206 thoughts on “Deep Depression crosses SL coast near Trincomalee

  1. WARNING POSITION:
    140000Z — NEAR 8.9N 81.6E
    MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS – 270 DEGREES AT 04 KTS
    POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
    POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
    PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS – 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
    WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY
    DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER

    its weakening before landfall

    • Any fading out system normally redevelops in the adjacent latitude/longtitudes. Already there were huge cloud clusters broken and spread further north east in bay of bengal. Could be one more strong system could emerge in south bay of bengal within 2 days, and it would bring welcome rains to chennai. let us hope

  2. wat happened guys? why did ward move down South? i was so ready to face teh cyclone in Chennai, i was in blr in 2 days…expecting to see huge clouds when i come back….so disappointing…hope we get some decent rains at least…btw is it drizzling in adayar

  3. Ward started to intensify again but it will be short lived as the LLC is very close to the land.

    UW – CIMSS
    ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE
    ADT-Version 8.1.1
    Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm

    —– Current Analysis —–
    Date : 14 DEC 2009 Time : 050000 UTC
    Lat : 8:53:55 N Lon : 81:16:00 E

    CI# /Pressure/ Vmax
    3.1 / 989.6mb/ 47.0kt

    Final T# Adj T# Raw T#
    3.1 3.4 3.4

    Latitude bias adjustment to MSLP : +0.0mb

    Center Temp : -72.7C Cloud Region Temp : -68.5C

    Scene Type : UNIFORM CDO CLOUD REGION

    Positioning Method : FORECAST INTERPOLATION

    Ocean Basin : INDIAN
    Dvorak CI > MSLP Conversion Used : PACIFIC

    Tno/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : NO LIMIT
    Weakening Flag : OFF
    Rapid Dissipation Flag : OFF

  4. WARD is going to dump huge amount of rain as it makes landfall.It is evident from the temperature of the cloud tops which is about -68.5 degree celcius.

  5. Lol kea Google earth is not real time weather just u can calc distance find places ur own house lat longtitude etc use search n put the coordinates it ll take u to the location of ward then use ruler to measure kms

  6. pressure is dropping & cloud top temperatures are decreasing as well… that could actually mean that ward is strengthening… hope it move slightly north east and strengthens..

  7. has anyone realised there is a 96 B invest just behind or Ward?

    It would be interesting to see what happens to it, this is what GFS is predicting to come north.

    Martin, is this the twin we were talking abt on Friday?

  8. ward has been full of surprises… I have a feeling it has one more surprise up its sleeve… lets see during the next 12 hours..

  9. 96b.invest is not a different system,it is actually cyclone ward .They should have removed its link long back since there is a seperate link for cyclone Ward.

  10. 11:30 IMD update

    The deep depression over southwest Bay of Bengal moved further southwestwards and lay centred at 0830 hours IST of today, 14th December 2009 over southwest Bay of Bengal near lat. 8.50 N and long. 81.50 E, close to Trincomalee (Sri Lanka), about 300 km southeast of Nagapattinam and 250 km east-southeast of Pamban. The system is likely to move in a westerly direction and cross north Sri Lanka coast close to Trincomalee within a few hours. Subsequently, it is likely to move in a westerly direction, emerge into Gulf of Mannar and cross south Tamil Nadu coast between Kanyakumari and Pamban around afternoon of tomorrow, the 15th December, 2009. However the system shows sign of further weakening.

    • 140900Z POSITION NEAR 8.8N 81.1E.
      TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 05B (WARD), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 140 NM
      NORTHEAST OF COLOMBO, SRI LANKA, HAS TRACKED WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD
      AT 03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL
      SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT THE LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER
      (LLCC) HAS BECOME INCREASINGLY DISORGANIZED WITH BURSTS OF DEEP
      CONVECTION EAST OF THE CENTER. A 140510Z TRMM 37V GHZ IMAGE SHOWS
      THAT THE LLCC IS LOCATED ALONG THE EAST COAST OF SRI LANKA WITH
      WEAKLY CURVED BANDING. THE CURRENT INTENSITY IS BASED ON DVORAK
      ESTIMATES OF 30 KNOTS FROM PGTW, KNES, AND DEMS. TC 05B IS CURRENTLY
      DRIFTING WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD AND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TRACKING
      ACROSS THE EAST COAST OF SRI LANKA, AND DISSIPATE WITHIN THE NEXT 12
      HOURS. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON
      WARNING CENTER (NAVMARFCSTCEN). THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY
      MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT
      AT 140600Z IS 10 FEET.//

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