295 thoughts on “Chance of a few heavy showers again

  1. At least two models – the Global Forecasting System of the US National Centres for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) and the NCEP’s own precipitation outlook – suggested that the system may enter the Tamil Nadu coast and track north along the coast until Chennai and neighbourhood before heading into the Bay of Bengal.

    MORE RAINS?

    This could bring another round of rains along not just coastal Tamil Nadu and adjoining southwest Bay of Bengal but also along the west coast as the moisture-laden easterlies get influenced by westerlies, says the NCEP.

    exactly what i said yesterday

    http://www.blonnet.com/2009/12/16/stories/2009121653161600.htm

    • I had just now seen 5.30 AM satellite position which clearly reflect the fact that huge cloud mass gatering over south east of chennai. Srilanka is quite clear and only sea portion above nagapattinam to pondy did show huge cloud mass. It is quite apparent the pressure disturbance slowly stretching in to south west bay of north tamil nadu coast. Possibly with in 3 hours the rains might come back to coastal areas of north tamil nadu.

      We can expect heavy spells if it moves slightly north west. let us see. possibilities are quite high.

      The members may please enlighten why there is a rainfall difference shown by this KEA site and IMD site. IMD says the rainfall till 8.30 PM was 71.6 where as KEA says only 61.6 MM till 12 mid night. Always both never match as far as daily rainfall is concerned. IS this KEA not situates in Chennai Nungambakkam. There were some rains after 8.30 PM also yesterday, and IMD may end up with 80 MMs of rain whereas KEA maintains only 61.

      I leave it to the forum for clarifications. In fact i did raised a doubt to KEA authorities, but they are not giving meaningful explanations for their measurment.

      thanks.
      Suresh from Kodambakkam.

      • Suresh,
        I am the owner of this site.
        Just for your clarification there can be differences in rainfall measurement even for a short distance, sometimes even street.
        For a PWS, it is normal for it to show aroud 2-3 mm less for every 25 mm or so.

        These values should be used just for guidlines, they can never be 100% accurate.

      • Thank you my dear friend. As a owner of this site, you are doing an excellent service to the society, by bringing miniute to miniute reading on various weather parameters. I toally understand your explanations with regard to some variations in rain fall quantum, but for curiosity could you please tell me in which place in chennai, this rainfall has been recorded. I feel it should be with in city.

        I do understand always chennai meenambakkam and nungambakkam get some variations not only in rain fall but also in temperatures. But it is quite understandable the distance is around 15 KMS from each weather stations.

        Suresh.S.

  2. wait for 4:30 tomorrow morning karthik… heavy rains till 10:00 in the morning is what i feel…

    By: martin on December 15, 2009 at 10:58 pm

    ——————————————————————
    looks like we’re gonna have the heaviest rains on wednesday night…

    By: martin on December 15, 2009 at 10:04 pm

    I hope his earlier comment is correct

  3. remnants of Ward is at 10.0 N 80.6 E.

    GFS is expecting it to become a storm and hit south TN coast until Chennai and enter BOB.

    This has happenned a few years back. These things travel really quickly. If it starts by 34, we could have this 30G thing by tonite.

  4. Its

    Raining – Pondicherry & cuddalore
    Drizzling – Nagapattinam & Thanjavur
    Haze- Kanyakumari

    atm

    Wat conclusions can u guys draw for chennai from this data? 🙂 🙂

    • An upper air cyclonic circulation lies over Gulf of Mannar and adjoining northeast Srilanka and south coastal Tamilnadu. It gradually dissipate over the same area

  5. the loop in the kea homepage shows north movement of the LPA. GFS has been bang on about ward right from day1. amazing

    its really muggy in annanagar.feels like it might rain any moment

  6. Mayiladuthurai (Nagapattinam
    dt) 15, Vallam (Thanjavur dt)
    14, Needamangalam
    (Tiruvarur dt) 13,
    Thozhudhur (Cuddalore dt),
    Karaikal, Thiruthuraipoondi
    (Tiruvarur dt) and
    Nagapattinam 12 each,
    Kattumannarkoil (Cuddalore
    dt), Orathanadu (Thanjavur
    dt), Muthupet (Tiruvarur dt)
    and Tarangambadi
    (Nagapattinam dt) 11 each,
    Cuddalore,
    Chembarambakkam
    (Tiruvallur dt), Parangipettai,
    Vanur (Villupuram dt),
    Nannilam (Thiruvarur dt),
    Thiruvarur, Sirkali
    (Nagapattinam dt) and
    Arakonam (Vellore dt) 10
    each, Tiruttani, Poondi
    (Tiruvallur dt), Chidambaram
    (Cuddalore dt),
    Adiramapattinam, Thanjavur,
    Kodavasal and Mannargudi
    (both Thanjavur dt), Kollidam
    (Nagapattinam dt) and Tondi
    9 each, Chennai,
    Ramakrishnarajupet and
    Tamaraipakkam (both
    Tiruvallur dt), Puducherry
    Airport, Thiruvidaimarudhur
    and Thiruvaiyaru (both
    Thanjavur dt) and Sholingur
    (Vellore dt) 8 each and
    Pallipattu, Cholavaram and
    Redhills (all Tiruvallur dt),
    Sethiyathope (Cuddalore dt),
    Ulundurpet (Villupuram dt),
    Kumbakonam, Madukkur,
    Papanasam and Pattukottai
    (all Thanjavur dt),
    Valangaiman (Thiruvarur dt),
    Aranthangi (Pudukottai dt),
    R.S.Mangalam
    (Ramanathapuram dt),
    Ramanathapuram, Sathanur
    dam (Tiruvannamalai dt) and
    Ariyalur 7 each.
    The other chief amounts of
    rainfall recorded in
    centimetres are:
    Tirupathi Airport, Puttur
    (Chittoor dt), Sriperumbudhur
    (Kanchipuram dt),
    Poonamallee and Korattur
    (both Thiruvallur dt),
    Peravurani (Thanjavur dt)
    and Vembavur (Perambalur
    dt) 6 each, Tada (Nellore dt),
    Chittoor, Satyavedu (Chittoor
    dt), Anna University and
    D.G.P. Office (both Chennai
    dt), Kanchipuram, Ponneri
    (Tiruvallur dt), Srimushnam
    (Cuddalore dt), Kallakurichi,
    Tindivanam and Tirukoilur
    (both Villupuram dt),
    Thirukattupalli (Thanjavur
    dt), Tiruvadanai
    (Ramanathapuram dt) and
    Perambalur 5 each,
    Tiruvananthapuram Airport,
    Sulurpet (Nellore dt),
    Srikalahasti (Chittoor dt),
    Virudhachalam (Cuddalore
    dt), Villupuram, Vedaranyam,
    Alangudi and Karambakudi
    (both Pudukottai dt), Pamban,
    Coonoor, Karaikudi
    (Sivagangai dt) 4 each,
    Chennai Airport,
    Chengalpattu, Cheyyar and
    Uthiramerur (all Kanchipuram
    dt), Gingee and
    Sankarapuram (both
    Villupuram dt), Arimalam,
    Gandarvakottai, Keeranur,
    Perungalur and Thirumayam
    (all Pudukottai dt),
    Paramakudi and
    Rameshwaram (both
    Ramanathapuram dt),
    Jayamkondam (Ariyalur dt),
    Devakottai and Ilayankudi
    (both Sivagangai dt) and
    Atmakur (Nellore dt) 3 each,
    Tambaram, Grand Anaicut
    (Thanjavur dt), Illuppur
    (Pudukottai dt), Pudukottai,
    Polur and Vanthavasi (both
    Thiruvannamalai dt),
    Thiruvannamalai, Alangayam,
    Gudiyatham and Melalathur
    (all Vellore dt), Rayakottai
    (Krishnagiri dt), Attur and
    Vazhapadi (both Salem dt),
    Lalgudi and Pullambadi (both
    Thiruchirapalli dt),
    Venkatagirikota, Kuppam,
    Palamaner and Pakala (all
    Chittur dt) and Rajampet
    (Cuddapah dt) 2 each and
    Kadaladi, Kamudhi and
    Mudukulathur (all
    Ramanathapuram dt), Arani
    and Chengam (both
    Thiruvannamalai dt),
    Tirupattur, Vellore, Ambur,
    Vaniyambadi and Walajahpet
    (all Vellore dt), Dharmapuri,
    Palacode and Pappireddipatty
    (both Dharmapuri dt),
    Krishnagiri, Pochampalli,
    Hosur and Uthangarai (all
    Krishnagiri dt),
    Mangalapuram (Namakkal dt),
    Yercaud, Kadavur and
    Thogamalai (both Karur dt),
    Chettikulam and Padallur
    (both Perambalur dt),
    Manaparai, Marungapuri and
    Samayapuram (all
    Thiruchirapalli dt),
    Thiruchirapalli Airport,
    Thiruchirapalli, Tirupathur
    (Sivagangai dt), Gudur,
    Rapur and Venkatagiri Town
    (Nellore dt), Badvel
    (Cuddapah dt) and Bangarpet
    (Kolar dt) 1 each.

  7. Jon, has the low weakened or intensified? very dark clouds started moving from north east[triplicane] towards south west[tambaram]..i too feel it will start raining from 4

  8. All the following places are having good rains atm:

    1) Nellore
    2) Pondicherry
    3)Cuddalore
    4)Nagapattinam
    5) Thanjavur

    so could u guys find out the missing coastal station in this list? 😦 😦 😦 😦 😦

  9. overall December been a excellent month, we have exceeded the normal rain by 30%.

    NEM has been good too, we have exceeded normal rain by 6%.

    Annual rain is normal, but not great. We are 14% below the normal rain.

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