It has weakened into a Depression over N. Sri Lanka.
Very Very heavy rains are forecast for South TN. Rains are also possible for Rest of Tamil Nadu.
It has weakened into a Depression over N. Sri Lanka.
Very Very heavy rains are forecast for South TN. Rains are also possible for Rest of Tamil Nadu.
KeaWeather Archives 
BBC forecast for Chennai
Monday – Heavy rain shower
Tuesday – Thundery Shower
Wednesday – Heavy Rain
Thursday – Heavy rain shower
Friday – Heavy rain shower
there has bee lite rain ere
8.90 -81.57
latest pos….its movin NW
kea i see very dak clous to the east in cam….btw its greyish cloud now ere too
JTWS predicts movement to be N-W after it crosses.
there is def. another system by end of year
WARNING POSITION:
140000Z — NEAR 8.9N 81.6E
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 270 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER
its weakening before landfall
thats gr8 it will thro moisture…but alresdy its movin NW
kea i dont think anuther system can form…even it forms it will be shortlived…ward has spoilt it
Wintry chill bak 😦
kea latest pos 8.9 81.53…..now it has moved strait west
wat its chill??….i never feel cool in chennai…if ur place is cool..mine shud be cooler…im not feelin anything
im to just in haf sleevs
8.9n 81.53 not moving north w rather west expected to stay below 9n n cross lanka
let it forget lanka nad come a least until 10N …that will be gud
Not much room left in the west i think 81odd is som lankan ne city
I feel its lot cooler than yest both on moving out also room temp
TOI is quoting a met official–
“There will not be much rains in the city,as the depression is crossing the coast near kanyakumari.Only occasional light showers can be expected.”
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic2/real-time/adt/05B-list.txt
i fel yesterday was cooler than today
now its 8.9…81.5….west
no jon it has lots of room..trincomalle wich is at 8.34 is itself in the long…81.1……..8.9 willl be in the……
puthuk is in 9.14 and 80.41
if it moves NW from there it will alomost race the coast of lanka
Jtwc out expected landfall in 6to12hrs over same track weakening all the time
rais for chn?
jon see in ur pc the table..
good morning to all .. ward status?
whats happening??
Friends any chances of new system?
imd hasnt updated the website??
why new system? I am expecting good rain from Ward itself
Any fading out system normally redevelops in the adjacent latitude/longtitudes. Already there were huge cloud clusters broken and spread further north east in bay of bengal. Could be one more strong system could emerge in south bay of bengal within 2 days, and it would bring welcome rains to chennai. let us hope
wat happened guys? why did ward move down South? i was so ready to face teh cyclone in Chennai, i was in blr in 2 days…expecting to see huge clouds when i come back….so disappointing…hope we get some decent rains at least…btw is it drizzling in adayar
GFS is still looking good, thats the only thing always looked good
cold winds have picked up in kilpauk.mass cloud cover too…. holiday for schools in nagapattinam…whats up with ward ?
ward is approx. 30km away frm making landfall atm
johnny, where did u get that?
will se ur table evening @karthik
is it raining anywhere?
dark clouds here
google earth @kea
link
http://earth.google.com/download-earth.html its software
Ward started to intensify again but it will be short lived as the LLC is very close to the land.
UW – CIMSS
ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
ADT-Version 8.1.1
Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm
—– Current Analysis —–
Date : 14 DEC 2009 Time : 050000 UTC
Lat : 8:53:55 N Lon : 81:16:00 E
CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
3.1 / 989.6mb/ 47.0kt
Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
3.1 3.4 3.4
Latitude bias adjustment to MSLP : +0.0mb
Center Temp : -72.7C Cloud Region Temp : -68.5C
Scene Type : UNIFORM CDO CLOUD REGION
Positioning Method : FORECAST INTERPOLATION
Ocean Basin : INDIAN
Dvorak CI > MSLP Conversion Used : PACIFIC
Tno/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : NO LIMIT
Weakening Flag : OFF
Rapid Dissipation Flag : OFF
WARD is going to dump huge amount of rain as it makes landfall.It is evident from the temperature of the cloud tops which is about -68.5 degree celcius.
got it, but how latest is google earth info
Lol kea Google earth is not real time weather just u can calc distance find places ur own house lat longtitude etc use search n put the coordinates it ll take u to the location of ward then use ruler to measure kms
Latest coordinate 8.9 n 81.27e put this n see it must be 30ks from landfall just north of trinco canyon
Saw ur table karthi i could nt edit as opera is not supported
where did u find the latest coordinates?
pressure is dropping & cloud top temperatures are decreasing as well… that could actually mean that ward is strengthening… hope it move slightly north east and strengthens..
See from the link karthi gave tat cimss link like txt log
S martin ward pressure is 989mb atm which means it s very big n deep
now raining here
Guys,
can a DD cross srilanka and then tn?
How come a system can cross two land areas?
has anyone realised there is a 96 B invest just behind or Ward?
It would be interesting to see what happens to it, this is what GFS is predicting to come north.
Martin, is this the twin we were talking abt on Friday?
ward has been full of surprises… I have a feeling it has one more surprise up its sleeve… lets see during the next 12 hours..
I am hoping too
amazing to see the south indian ocean has 3 cyclones at the same time…
three cyclones ? are you sure?
kea.. where is 96B invest right now????? do you have a link?????
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic2/real-time/storm.php?&basin=indian&sname=96B&zoom=4&img=1&vars=11111000000000000000&loop=0
http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home2.cgi?YEAR=2009&MO=12&BASIN=IO&STORM_NAME=96B.INVEST&PROD=track_vis&PHOT=yes&ARCHIVE=active&NAV=tc&AGE=Latest&SIZE=Thumb&STYLE=tables&AID_DIR=/SATPRODUCTS/TC/tc09/IO/05B.WARD/tpw/microvap&TYPE=ssmi
If you see the NRLMRY website ward was known as 96b.invest before it was a cyclone so ward and 96b.invest are all the same
yes… laurence.. Five & Cleo… Three cyclones…
hmmm sun shining bright… one wonders if there are rain clouds left in the sea
96 b invest coordinates pls
96b.invest is not a different system,it is actually cyclone ward .They should have removed its link long back since there is a seperate link for cyclone Ward.
Any chances of WARD intensifying and chnaging direction to tn?
wat there has been no rain anywer???
ere mod shower round 11.00 for five mins…and lite dhower for 5 mins round 12.15
the clouds were very dak to nord and nord east seems like it has not rained anywer..btw the sun is hot today
very gusty winds ere…anywer else?
winds are picking up …sun is shining bright…confused
kea hav u created a google account?
11:30 IMD update
The deep depression over southwest Bay of Bengal moved further southwestwards and lay centred at 0830 hours IST of today, 14th December 2009 over southwest Bay of Bengal near lat. 8.50 N and long. 81.50 E, close to Trincomalee (Sri Lanka), about 300 km southeast of Nagapattinam and 250 km east-southeast of Pamban. The system is likely to move in a westerly direction and cross north Sri Lanka coast close to Trincomalee within a few hours. Subsequently, it is likely to move in a westerly direction, emerge into Gulf of Mannar and cross south Tamil Nadu coast between Kanyakumari and Pamban around afternoon of tomorrow, the 15th December, 2009. However the system shows sign of further weakening.
gud nostra….was der rain in ur area?
moderate shower in perambur(north chennai)
Looks like WARD is weakening rapidly
There will be no effect in TN
very brite sunshine ere accompanied with gusty winds very gusty
s gud bye to the irritataing WARD
s nord ere was dak,..thats why
Lets look for a new system in the offering if at all any chances remain in this years NEM
Hey martin
Hope ur prediction works ..hope we get some good rains before the NY..so has Ward made landfall yet?
Do we have any evidences as of now for a possible system to develop?
see wat a headache for us has been ward….its teasin chennai…teasin us..
definitely der will be no cyclone again dis year….even if the dec.25 system forms it cant turn into a cyclone the waters must have cooled down….so LAILA in april to bang,wb,myanmar…rite?
i already hv a google acc., but never use it.
ehsank78@gmail.com
kea wait for the table i giv….lets do it wat do u think?
Guys, check this out
http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/2009/12/14/stories/2009121451241200.htm
“International models suggested that another wave of disturbed weather would descend over south-east and adjoining south-west Bay of Bengal from December 21 onwards”
Can we expect this to happen?
the winds gettin very gusty ere and dak clous
tbm is in for the 3rd shower today
Ward has made landfall 8.9 81.13
140900Z POSITION NEAR 8.8N 81.1E.
TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 05B (WARD), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 140 NM
NORTHEAST OF COLOMBO, SRI LANKA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD
AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
(LLCC) HAS BECOME INCREASINGLY DISORGANIZED WITH BURSTS OF DEEP
CONVECTION EAST OF THE CENTER. A 140510Z TRMM 37V GHZ IMAGE SHOWS
THAT THE LLCC IS LOCATED ALONG THE EAST COAST OF SRI LANKA WITH
WEAKLY CURVED BANDING. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS FROM PGTW, KNES, AND DEMS. TC 05B IS CURRENTLY
DRIFTING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING
ACROSS THE EAST COAST OF SRI LANKA, AND DISSIPATE WITHIN THE NEXT 12
HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON
WARNING CENTER (NAVMARFCSTCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY
MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
AT 140600Z IS 10 FEET.//
gud…its gettin very gloomy ere
really?
its bright and sunny here. 29.4 C
i hope it dissipiates soon…it has already created a lot of thala vali
s kea gloomy from the NE
kea did u see gmail..the table???
wow its over….JTWC has given its final warning….gud gud bye WARD
Perhaps good bye nem?there s no 96b invest it s the same
i think so..
martin said he was in luv with ward isnt it?…but ward is a male…martin!!!..
90% no more rains i think..
jon..kar..kea…we will not hav to do anything in the table for 2-3 months
WARD in arabic means ROSE
collection of MALE rose
its like hindi–
Mrithyu–female
dehanth-male
both means death…ward is no more
Chennai – Heavy moisture moving in from East… light & medium short showers to continue thru the day.
Posted by WeatherMan
goin for a nap…hope i see some gud moisture wen i wake up…