762 thoughts on “Rains forecast for TN, Andhra coasts

  1. ABIO10 PGTW 201800

    THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.3N
    86.0E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 84.0E, APPROXIMATELY 240 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF CHENNAI, INDIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN EXPOSED YET TIGHTLY-WRAPPED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH PERSISTENT, DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION. A 201359Z TRMM 37GHZ IMAGE ALSO DEPICTS A WELL-DEFINED LLCC WITH FRAGMENTED CONVECTIVE BANDING, PRIMARILY OVER THE NORTHERN SEMI-CIRCLE. RECENT SCATTEROMETER DATA SHOWS 15 TO 25 KNOT WINDS. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED POLEWARD OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS AND IS UNDER STRONG (30-35 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005 MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.

  2. RAMMB think there’s no more system.It’s IR image is practically empty.But navy shows a good chunk heading towards us.This is it.Rain will probably wash away our disappointment.

  3. This is has intensified in terms of water vapour content.It’s drank from the Bob like a thirst dog.Expect above average showers.

  4. @sampath… i saw sme high clouds n distant ENE… while i started frm pulicat by 5:45… no one went to sea today for fishng yestrdy nd today… good signs around… lets wait nd c… hope for d best…

  5. Water crisis looming large-

    Discharge from Kandaleru reservoir has reduced of late; lack of rain worsens situation in city

    Lack of rain coupled with poor flow from Kandaleru reservoir in Andhra Pradesh has put a strain on the city’s reservoirs.

    The Water Resources Department (WRD) has requested the neighbouring government to step up discharge of Krishna water and also maintain the supply for a few more months.

    Water from Kandaleru reservoir is imperative for Chennai currently since the city’s four v do not have sufficient quantities.

  6. WXTLIST WMO=ABIO10

    ABIO10 PGTW 201800 2012325 1732 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN/OCEAN/201800Z-211800ZNOV2012//RMKS/

    1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):

    A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.

    B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
    (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.3N
    86.0E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 84.0E, APPROXIMATELY 240 NM EAST- NORTHEAST OF CHENNAI, INDIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN EXPOSED YET TIGHTLY-WRAPPED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH PERSISTENT, DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION. A201359Z TRMM 37GHZ IMAGE ALSO DEPICTS A WELL-DEFINED LLCC WITH FRAGMENTED CONVECTIVE BANDING, PRIMARILY OVER THE NORTHERN SEMI-
    CIRCLE. RECENT SCATTEROMETER DATA SHOWS 15 TO 25 KNOT WINDS. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED POLEWARD OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS AND IS UNDER STRONG (30-35 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005
    MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.

  7. John,

    I think it is coming little down. I think this will not move further down since 20 knots wind shears presence. Hence it will move in West direction from now on.

    After this stage it is moving towards low shear zone. There wont any problem for us from getting rains from this system.

    http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/windmain.php?&basin=indian&sat=wm5&prod=shr&zoom=&time=

    http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/windmain.php?&basin=indian&sat=wm5&prod=vor&zoom=&time=

  8. all that this depression/lpa has done is messed up bengaluru weather 😦
    we were having a pleasant max 27 min 13 weather which has now become max 30 min 20 weather (unpleasant by bengaluru standards for november :P)

  9. ABIO10 PGTW 201800

    MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
    SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN
    /OCEAN/201800Z-211800ZNOV2012//RMKS/

    1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):

    A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.

    B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
    (1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 15.3N
    86.0E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 14.7N 84.0E, APPROXIMATELY 240 NM EAST- NORTHEAST OF CHENNAI, INDIA. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS AN EXPOSED YET TIGHTLY-WRAPPED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH PERSISTENT, DISORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION. A 201359Z TRMM 37GHZ IMAGE ALSO DEPICTS A WELL-DEFINED LLCC WITH FRAGMENTED CONVECTIVE BANDING, PRIMARILY OVER THE NORTHERN SEMI-
    CIRCLE. RECENT SCATTEROMETER DATA SHOWS 15 TO 25 KNOT WINDS. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THAT THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED POLEWARD OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS AND IS UNDER STRONG (30-35 KNOTS) VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1005
    MB. THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS LOW.

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