230 thoughts on “No chance of rain in the immediate future

  1. As per the news in Hindubusinessline today the wet phase is going to start from Dec 11

    Also LP to affest coastal TN in the first week of Dec

  2. Karthik,

    its a good idea by Kea…wen accessing from mobile…this is very easy…otherwise i have to scroll down many pages

  3. Vietnamese people have a traditional way to forecast rain by seeing dragonflies: “Chuồn chuồn bay thấp thì mưa, bay cao thì nắng, bay vừa thì râm” (Dragonflies fly at low level, it is rainy; dragonflies fly at high level, it is sunny; dragonflies fly at medium level, it is shadowy).

  4. stronger easterly wave expected from 25th November.. rain expected from 26th… High pressure area over china which was expected to condense the easterlies and bring rain to bay actually playing spoil sport.. Heavy rains contained to vietnam, malaysia & indonesia at the moment… winds not strong enough to reach India and also moisture is depleted by the time it reaches the bay..

  5. so instead of a wide area getting rainfall from easterlies.. only a small area about 150kms wide along vietnam & malaysia upto andaman islands recieving rainfall.. all our rain is being dumped over these regions cos of the H over china

  6. @ Karthik Raghavan…
    In 2004, the temp never crossed 40c.. the highest was around 39 deg i think.. but i’m sure it never crossed 40c.. a sharp contrast to the 45c recorded on may 31 2003…
    In 1999 it never crossed 40c, ppl said once in every four years, temp doesn’t cross 40c, so it was expected that the temp ‘ll not go beyond 40c in 2003, but to everyone’s surprise it went on to create a record by registering a boiling 45c in 2003, the hottest in 93 years in Chennai, but instead of 2003, 2004 made it, with the temp never crossing 40c…

  7. Quiz-

    1) mettupalayam: ooty : : udupi: ____

    2) Is a very heavy rainfall in Bhagamandala, a significant news to anyone?

    3) Where was KR Narayan’s Malgudi days shot?

    4) Which is the most feared yet a very timid creature, hardly there are any attacks by it in the western ghats region?

    5) What connects Adayar and coovam rivers?

  8. 1) coorg is wrong.. agumbe is the answer
    2) correct- delta ppl
    3) agumbe is right
    4) right- king cobra (not cobra- becos spectacled cobra is very notorious)
    5) Buckingham Canal

  9. Low formation over thailand tomorrow.. will move west over the next 3 – 4 days & reach the bay on saturday.. & probably turn into a deep depression or cyclone on sunday or monday.. but will probably move north into orissa…

  10. my ques

    1)The Sakhalin Is. belongs to which country?

    2)I have noticed something in the map,all places in Russia bordering lakes or oceans end with a characteristic name.What is the last two words?

    3)What is Lemuria?

  11. I’d say if the current wind patterns remain the same as it is now.. being concentrated & condensed into that small area.. and if our sea surface temp’s can rise by a degree or so.. then we would have a 75% chance of that cyclone hitting northern tamil nadu & southern AP

  12. that pic i jus put up is one of my favorite places… Its a pic of the first monsoon rains this year for bangalore.. pic taken from beautiful nandi hills…

  13. 3. lemuria is a mythical land which lay somewhere between india & madagascar… was used by early geographers for describing the indian tectonic plate.

    2. Oblast

    1. Russia

  14. to add to lemuria,it is described by tamil scholars as kumarikandam,where the ancient tamil culture thrived.It is said that it came down due to a great tsunami…that madurai tamil sangam was submerged by it..

  15. i’m afraid not.. sea temperature depends on currents.. & just like pressure dictates the temperature & weather on land.. sea currents tend to move in the same way… from cold to hot areas in order to maintain a balance.. the same way wind moves from places of high pressure to places of low pressure..

  16. TCFA is issued to 96W …..

    THE AREA OF CONVECTION PREVIOUSLY LOCATED NEAR 3.7N
    107.8E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 3.7N 107.4E, APPROXIMATELY 295 NM EAST-
    NORTHEAST OF SINGAPORE. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL IMAGERY SHOWS BROAD
    CYCLONIC TURNING OF DEEP CONVECTION NEAR AN IMPROVING LOW LEVEL
    CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A 230156Z ASCAT PASS SHOWS AN
    INCREASINGLY SYMMETRIC LLCC WITH CENTER WINDS OF 10 TO 15 KNOTS.
    ADDITIONALLY, THE ASCAT PASS SHOWS 30-KNOT PERIPHERIAL WINDS TO THE
    NORTHWEST (ASSOCIATED WITH THE NORTHEASTERLY COLD SURGE THROUGH THE
    SOUTH CHINA SEA) AND 20-25 KNOTS TO THE SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHEAST OF
    THE SYSTEM CENTER. UPPER-LEVEL ANALYSIS INDICATES THE SYSTEM IS
    LOCATED EQUATORWARD OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS WITH MODERATE
    VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND RADIAL OUTFLOW. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE
    WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 15 TO 20 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS
    ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1006 MB. DUE TO THE IMPROVING NATURE OF THE
    LLCC, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL
    CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS UPGRADED TO FAIR.

    So TCFA alert for 96W is given whether it will cross into andaman sea and go to BURMA or should come to Tamilnadu…?????? is a Mystery

  17. As for as 95B in our Bay of Bengal

    AN AREA OF CONVECTION HAS PERSISTED NEAR 4.9N 91.6E,
    APPROXIMATELY 215 NM WEST OF THE NORTHWEST TIP OF SUMATRA. ANIMATED
    INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES CYCLONIC TURNING OF DEEP
    CONVECTION OVER A DEVELOPING LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC). A
    230336Z ASCAT PASS REVEALS 20-25 KNOT-WINDS WRAPPING INTO THE SYSTEM
    CENTER FROM THE SOUTHEAST QUADRANT. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS INDICATES
    THE SYSTEM IS LOCATED EQUATORWARD OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE AXIS IN
    AN AREA OF LOW TO MODERATE VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND HAS LIMITED
    OUTFLOW ALOFT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20
    TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1009
    MB. DUE TO INCREASED CONVECTIVE CONSOLIDATION, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
    DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
    HOURS IS UPGRADED TO POOR.

    http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home2.cgi?SIZE=Thumb&PHOT=yes&NAV=tc&ATCF_BASIN=io&ATCF_YR=1&ATCF_FILE=1/&CURRENT=20091123.1330.meteo7.x.ir1km_bw.95BINVEST.15kts-1010mb-49N-916E.100pc.jpg&AGE=Latest&ATCF_NAME=io951&ATCF_DIR=1&ACTIVES=09-SHEM-02S.BONGANI,09-WPAC-26W.TWENTYSIX,09-WPAC-93W.INVEST,09-IO-95B.INVEST,09-SHEM-96S.INVEST,09-WPAC-96W.INVEST&MO=NOV&STYLE=tables&YEAR=2009&YR=09&BASIN=IO&STORM_NAME=95B.INVEST&ARCHIVE=active&AREA=pacific/southern_hemisphere&AID_DIR=/SATPRODUCTS/TC/tc09/IO/96W.INVEST/tpw/microvap&DIR=/SATPRODUCTS/TC/tc09/IO/95B.INVEST/ir/geo/1km_bw&TYPE=ir&PRODUCT=ir&SUB_PROD=geo&SUB_SUB_PROD=1km_bw&PROD=ir

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