Posted by: keaweather | December 28, 2011

Very Severe cyclone Thane to cross between Chennai and Nagapatinam

IMD an JTWC maintain hat it will cross between Chennai and Nagapatinam, close to Puducherry. Need to wait and see its impact on Chennai.

Posted in NEM 2011

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Responses

  1. my point of view by seeing the eye of thane in the radar posted by our thunder is tat ” system likely to move “w-nw”….

    By: selvanfun on December 29, 2011
    at 9:56 am

    • s suddenly it looks like a wnw mvmt

      By: jon on December 29, 2011
      at 9:58 am

  2. rain clouds in radar steadily comin in from ese .i think it looking really good for chn

    By: jon on December 29, 2011
    at 9:55 am

    • Jon, if you see the SRI radar. clouds are moving south. Those clouds might not reach us

      By: keaweather on December 29, 2011
      at 9:59 am

      • no but the core rain clouds comin from ese.it mite look like a southerly mvmt but its actually due to circulation

        By: jon on December 29, 2011
        at 10:02 am

  3. kindly update the status of thane latt.

    By: rajkmr on December 29, 2011
    at 9:53 am

    • ok….raj. v will update..

      By: selvanfun on December 29, 2011
      at 9:59 am

      • hi selva, where are the rains, nothing significan so far?

        By: suundar24 on December 29, 2011
        at 10:43 am

  4. gud morning guys!!!
    See this!!!! :shock:
    http://www.imd.gov.in/section/dwr/img/caz_chn.gif

    By: Thunderjove on December 29, 2011
    at 9:52 am

  5. http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_pregen_sat/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/small/tc11/IO/06B.THANE/vis/geo/1km_zoom/20111229.0400.meteo7.x.vis1km_high.06BTHANE.75kts-967mb-119N-827E.100pc.jpg

    By: selvanfun on December 29, 2011
    at 9:52 am

  6. power gone in choolaimedu from 9 am..
    I am posting this by Mobile..
    winds started to pick up h

    heavily ..

    By: rajkmr on December 29, 2011
    at 9:51 am

  7. system is 250km se of chennai currently

    By: jon on December 29, 2011
    at 9:49 am

  8. It resembles more of last year’s Jal, not much rain so far but windy. Rain clouds are dissipating before it reaches land.

    By: prabhumk on December 29, 2011
    at 9:44 am

    • it looks like laila with deep eye feature.its a strong system dnt compare it with JAL :D

      By: jon on December 29, 2011
      at 9:57 am

  9. Dear All,

    As per radar moderate to heavy showers approaching chennai in another one hour, as we could find lot of red lines from 30 Kilometers distance. Considering the lenght and breadth of cloud pattern i anticipate more than 25 centimeters of rain fall till tomorrow 8.30 and further 20 to 25 centimeters tomorrow also. we can easily get not less than 40 centimeters of rain fall over 36 hours span ( from this moment to till tomorrow evening). Even after land fall we can expect showers i.e. till sunday evening./

    ss.

    By: maisuh on December 29, 2011
    at 9:44 am

    • for chennai?

      By: keaweather on December 29, 2011
      at 9:50 am

  10. movin sw??

    http://imd.gov.in/section/dwr/dynamic/dwr.htm

    By: jon on December 29, 2011
    at 9:43 am

  11. http://magicseaweed.com/msw-surf-charts2.php?chart=43&res=750&type=pressure&starttime=

    By: selvanfun on December 29, 2011
    at 9:42 am

    • http://www.stormsurfing.com/cgi/display_alt.cgi?a=nindi_precip

      By: selvanfun on December 29, 2011
      at 9:44 am

  12. suddenly the blog became very silent..
    Kea, Can we break JAL record today?

    By: VSN on December 29, 2011
    at 9:37 am

  13. Raining.

    By: emnomc on December 29, 2011
    at 9:15 am

  14. Drizzling now.

    By: emnomc on December 29, 2011
    at 9:06 am

  15. Rain and wind here.

    By: emnomc on December 29, 2011
    at 8:58 am

  16. rain increasing…..

    By: selvanfun on December 29, 2011
    at 8:55 am

  17. its vry vry windy now

    @guna, min of 15cm

    By: jon on December 29, 2011
    at 8:53 am

  18. Please alert the people of coastle asea of tamilnadu and south andhra mainly along the coast.

    By: emnomc on December 29, 2011
    at 8:51 am

    • There is no alert from govt agencies and met dept, so let us watch and observe the exact path it takes.

      By: suundar24 on December 29, 2011
      at 9:31 am

  19. How much rain can be had from Thane?

    I think it will be greater than 150 mm

    By: guna on December 29, 2011
    at 8:45 am

  20. foreca predicts a wnw to nw mvmt from 13.00 hrs ist

    By: jon on December 29, 2011
    at 8:45 am

  21. stil imd maintaining diffrent position in its last update.

    By: selvanfun on December 29, 2011
    at 8:43 am

  22. http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/io0611.gif

    By: selvanfun on December 29, 2011
    at 8:37 am

    • 78 nm means cyclone will come close to 145 km in next 24 hrs

      By: Pradeep John on December 29, 2011
      at 8:55 am

  23. Some thick red dots nearing us…

    By: rajkmr on December 29, 2011
    at 8:32 am

  24. max rain is over wnw of the system

    http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/mimic-tc/2011_06B/webManagerIR/last24hrs.gif

    By: jon on December 29, 2011
    at 8:29 am

  25. WALL OUT …

    By: rajkmr on December 29, 2011
    at 8:29 am

    • now it depends only on laxman….to give a partnership with sachin

      By: rajkmr on December 29, 2011
      at 8:30 am

  26. current landfall is good. Pondy will get the winds Chennai the rains

    By: keaweather on December 29, 2011
    at 8:26 am

    • Correct, but u forgot onething.. the eye will produce atleast 25 cms rainfall with super heavy winds..
      and we chennai will get atleast half of it while landing..

      By: rajkmr on December 29, 2011
      at 8:28 am

  27. WE will get steady rain from afternoon only…..now it will drizzles with heavy winds…

    RAIN CLOUDS ARE STILL 100 KMS AWAY…

    By: rajkmr on December 29, 2011
    at 8:26 am

  28. which is a bigger drama
    - Lokpal
    - MCG Test
    - Thane

    All nerve wracking and heading for a climax (or anti climax in next 24 hrs)

    By: salemiyer on December 29, 2011
    at 8:23 am

  29. Let’s hope we see the mumbaikars rage today. Thane in Chennai and Sachin storming down under.

    By: ashwinds on December 29, 2011
    at 8:22 am

  30. http://imd.gov.in/section/dwr/img/Animation/dop_ani_main.htm

    By: jon on December 29, 2011
    at 8:19 am

  31. steady drizzles ere in mount

    By: jon on December 29, 2011
    at 8:10 am

  32. Recent Wind Speed of various Cyclones in CHENNAI (Since 2005)

    Cyclone Jal 47 km/hr (7/11/2010)
    Cyclone Laila 42 km/hr (19/5/2010)
    Cyclone Nisha 42 km/hr (26/11/2008)
    Depression BOB 08 40 km/hr (28/10/2007)
    Depression BOB 07 45 km/hr (27/09/2007)
    Cyclone Ogni 50 km/hr (28/10/2006)

    By: Pradeep John on December 29, 2011
    at 8:08 am

    • Will Very Severe Cyclone Thane beat all the above records so far it has registered 37 km/hr winds without even coming close to the coast.

      1.Cyclone Jal 47 km/hr (7/11/2010)
      2.Cyclone Laila 42 km/hr (19/5/2010)
      3.Cyclone Nisha 42 km/hr (26/11/2008)
      4.Depression BOB 08 40 km/hr (28/10/2007)
      5.Depression BOB 07 45 km/hr (27/09/2007)
      6.Cyclone Ogni 50 km/hr (28/10/2006)

      Other cyclones in last 20 years when chennai witnessed 100 km/hr winds

      1. On 6th, December 1996 (Tropical Cyclone 08B) – a Cyclone which crossed Chennai produced 100 km/hr winds

      2. On 3st, October 1994 (Severe Cyclonic Storm BOB 03) – a cyclone which crossed Chennai brought 120-140 km/hr winds

      By: Pradeep John on December 29, 2011
      at 8:25 am

  33. Wow what an awesome radar image

    http://www.imd.gov.in/section/dwr/img/ppz_chn.gif

    By: Pradeep John on December 29, 2011
    at 8:04 am

    • why this kolaveri thane give us some rain

      By: adithyasra on December 29, 2011
      at 8:09 am

  34. it will cross the coast at 11.8n so just to n of pondy

    By: jon on December 29, 2011
    at 8:00 am

    • acc to jtwc

      By: jon on December 29, 2011
      at 8:00 am

    • Where is the twist? Cyclones don’t come without a twist or two

      By: keaweather on December 29, 2011
      at 8:13 am

      • hmmm but it had too many twists already but i feel 1 more to go,which could be really interesting

        By: jon on December 29, 2011
        at 8:17 am

  35. 11.9N 82.3E

    By: jon on December 29, 2011
    at 7:58 am

  36. Come on Thane, lets see a sneak preview. Enough hide and seek.

    By: ashwinds on December 29, 2011
    at 7:54 am

    • its started raining steadily

      By: sechastalin on December 29, 2011
      at 7:58 am

  37. i Will bring a post where i have posted all the recent cyclones Radar images. It will be useful for comparison with Cyclone Thane

    http://tamilnaduweatherman.blogspot.com/2011/10/recent-tamil-nadu-cyclones-and-its.html

    By: Pradeep John on December 29, 2011
    at 7:54 am

  38. Imd 7.30 update says landfall near puducher y. Is iy rite guys?

    By: balajisampathkumar on December 29, 2011
    at 7:52 am

  39. since it is spinning anti clockwise, northern part along with western regions will rcve the hvst of rains

    By: jon on December 29, 2011
    at 7:50 am

  40. Yes Jon…yesterday they forecasted to hit near cuddalore..but now its very near to chennai..

    Thane is changing its movement…to WNW…

    Radar Pictures also confirms it… Check the radar image at

    http://rajkmr.files.wordpress.com/2011/12/6-30am.gif

    http://rajkmr.files.wordpress.com/2011/12/7-30.gif

    http://rajkmr.files.wordpress.com/2011/12/foreca.jpg

    By: rajkmr on December 29, 2011
    at 7:49 am

    • not yet raj but things could change

      its currently at 12.0 82.5

      By: jon on December 29, 2011
      at 7:52 am

  41. dash,

    Cyclones are mostly one day affair. This cyclone will give two days of Rain.

    Dont compare this to Jal. Its a better storm than that.

    By: Pradeep John on December 29, 2011
    at 7:47 am

  42. SRI doppler is not that much promising. May be heavy rain bands are out of its range.
    Sat images are much more encouraging this time when compared to Jal with the cloud mass staying near the storm centre and not sheared away to the southern quadrant like in the case of Jal.

    So definitely more rains can be had from Thane.

    By: guna on December 29, 2011
    at 7:44 am

    • s rain bands r out of range.still radar looks good for us

      By: jon on December 29, 2011
      at 7:47 am

  43. “Very Severe cyclone Thane is a very dangerous cyclone”

    @kea he he… nice work :D

    By: jon on December 29, 2011
    at 7:43 am

    • Sorry, this is not a situation to laugh at anyone. What Kea now doing is cautioning people and that is what required now . We have to do the same to alert our friends. No point in frightening people?

      By: vithasansen on December 29, 2011
      at 7:48 am

      • i praised him .i never seen kea so optimistic bfore :D

        By: jon on December 29, 2011
        at 7:54 am

  44. How much rain can we expect from THANE if it make landfall at 11.95N?

    By: vithasansen on December 29, 2011
    at 7:41 am

  45. radar looks deadly… Heavy showers with winds gusting upto 50 knts expected.. New twist in this system.. It has now currently started to move west – Noth westerly direction crossing between Puducherry and Chennai..

    By: aruns1411 on December 29, 2011
    at 7:40 am

  46. foreca predicts a wnw mvmt n wil cross chn :o

    http://foreca.com/India/State_of_Tamil_Nadu/Chennai?map=rain

    By: jon on December 29, 2011
    at 7:40 am

  47. Will it rain?

    By: karthikraghavan1994 on December 29, 2011
    at 7:36 am

    • no sunny weather expected for Tambaram. Go to school

      By: keaweather on December 29, 2011
      at 7:38 am

      • when i was in school, we were sent back home because cyclone was fast apporaching

        By: keaweather on December 29, 2011
        at 7:38 am

    • Yes .. within few hours, heavy showers are expected…

      By: aruns1411 on December 29, 2011
      at 7:41 am

  48. GFS saying the cyclone will come north and cross Chennai only.

    WILL THIS BE THE NEW TWIST IN CYCLONE THANE

    By: keaweather on December 29, 2011
    at 7:33 am

  49. Radar looks deadly

    By: guna on December 29, 2011
    at 7:32 am

  50. weather matrix guys following cyclone Thane thru my facebook page

    By: keaweather on December 29, 2011
    at 7:26 am

    • nice & great achievement..

      By: rajkmr on December 29, 2011
      at 7:29 am

  51. Till 4pm today, it will maintain its speed of 75 kts….

    Guys, looks the radar animation,

    There may be light change in the movement….it will move west and north west by afternoon…

    By looking the radar animation..

    It will cross between Chennai & Pudhucherry only…

    By: rajkmr on December 29, 2011
    at 7:24 am

    • we are all hoping your statement comes true

      By: keaweather on December 29, 2011
      at 7:25 am

    • WIth the speed of 75 to 85 kts.. we cant say it will track in the same projected way..

      SO it will change surely

      By: rajkmr on December 29, 2011
      at 7:25 am

  52. Kar and Kea,

    Dont u think the cyclone will move north will coming close. I have a bad feeling about this. Chennai sure to get lot of rains.

    Hope IMD and GFS tracks hold on.

    By: Pradeep John on December 29, 2011
    at 7:23 am

  53. http://www.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/findweather/getForecast?hourly=1&query=zmw:00000.1.43279&yday=363&weekday=Friday

    Friday 11 AM

    By: Sudharshan Madhavan on December 29, 2011
    at 7:18 am

  54. THANE STATUS AT 7AM:

    WIND : 75 kts

    Lat :11.9.0N, 82.7 E

    Pre: 967 MB

    By: rajkmr on December 29, 2011
    at 7:16 am

  55. Pondy, Cuddalore, Villupuram, Nagai dst to benefit most

    By: originaldashman on December 29, 2011
    at 7:16 am

    • nagai will receive the least rain since its still movin w

      By: jon on December 29, 2011
      at 7:29 am

  56. its moving at snails pace n keeping its intensity so watch out

    By: jon on December 29, 2011
    at 7:16 am

  57. Heavy rains have gone south..we may get only few heavy showers if it moves perfect west..if it goes further SW, then everything wil clear out by evening….

    http://www.wunderground.com/wundermap/?lat=13.00000000&lon=80.18000031&zoom=8&pin=Chennai%2c%20India&type=hyb&rad=0&wxsn=0&svr=0&cams=0&sat=1&sat.num=1&sat.spd=25&sat.opa=85&sat.gtt1=109&sat.gtt2=108&sat.type=VIS&riv=0&mm=0&hur=0

    By: originaldashman on December 29, 2011
    at 7:14 am

  58. How much rain has possible to Chennai is it any chance to cross 200 cm this year.

    By: Mugundhan Selvaraj on December 29, 2011
    at 7:11 am

    • it think 200 cm is a tough task by year end v can touch near 190-195

      By: vijay on December 29, 2011
      at 7:14 am

  59. even it fizzles in to severe cyclone or tropical cyclone with this travel of speed v can get more than 20cm

    By: vijay on December 29, 2011
    at 7:11 am

    • omg moving again to sw 11.96 82.50

      By: vijay on December 29, 2011
      at 7:13 am

  60. i had targetted 150 likes for my facebook page by year end

    Thanks to Thane it has reched 434. Who knows it might even cross 500 by end of day

    By: keaweather on December 29, 2011
    at 7:10 am

  61. Highest wind from Thane
    37 km/hr recorded today at 6:58 am

    Can we ateast beat 47 km/hr of Jal?

    By: keaweather on December 29, 2011
    at 7:08 am

    • sure

      By: vijay on December 29, 2011
      at 7:10 am

  62. Even drizzles yet to start in Nagai

    By: originaldashman on December 29, 2011
    at 7:07 am

  63. This is also going to be a one day affair…but will it give more rains than Jal?

    By: originaldashman on December 29, 2011
    at 7:04 am

  64. Holiday for what reason? Any special occasion?

    I understand, cricket match

    By: keaweather on December 29, 2011
    at 6:52 am

    • omg look at the east

      By: vijay on December 29, 2011
      at 6:54 am

  65. sel
    is that pressure 867 or 967

    By: vijay on December 29, 2011
    at 6:51 am

  66. Winds started,rain yet to start

    By: selvanfun on December 29, 2011
    at 6:50 am

  67. Ishant Sharma’s name changed to Isshannt Sharma for good fortunes :-)

    By: originaldashman on December 29, 2011
    at 6:50 am

  68. sehwag out

    By: vijay on December 29, 2011
    at 6:50 am

  69. Does the govt have any plans to declare leave today for schools? Already many schools are yet to open after Christmas..

    By: originaldashman on December 29, 2011
    at 6:48 am

  70. Hvy Rains r approaching so wait patiently..and btw once again ther wil be a change in track , .

    By: selvanfun on December 29, 2011
    at 6:48 am

    • Hope it stops steering south

      By: ashwinds on December 29, 2011
      at 7:11 am

  71. FLARING RED near chennai coast

    By: karthikraghavan1994 on December 29, 2011
    at 6:28 am

    • moving west 82.56 and 11.97

      By: vijay on December 29, 2011
      at 6:42 am

  72. it is slowly going south.

    12,0
    11.9
    11,8
    and now 11.7

    By: keaweather on December 29, 2011
    at 6:17 am

    • Kea..its 11.97 …not 11.7

      By: karthikraghavan1994 on December 29, 2011
      at 6:27 am

      • Yes. South all the same

        By: keaweather on December 29, 2011
        at 6:32 am

    • It is too negligible…..its moving perfect west!….

      By: karthikraghavan1994 on December 29, 2011
      at 6:35 am

      • Slight northerly movement would be wonderful. I think there will be a twist in this cyclone. It will either go down or little bit north.

        By: keaweather on December 29, 2011
        at 6:38 am

  73. http://www.imd.gov.in/section/nhac/dynamic/cwind.htm

    By: selvanfun on December 29, 2011
    at 6:12 am

    • where are the rains selva?

      By: adithyasra on December 29, 2011
      at 6:35 am

  74. EYE ON THANE IN RADAR

    http://rajkmr.files.wordpress.com/2011/12/ppz_chn.gif

    By: rajkmr on December 29, 2011
    at 6:10 am

  75. Cola predicting 200 mm tomorrow

    By: keaweather on December 29, 2011
    at 6:08 am

  76. THANE MAINTAINING ITS SPEED THE SAME…

    WIND : 75 kts

    Lat :12.0N, 83 E

    Pre: 867 MB

    By: rajkmr on December 29, 2011
    at 6:08 am

    • It is expected to weaken a bit just before landfall. So until then it will remain Cat 1 storm or Very Severe cyclone

      By: keaweather on December 29, 2011
      at 6:11 am

    • is it 867 or 967?

      By: vijay on December 29, 2011
      at 6:18 am

  77. Heavy showers just a few hours away

    By: keaweather on December 29, 2011
    at 6:05 am

  78. Light showers in Saidapet….

    By: sampathca on December 29, 2011
    at 6:01 am

  79. Eye visible in radar, but where are the rains

    By: keaweather on December 29, 2011
    at 5:34 am

    • kea
      just few kms away

      By: vijay on December 29, 2011
      at 5:48 am

    • where are the rains jon and selva?

      By: adithyasra on December 29, 2011
      at 5:48 am

    • Looks like it has dipped a little south compared to last night?

      By: ashwinds on December 29, 2011
      at 5:49 am

  80. guys see the radar animation in PPI, eye is visible looking awesome

    By: vijay on December 29, 2011
    at 5:28 am

  81. TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 06B (THANE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 195 NM EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CHENNAI, INDIA, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 07 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS.

    By: rajar77 on December 29, 2011
    at 2:31 am

  82. 12.00 -83.13

    By: rajar77 on December 29, 2011
    at 2:23 am

  83. Cyclone Thane Update – Cyclone Thane now Very Severe Cyclone with Winds speed over 150 km/hr

    The status of Cyclone Thane
    ———————————–
    Date and Time of issue – 011.30 PM (28.12.2011)
    IMD Scale – Very Severe Cyclonic Storm
    Intensity – 4.4
    Pressure – 980 mmb
    Wind Speed – 75 kts (140 kmph)
    Location – 12.23 N 83.84 E
    Weakening – OFF
    Rapid Weakening – OFF
    Landfall – Around Pondicherry
    Crossing Date – 30th December Morning

    For more on the tracks and Imagery visit http://www.tamilnaduweatherman.blogspot.com

    By: Pradeep John on December 29, 2011
    at 1:39 am

  84. eye is visible in radar. 12n 83.1 e

    By: jon on December 29, 2011
    at 1:19 am

  85. As i said earlier if cola predicts 200 mm for Chennai and it happens to be true

    http://www.monsoondata.org/wx/chengfs.png

    By: Pradeep John on December 29, 2011
    at 1:09 am

  86. http://www.nnvl.noaa.gov/images/high_resolution/915_20111228-Thane.jpg

    By: Pradeep John on December 29, 2011
    at 12:51 am

  87. 12.10 83.30 tats my assumption seeing the water vapour image eye clearly visible

    By: jon on December 29, 2011
    at 12:28 am

    • so it is heading near pondy villages? gud nit to all.this blog is the most interesting after last year JAL.

      By: grully on December 29, 2011
      at 12:33 am

      • 12.10-12.30 is mostly likely

        By: jon on December 29, 2011
        at 12:37 am

  88. Awesome first glance of Cyclone Thane in Radar

    http://www.imd.gov.in/section/dwr/img/caz_chn.gif

    By: Pradeep John on December 29, 2011
    at 12:21 am

    • Yeah this is really awesome!! :)

      By: Joel on December 29, 2011
      at 12:32 am

  89. cyclone thane is the one of the worst cyclones that i have ever see.very small cyclone by size.even cyclone laila is better than cyclone thane.cyclone thane doesnt seem like a cyclone,it seems like a cloud mass thats solve.cyclone thane is very small cyclone but just too much low pressure at center of the cyclone thane.so guys there is no need of that much hype about cyclone thane.i think chennai will receive hardly 1 day of rain.

    By: vanradhakrishna on December 29, 2011
    at 12:12 am

    • Is it so my friend………! You are to be dissapointed

      By: Pradeep John on December 29, 2011
      at 1:05 am

  90. Can’t wait! Great to see activity here again :)

    By: Bob Swaggerty on December 28, 2011
    at 11:39 pm

  91. IMD 10.30 report out…

    According to it Thane to make landall at 12.5N/80.3E as a severe cyclone!! :-o

    That is landfall between Injambakkam and kovalam,that too as a severe cyclone!! …ooh!!

    By: karthikraghavan1994 on December 28, 2011
    at 11:34 pm

  92. steady drizzles in annanagar

    By: templetravel on December 28, 2011
    at 11:17 pm

  93. 12.34n now!

    By: karthikraghavan1994 on December 28, 2011
    at 11:17 pm

  94. Thane” report as on 9.00 pm IST, Wednesday:

    “Thane” deepening astoundingly, and is a very severe cyclonic storm (IMD terminology) with a core pressure of 980 mb and surface winds roaring at 120 kmph, gusting to 140 kmph !Cat. 1 as per international standards.

    Now, tonite, in the next 12 hrs, there will be further intensification, with the pressure dropping further and winds raging to 140 kmph by tomorrow.
    I would put up a special alert for the entire coast from Puducherry upto
    Coastal A.P

    Very intense convection resultant clouds are observed west of the storm right upto the centre. Cloud tops are very high and temperatures are at -86c.
    The pressure started droping from mid day today, Wednesday, and bottomed to 980 mb by 8.30 pm IST.

    Chennai alert for high winds and gales from tonite.Cloudiness starts increasing rapidly, and coastal waves will be lashing at 22 feet

    posted by Mr.Rajesh in his website

    By: templetravel on December 28, 2011
    at 11:14 pm

  95. Drizzles here in Anna Nagar West

    By: Pradeep John on December 28, 2011
    at 11:10 pm

  96. sun news doing a gr8 job.updating the lat info then n there

    By: jon on December 28, 2011
    at 11:08 pm

  97. Drizzle started in tnagar

    By: balajisampathkumar on December 28, 2011
    at 11:01 pm

  98. Lat along coast
    ——————–
    Tvl Distr
    ———–
    Pulicat – 13.24n
    Ennore – 13.12n

    Chennai
    ———–
    Marina – 13.04n

    Kanchi Dst
    ————–
    Injambs – 12.55n
    Kovalam – 12.46n
    Mahabs – 12.37n
    Kalpaks – 12.31n
    Cheyyur – 12.20n

    Pondi
    ———
    Villages – 12.00n
    Pondi – 11.55n
    Cuddalore – 11.44n

    By: karthikraghavan1994 on December 28, 2011
    at 10:58 pm

    • Welcome back….kar.

      Good Info

      By: Pradeep John on December 28, 2011
      at 11:06 pm

  99. Gud nyt.. have to leave office tomorrow at 6 am ( as usual)…. Let us see at 7:30 am as i will reach at that time…Till then stay safe…

    By: aruns1411 on December 28, 2011
    at 10:50 pm

  100. When’s the next JTWC update…definitely this isn’t going to pondicherry…it shud land in Mahabs!

    By: karthikraghavan1994 on December 28, 2011
    at 10:49 pm

    • The current wind radius from the system is throwing gusts upto 50 knts till 115 nm… Chennai is 275 nm from this system… Hence, the winds will pickup from tomorrow morning as this system is currently moving at the speed of 7 knts… Tonight entire chennai will look silent and from tomorrow morning, chennai will look disturbed !!

      By: aruns1411 on December 28, 2011
      at 10:54 pm

    • 2.00 am.i feel the LF wil be over kalpakkam or marakanam

      By: jon on December 28, 2011
      at 10:54 pm

    • JTWC NEXT WARNINGS AT
      282100Z,
      290300Z,
      290900Z AND
      291500Z..

      By: Pradeep John on December 28, 2011
      at 11:09 pm

  101. Next imd bulletin wil be out at 11.30 pm but it wnt hav any new info..so dnt wait 4 it…stay stafe gud nyt.

    By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
    at 10:47 pm

    • @Medavakkam => extreme silence.. heavy (mad) gust of wind.. and silence again.. exciting start!

      By: chennaichap on December 28, 2011
      at 10:49 pm

  102. Storm current position is at 12.5 n … this should now cross between Mahabs and chennai …

    By the way, where are the besant nagar as(h)winds ? have they too moved to the safe place ??? havent seen them since morning..

    By: aruns1411 on December 28, 2011
    at 10:47 pm

    • I am @ Bngr and have been blogging since morning..planning to be at beach tmrw morning to check the status

      By: gopal666 on December 28, 2011
      at 10:48 pm

    • I’ve been posting too :) No way we will leave Besant Nagar now – its the best seat to watch the clouds roll in.

      By: ashwinds on December 28, 2011
      at 11:08 pm

  103. No 10 warning hoisted in pondy

    By: balajisampathkumar on December 28, 2011
    at 10:46 pm

  104. Gud nyt.. the real threat is waiting 4 us ..

    By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
    at 10:45 pm

    • its very windy and started dirizzling in royapuram

      By: sechastalin on December 28, 2011
      at 10:48 pm

    • c u morning at 530 match starts at that time

      By: sechastalin on December 28, 2011
      at 10:51 pm

  105. 12.41 -83.99 as of 22:00 IST

    By: serubakumaru on December 28, 2011
    at 10:40 pm

    • winds started in velachery..

      By: serubakumaru on December 28, 2011
      at 10:42 pm

  106. This system is not throwing the rain clouds to west as majority of the rain clouds are on the east side… I think, this would start giving rain from tomorrow morning onwards and winds should pickup by then….

    By: aruns1411 on December 28, 2011
    at 10:36 pm

  107. 22.30 sat img

    http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/sat/2011/12/28/Igms1700.jpg

    By: jon on December 28, 2011
    at 10:35 pm

  108. 21.30 sat img

    http://www.imd.gov.in/section/satmet/dynamic/insatglobe-ir.htm

    By: jon on December 28, 2011
    at 10:29 pm

  109. Sooper wind here…windows gone mad! …true cyclone moments! …i Hope Thane doest go below 12.0N

    By: karthikraghavan1994 on December 28, 2011
    at 10:28 pm

    • Where ?

      By: aruns1411 on December 28, 2011
      at 10:37 pm

      • tambaram

        By: jon on December 28, 2011
        at 10:41 pm

        • Jon.. our area mount and nandambakkam is silent… When do you expect strong wind ?

          By: aruns1411 on December 28, 2011
          at 10:43 pm

          • its not silent its quite windy

            By: jon on December 28, 2011
            at 11:01 pm

  110. Bulletin issued by IMD at 16:00 hrs..

    ADVICE FOR HOISTING STORM WARNING SIGNALS:

    Local Cautionary signal number Three kept hoisted at Chennai, Ennore, Puducherry, Cuddalore and

    Nagapattinam ports and Distant warning signal number Two kept hoisted at Pamban and Tuticorin ports

    By: aruns1411 on December 28, 2011
    at 10:19 pm

  111. still vry much within 12n

    http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/mimic-tc/2011_06B/morphImages2/20111228T164500.gif

    By: jon on December 28, 2011
    at 10:17 pm

  112. JTWC says that on 29th the winds will be at 85 knts gusting up to 100 knots.. Will chennai & pondicherry survive ?

    By: aruns1411 on December 28, 2011
    at 10:17 pm

  113. Flag no : 9 in chennai port.

    By: mani on December 28, 2011
    at 10:15 pm

    • welcome..how is pulicat?

      By: originaldashman on December 28, 2011
      at 10:16 pm

    • mani came !!!!!!!!

      By: vijay on December 28, 2011
      at 10:19 pm

  114. The system core is intensifying from morning without any fringes..thatz y no major impact on land…

    By: originaldashman on December 28, 2011
    at 10:11 pm

  115. cdl has already received 1050mm tis nem alone :)

    By: jon on December 28, 2011
    at 10:10 pm

  116. Strong winds again!

    By: originaldashman on December 28, 2011
    at 10:10 pm

  117. secha stalin and grully, no rain possible…the only possiblity is very heavy fall with paparaey winds reaching 70-90kmph…

    By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
    at 10:09 pm

    • Nah… Rain clouds are far away, roughly 220 kms east of Chennai… It will take 6 to 8 hours to start to drizzle…. Winds have started to pickup at 35knts near coastal areas…. It will take another 5 -6 hours for the winds to pickup in city and its suburbs.!!!!

      By: aruns1411 on December 28, 2011
      at 10:13 pm

    • again winds r picking up

      By: sechastalin on December 28, 2011
      at 10:32 pm

  118. winds gettin stronger.btw warning no 8 issued in cuddalore

    By: jon on December 28, 2011
    at 10:07 pm

  119. tell me about this colour orange, yellow message what are the other message

    By: saidatta1 on December 28, 2011
    at 10:02 pm

    • Orange message means, the fonts are typed in orange color …. Yellow message means, the fonts are typed in yellow color..
      For other colors, check you computer in MS word…. It has all colors .. :D

      By: aruns1411 on December 28, 2011
      at 10:05 pm

      • What about “oodha” color?

        By: originaldashman on December 28, 2011
        at 10:07 pm

        • Type any color you want and blow on it… It is called “oodha” color … :D

          By: aruns1411 on December 28, 2011
          at 10:08 pm

      • http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/weather/uk/guide/colour_warnings.html

        This might help

        By: keaweather on December 28, 2011
        at 10:08 pm

      • jokeu…. thane odi po pothu sel odi vanthu adipan …

        By: saidatta1 on December 28, 2011
        at 10:08 pm

  120. What will be Kea’s reply to Saidatta1?

    1) Stay indoors
    2) Close all windows, doors
    3) Recharge emergency lamps, torches, mobile
    4) Buy and store enough food products

    These are the usual things to follow before a cyclone..btw, y r asking this now? Is there any such thing approaching us?
    :-D

    By: originaldashman on December 28, 2011
    at 10:02 pm

    • suma delhi la cyclone varudan adhan

      By: saidatta1 on December 28, 2011
      at 10:04 pm

    • didnt u know its over. We got wind and drizzle today. Thats are share of cyclone

      By: keaweather on December 28, 2011
      at 10:04 pm

      • 25mm over good for u

        By: saidatta1 on December 28, 2011
        at 10:11 pm

  121. what r he chances of me going for my run tomorrow at Marina?

    By: keaweather on December 28, 2011
    at 10:00 pm

    • Pl run.. nothing will happen…. Just some winds and some drizzles.. But are you gonna remove your weather apparatus at Nunga ? certainly it cant withstand the speed of 100+ kmph..

      By: aruns1411 on December 28, 2011
      at 10:03 pm

      • no way, its not going anywhere. I just secured my rain guage which was loose

        By: keaweather on December 28, 2011
        at 10:06 pm

    • Zero probability

      By: VSN on December 28, 2011
      at 10:04 pm

    • 25- 75

      By: emnomc on December 28, 2011
      at 10:05 pm

  122. winds surely picking up slowly

    btw see sun news- thane develops into vry sevr storms n heading for chennai :D

    By: jon on December 28, 2011
    at 10:00 pm

    • they dont know weather, just like NDTV does not know where cuddalore is.

      By: keaweather on December 28, 2011
      at 10:01 pm

      • sun news is far away better than ndtv.sun news says cyclone will cross between pdy and cdl

        By: jon on December 28, 2011
        at 10:05 pm

        • NDTV said cyclone will cross between Nellore and Cuddalore in Chennai

          By: keaweather on December 28, 2011
          at 10:09 pm

  123. what type of abstraction can we expect, what is the precaution to be taken especially for person near sea myl, bes,ecr…. lets sms

    By: saidatta1 on December 28, 2011
    at 9:55 pm

    • sorry distraction

      By: saidatta1 on December 28, 2011
      at 9:56 pm

      • saidatta1
        stay indoors!!!!! :(

        By: Thunderjove on December 28, 2011
        at 9:58 pm

    • Nothing… stay indoors and watch the rain and wind from the window…

      By: aruns1411 on December 28, 2011
      at 9:56 pm

      • i am talking about people who stay very near the coast

        By: saidatta1 on December 28, 2011
        at 9:58 pm

        • Move them to the safe place like kalyana mandapam or schools….

          By: aruns1411 on December 28, 2011
          at 10:01 pm

    • buy candles or emergency lamp

      By: keaweather on December 28, 2011
      at 10:03 pm

  124. Strange.. Movement of this system is getting slower and slower when compared with the yesterday and today morning reading.. Yesterday morning it was moving at 5 knts and evening it increased to 7 knots and today morning it was at 9 knts and in the noon reduced to 8 knots and now at 7 knots.. Currently it is located at 12.0 n 84.1 e… Is it moving on east direction now ? Can someone clarify this movement ?

    By: aruns1411 on December 28, 2011
    at 9:53 pm

  125. Lets hope Bengaluru doesn’t get anything out of this system…this is ours!

    :-D

    By: originaldashman on December 28, 2011
    at 9:52 pm

    • dnt worry tat wil never happen :D

      By: jon on December 28, 2011
      at 9:57 pm

      • Nah. not at all.. Nothing to BLR.. I wish it moves in NW direction after crossing ;)

        By: VSN on December 28, 2011
        at 10:02 pm

    • This is a disaster cyclone with monster rains.They will also get if it crosses near to us.but destruction free rains is what i wish.i have smsd all my relatives and friends to be safe in the coming days.

      By: grully on December 28, 2011
      at 9:58 pm

      • grully tell them to moooove!!!! ;)

        By: Thunderjove on December 28, 2011
        at 9:59 pm

  126. ther will be change in track,wen system nears …i am sure,it will make a landfall in btween muttukadu-maha”puram

    By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
    at 9:49 pm

    • sel i m waiting for ur updates r u sure rain will hit chennai

      By: sechastalin on December 28, 2011
      at 9:52 pm

      • 200% rain is not possible….

        By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
        at 9:59 pm

        • means it will not rain?

          By: grully on December 28, 2011
          at 10:02 pm

    • its cloudy but no rain every thing is calm maybe for the cyclone any one pls clarify

      By: sechastalin on December 28, 2011
      at 9:56 pm

      • Rain bands are still 200 kms away from us. Wait till morning.

        By: VSN on December 28, 2011
        at 10:01 pm

  127. if sun brightens there is a chance of intensifying tats wat happened today

    By: vijay on December 28, 2011
    at 9:48 pm

  128. http://www.imd.gov.in/section/nhac/dynamic/obtrack.htm

    this isnt that bad

    Selva, agree or not, IMD mentioned this in their 7 pm update

    The system is likely to move west-westwards, intensify further during next 12 hrs and cross north Tamil Nadu coast between Nagapattinam and Chennai, close to Puducherry around morning of 30th December 2011

    By: keaweather on December 28, 2011
    at 9:47 pm

  129. i completely disagree with jtwc track btw imd landfall place is exactly mahabalipuram tourist beach….

    By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
    at 9:45 pm

    • its perfect to go with IMD for prediction of landfall they never had false of their predictions of LF

      By: vijay on December 28, 2011
      at 9:47 pm

  130. 12.05N – 83.69E

    By: karthikraghavan1994 on December 28, 2011
    at 9:43 pm

  131. Moving east?

    By: emnomc on December 28, 2011
    at 9:37 pm

    • s it has moved w in fact its now slightly above jtwc’s track

      By: jon on December 28, 2011
      at 9:41 pm

      • no*

        By: jon on December 28, 2011
        at 9:42 pm

  132. ADT – current storm strength 75 knots

    http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/adt/06B-list.txt

    By: Pradeep John on December 28, 2011
    at 9:33 pm

    • This says different.61 knots

      http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/2011/adt/text/06B-list.txt

      By: serubakumaru on December 28, 2011
      at 9:34 pm

      • common a pressure of 979 cant have knots of 61. Its there in NOAA site itself

        http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/CI-chart.html

        JTWC themself have said in their current report

        THE CURRENT INTENSITY HAS BEEN INCREASED TO 75 KNOTS BASED ON DVORAK ESTIMATES OF 77 KNOTS FROM KNES AND PGTW.

        http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/io0611web.txt

        By: Pradeep John on December 28, 2011
        at 9:38 pm

  133. .

    By: sampathca on December 28, 2011
    at 9:32 pm

  134. winds picking up again

    By: jon on December 28, 2011
    at 9:31 pm

    • here dead silence in velachery…

      By: serubakumaru on December 28, 2011
      at 9:36 pm

  135. “winds stopped here around 4 itself”

    he he…. :-D

    By: originaldashman on December 28, 2011
    at 9:21 pm

    • latest satellite picture reveals the cloud patter shifted east. this system is started playing zig-zag. could be one more baaz of 2005. finally it might loose strength as depression and bring heaviest rainfall for a day. it has to immediatley move west. meterological department now started struggling to give a right forecast.

      now the system lies at about 12 north and nearly 85 east moved by 0.75 east in the last one hour. that is why there is total absence of winds and drizzle at chennai.

      ss.

      By: maisuh on December 28, 2011
      at 9:24 pm

      • 12.05
        83.92

        By: jon on December 28, 2011
        at 9:26 pm

  136. http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/satshots/06B_281130sams.jpg

    By: originaldashman on December 28, 2011
    at 9:08 pm

    • where is sel rajkmr?

      By: grully on December 28, 2011
      at 9:22 pm

  137. winds have dropped suddenly

    By: jon on December 28, 2011
    at 9:06 pm

    • Calm Before Storm maybe

      By: Joel on December 28, 2011
      at 9:07 pm

    • yes no winds.no drizzles.1 hr before winds are high and mild drizzles near virugambakkam.now nothing.

      By: grully on December 28, 2011
      at 9:08 pm

    • winds stopped here around 4 itself

      By: keaweather on December 28, 2011
      at 9:19 pm

  138. Latest JTWC report says thane crashing into Pondy
    http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/io0611.gif

    By: Joel on December 28, 2011
    at 9:03 pm

    • hw come it is 12N as per this link.it is still 12.55N

      By: grully on December 28, 2011
      at 9:07 pm

    • omg:-(

      By: serubakumaru on December 28, 2011
      at 9:10 pm

  139. Lat along coast
    ———————
    Chennai – 13.01N
    Injambakkam – 12.55N
    Kovalam – 12.46N
    Mahabs – 12.37N

    By: karthikraghavan1994 on December 28, 2011
    at 8:59 pm

    • what for pondy cuddalore nagai and karaikal?

      By: grully on December 28, 2011
      at 9:09 pm

  140. surely a mistake again

    12.00 N 83.90E
    12.35 N 84.09 E
    12.55 N 84.23E

    It is moving N-E

    By: keaweather on December 28, 2011
    at 8:57 pm

    • any change in rainfall predictions..

      By: serubakumaru on December 28, 2011
      at 9:03 pm

  141. Thane now at 12.55N….

    The same latitude as Injambakkam in coast…!!

    By: karthikraghavan1994 on December 28, 2011
    at 8:56 pm

    • Tambaram lat also 12.55N

      By: karthikraghavan1994 on December 28, 2011
      at 8:57 pm

  142. Is it cloudy in chennai? Did rain started in chennai??

    By: gana (@rajugana) on December 28, 2011
    at 8:46 pm

    • nope…the rains are 150 kms away

      By: Pradeep John on December 28, 2011
      at 8:49 pm

    • Chennai radar’s capacity enhanced to 375 kms distance from previous 250. but one strange thing we notice despite huge cloud mass, not much rains reflected in radar at about 300 to 400 KMS. Probably the distance is huge, no accuracy can we get. within 100 KMS only radar can pick right signals. So only the storm comes another 100 kms west, we can totally rely on radar.

      Slight southward movement towards pondy would bring heavy rains to chennai/nellore. probably morethan winds, chennai might face floods from tomorrow afternoon. suddendly sweeping winds accompanied by drizzle have started here.

      ss.

      By: maisuh on December 28, 2011
      at 8:52 pm

  143. Ventilation effect – Hats off to JTWC
    ————————————–
    It is at least 36 hours away from a landfall to the south of Chennai, likely over Pondicherry and neighbourhood, as suggested by a couple of international models.

    Thane’ may not retain the strength on the go, but latest indications are that it may not weaken on the home stretch as noticeably as was thought would be the case in earlier forecasts.What seems to be holding it in good stead is the good ventilation, allowing it to ‘breathe’ in and out.

    Earlier forecasts had de-rated the intensification prospects thanks to unhelpful sea-surface temperatures coupled with the ‘shearing effect’ of wayward winds on top of the storm tower. But, to a large extent, these are being offset by the ventilation effect, the US Joint Typhoon Warning Centre said.

    http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/industry-and-economy/agri-biz/article2755089.ece?homepage=true&ref=wl_home

    By: Pradeep John on December 28, 2011
    at 8:40 pm

  144. still the lf area is unsure.if it moves another 0.3 degs to n it may affect us in a big way or if it moves another 0.3 degs to sw then the lf area may be even towards nagai.so the next 4hours will be really crucial

    By: jon on December 28, 2011
    at 8:32 pm

  145. Tomorrow JAL’s record page visits will be broken

    By: Pradeep John on December 28, 2011
    at 8:31 pm

    • but power should be there ??

      I think power will be off in many areas in chennai tomorrow by noon..itself…bcos the wind speed will 90 to 100 kts at that time…

      By: rajkmr on December 28, 2011
      at 8:35 pm

      • we may get at max 50-60 knots gusts

        By: Pradeep John on December 28, 2011
        at 8:41 pm

  146. SSMIS IMAGE OF CYCLONE THANE

    https://www.fnmoc.navy.mil/tcweb/dynamic/products/tc11/IO/06B.THANE/ssmi/vis1km/LATEST.jpg

    By: rajkmr on December 28, 2011
    at 8:29 pm

  147. The link i have given is accumulated rainfall prediction from the Thane,

    The rainiest part is being Chennai.

    Remember Jal, it crossed chennai with 70 mm rainfall…..while other places got far away from centre got more rains.

    By: Pradeep John on December 28, 2011
    at 8:27 pm

    • john look at this http://www.imd.gov.in/section/satmet/dynamic/insatsector-ir.htm
      is this system weakening or intensifying ?

      By: adithyasra on December 28, 2011
      at 8:29 pm

      • OMG see this

        http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/adt/06B-list.txt

        its near its highest intensity.

        By: Pradeep John on December 28, 2011
        at 8:30 pm

  148. Kea, dont u think its not good idea and pinpoint one location. People who does not understand cyclones will say. The cyclone is going to pondy we need not worry.

    By: Pradeep John on December 28, 2011
    at 8:25 pm

    • You have nearly 10000 visits to your blog in one day.

      Atleast put that 100 kms either side of pondy will also be severely affected

      By: Pradeep John on December 28, 2011
      at 8:29 pm

  149. i am now getting confident that it will cross ahead of pondy.it is moving south west from morning.nagai and delta districts will be terribly battered.

    By: grully on December 28, 2011
    at 8:25 pm

  150. The Storm may cross Pondicherry but we are in the Funnel and we are going to get the maximum rains according to GFS.

    Dont be surprised if Cola puts up 200 mm rainfall

    http://expert-images.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/en/2011/12/28/basis06/swas/pr06/11123012_2806.gif

    By: Pradeep John on December 28, 2011
    at 8:25 pm

    • how u say that we wil still get rains?

      By: grully on December 28, 2011
      at 8:25 pm

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