Posted by: keaweather | December 29, 2011

Any hope for Chennai from Cyclone Thane?

With only 24 mm recorded until 8:30 pm, Chennaiited expected much much more from this Severe cyclone. What will be in store for tomorrow during landfall?


Responses

  1. http://keaweather.wordpress.com/2011/12/30/severe-cyclone-thane-close-to-dissipating/

  2. Heavy rain now.

    • It has been raining/drizzling non-stop for around 12 hours in Chennai :-)

      • where did all the moisture go.. Thane was having very deep convection and had enormous moisture.. thats what the reports said. But even near the place of landfall Pondicherry recorded only 15 cms…

        That is way too low for a storm of this magnitude

  3. http://youtu.be/CMHuBliXKco

  4. still raining n rr has increased :)

    • It is pouring right from last night non stop at chrompet

  5. Serubakumaru, unaku theriyathu,enga polappae athu thaan…. Athelam namma blog la eppovo alasitom …now evryone is tired ….so v wil be back soon. So until u track it n post the updates..

    • Heavy rains approaching from SE

  6. Did anyone check this…there is possibility of the tropical disturbance
    “98w” currently now in west pacific ocean moving towards Bay…But we have 2 wait 3 more days to get complete picture…right now the movement is 2wards bay

    http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/2011/tdata/wpac/98W.html

    • THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE
      WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS IS LOW.

  7. 10 casualties as of now.still the extent of damage is not clear

  8. Puducherry airport recorded a very heavy rainfall of 15 centimetres.

    The following stations recorded heavy rainfall in centimetres:

    Kalpakkam and Kelambakkam (both Kanchipuram dt) 10 each, Cuddalore, Maduranthagam and Uthiramerur (both Kanchipuram dt) 9 each, Chengalpattu and Mahabalipuram (both Kanchipuram dt) 8 each and Rapur (Nellore dt), Puttur (Chittoor dt), Chennai airport, Tiruvallur and Chidambaram (Cuddalore dt) 7 each.

    The other chief amounts of rainfall recorded in centimetres are:

    Nellore, Chennai, Anna University and DGP Office (both Chennai dt), Sriperumpudhur (Kanchirpuram dt), Chembarambakkam (Tiruvallur dt), Vanur (Villupuram dt) and Sirkali (Nagapattinam dt) 6 each

  9. Sad news hearing about the deaths, I was really hopeful there wouldn’t be any.

    Some footage got put together at http://westernpacificweather.com/ of areas hit from the storm. Also a forecast update was posted later today.

    Please continue to stay safe everyone.

  10. cuddalore severly battered.so sad that its destruction has caused deaths.now interior dts like salem erode will bear the brunt.hope it weakens soon and reaches AS.

  11. Non stop rain.

    • None of the models predicting any easterly wave in Jan..Light rains may occur on 7/8 according to GFS and Foreca

      The next cyclone may form in April/May as pre-monsoon cyclone in BOB..and that would be called as ‘Murjan’, named by Oman..

      ‘Thane’ was named by Myanmar

      • Did u check this…there is possibility of the tropical disturbance
        98w currently now in west pacific ocean moving towards Bay…But we have 2 wait 3 more days to get complete picture…

        http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/2011/tdata/wpac/98W.html

  12. 6 killed in cuddalore 1in pondy

    • Very sad.

  13. http://www.chennaimetrowater.tn.nic.in/public/lake.htm

    It is surprising to see that Metrowater reservoirs are yet to reach last year storage level, even after good spells in this year.

    • I think Chenga getting nice rains from morning

      • see the withdrawals also..

        chennai vasis should know how to utilise water optimally..

        Water storage capacity in reservoirs in Chennai and Mumbai are almost the same.. Chennai it is 12 tmc and Mumbai it is 13 tmc..

  14. rain bands movin n???

  15. still raining.radar looks promising for more rain

  16. Sel!

    Retteri, Vinayagapuram, Kathirvedu, experienced heavy winds yesterday evening till morning with medium rains. But no flooding as feared!

    Anyway these type of cyclones is not a disturbance nor a worry to Chennai. But Pondy and Cuddallore bears the brunt as usual in every cyclone. I think Nagai escapes from the fury of THANE. It is good to them as they are usual sufferers in every cyclones.

    • 2011DEC29 223000

      LAND 11.79 -79.76

      “Thane” was in land at 4am today!!!

      http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/adt/06B-list.txt

  17. Thats the end of Thane, except for the occassional showers which should disappear with 2011.

    Sel – any January surprise brewing?

    • Yes… can see a small circulation near gulf of thailand.. Have to wait and watch whether that system would be entering BOB..

      • Do you mean the tropical depression in south china sea?

  18. rainfall around Chennai area till 8.30 am

    kelambakkam 10cm
    kalpakkam 10cm
    Chennai ap 7cm
    Chennai city 6cm

    • 15 movies releasing today.. What a time to release? :-D

      • :) :)

  19. We live in a low lying area in South Chennai. Any fall in excess of 5 cms will inundate our area. If it exceeds 20 cms, flood water would enter few houses. When I saw the radar image yesterday evening, I gave up. I was prepared for flooding. Thank God, the yellow and red spots in radar image did not result in actual rain. I feel if Thane had hit Chennai in November, we would have certainly got 30 cms+, that was the potential of the storm; the entire city and TN coast might have been submerged in water!! Any other reason how come we did not get battered?( to tell you, the residents here are greatly relieved and happy with light/moderate rains!)

    • Everyone in chennai is relieved of the fear of THANE. Long live THANE and its sister JAL!

  20. System heading for Kalrayan hilly area to the East…North East of Salem

    • its now weakening rapidly.eye already lost

  21. cuddalore town battered and flattened, reports coming in.

  22. Chennai AP at 95cm from NEM 2011!

  23. 71mph win at 5.30

    http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/weather/maps/city?LANG=en&WMO=43329&TIME=std&CONT=asie&R=0&LEVEL=140&REGION=0020&LAND=II&ART=wind&NOREGION=1&PLZ=&PLZN=_____&SORT=__&TEMP=___&WETTER=__&&TYP=__&SEITE=0

    • “chennai ap records 92mm from tis system till 11.30″

      Let us see whether it exceeds my prediction – 77 to 102mm :-)

      • it would exceed by 10mm

      • thunderkid predicted 100-200mm, so he will be the winner :razz:

  24. Cyclone Thane kills 3 in Cuddalore

  25. no rainfall report from cuddalore yet.i think cuddalore weather station has been destroyed :D

    • Yes….absolutely no news coming from cuddalore.

  26. nellore 32mm til 11.30

  27. chennai ap records 92mm from tis system till 11.30

  28. Meena only 7cm ?

    • till 8,30 i expect around 10-11cm till 11.30

      • Thane has surpassed Jal interms of both winds and rains :-)

  29. Was it Jal-like or… Thane has truly earned a name for Chennai??? (interms of rain and winds)???

    • it is a devastating cyclone max wind recorded at pondicherry city was 135kmph.one of the strongest cyclones to hit tamil nadu in recent history

  30. It depends on system intensity but ramanan,4m chen metro dept mentioned the system wil move into arb sea as depression.so most of the interior ,even ur area may get some decent rains about 2-3 cm if the system track falls near ur area…

    • http://www.foreca.com/India/State_of_Karnataka/Bangalore?map=rain

      B’lore not going to get heavy rains..

      Chennai may get light showers tomorrow morning..

      • Guess that would make you very happy :)

  31. Sel,
    Whats ur prediction for dharmapuri and bangalore belt. Is it going to face some hard rain from this noon. As of now both in dharmapuri and bangalore weather is same. Its getting light rains.

    • only light to mod showers expected since radar not picking up any major rains but it will be slighty windy

      • System will take a SW turn by evening and give rains to south interior TN..B’lore will get light rains from the outer fringes

        • Current coordinates are 12.14 -79.18. So its moving west-north-west towards Dharmapuri-Salem. Hmmmm at the most if there is SW deviation it would push towards salem before leading towards Erode-Coimbatore and finally perishing.

  32. Vithansen, how is ur area n surroundings ? Vinayagapuram,lakshmipuram,kathirvedu…

  33. Heavy rain continues all along the city..btw imd warns interiors as thane fails to reduce its intensity… Buses n trains tat r coming 4m south halted in villupuram… interiors gonna rock..

    • Any news about Chenga?

      • Trains coming from salem to chennai are delayed because of rain.

        • many trains halted at villupuram.trains coming through cuddalore cancelled

  34. Pls indicate the place while commenting that it is pouring / raining etc. That will be useful.

  35. Its been raining for 30 min in South Bangalore. Its ranging between light drizzle to light rain. Wind has picked up. Low clouds coming from North-North East.

    • :-(

  36. Solid clouds east of city in the sea

    would not be surprised if we get 5-6 cm over next 2-3 hrs

    http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home2.cgi?PHOT=yes&SIZE=thumb&NAV=tc&CURRENT=20111230.0233.f18.x.geovis.06BTHANE.65kts-974mb-117N-799E.64pc.jpg&AGE=Latest&ACTIVES=11-SHEM-04S.BENILDE,11-IO-06B.THANE,11-SHEM-97P.INVEST,11-WPAC-98W.INVEST&MO=DEC&STYLE=tables&ATCF_YR=2011&ATCF_BASIN=io&ATCF_NAME=io062011&YEAR=2011&YR=11&BASIN=IO&STORM_NAME=06B.THANE&ARCHIVE=active&AREA=pacific/southern_hemisphere&DIR=/SATPRODUCTS/TC/tc11/IO/06B.THANE/tc_ssmis/geovis&TYPE=tc_ssmis&PROD=geovis

  37. Heavy rains in Saidapet…..

  38. torrential rains here

  39. looking at the radar i can see extremely hvy rain over ene of chn about 100km

    • i think that will move towards nellore….lets c

  40. Heavy rain… Pouring !!!!

  41. absolutely pouring now

    • Very heavy rains in Adambakkam now :-)

      • http://www.foreca.com/India/Chennai

        Perfect :-)

  42. Rain again.

    • wru?

      • Very heavy rain in poonamallee.

  43. The system is moving west..north west. So later today would land up near dharmapuri as a low pressure area.

    • Appears like tindivanam, villupuram and thiruvanamali is getting battered right now.

    • its pouring very heavily now with gusty winds

  44. Its cloudy in bangalore with few drizzles coming in every few minutes. Last evening when sun went down…it was clear sky with little breeze. This morning ppl in bangalore have woken up to a cloudy and windy weather. Its warm here. So I expect more rain this afternoon hopefully.

  45. It is 90+ mm since yesterday at my home in Madambakkam.

  46. rains picking up again n cloud movement has slowed down

  47. Dear All,

    rains are not over for chennai. radar continue to pick up red lines south east of chennai 100 to 150 KMS. so winds subdued now can result in a very few heavy showers. still we can expect not less than 10 centimeters of rainfall till 8.30 this night.

    ss.

  48. Thane is over…This is the time to discuss abt new system that might enter in bay

    • As per current status, a tropical disturbance in west pacific ocean is likely to enter into bay

      West Pacific Ocean Basin:

      DATE/TIME LAT LON CLASSIFICATION STORM
      30/0232 UTC 6.0N 108.1E T1.5/1.5 98W
      29/2032 UTC 5.2N 108.3E T1.5/1.5 98W
      29/1432 UTC 4.5N 108.3E T1.5/1.5 98W
      29/0832 UTC 4.3N 109.6E T1.5/1.5 98W

      • I agree.. Can see a small circulation near West andaman sea.. Not sure whether that will pickup or dissipate… we have to wait and watch for another 48 hours..

    • http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/tropclass.txt

  49. It seems it is moving away from us.

  50. pouring heavily past 10 mts here in royapettah

  51. mina 7cm pondy 15cm till 8.30

  52. Rains should reduce considerably by today evening

    • Drizzles to continue at least till evening

  53. Heavy Rains nearing us..

  54. i think rain is going away or chennai is not going to be a victim of any heavy spell b’coz imd updated that wind would be in opposite direction after it makes landfall…. so chennai is much away!!!!

  55. its getting really dark.looking good for another heavy spell

  56. s its looks like a tsunami :D

  57. landfall has already taken place… but when saw the noaa satellite pic, the eye of the storm is still visible…

    http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/mtsat/flt/t1/vis-l.jpg


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