
looks gud fr chennai
http://chennaibulletin.com/live-weather/doppler-radar-products/
TS near ongle
Ongole
Currently it is 1.2c less than yesterday and 15% higher humidity.
Will the temp rise over 40 today? Will we get TS today?
Skymet which is never accurate is prediting 42 mm for saturday. Lets see if we get atleast something
Kea looks like chennai is going to receive some showered today as predicted by skymet
Oops it’s showers nt showered
Nice cloud cover over chennai
Same in Bangalore too
Entire circulation of depression has moved inland it will continue to produce very heavy rain for WB and bangladesh as lot of moisture is entering into land from bay.It will weaken slowly.
gud chance ts evening ts for nxt 4 days
http://foreca.com/India/State_of_Tamil_Nadu/Chennai?tenday
cloud mass to the east of Chennai not moving at all since morning.will it move towards Chennai.
kea pls post this….. if possible…..
another poll will be coming soon….
if iod is negative entire india will have only below normal to normal rains
No, if we have negative IOD, we will receive more rainfall, compare to normal one.
lots of clouds around b’lore….winds have become calm after many days….good signs of a ts
Bangalore – sharp showers possible today towards late evening !
from indian weatherman
Drizzling in pondy. What about radar
Heavy storms to the west of pondy dinagar moving east north east. pondy will get something out of it.
http://www.dinakaran.com/News_Detail.asp?Nid=51022
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Latest COLA model suggests that Monsoon will enter as FULL force into Kerala on 2-Jun-2013.
From 31-May or 1-Jun, very heavy and widespread rain expected for most of Kerala and along S,central Karnataka coast.
It has been cloudy since morning. During the TS day before yesterday at quite a few places in Chennai provided not even a drizzle to Padi. Looks like Padi seems to have something which iis repelling the rains. Even during the rains a couple of weeks back Padi barely had a drizzle.
very good amount of rain in nagapattinam and in karikal ЁЯЩВ
Thunderstorms coming towards us! http://www.imd.gov.in/section/dwr/dynamic/dwr.htm
Very heavy rains near domlur flyover, Bangalore..
se is looking deadly from here…no rains in north bangalore though
its started raining in JP Nagar , Bannerghatta road
south bangalore areas is getting thunderstorms at the moment …can hear some thunders
Areas around MG road getting more rain than here..
huge anvil clods towards wsw..
nagai dist getting rains now
thiruvarur dist also jon
wind speed development is hindered so the SWM will be late in its track
aww pleasent weather… hvy rain makes me happy as anything.. itz been raining here fr past 1 hr… relief frm torrid weather…. venue: thiruvarur dist… expecting big nos in imd chart frm deltazzzzzz..
yday also, widespread rains were observed in thanjavur Dt.
will chennai city get rains today?
seems more chance for south of chennai as per radar
Clouds are dissipated compare to last radar update…
s… thats bad for chennai city which is expecting one gud spell for long time
Nice see that most part of TN getting heavy rain today…
central TN getting some gud rains….see the water vapour
pony and cuddalore in for rain, also seems from the radar villupuram receiving good rains
its raining in tokyo now for past 15 minutes…steady showers.
forecasted to continue till 6 am 2moro…can expect atleast 20mm
cola’s forecast for banglore is gud for next one week
where as for chennai, it is not good
Severe thunderstorm towards north of north bangalore…slowly moving towards us
by 3rd june the monsoon clouds reach as far as Mumbai. Hope the monsoon will keep its intensity throughout the season without any break.
guys lets move to new topic…
роХро╛родрпНродрпБ родро╛ройрпН ро╡ро░рпБродрпБ