The stalled withdrawal process will speed up this week and hopefully by end of next week SWM would have withdrawn completely. Some forecasts say NEM could set in this week, but no rain is expected for Chennai until month end
The stalled withdrawal process will speed up this week and hopefully by end of next week SWM would have withdrawn completely. Some forecasts say NEM could set in this week, but no rain is expected for Chennai until month end
KeaWeather Archives 
already ter are notable change in the cloud movements..
http://www.shyamantak.com/
Jon, Sudharsan…can u believe this is our jupi? Idi siruvan ivlo talented’a?? Wow!!!
Is he the same kid who dons d role of Anna Hazare in Kea blog?..who fights for ratings and all silly things 😀
Great work thunderkid (jupiter’s great great grandson!!!)…all d best 🙂
Roads are wet here.Drizzles/light rain anywhere else?
In Guindy, Alandur, Adambakkam also…
@praveen
I have a weather station and a bottle gauge.The bottle is between the wall and a wire,just above a tube.Mine hasn’t fallen down yet.You can also keep it in the middle of the terrace,but it would fly away.Anything for support like a rope would be good
I cant keep it in middle.. it would be obstructed by the water tank etc.. only option is to place it in a corner.. planning to tie it with some kind of rope/wire hopefully with some support at bottom also.. got a cyclindrical bottle today morning.. will try to to place it today afternoon.. how does ur weather station and bottle gauge correlate in accuracy?
accuweather predicting 30mm rainfall today !!
Could expect the colder retrieval winds by 14-16 of this month…
had a 2 mins sharp shower in mount
wer r u 4m??
adambakkam,near mount rs
ok.. I reside in Alandur..
somewhere near st.thomas mount?
http://foreca.com/India/State_of_Tamil_Nadu/Chennai?details=20121016 🙂
Heavy downpour in Tirupattur for atleast 2 hoirs this early morning.,.,expecting numbers from that region…these are still strong Swm showers!
My WS is quite accurate.Sometimes 1 or 2 mm less when there is wind.
Bottle is accurate if there is no wind.If there is wind,you can add 2/3 mm to it depending on the windspeed.Also, make sure that the bottle can hold more than 15 cm so that if there is very heavy rain, the waterwon’t splash out.Just add 2-3 mm if there is heavy wind and maybe 1 mm for light wind.That’s it.
This September 26th,there was 74 kmph wind with rain in Nungambakkam.In my house (3 km from IMD Nungambakkam),there was 60 kmph wind with light rain and heavy rain with 5-10 kmph wind.The bottle showed 22~ mm and WS 23.2 mm.
If there are constant winds of more than 25 kmph,the bottle can be upto 10 mm less,but those storms produce more than 3 cm and maybe 5-10 mm can be added.But for more than 50 kmph wind,bottle won’t be very accurate if the rain is not heavy
I have fixed the bottle rain gauge now 🙂 lets see hw it goes.. hope it rains today so that i can test it..
IMD Nungambakkam 0.4 mm
@praveen
Bottles are better than WS or ARGs for getting light rain as it is wider
btw ter’s no change in the design of kea’s mobile site.
Nd I feel tat the radar image on the page should be available varying with the season. In dry conditions it’l be useless. So tat section shld be changed with every season.
In Next 4 days ,strong NE current may flow in s.china sea.. N the winds along bay wil be variable.. http://www.wamwatt.tmd.go.th/data/global02/wam-wave-wind/k36.gif
SSW turned dark
Hi All,
LPA near chennai tomorrow. Heavy rain may occur from tonight.
possibility of a low near Andaman.. It could develop in few days
Surprise surprise ….lot of water stagnating here in tambaram…there has been a sharp shower from 10-10.30am……there was not even a sign of rain in nungambakkam that time!
clouds direction is from Northwest…
kodaikanal – 23.2mm rainfall
Rain in tambaram did not last for more than 3 minutes.
Oh seriously??…i am in west tbm…ppl here told it rained like aroind 20mins
im in east tambaram, it did not rain much.
Hi Rajkumar,
Clouds moving from NW and Wind is also from NW but not much clouds seen in NW.
It may develop in the evening.
Vellore’s extreme temps. yesterday… 37.2*c Max. 23.1*c Min
Not much rain this time too.
http://www.foreca.com/India/Chennai
seems NEM ll set on normal date,withdrawal of SWM is slow as of now
This time withdrawal of SWM and Onset of NEM will happen parallelly.
NEM will set on 14th.
Rainfall may be weak for first few days. An LPA may form in SW bay on 25th will trigger rains.
hope it does well !!!
@partha,Lpa near chennai.heavy rain 4m tonyt…. I coulnt get u.wat u mean?
Check IMD NWP chart-GFS(T574) Product-MSLP for 48 hours.
Probably a circulation for a day.
NEM winds wil start from 15th and rains expected after 18th- cmc model
Jon,
Look at this. Pulled out from same site
http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/weather/maps/city?PLZ=_____&PLZN=_____&LANG=en&CEL=C&SI=mph&CONT=asie&LAND=II®ION=0020&WMO=43279&LEVEL=51&R=0&NOREGION=1
tats only for premium users
Partha,.i couldnt c anythng lyk lpa in tat u mentioned.. See the sat image nothing wil develop out of it, i think u hav misunderstood .
I could not provide you the link exactly. I saw there is circulation between Chennai and Coastal AP.
V hav to wait for some more days to c the typical LPA… 1 thing for sure, S.ind ocean (below equator) activity luks strange… But tis is favour 4 us.. ITCZ is nearing close to the range wher it wil be placed usually during NEM…
Hi all,
Heavy rains in South TN.
Supercells to the west
@kar,
why do you have so much hatred towards Nungambakkam??????
Expert view from a renowned personality: it is now just a remnant low crossing over southeast Asia, Gaemi may not be done quite yet. The GFS is indicating what’s left of Gaemi emerging over the Bay of Bengal in about 2 days. Some runs have shown the remnants attempting to redevelop, and today’s 18z run actually showed the most significant redevelopment yet. Because Gaemi is such a weak circulation, however, I am not ready to buy this yet, as I think it is more likely the remnant low will dissipate over land or become too disorganized to redevelop when it emerges over water..
93B Unlikely to Develop:
Sticking with the Bay of Bengal theme, the first invest in quite a while has formed in the Bay, invest 93B. 93B is currently weak and disorganized, and it does not have much time over water to develop, and none of the major global models show development of the disturbance. The JTWC has not mentioned 93B on its Indian Ocean tropical weather outlook.
when did north east monsoon set exact date please tell
Hi,
14th Oct
hvy rain lashing south tn.src- sun news
when Chennai will get monsoon rain
Rainfall in S.TN till 7:30 pm in mm
Sivakasi : 68
Pechiparai : 44
Dindigul : 34
Andipatti : 29
Thirunelveli :21
Expect atleast one 5 cm+ from Kerala tomorrow.Even Kochi might be getting rains….
rajapalayam too mite come up with high numbers
Flash,
Its drizzling in chennai now
????
@jon
surprisingly,rajapalayam only 4 mm till 7:30
vedasandur 46 mm till 7:30 pm
Trichy might also be caught in some rain
tats a surprise
entire clouds target kerala. Chennai left out once again.
windies are the world champions!!!
*T-20
Sivakasi – 68mm
Vedasandur ( dindugal dist.) – 46mm
Pechiparai ( near Nagarcoil) – 44mm
Andipatti – 33mm
Dindigul -34mm
Natham ( dindigul dist.) – 14mm
Tirunelveli – 21mm
Rajapalayam – 5mm
really they deserved it ….
in satellite animation clouds moving towards SW and we are yet to get rains from pre-monsoon showers
Its 7am and still the wind blow is from the E.
Rainfall stats – 7am
Sivakasi – 68mm
Vedasandur – 67mm
Dindigul – 66mm
Andipatti – 38mm
Coimbatore – 21mm
Periakulam -14mm
And as I said, the remains of Gaemi may reach us in few dys time. It could produce considerable rain and may also trigger a Low Pressure near Andaman.
No signs of any rain for us in the near future. Business line surprisingly saying onset of NEM expected anytime now.
I still think we need to wait till 26-27 for the real monsoon
lots of low clouds movin in from se but i dnt think it will produce any rain
in fact it was fog.now its completely cleared
Jon, what do you have to say about my statement? Do you agree with BL?
@Kea,
Onset of monsoon is on 14th, as you have mentioned the rains may be delayed. Due to weaker easterlies and no LPA in the first week.
i dnt agree with ur statement.im expecting it around 16-19
but im not completely against tis statement though “we need to wait till 26-27 for the real monsoon”
Clouds moving from W. Clouds visible near andaman, is it easterlies?
Yesterday’s LPA moved from West Central Bay to North West Bay.
Insat picture shows clear image of India.
Rainfall:
Kodaikanal 15MM
Madurai 57MM
Forecast of another LPA forming on Wednesday.
This could be GAEMI which is crossing to Bay as a Low.
http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/industry-and-economy/agri-biz/article3974952.ece?ref=wl_industry-and-economy
ya as I predicted..
As per Accuweather forecast
NEM set on 14th,
Rain will begin from 17th and
Heavy rain from 20th onwards.
BBC FORECAST..
NE WINDS SET ON OCT 16th…
Dear friends
I am glad to invite you to my newly opened [music] website http://www.shyamantak.com/.
I wish to express myself through this website in many ways. In particular, I wish to upload my piano recordings.
I have started recording piano music in my recording studio that my dad has set up for me at home. To begin with, I have uploaded musical pieces from various genres. Please listen to them and leave your impressions in the guestbook. I eagerly look forward to hearing from you.
BTW, under “pursuits.html” I have linked our keaweather.
Thank you.
Jupijove 🙂
tats great… all the best!
nice 🙂
seriously awesome! gud luck 🙂
rainbow software upgradation under process – chennai’s radar
Can they forecast rainbows now?
They can even forecast rainbow colors (other than vibgyor)
High clouds moving in 4m n-nw…. I thnk withdrawal line is entering into peninsular india..
Lots of cloud formation in East Bay.
tey r the remains of gaemi..
Typhoon Gaemi slows speed to 25 kph when it arrives in Cambodia: PM
English.news.cn 2012-10-07 18:32:55 [RSS] [Feedback] [Print] [Copy URL] [More]
PHNOM PENH, Oct. 7 (Xinhua) — Cambodia has reduced its concern over the direct impact of a tropical storm Gaemi after the storm has slowed its speed to 25 kilometers per hour (kph) when it arrived in Cambodia’s northwestern Stung Treng province on Sunday morning, Prime Minister Hun Sen said.
“A few days ago, we were concerned over the storm, and our concern has now reduced because the storm arrived in the western part of Stung Treng province on Sunday morning at 7:00 a.m. (local time) with the speed of only 25 kph after it hit the coast of Vietnam at the speed of 55 kph,” the premier said Sunday during a ceremony to deliver land titles to residents in northwestern Banteay Meanchey province bordering Thailand.
“With this speed, the winds will travel to Siem Reap province at 7:00 p.m. tonight (Sunday),” he said.
Siem Reap is the country’s largest tourism destination, located some 315 kilometers northwest of Phnom Penh. The province houses Angkor Wat Temple, one of the world heritage sites.
yesterday’s news..
Circulation entering bob on 15th oct
http://www.imd.gov.in/section/nhac/dynamic/nwp/168hgfs_850wind.htm
Official Announcement.
SWM has further withdrawn from most parts of UP, MP & GUJ and Bihar.
The withdrawal line passes through Raxaul, Varanasi, Jabalpur, Hoshangabad, Vadodara, Porbandar.
Further withdrawal expected in 48 hours.
SWM withdrawal has entered into North AP. WV insat shows the dry air over North AP.
Rainfall in CM in past 24 hours.
Virudhunagar 10
Tirupuvanam 9
Kamatchipuram 8
Sivakasi 7
Dindigul and Madurai Airport 6
Vedasandur and Sivaganga 5
Chittampatti, Melur, Andipatti and Natham 4
Tirumangalam,Bhavanisagar,Sathyamangalam and Gobichettipalayam, Vaniaymbadi,Pechiparai,Marungapuri, Karur Paramathi and Manamadurai 3
http://www.shyamantak.com
Jon, Sudharsan…can u believe this is our jupi? Idi siruvan ivlo talented’a?? Wow!!!
Is he the same kid who dons d role of Anna Hazare in Kea blog?..who fights for ratings and all silly things 😀
Great work thunderkid (jupiter’s great great grandson!!!)…all d best 🙂
Dew point is below 20degrees.
Night temp may fall due to low dew point.
YAY! Now Chennai radar is going to become like vizag and machilipatnam radar with realistic maps instead of grey background
nice work jupi 😀
but do you pay for the website?
yup
http://www.imdchennai.gov.in/obs_data.htm
IMD has 5:30 pm data at 3:46 pm lol
Anyone noticed this?
Pamban’s average annually is 91 cm
From 01.01.2012,they have got 13 cm
Ramanathapuram district is always drought area
s most of the rains will be during NEM
According to latest IMD-GFS model , monsoon may reach us between oct 15th to 20th
All clouds in sat image moving from E to W
Condition in Chennai is Hazy now. Check out.
Lots of clouds from Bay to South TN. South TN may be hit.
gfs rules out possibility of any system in N bay
s tn in for battering again
It is difficult to define SW monsoon withdrawal line in south peninsula .IMD will declare both withdrawal and NEM onset simultaneously.
IMD declares withdrawal based on the water vapour channel and the dryness in those regions.
Now north india does not have water vapour as per the insat picture and it is dry.
My question is – In south peninsula the water vapour does not dry till NEM withdraws. Now how come IMD or any other Global Forecast System arrive at a conclusion that SWM has withdrawn completely from entire country.
The only possibility is the wind direction.
http://www.imd.gov.in/section/satmet/dynamic/insatsector-ir.htm
S.TN and SL getting battered again 😐
Lot of rain ovet interior Tn….day b4 sterday as i mentioned there was heavy rain in the vaniyambadi,tirupattur n dharmapuri regiob…. Chengam 70mm,tirupattur 65mm,Dharmapuri 50mm,vaniybadi 40mm….they also recordef the coldest temp in south indian plains at 18 degrees
lot of rain in madurai,virudhu nagar belt yestday!
virudhanagar 10 cm
madurai 6 cm
Twin Vortex at Venus’ North pole
Nice Pics Dhinakar,
Thanks.
wind direction from east
Good Morning All,
Lots of thick cloud formation in East Bay near Andaman.
heavy rain for the last 15 mins in north bangalore
Just very light rain near hal ap and old madras road.. my rain gauge just has a few drops of rain 😦 seems it rained heavily in hoodi near whitefield…
It rained heavily in JP nagar as well. I have shared the details in Rajesh sir’s blog.
http://www.blogger.com/comment.g?blogID=31136724&postID=4928291857142770722
Praveen ,It would be nice if you can join us there as well 🙂
saw the post thr 😀 will try to join thr.. HAL AP is due for a big one 😀 raining heavily everywhr looks like.. city just 3 mm though till 10.30..
and for those who want to know what the rainbow s/w update is, check machli and VSG’s doppler pages.. they already updated to rainbow
Withdrawal of SWM has reached Mumbai, Most parts of MP, Most Parts of UP and some parts of Bihan and Jharkhand & Chattisgarh.
dry weather continues for the 9th day straight in October, SW monsoon not fully withdrawn, so NE monsoon commencement cannot be predicted for now, should be only after 20th at the earliest.
It is not like SWM has to withdraw completely. If withdrawal line touches north peninsula then that itself is conducive for the onset of NEM over TN.
The withdrawal will touch north peninsula by 13th Oct 2012.
It is completely dry now. Not even a piece of cloud seen, it is 100% clear sky.
The upper air cyclonic circulation was lying in the cost of Maharashtra now lies over east central arabian sea.
This moving westwards due easterly wind flowing in Maharashtra. Due to this the cyclonic circulation is pushed westwards.
This is the indication of the easterlies setting in over peninsula.
http://foreca.com/India/State_of_Tamil_Nadu/Chennai?details=20121018 😎
as of now onset will be arond 17th
erode-35mm
cbe-20mm
namakkal-48mm
valparai 71mm
surprisingly valparai got good rains yesterday
infact erode got ~130mm(13cm) as per IMD
im not sure with tat 13cm
After a brief spell of rain in the morning.now having thick high cloud cover day with cool north easterly winds in bangalore……
BL
The IMD expects the rains over peninsular India to last for a couple of more days.
Subsequently, the withdrawal is expected to take place at a rapid pace.
In fact, by October 15, the winds are shown to change direction from southwesterly to easterly to northeasterlies over land and the Arabian Sea.
This would mean the South-West monsoon would have exited the entire land mass and Arabian Sea ahead of the onset of North-East (reverse) monsoon.
Flash News,
Humidity has gone down to 25%, Dew Point is 12.2degrees
Actual Temp 35.3, Real Feel 34.3. 1 degree lower than actual.
Surprising.
Maximum Temp Today touched 36.6
Sea Breeze has set in now. Temp will gradually reduce. Luckily humidity is very low which makes us bareable.
http://www.weather-forecast.com/maps/India?over=pressure_arrows&symbols=none&type=wind
Easterlies from 15th..sporadic showers from 18th…