404 thoughts on “All eyes on the new Bay system

  1. The new system in bay which is predicted on 30th Oct will hit between Odisha, West bengal & Bangladesh… No rains for Chennai .. 😦

  2. Rainfall in mm so far

    Conoor hits another century

    Conoor – 117
    Thiruvadanai – 102
    Kovilpatti – 73
    Virudhunagar – 62
    Sivakasi – 59
    Narikudi – 59
    virinjipuram – 58
    Arani – 55
    Cheyyar – 55
    Kamudhi – 52
    Manalmedu – 52
    Ariyalur – 50
    Ooty – 40
    Kolidam – 40
    Avadi – 40

    • last year i was ter in coonoor !! it used to rain heavily at nights.. but ter was no land slides !! but this year its more severe.. torrential rainfall crossing 40cm + in two days !!

  3. Coonoor – 117
    Kovilpatti – 73
    Sivakasi – 59
    Ariyalur – 44
    ooty – 41
    Avadi – 39
    Rajapalayam – 37
    Neyveli – 35
    Sholinganallur – 32
    Kolapakam – 31

    Kattankulathur – 31
    tirunelveli – 19
    Periakulam – 19
    Poonamalle – 18
    Meena – 17
    Taramani – 17
    Dindigul – 16
    Ennore -15
    Tiruvallur – 14
    Puzhal – 14
    Housr – 13
    Madhavapuram -12

  4. Guys please let me know how the western disturbance can influence the direction of the upcoming bay storm.. I would like to know how the westerndisturbance can help or not help the place of lanfall near chennai

  5. Rains lash Chennai region for 5th straight day…however the intensity was less

    in mm

    Cheyyar – 55
    Avadi – 39
    Sholinganallur – 32
    Kattangalathur – 31
    Cheyyur – 23
    Kolapakkam -22
    Taramani – 20
    Redhills – 19
    Kalavai – 19
    Chembarabakkam – 19
    Poonamalle – 18
    Meenambakkam – 15
    Marina Beach – 15
    Ennore – 15
    Puzhal – 14
    Tiruvallur – 14
    Madhavram – 12
    Kelambakkam – 9
    Guindy – 9
    Nungambakkam – 8

  6. These r not typical rain clouds..i hav seen tis type of rain clouds in goa during july swm…wil be very high n thick luks little scattered,n they wnt move faster,reluctant to move but carries heavy moisture n dump rapidly… Happy tat Chennai fell under moisture pull track..

  7. what a rain i can even see the road…..rainrate sure to be 150 mm.hr…..very big drops with heavy intensity

    This spell would have brought atleast 10 mm to Anna Nagar

  8. Very Heavy rains in Besant Nagar for 15mins..it was like a dark red spot passing through us..but nothing in the radar..what followed was poetic justice..west was pitch dark,sun popping out of east and water droplets easing out of leaves..sight to behold

  9. The super cyclone forming will affect our NEM,but it will be back again after November 2nd week. Sidr formed in mid November,so the whole of November was bad in 2007

  10. Hope the cyclone doesn’t maintain intensity too long,it will use up all the moisture if it goes near and is strong

  11. Is anyone observing the cloud mass to the east of Srilanka…Does this harbor any hope for TN ?? especially chennai ??

  12. Something interesting!! :Bfore the anticipated cyclone, entering into bay, new system forming near lanka n impacting entire TN as per NOGAPS model,same model dragging the much xpected cyclone into southwest bay

  13. 95B is strengthening and likely to move towards Gujarat. Then there is a chance that 95B, 92W and 93W together form a triplet of cyclones in a same line.

  14. Dear All,

    Good Morning, I am late to join today.

    The forecast as of now is the cyclone moving to North AP & Orissa.

    But we will be benefitted by this cyclone as like October 27 2005. When cyclone comes closed to TN coast and while passing we will get torrential downpour.

    Only rains for TN and Disaster for AP or Orissa.

  15. Selvan,

    Disturbance in South Bay is because of the Low in Arabian Sea is strengthening. This is pulling winds from Bay. That is why we have strong easterlies.

    We still have some rains left in first system.

  16. If high pressure is strong over Orissa and high shear is present,the cyclone would dissipate fast if ti moves there and we’ll get rains from moisture pull.If it doesn’t go to high shear and high pressure zone,we’ll get direct hit.Hope high pressure is strong near Orissa and Andhra

  17. Rainfall in TN upto 0830 IST :- AWS/ARG

    Avadi – 40
    Sholinganallur – 32
    Kattankulathur – 31
    Kolapakkam – 22
    Taramani – 21
    Poonamalle – 18
    Meena – 16
    Ennore – 15
    Tiruvallur – 14
    Madhavaram – 13
    Anna Univ – 10
    Kelambakkam – 9
    Nunga – 8

    Coonoor – 129
    Kovilpatti – 73
    Sivakasi – 59
    Virinjipuram – 58
    Thirumayam (Pudukotai) – 48
    Ariyalur – 45
    Karaikal – 44
    Ooty – 44
    Rajapalayam – 37
    Pudukottai – 36
    Neyveli – 35
    Neyyor – 30
    Sattankulam -28
    Vedasandur – 25
    Cheyyur – 23
    Periakulam – 20
    Dindigul – 18
    Sankarankoil – 17
    Radhapuram – 15
    chidambaram – 15
    Bodi – 13
    Hosur – 13

  18. Tis is just a rough analysis wit my knowledge twrds weather …. as of tday ,subtropical ridge is close to n.bay adjoin w.central bay. http://www.atmos.albany.edu/student/kgriffin/maps/dprog/F000/mslp/asia/mslp_asia_31.gif http://www.tmd.go.th/programs/uploads/maps/2012-10-22_TopChart_07.jpg but tis is moving north allowing the system to enclose into central bay .. there is a possiblity for a system getting dragged twrds N-NE TRACK if it goes beyond chennai latitude or 15N… http://www.monsoondata.org/wx/india5.24hr.png 26th,27th hpa wil decide the track.my pick is chen-s.ap coast

  19. i think that no system forms in bay of bengal.see the satellite image and there are no great clouds in south andaman sea.even if the system forms in bay of bengal it will surely go to orissa or west bengal making andhra and tamilnadu very dry.these are only my assumptions.

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