Chennai has recorded 3 days of 42+ temperature and it is expected to continue. Sunday’s max was 42.7c, hottest recorded temp in 6 years
Chennai has recorded 3 days of 42+ temperature and it is expected to continue. Sunday’s max was 42.7c, hottest recorded temp in 6 years
Chennai 42 C days
——————-
2012 – above 42C – 6 days
2008 – above 42C – 4 days
2007 – above 42C – 4 days
2013 – above 42C – 3 days so far
First heavy Pre-monsoon rains in Kerala
in mm (min 10 mm) ending 8.30 am on 26.05.2013
Quilandy – 138
Vadakara – 136
Alappuzha – 100
Kochi AP – 83
Kumarakom – 76
Mattanur – 55
Mancompu – 53
Konni – 50
Vadakkancherry – 47
Kozhikode – 46
Mannarkad – 43
Irikkur – 38
Kakkkanadu – 38
Kodungallur – 34
Chengannur – 33
Kanjirapuzha – 31
Anakayam – 31
Kottarakkara – 26
Karipur – 24
Kayamkulam – 23
Thalasserry – 19
Kanjirappally – 19
Ponnani – 17
Aryankavu – 17
Piravom – 17
Mavelikkara – 16
Kottayam – 15
Angadippuram – 14
Thodupuzha – 13
Pookot – 13
Manjeri – 13
Aluva – 11
Perumbavur – 11
Ottappalam – 10
Tavanur – 10
Punalur – 10
Nedumangad – 10
Chalakudy – 10
Perinthalmanna – 10
Haripad – 10
so monsoon has almost started in kerala
pleasant start to the day
94b shows increase in the intensity of thunderstorms but it lacks overall organization. Convection are heavy particularly in the southern quadrant of the system.The system is slowly moving into the inner rim of upper anticyclone which would provide low shear and great outflow as the high pressure is located at the top of the system.Increase in the intensity of convection is an indication of system moving into better atmospheric conditions.Currently the shear is moderate around the system.Possibility of depression looks good.
Some models are developing this system into a significant cyclonic storm.It can happen only if the movement of storm remains slow as expected by GFS as it could give some time for system to gain strength but if the system gains momentum then it would be difficult for it to gain significant intensity as it would push the system into land.
Latest animation shows a good spin in clouds indicating more defined circulation.
http://www.weatheronline.in/cgi-app/satellite?LANG=in&STRUCTUR=_&CREG=iiir&CONT=inin&BIG=0&LOOP=12
System is expected to drift towards Indian coast.The movement of system for past few hours is north-NW.
There is an huge high pressure covering the Philippines and china sea with its outer rim extending till Myanmar keeping the system away from Myanmar coast.This could be the one steering the system towards Indian coast.There is also an western disturbance approaching north but its movement remains slow and is expected to remain weak.
The disturbance in Arabian sea is moving towards Yemen.The convection remains weak around the system.Wind shear remains high around the system hindering development but there is a decreasing shear near the Yemen coast.
Models are expecting development once it near the coast but the dry air from the Arabian peninsula would pose a great threat to this system so the chance is less.
94B going throu tough time.. Shear getting increased around the system..
arani records 62mm
Can we expect some thunder storm activity today in Chennai today?
hope so.
cool, lets wait and watch.
Severe TS activity xpected for next 48 hrs starting 4m tday…
Yes. We will get rain by today evening in Chennai. Hope for the best.
Windy in Bengaluru today
no chance of ts then..
Yestrday was a close miss.. V had a chance to see the storm close by few kms west of n.chennai but it failed to move into later sucessive stages.. And ther was a mighty storm twrds south… Dnt knw wat all the places got covered by tat myty storm..
Massive rains lash Dharmapuri District.
Some stations record over 100 mm rainfall
Dear Pradeep/Ehsan- what are the chances of rain in Banglore today since Dharmapuri/Hosur is getting rains – the impact should be there also
Bright Chance of rains along the Bangalore – Krishnagiri – Dharmapuri – Vellore belt today too. But whether Bangalore gets rain or not….i am not sure.
oh God, 100 mm in the month of May…..this is double bonus for the people belonging to this place.
Really ..from May1 onwards even in Erode, Bhavani ,Gobi area had received good rain.infact more than 100mm..As per past record,getting 100mm+ in this may month in this area would pave a way for good SW rain falling…let us see..how it would be
Very Heavy Rainfall in North Tamil Nadu
in mm ending 8.30 on 27.05.2013
Chennai misses again
Harur – 130
Tozhudur – 130
Dharamapuri – 90
Dharmapuri PTO – 75
Chengam – 70
Barur – 60
Arani – 59
Polur – 50
Ambur – 50
Vaniaymbadi – 50
Krishnagiri – 40
Tirupattur – 40
Tirupattur PTO – 39
Kalavai – 35
Kodampatti – 34
Pennagaram – 30
Alangayam – 30
Uthangarai – 30
Chengalpattu – 30
Rayakottah – 30
Kaveripakkam – 14
Marakkanam – 22
Tiruttani – 20
Melalathur – 20
Sathanur Dam – 20
Marandahalli – 19
Paiyur – 18
Melmalayanur – 12
Kalrayanhills – 11
Ellapuram – 10
Upper Bhavani – 10
Pochampalli – 10
Palacode – 10
Gudiyatham – 10
Penucondapuram – 10
Tiruvannamalai -10
Tirupuvanam -10
Karaikudi – 10
Tiruttani AWS – 9
Cheyyar – 9
Virinjipuram – 7
Kallakurichi – 6
Avalanche – 6
Coonoor – 5
Cheyyar AWS – 5
its really good climate here at Guindy…Overcast…Is it May?..anyway enjoy guys..
Massive rains continue in Andaman & Nicobar Islands
94 B is giving these islands plenty of precipitation
in mm ending 8.30 am on 27.05.2013
Hut Bay – 163.2
Port Blair – 67.2
Car Nicobar – 32.8
Nancowry – 10.6
Maya Bunder – 0
Long Island – 0
Put some figure for Chennai……too..Hope u could do it today or tomorrow…right pradeep?
u are sure about today rain in chennai as predicted by the models.
perfect weather conditions today.. as per gfs we mite see some hvy tstorms today n tomo
We need these tstorms definitely.
Guys check this out!!! Divergence and convergence taking place over Chennai! 🙂 😮
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/windmain.php?&basin=indian&sat=wm5&prod=dvg&zoom=Z&time=
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/windmain.php?&basin=indian&sat=wm5&prod=conv&zoom=Z&time=
Chennai DWR is still unserviceable..really pathetic for Chennai area..till that time Sriharikota DWR can be shared to IMD…right..This is indigenously developed by ISRO..So security issue would be a real concern..Otherwise IMD should act fast and set right Chennai DWR. Till that time IMD also can share its Storm detection Radar images..
Twin System – IMD RSMC Report Update
======================
95 A (Oman) – Now a LPA according to IMD
——————————
A LOW PRESSURE AREA LIES OVER WEST CENTRAL ARABIAN SEA OFF OMAN COAST, IT WOULD MOVE NORTHWESTWARDS DURING NEXT 48 HOURS.
94 B (West Bengal) – Still a UAC will become LPA in next 48 hours
————————————
THE UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER WEST CENTRAL AND ADJOINING NORTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL OFF ODISSA COAST EXTENDING UP TO MID-TROPOSPHERIC LEVELS PERSISTS. UNDER ITS INFLUENCE A LOW PRESSURE AREA WOULD FORM OVER NORTH BAY OF BENGAL DURING NEXT 48 HOURS.
Click to access rsmc.pdf
the new formation has stepped down the advancement of monsoon to srilanka…..
hope it makes the onset date late
it will delay the onset in peninsula in east coast
http://oiswww.eumetsat.org/IPPS/html/MTP/PRODUCTS/MPE/SOUTHERNASIA/IMAGESDisplay/cYpMgnv6pNJqv
UAC will move further north due high shear and chance of LPA in 24 hours is difficult.
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home2.cgi?AGE=Latest&ACTIVES=13-CPAC-90C.INVEST,13-EPAC-91E.INVEST,13-EPAC-92E.INVEST,13-IO-94B.INVEST,13-IO-95A.INVEST&PHOT=yes&SIZE=full&NAV=tc&ATCF_YR=2013&CURRENT=20130527.0600.meteo-7.shear.wind.cimss.x.jpg&ATCF_NAME=002013&MO=MAY&YEAR=2013&YR=13&ARCHIVE=active&BASIN=IO&STORM_NAME=null&STYLE=tables&AREA=pacific/southern_hemisphere&AID_DIR=/SATPRODUCTS/kauai_data/www/indian/winds/shear&DIR=/SATPRODUCTS/kauai_data/www/indian/winds/shear&TYPE=ssmi&PROD=shear
The low pressure over north bay still lacks organization due shear coming from northeast .It would develop into a monsoon depression providing very heavy rain for the indian coast.
This system will advance the monsoon further into bay and help in advance of monsoon in west coast.
some encouragement for Chennai..
http://www.monsoondata.org/wx/prec.html
Selvan, That’s always the case of these SWM low pressure.The shear will be persistent over the bay allowing the system to reach only a minimal intensity storm but it can produce huge rainfall amount.
That’s the reason these SWM Low’s are called monsoon depression. They lack in wind speed but produce huge rainfall.
TC formation probability>>>>
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/TCFP/
Pull effect of LPA brings down Chennai heat
LPA north and centre does not have any clouding….only southern part have clouding due to the SW winds
vinodth – I think it will be more than a normal monsoon depression. I dont know whether it will gain to named cyclone or not. But good chance of intensification once the WD pushes the LPA more into the sea
95A INVEST
———–
Winds – 15kts-
MSLP – 1010mb
Location – 18.2 N 60.2 E
Satellite Image – http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_apache/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc13/IO/95A.INVEST/vis/geo/1km_zoom/20130527.0600.meteo7.x.vis1km_high.95AINVEST.15kts-1010mb-182N-602E.100pc.jpg
94B INVEST
————-
Winds – 15kts
MSLP – 1010mb
Location – 19.6 N 89.8E
Satellite Image – http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_apache/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc13/IO/94B.INVEST/vis/geo/1km_zoom/20130527.0632.mtsat1r.x.vis1km_high.94BINVEST.15kts-1010mb-196N-898E.100pc.jpg
94 B to deepen to 998 MB in 48 hours according to GFS – http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2013052700/gfs_mslp_wind_ind_20.png
95 A to deepen to 994 MB on june 1st according to GFS – http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2013052700/gfs_mslp_wind_ind_44.png
its 988 mb
94 B to deepen to 988 MB in 48 hours according to GFS – http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2013052700/gfs_mslp_wind_ind_20.png
95 A to deepen to 994 MB on june 1st according to GFS – http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2013052700/gfs_mslp_wind_ind_44.png
pradeep,Normally these SWM lows will have lower pressure drop but the winds would not meet the pressure drop like other low pressure systems.
Eg:A Minimal 35 kt SWM cyclone could have a pressure drop of about 980 Mb.
Normally 980mb pressure drop is equivalent to a strong tropical storm but in these SWM lows are quite different.
Pradeep, I am not saying tat it will not reach cyclone.Most of these SWM low’s at the max reach a minimal cyclone intensity(international standards) but not more than that due to persistent shear found during SWM till early September.Monsoon depression is a general term used for the low’s which form in north bay during SWM and they are quite different than other low’s when it comes to size and their longer life.
WD wont impact the system much as its far away.The system will move in a west-NW direction.
Currently the shear has increased around the system that’s a cause of concern for this system.
Chennai forecast:Mostly cloudy with a chance of a thunderstorm and rain, then thunderstorms after midnight. Low of 28C with a heat index of 35C. Windy. Winds from the SSW at 20 to 35 km/h shifting to the WNW after midnight. Chance of rain 70%.
From now on there will be a decreasing trend in temperature.
Lots of thunderstorms to come.
The temperature is already down by 7C when compared to yesterday. and there is a possibility of TS today
But again it may scorch after 2 days
Vinodth,
agreed. But the WD has a huge impact on the bay system, see the models mslp, the through of WD pushing the system away from orissa to West Bengal / Bangladesh Coast
TS will be for a day or two and after that heat wave may continue.. The System in North East BOB will move towards NE and will remain constant for a week.. Heavy to very heavy rainfall can be expected NE, Chittagong and Myanmar.
Yup, today it was a much better day than yesterday. Glad to note that we could see some rains starting today hopefully.
Kea./Pradeep..Temp reading is still 40.2°C and remains constant for more than 4 hrs…Is something wrong?
Its constant since Friday… he is in Bangalore, he wil be back on Thursday…………..
Oh i did not notice…since it is cloudy and overcast,just checked..so KEA & IMD is down right..??
yea Radar is down !
Much better day !! Today’s max 37.8*c
IMD’s rainfall statistics in cm..
Harur (Dharmapuri Dist), Tozhudur (Cuddalore Dist) 13 each, Dharamapuri (Dharmapuri Dist) 9, Dharmapuri pto (Dharmapuri Dist), Chengam (Tiruvannamalai Dist) 7 each, Arani (Tiruvannamalai Dist), Barur (Krishnagiri Dist) 6 each, Polur (Tiruvannamalai Dist), Ambur (Vellore Dist), Vaniaymbadi (Vellore Dist) 5 each, Krishnagiri (Krishnagiri Dist), Tirupattur (Vellore Dist), Tirupathur pto (Vellore Dist) 4 each, Kalavai AWS (Vellore Dist), Rayakottah (Krishnagiri Dist), Uthangarai (Krishnagiri Dist), Alangayam (Vellore Dist), Chengalpattu (Kancheepuram Dist) 3 each, Tiruttani (Tiruvallur Dist), Melalathur (Vellore Dist), Marandahalli (Dharmapuri Dist), Paiyur AWS (Krishnagiri Dist), Sathanur Dam (Tiruvannamalai Dist) 2 each, Pochampalli (Krishnagiri Dist), Palacode (Dharmapuri Dist), Gudiyatham (Vellore Dist), Penucondapuram (Krishnagiri Dist), Tiruvannamalai (Tiruvannamalai Dist), Tirupuvanam (Sivaganga Dist), Karaikudi (Sivaganga Dist) 1 each.
Recruitment of 71 Posts of Meteorologist Gr-II in India Meteorological Department.
Click Here For More Details : http://www.upsc.gov.in/recruitment/advt/2013/7_13_eng.pdf
Thunderstorm expected on Wednesday..
tonight maybe……
I don’t think that we would have 40+ days either this week or the week after. Mercury will continue to hover steadily around 38-39 degrees for the next few weeks. Only some good Tstorms can prevent the mercury from soaring again.
Senthil, Temperature won’t increase after 2 days.It will be decreasing from now on.
Partly due to low pressure over north bay and advancing SWM in west coast.
Vinoth..carefully using word ” may” as IMD ramanan…???
I should use the word ” would” for this :).
Due to level of uncertainty in weather, its better to use words will be “may” or “would” rather than “will”.
Im just stopping by to see what you guys think about the developing area near Bangladesh. You going with GFS and its Bullish outcome or less than that? My thoughts by the way…. .http://www.westernpacificweather.com/2013/05/27/invest-94b-developing-low-near-bangladesh/
Robert, i expect it to be a minimal system(depression).Shear is not that favorable around the system as of now.
shear tendency -10kts
http://chennaibulletin.com/live-weather/
shear should decrease in north bay for the system to develop.
It wont do much for the system if it decreases down south.
5 days forecast by IMD
http://www.imd.gov.in/section/nhac/distforecast/tiruvallur.htm
Cloud cover from mahaballipuram, thiruvannamalai, tirupathur, ambur, kolar……….
Moderate showers can be expected at west coast.. The system in the Arabian sea is moving towards east due to strong wind blowing from south West. Bangalore will see more wet days within a week time. Chennai may be lucky for a day or two this week and after that dry and heat wave to continue over chennai for next couple of weeks.
No more 40+ for chennai
agree … but 37 or 38+ cannot be ruled out with humidity ranging 75%-88%.. which will make you feel 42 to 44 C..
Heavy showers lash Himachal, snowfall in high-altitude areas…
http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/Heavy-showers-lash-Himachal-snowfall-in-high-altitude-areas/articleshow/20291767.cms
thunderclouds around b’lore…thundercells are visible over ne and n and even towards nw….but cloud movement is w to e
but wind speed is still quite high which is bad
Wet days are on for Bangalore from thursday onwards
sw monsoon has started..so i dnt think we can expect anything more than drizzles or light showers
one heavy pre monsoon shower still left for bangalore.. Normally occurs every year a few days before IMD declares onset over the city.
Today’s Max :-
Chennai – 36.6*C
Chennai Ap – 36.4*c
n less humid too
chengalpattu – 3cm. even southern suburbs got some rains..we missed it yest
ts in nagai,tiruvarur dists
wow wow wow… expecting big noz tomo frm my area.. @jon
ya jon.. it was gloomy here anytime it ll rain.. very humid nw.. need rain badly fr deltaz…
jon swm has not started…..it was a false alarm that it started
sry almost started*
radar is back!!!!
wind speeds have picked up
but we have to wait for another more week for the onset of SWM
SWM will reach Kerala coast on 30th night and 31st may. take a look at BBC weather for confirmation.
As per paper news it is on 3rd.
2 Low pressure areas to form paralelly in next 48 hours.
1 in NW Bay & Another one in West Central Bay.
Sorry, another one in West Central Arabian Sea.
like charges repell
\
After onset of SWM over Kerala the onset and further progress in west coast would be delayed. Due to an LPA formation over West Central Arabian Sea in next 48 hours, near Oman Coast.
Heavy rain with TS lashed for more 2 hours in Madurai city and its suburban….
Salem going to get battered
http://www.imd.gov.in/section/dwr/dynamic/dwr.htm
partha wen u expect the onset over kerala
31st or 01st.
Partha,
The SW has to be atleast 30-40 kts along Kerala coast. I see that happening only on 3rd. The bay will see earlier monsoon. However for Tamil nadu because of the Low pressure there will delayed onset as you can see the impact of the LPA in shifting the winds into a perpendicular line near SL. The same way you can see the arabian tilting the monsoon winds upwards. So either way monsoon is going to be there only after 2nd or 3rd. For me June 4th is the ideal day for monsoon to set in India.
http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=swas&MODELL=gfs&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=-&VAR=uv10&HH=168&LOOP=1&ZOOM=0&ARCHIV=0&RES=0&WMO=
Thanks Pradeep,
Winds reaching only 10 knots till 01st June.
Rain forecast for chennai next 2 days
http://www.monsoondata.org/wx/ezindia.s.html
Radar back in action…….
http://chennaibulletin.com/live-weather/doppler-radar-products/
as usual raining 200kms away from chennai
expecting partial cloudy weather 2mrw
http://indianweatherman.blogspot.com/2013/05/update-on-94b-95a-and-monsoon.html?m=1
BoB totally disturbed..
Dust
storms
bring
respite
to
Delhiites from
scorching heat
94 B will fizzle out. It wont even become a depression. Rajesh Kapadia Sir you were spot on. However, the Arabian Sea system (95A) is not going without a fight. From 30th may its hovering near oman coast for nearly 3-4 days – on 1st June – http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2013052712/gfs_mslp_wind_ind_40.png on 2nd June – http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs/2013052712/gfs_mslp_wind_ind_46.png Will it have impact on monsoon ????
Very light drizzles. Lightning in west.
Preliminary Rainfall in Tamil Nadu from tonight TS
in mm
Yercaud Agro – 94
Yercaud AWS – 66
Nangavalli – 28
Madurai East – 26
Perambalur – 25
Krishnagiri – 23
Thirumangalam – 19
Alathur – 18
Madurai west – 14
Kadaiyampatty – 13
Sholayar – 11
Thirumayam – 11
Pallipalayam – 9
Nilakottai – 8
Ooty – 8
Yelagiri – 7
Karur – 6
Manalmedu – 6
Sivagangai – 4
Paiyur – 4
Mecheri – 4
Veppur – 4
Aruppukottai – 4
Kallakurichi – 3
Kodampatti – 3
Vadipatti – 3
Ts close to uthiramerur.
Lots of scattered clouds
http://chennaibulletin.com/live-weather/doppler-radar-products/
The low pressure in north bay lacks convection but spin is clearly visible.The shear has increased around the system inhibiting development of the system.No further development is possible until the shear lets down and is moving towards the land.
The system in Arabian sea shows weak convective clouds and it lacks the spin that was visible yesterday.Dry air is close by the system.Shear is moderate around the system.Development is not possible as of now as its sucking some dry air and unfavorable shear.
Some models are expecting the disturbance to persist for few days until the return of favorable conditions which causes intensification of system.It remains to be seen whether the expected scenario unfolds or not.
Pradeep,The system can affect the SWM flow only if it develops into a pretty significant storm otherwise it will cause no harm and would start moving towards the west coast under the influence of SWM flow.
It is moving towards south. Missed uthiramerur.
Another mid level circulation expected to develop in earlier part of june which increasing the rainfall activity for TN coast.
its pretty long range at this point of time.
Hi guys,sorry to divert the topic from onset of swm.
But for those who watched yest IPL finals, did you notice commentary before the delivery of last but seventh ball when it the match was virtually over with Chennai in need of 43 runs from 7 balls, dinesh Karthik jumped out of joy and rohit sharma asked him to calm down. At this point, one of the Indian team’s former cricketer commented that “this is the difference between a Chennai guy and Mumbai guy”. Is it not a racist comment???
Heavy wind here.
Now moving north east. Expecting rain .
Clouds at 100kms SE of Chennai
SWM clouds are moving towards kerala.
http://www.imd.gov.in/section/satmet/dynamic/insatsector-ir.htm
IMD will announce it officially only if it satisfies these 3 criteria
a)
Rainfall
If after 10th May, 60% of the available 14 stations enlisted*, viz. Minicoy,
Amini,Thiruvananthapuram, Punalur, Kollam, Allapuzha, Kottayam,
Kochi, Thrissur, Kozhikode, Thalassery,Kannur, Kasargode and
Mangalore report rainfall of 2.5 mm or more for two consecutive days, the
onset over Kerala be declared on the 2nd day, provided the following
criteria are also in concurrence.
b)
Wind field
Depth of westerlies should be maintained upto 600 hPa, in the box
equator to Lat. 10ºN and Long. 55ºE to 80ºE. The zonal wind speed over
the area bounded by Lat. 5-10ºN, Long. 70-80ºE should be of the order of
15 – 20 Kts. at 925 hPa. The source of data can be RSMC wind analysis/
satellite derived winds.
3.
Outgoing Longwave Radiation (OLR)
INSAT derived OLR value should be below 200 wm
-2
in the box confined
by Lat. 5-10ºN and Long. 70-75ºE
The low pressure over north bay has moved north now showing improved convective clouds in south but lacks organization of clouds.The system has moved north for past few hours and part of circulation interacting with the land.It will produce heavy rain to bangladesh,WB and orrisa.
The circulation is off the coast of Bangladesh and is wrapped by low level clouds.
Intense monsoon thunderstorms are close to Kerala coast but flow yet to gain strength.The north bay system is enhancing the flow for the south west coast.
The system over Arabian sea is interacting with the land and it remains a weak feature.
SWm has reached srilanka with no significant rainfall yesterdy
SWM is now 3 days late on its track
Severe monsoon convection clouds seen of kerala/karnataka coast ,… Bay system played a big role in tis .. The flow tat was stagnant bcos of arb sea system has been offset by the system in bay…. Tis showers may b considered as pre-mon showers,but once the rain bcomes consistent with winds ,they wil announce it as swm… Now Almost 95% swm has set in…
I won’t be surprised if we get rains today..its quite humid n hot
dharmapuri 75 mm yesterday 62mm today.
great stuff for the region.
Gfs predictions for next few hours… Keep a close watch on chennai coast ..storm sweeping chennai bfore moving into bay http://expert-images.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/en/2013/05/28/basis00/swas/prec/13052812_2800.gif http://expert-images.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/en/2013/05/28/basis00/swas/prec/13052815_2800.gif http://expert-images.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/en/2013/05/28/basis00/swas/prec/13052818_2800.gif
Bay system is showing some organization for few hours.
clouds are developing close to LLC .LLC clearly visible of coast of Bangladesh.
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home2.cgi?AGE=Latest&ACTIVES=13-CPAC-90C.INVEST,13-EPAC-91E.INVEST,13-EPAC-92E.INVEST,13-IO-94B.INVEST,13-IO-95A.INVEST&SIZE=Thumb&PHOT=yes&NAV=tc&ATCF_BASIN=io&ATCF_YR=2013&CURRENT=20130528.0600.meteo7.x.vis1km_high.94BINVEST.15kts-1010mb-211N-893E.100pc.jpg&MO=MAY&STYLE=tables&ATCF_NAME=io942013&YEAR=2013&YR=13&BASIN=IO&STORM_NAME=94B.INVEST&ARCHIVE=active&AREA=pacific/southern_hemisphere&DIR=/SATPRODUCTS/TC/tc13/IO/94B.INVEST/vis/geo/1km_zoom&TYPE=vis&PRODUCT=vis&SUB_PROD=geo&SUB_SUB_PROD=1km_zoom&PROD=vis
System has moved into an area of low-moderate shear causing the organization.It’s close to land area but it need to be watched as system is organizing.
Very heavy rain expected right from orrisa coast to Myanmar.We are going to get some thunderstorms since bay system is showing organisation and it would again increase the SWM winds in bay and for western coast.
i mean SWM winds intensity
Rainfall in Tamil Nadu ending 8.30 am on 28.05.2013
in mm (min 5 mm)
Yercaud Agro – 94
Yercaud AWS – 67
Dharmapuri PTO – 63
Dharamapuri – 60
Yercaud – 60
Krishnagiri Dam – 55
Marandahalli – 38
Rayakottah – 38
Thiagadurgam – 35
Tiruppattur (S) – 34
Krishnagiri – 30
Sholavandan – 30
Padalur – 30
Nangavalli – 28
Madurai East – 26
Perambalur AWS – 25
Kalrayanhills – 25
Melmalayanur – 24
Thanthoni – 20
Perambalur – 20
Chittampatti – 20
Tiruchengode – 20
Karur – 20
Thirumangalam – 19
Alathur – 18
Rishivandiam – 17
Sathanur Dam – 15
Madurai west – 14
Sendurai – 13
Kadaiyampatty – 13
Kalayarkoil – 13
Thirumayam – 11
Sholayar – 11
T.Palur – 11
Paiyur – 10
Upper Bhavani – 10
Vadipatti – 10
Needamangalam – 10
Naduvattam – 10
Barur – 10
Kodavasal – 10
Penucondapuram – 10
Valangaiman – 10
Lalgudi – 10
Pandavaiyar – 10
Madurai south – 10
Komarapalayam – 10
Devala – 10
Ketti – 10
Palacode – 10
Pochampalli – 10
Chengam – 10
Pallipalayam – 9
Ooty AWS – 8
Jayankondam – 8
Nilakottai – 8
Yelagiri – 7
Kattumannarkoil – 6
Sakkottai – 6
Avalanche – 6
Manalmedu – 6
Senthil, again chennai misses.
We definitely need rains today. Hope Chennai can also find a place soon in places where there are rains almost every other day.
http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/windmain.php?&basin=indian&sat=wm5&prod=sht&zoom=&time=
The shear is high over the west and low over the east part of north bay.
If the system remains inline with the low shear in eastern part of north bay then we can have a organized system in bay even though its close to land.
if its gonna miss that area of shear then development possibility is less.lets see which gonna happen in next 36 hours.
Breaking News: IMD announcement on the Twin System
SS good news for you
94 B – Its an LPA now will concentrate into Depression.
——————
THE UPPER AIR CYCLONIC CIRCULATION OVER NORTHWEST BAY OF BENGAL OFF WEST BENGAL-ODISHA COASTS EXTENDING UPTO MID-TROPOSPHERIC LEVELS. UNDER, ITS INFLUENCE A LOW PRESSURE AREA HAS FORMED OVER NORTH BAY OF BENGAL AND NEIGHBOURHOOD. IT IS LIKELY TO CONCENTRATE INTO A DEPRESSION DURING NEXT 24 HOURS.
95 A – Still LPA
————-
THE LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER WESTCENTRAL ARABIAN SEA OFF OMAN COAST PERSISTS. IT WOULD MOVE NORTHWEST WARDS DURING NEXT 24 HOURS.
Finally they are optimistic of organized system in North bay.I
It can be more than a depression if it remains under that low shear area for next 36 hours. lets see
6 days in Bangalore now and rained only the first evening
from Thursday it will start to rain again 🙂
Kea
whats the status of the kea weather bloggers meeting??? ❓
kea the next few days will keep u happy
thunderstorm nnw of bangalore…and approaching us
nw gone very dark
Lot of low Clouds making an entry…