413 thoughts on “Dry weather to continue

  1. What is this? Why this system keeps on moving north at very rapid rate and no westward movement.

    8.2 89
        ↓↓
    10.2 90.2

  2. Jon,appadilam nan solluvaen ne paathiya,..Thuppaki ya flop ne solra mudhal aalu nee thaan… To be honest, 1st half was awesome and 2nd half,gud but climax bit lengthy.. Overall perfect blockbuster ..2012 biggest hit 1.thuppaki 2.nanban.

  3. Raja,namma dress super ah irunthalum,nammalunga opposite la varavan dress thaan super ah iruku ne solluvanga, tat happnd with nanban…. I agree vj acting was not equal to amir khan,,i tel u the reason y bcos 1st impression is the best impression.evry1 xpectd lik amir khan but vj had his style of acting .anyway. Overall verdict was super and declared it has BO blockbuster…..

  4. Raja, am talking abt thuppaki n nanban…. I knw ,sumtime he failed to meet the xpectation of people… He failed on many occassions bcos of choosing wrong scripts, btw, 10 movies in last 15yrs??? Unbelievable..

    • 10 movies ?? tats y he couldn’t know which one is hit and flop… btw, the year of 2010, I spent more on theater’s only.. went to watch movies 71 times… I’l neve forget it…. 2011 was almost 51 times. and tis year more less.. around 23 times ly..

  5. what happened to north east monsoon its end of north east monsoon really i don’t known its November peak north east monsoon season why wind is changing idon’t know its first time big flop for chennai in 100 yrs when will chennai get rain any one please answer why so dry very hot in morning and cool in night ?

  6. Vindoth,

    As an expert you would have figured the reason for wind change….

    the reason is the new low in bay…..

    this was the same reason when low was near Vishakapattinam during remants of Nilam.

  7. Meenambakkam records a Minimum temperature of 20.5 degrees ,….Vellore is at 22.4 degrees,it has not gone below 22 degrees(perhaps compensation for Chennai and Chennai AP to be hotter than vellore for the first time ever i can remember…this summer)

  8. Jus 95km off vellore, wich is warm…U enter into the NW Tn region throwing out cooler temperatures than Bengaluru city….

    Todays Min temps
    ————-
    Tirupattur – 14.6 degres
    Dharmapuri – 16.4 degrees

    First sub 15 temperature recorded in TN plains this season…

  9. FORMATION OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IS POSSIBLE WITHIN 180 NM EITHER SIDE OF A LINE FROM 8.6N 112.6E TO 10.4N 105.6E WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

    Probably this is the boost BOB needs to revive the monsoon. Hope the cyclone can cross Vietnam and enter BOB safely.

  10. Last year we had a cold wave around the same date!!….but it was between great NEM for TN….NEM started off in a big fashion ,but went it to unforeseen Lull in Nov…Like it happened in 2008….Hope Nisha like sumthing turns up after Nov 20 …!!

  11. Min temps :- in *c

    Kodaikanal – 9
    Coonoor – 11
    Tirupattur – 14.6
    Dharmapuri – 16.4
    Salem – 18.3
    Coimbatore AP – 19
    Puducherry – 20.2
    Meenambakkam – 20.5
    Tiruchi – 21
    Cuddalore – 21.2
    Nunga – 21.2

  12. Now Meenambakkam actually is -19.3 % deficit which means it is counted at ‘deficient’ in IMD scale. 😦

    Nungambakkam is 7.5 % deficit which is counted as normal 😐

    Hope it rains soon

  13. til now it has been sunny and colder also, only the wet days are missing in tis month.. Hope it doesnt prolong further than 20

    • CTT doesn’t really matter for tropical cyclones. Sometimes,CTT -50 can have 50 dbz and CTT -70 can have 30 dbz. But when we don’t have radar,CTT is best.

  14. excess/deficit as of today

    Nungambakkam – 35.5 mm deficit
    Meenambakkam – 76.7 mm deficit

    Cuddalore – 383 mm excess
    Puducherry – 119 mm excess

    Apart from Chennai, Madurai and Coimbatore, the rest are still Positive till now

  15. I feel its waste on time following the current system,

    We should turn out attention to the Depression near Vietnam. JTWC has started tracking this as Depression 25W. This is our only hope to give the BOB a boost it requires.

  16. If 98B becomes Mahasen,then this would be the first time I would see 3 lows becoming tropical storms 3 times in a row.

  17. Hut Bay – 76
    Long Island – 64
    Port Blair – 41
    Car Nicobar – 38
    Maya Bunder – 21

    Not much rainfall in Andaman and Nicobar as the violent thunderstorms are to the west of the LLCC

  18. Well,everyone says temp is low. That is because we are in HPA ridge. This is common during NEM. Once the low comes close to us,temp will start to rise again.

  19. 2010 NEM was very nice. Even though we got only 747 mm,we got rains pretty much all the time with break of 1/2 days from Oct 28th. We got ~275 mm that November,but we kept getting rains with only 1/2 days gap.

  20. If I’m not wrong, Thane was the only cyclone which didn’t give 100 mm/hr + rains for chennai from 2008. Nilam gave 122 mm/hr at noon in nunga.

  21. I wonder, whether weather systems understand that we missed to give rains in Chennai last time (during Nilam) and compensate that with next system or else it has poor memory ?

  22. We have heard many times that natural disasters won’t allow us to do relief operations.For instance, following earth quake, heavy rain will hamper the relief operations. Is that a myth?

  23. Reposted from the Vagaries blog.

    “The Bay system will move NW, initially as a UAC for the next 48 hrs. It will descend as a Low, (BB-11)by the 14th of November, around the 8N and 85E region, East of sri Lanka. The system, BB-11 will move NW towards the TN coast as a depression.

    Rainfall increasing progressively along TN coast from 15th, and in Chennai from 15th/16th. Centre of the system will be off the TN coast on 16th…

    As mentioned on 7th, another Low forms around the Andaman region, about 93E. The 2 system can form a strong trough. (Usually called a trough “in sympathy”).The tracking of BB-11 and BB-12 will depend on the tilt of the trough.
    Vagaries reads the situation as BB-11 moving into TN as a depression..”

      • Yes,

        I saw that. Also i saw the ECMWF model.

        It is suggesting that a LOW will come near to chennai on 20th or 21st.

        That is what i told 4 days back.

        Since there is a great HPA crossing through TN, North BAY.

        Hence the system cannot move anywhere, it has been blocked on all 4 sides. So it has to weaken on the sea itself.

        After weakening due to easterly wind this LPA would move towards TN coast.

        Wed may receive rains for few days in November.

  24. http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=swas&MODELL=ecmwf&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=-&VAR=pslv&HH=144&ZOOM=0&ARCHIV=0&RES=0&WMO=&PERIOD=

    The ECMWF model.

    It is suggesting that a LOW will come near to chennai on 20th or 21st.

    That is what i told 4 days back.

    Since there is a great HPA crossing through TN, North BAY.

    Hence the system cannot move anywhere, it has been blocked on all 4 sides. So it has to weaken on the sea itself.

    After weakening due to easterly wind this LPA would move towards TN coast.

    Wed may receive rains for few days in November.

  25. A small circulation is seen at North of Andaman, which likely to form as a LP.. But not good for Chennai as this is expected towards Myanmar and thereafter it will dissipate..
    Since there is a drop in temperature in recent days, a LP can form near south east of Lanka post 25th or 26th Nov…

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