Onset of NEM is possible in the next few days. Rains are possible for Chennai the coming week. Heavier showers are expected towards the latter part of the week.
Onset of NEM is possible in the next few days. Rains are possible for Chennai the coming week. Heavier showers are expected towards the latter part of the week.
KeaWeather Archives 
Let the rain begin! 🙂
Kea, Choco theme not gud..change..shud be something related to weather..
This reminds me of those ‘JAL’ days when we waited n waited , kept talking but nothing happening. Finally we were so excited when the drizzle started at 3:00 AM in the morning. I wish NEM will open its account with a bang tomo morning with a early morning convection.
JAL was for interior TN!
vsn, wer u r?? v chennaities eagerly waiting for the onset!!!
I am out of city. Will be reaching chennai in the morning.
nagai,karaikal getting heavy it seems..
Looks like Chennai Nungambakkam is in SWM Map and excluded from NEM
power cut in kanchi for several hours due to heavy rain
things happening according to tis forecast map..still oct 25, v wont get rain it seems..In the 1st map,chennai din fall under above rain category…. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/ghazards/images/gth_full.png
IMD will look at the scenario at 10-11 AM tomorrow morning and take call on declaring onset after due consultations between NGM and Lodi Road HQ.
So another sweet 15 hrs to go…and till then I suppose they are not going to tax their minds too much on this decision.
heavy rains all over s and c tn
still most models saying heavy rain for chennai on 25th &26th……..wat to do???
First showers of the NEM in the delta
Kumbakonam: 22 mm
Thiruvidaimarudur: 34 mm
Mayavaram: 27 mm
between 8.30 AM and 6 PM today from http://tawn.tnau.ac.in/
I am sorry to say this and break everyones hearts. This NEM is going to be a huge dissapointment.Not more than 450-500 mm is possible.
kea,got fedup with all predictions..1st let it happens ,then v will decide whether to be happy or to b disappointed.
Dont get dissapointed my friend. Once it begans it will settle down, and expect some good numbers. No doubt about that.
ya…no doubt abt tat…
Kea i also feel the same.
I think in the next few years our SWM will give us a majority of rainfall for the whole year.
I presume it may be due to global warming…
This is purely my opinion. I wont intend others to support it.
I have said the below thing lot of times..but wat to do 😦
First rains can be expected tonite since blue dots getting closer to Chennai coast for the first time..early morning shower tomorrow is almost certain..
Jon,KR,
Only Nunga got extraordinary rainfall during SWM..it definitely doesn’t deserve to get that much amount anytime 😀
But now during NEM, we are also suffering along with Nunga..enna aniyayam idhu? 😦 Who will giv rains for the South???
atlast,rain to peep into chennai!!!!!!!!!!! around 9pm, v wil hav rain
I hope so.
mina has almost received 80cm from swm what more uwant? 😦
What a shame!..luks like Bangalore is goin to get NEM rains before Chennai!!! 😦
Sel, B’lore guys tholla inimae thaanga mudiyadhu!
ha.ha…ya interiors started getting bfore us…..y no updates 4m banglore guys ?? most of the time, they r entering into blog at midnight or early morning…
Guys…Mudhalla yaaru start panraangaradhu matter illa.. Lastla yaaru firstnudhan parkanum.. Obviously chennai wil finish with gud numbers. I stil have the confidence that v wil have a normal monsoon.
Bangalore City 10mm till 5.30 PM 😀 😛
Rainfall at 6.30 pm
Mayiladathurai – 36 mm
Inputs now from Pulicat Mani will be very helpful..but he is missing for a long time..luks like drizzles have reached his place..
where is he? 😦
It is raining close to north of Poonamallee.
ya..rain clouds crossed puzhal and came ther
selvanfun ,
You correctly predicated clouds moving north to south.
Raining heavily here in Poonamallee.
As usual I expect power will go soon.
Drizzles on in Pammal
normal to excess rain is the forecast for NEM 2011!! 🙂
http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/industry-and-economy/agri-biz/article2565199.ece?ref=wl_industry-and-economy
seshu,ya..nice to hear na..imd ramanan also said the same!!!!!!!!!
omg!!!!!!!earthquake shakes turkey 7.3 in richter scale..
check sun spot activity more the spot, more the chance of tremors in Earth!
Heavy rains in Kerala… aarghh
Rained only 5 minutes.
Kochi,kozhikode,Mangalore …all having T-storms
kn,wher wer u man?? forgot tis blog uh???
dash,keep an eye over east of lanka….clouds brewing continously over ther..
Rains lashing Pondichery as well! 😦 😦
9pm & no rain????fighting with radar animation!! y clouds getting disappeard bfore reaching the chenn coast? cos high pressure ridge reaching chennai coast 4m myanmar…tis shld be the reason,i thnk
cola is predicting nearly nil rainfall for chennai till tomorrow.
It has saying the same for past 3 days. ….. pls wait till 24th evening…that’s tomorrow for good rains for Nunga
clockwise circulation in central bay is the high pressure area…. http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/indian/winds/wm5wvir.GIF
10 mm in bengaluru?
Kea ,
it is raining in Madipakkam . heavy rains
omg!!!!! massive cloud formation east of chennai!! i hope it wont dissipate!
Sharp showers here! ..east luks reddish orange..
Cola forecast updated …heavy rains from tonight itself
very very light drizzle for about 5 min in BN – sky is partly cloudy. Hope we finally wake up to some nice rains or atleast cloudy skies.
NEM onset should be declared tomoro…heavy rain in Pondi!!…the rest of coastal TN also getting heavy showers!!
First NE monsoon rains for bangalore this year.. although IMD has not declared it, cloud movement was fast from east with heavy moisture laden clouds..
Martin! Gud update 4m banglore!!
http://www.deccanherald.com/content/199973/myanmar-flash-floods-kill-100.html
took a ride in bangalore’s new metro yesterday. reminded me so much of the MRTS between velachery and park town in chennai. The only things different were the train itself and that the stations were built completely unlike the unfinished stations in chennai
If my presumption is correct, I have captured on camera the first NEM clouds! kindly visit the following link to see the images. Unless until IMD confirms, these are just pre monsoonal clouds!
https://www.facebook.com/media/set/?set=a.2590995340685.2149696.1428683153&type=3
This IS the first NEM wave.Period. No questions there.
Officials say the south westerlies have completely withdrawn. “The easterlies arrived some time ago but we are waiting for substantial rains in the coastal parts to declare the arrival of the monsoon,” says a senior scientist of the Met department, S R Ramanan.
Radar Animation confirms it is North East Monsoon! Welcome our life giving rains! Hope Ramanan will confirm it in morning!
Yes. This is it. Happy monsoon !
First rains of NEM lashing Chennai. Rain hit sharp 1.55 am of 24/10/2011
photos click here: https://www.facebook.com/media/set/?set=a.2591190105554.2149704.1428683153&type=3&saved
Raining here in annanagar. finally monsoon is here
Finally IMD has been spot on with their forecasting
FINALLY. Woke up to some drizzles. It eased off quickly – but its a start. The dry spell is finally interrupted!! Loads of clouds to the north, also there are patches of blue – lets see who wins.
Its quite obvious you did not see what happened. There was HEAVY downpour around 1.30 am and it poured till 3.30 am and then tapered off. Now yes NEM is on its way.
Yeah – good to hear about that. I still feel a light breeze from the west though.
Yes. Radar confirms light westerly breeze at ground level.
For monsoon predictions look at sea waves. Thats always a indication whether something is coming or not
Chennai ap 42mm 😀 😛
Nungambakkam 2cm,Meenambakkam 4cm….
I was awake to see the first NEM rains here at 1AM….no idea how much it rained in TBM….
Interesting thing to note –
“”Nungambakkam is yet to beat meenambakkam in a single day rainfall in october…””
konjam rain penjathum, kar kalvarathaey aaramichtaru…..k.k .battle is on.!!lets c,.. 4m now on kar name is kalavara kar.
why is the wind direction still from North-North West?? Are the westerlies still prevailing? 😦
Surface winds are always variable. If 700-850 HPa winds (level of medium height cumulus/cumulonimbus clouds) are Northeasterly, then that’s sufficient.
And, westerlies stopped at least a week ago.
Wher wil d 1st lp pop up?? S.e bay or s.bay or near chennai coast…..
My bet would be southwest bay.. Near gulf of mannar.
Lp near Gulf of mannar wil give widespread rain all over TN! Most prominent area for lp…
monstrous thunder storm east of chennai! will it come to us or will it dissipate before reaching the coast? 🙂
Tis is NEM ,it should reach us…it wil track west-Nw
that particular TS is gaining good strength!! 🙂 but the movement towards west is quite slow… 😦
1.45am..Besant Nagar received its 1st NE monsoon showers..got up and went out to savour the moment..Happy NE monsoon to all @ Keametsite
It was earlier.There were drizzles around 12.00 am itself. However it became a force around 1.45 am yes.
Did you hear the thunder in Besant Nagar around 3 am ? It was very loud right across the bay. It woke everyone up.
chennai ap-42mm
chennai-20mm
last and least
bengloor-10mm 😛
looks like its coming towards us
Reports of heavy rain in Nilagiri district…
Meteorological conditions are becoming favourable for the commencement of northeast monsoon rain over south peninsular India during next 24 hours.
I believe IMD will declare onset later today
This was from IMD’s morning bulletin
Oh… I guess they’re waiting for more rains over interior TN. Places like Trichy, Madurai and Salem have been dry so far.
But, it really does not make a difference for Chennai because today’s rainfall is clearly because of NEM – just that it has been limited to the coast. All parameters for NEM are in place, except for rainfall distribution.
IMD’s morning/evening/night bulletin doesnot signify anything. Only Midday bulletin is important
new msg Imd said today morning northeast monsoon will affect 24 hrs delay daily one delay one day delay night heavy rain nandanbakkam but morning again its started high temperature any one low pressure forming in bay
Today’s rainfall is the result of a coastal monsoon trough stretching from Southeast SL coast all the way unto Machilipatnam, AP. There is an embedded cyclonic circulation to the east of SL.
Sst over sw bay exceeding 30* degree celsius… welcome news..
That’s good news indeed.
Jaswanth, am noting tat 4m yesterday …two r ther,UAC east of lanka and another in s.e arb sea.
Yea. it looks like there’s something over Lakshadweep sea. Maybe, a shear zone with the twin low pressure pattern (one LP on either side of the peninsula) is developing. This is almost always indicative of heavy rain.
Rain Clouds developing back to back..fresh storm brewing east of the prev one…..slowly tracking west!!
Finally we had a gud shower last night. I missed it though. The clouds are very low lying moving very fast. Expect some short and continious spells of rain on diwali.I guess selva is very happy now.
Among the coast,Still nellore-chennai shld get the widespread rainfall..,imd waiting 4 tis???
As you can see I have created a new Facebook page. I know Rhythms already exists, but that is a group.
A facebook page can be integrated into wordpress. I hope all the WP bloggers can use the FB page too and hopefully move to Facebook permanently in the future.
e horizon looks deadly
Kea,In Fb??? Name?
what name?
Ehsan..
http://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=1091696947
Kea blog has fb account knw??? Name?
http://www.facebook.com/#!/pages/KEA-Weather/249212458459303
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October prediction. Current total – 33.8 mm. days left 7
If there is no more rain this month, Guru is the winner
Guru – 50 mm
KEA – 55–65 mm
Rajkmr – 60-70 mm
Bhaskaran – 70 mm
seshu94 – 70-80 mm
Ashwinds – 85 mm
Gopal666 – 80-90 mm
ABM242 – 100-150 mm
Templetravel – 120 mm
VSN – 114-140 mm
Raja – 150 mm
Balajisampath – 150 mm
Thunderjove – 100-200 mm
Pradeep – 189-210 mm
Jon – 200 mm
Guna – 200 mm
Kamlesh – 200-250 mm
GTAman – 250 mm
ArjunLV – 225-275 mm
Out of contention
Dashman – 13 mm
Deadly storm getting active again ,now nearing chen coast!!
Pocha!! Buusssss!
Now fresh rain clouds E-N.E of chennai..tis wil surely give rain!.
All the storms getting dissipated before reaching chennai :-p
cola rain map 0http://www.monsoondata.org/wx/prec12.png http://www.monsoondata.org/wx/chengfs.png
big monsoon trough likely to form near east of indonesia!!! so chance of major system in s.bay or s.east bay in the month end !!!!wet mjo phase has commenced in ind ocean!
Northeast monsoon rains have commenced over Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, Kerala and adjoining areas of Andhra Pradesh and Karnataka on 24th October 2011.-imd
Northeast monsoon rains have commenced over Tamil Nadu, Puducherry, Kerala and adjoining areas of Andhra Pradesh and Karnataka on 24th October 2011… http://www.imdchennai.gov.in/np2.htm
heavy rain here!!!!!!!!
the nov 9th cyclone as per ncep-gfs predictions in the link below
http://www.weathergaines.blogspot.com/2011/09/ncep-gfs-model-forecast.html
this was earlier predicted to hit coastal tamil nadu on nov 6th!
moderate rains right now over annanagar
the clouds are still hanging over the 50 – 150 kms east of chennai. This is happening right from yesterday evening. The easterlies are not strong yet i think so
still who r all predicting 55mm??any changes in their predictions? 😀 😀
Jon, I will go with 55mm again. If it rains more, I will be more happier. Let us see if this sluggish start results in a successful NEM this time.
bay bulletin says swm has withdrawn from entire country!!!!!!! easterlies in full force!!!!!!!! http://www.imdkolkata.gov.in/baybulletin.php
Chengannur (Alapuzha dt) 11, Sarguru (Mysore dt) and Sankarankoil (Tirunelveli dt) 10 each, Redhills (Tiruvallur dt) 9 Dharmasthala (Dakshina Kannada dt) 8 and Ammathy (Kodagu dt), H. D. Kote (Mysore dt), Parambikulam (Palakkad dt), Piravom (Ernakulam dt), Thodupuzha (Idukki dt), Sriperumpudhur (Kanchipuram dt), Parangipettai and Panruti (Cuddalore dt) 7 each.
ada pavingla…..kerala,karnataka bajanai paaduthu!
delta dists will take over from keralam in coming days
Will Chennai and its suburbs have such statistics to boast in the next couple of days?
redhills 9cms!. not even trace here in annanagar at that time
Jon this is gr8 news!!!! 😀
weatherofindia Indian Weatherman
Tokyo-based Regional Institute for Global Change has forecast normal to excess rain during North East monsoon .. ow.ly/76BPe
Awesome weather – mild sunshine, nice breeze from the North. A little rain in the night will make it perfect.
Any city that has strong east facing winds or the easter lies will have a pleasant climate throughout. As an example think of the east coast of USA.
Strong easterly winds will also attract migrants from all over the world attracted by salubrious climate.
What can be said of our Chennai then ?
Its quite obvious that city planners did not consider Vaastu philosophy while expanding the city thousands of years ago. For this is a city in the South Eastern direction associated with Agni devatai. Hence in May Chennai endures Agninakshatram.
Hence the NEM is the only period where Chennai retains the glory of a city blessed by strong easterlies. This leads to musical extravaganza like Margazhai etc that brings people from all the world as well as tourists from all over the world coming here during NEM period.
“Hence in May Chennai endures Agninakshatram”?
lol – only May???
Your point is well made though, but I dont think its just the orientation – if it were so Besant Nagar should be pleasant through the year – much of it is East facing.
I think the difference between the East Coast of USA and Chennai could well be the difference between the HOT bay of bengal and the cooler North Atlantic Ocean.
Besant Nagar is part of Chennai which is a south eastern city and hence is Agneya direction which is silly to have a city on the Agni direction. Look at Louisiana in USA or even parts of Florida.
North Atlantic Ocean also gets cold artic water currents. Expect thatto have a major influence on climate.We have no cold water oceanic currents whatsoever. If we did you can have white Christmas in Chennai !!!
Very Very Heavy rain here for past 30 mins……
Still getting heavier and heavier
where r u?
4m tonyte,Monsoon may intensify and turn vigorous in coastal TN – imd ramanan
which place heavy rain for past minutes name of the place rajkmr
@rajkmr,
Please provide the place name immediately..otherwise u will be flooded with the same question by a single guy 😀
Radar stuck at 9:28 😦
bbc predicting heavy rain for tomo n dat after.should i believe tat?? 😐
day*
http://www.wunderground.com/wundermap/?lat=13.00000000&lon=80.18000031&zoom=8&pin=Chennai%2c%20India&type=hyb&rad=0&wxsn=0&svr=0&cams=0&sat=1&sat.num=1&sat.spd=25&sat.opa=85&sat.gtt1=109&sat.gtt2=108&sat.type=IR4&riv=0&mm=0&hur=0
Rains approaching chennai according to this map,dont know whether it is reliable :O
Radar updated!!!,and it reflects the same!! 😀
Radar luks awesum.,.surely it wil start to rain in few mins… Tat storm east of us in radar is visible to our eyes
Omg.wat a massive storm it is…
towering anvils over entire ne.looks massive
Yeah I also saw that it is looking deadly!!!!! 🙂 Btw no lightning lol!!! 😦 😆
OMG North-East looks deadly!!!! :O
Luk at that awesome white anvil over NE..NEM special..with lightning
Tambaram also opens NEM account with 4cm 😀
Heavy rain approcahing SOuth and central chennai!!
Omg..severe rains over east of Vaniyambadi-Tirupattur-Alangayam-yelagiris!!…if it shows NE ly mvmnt …these places shud come up with 5cm+ tomro!! 😮
still staying pretty strong.tats good sign 🙂
weakening now 😦
we are cursed!
Drizzling here in velachery