Posted by: keaweather | December 28, 2011

Very Severe cyclone Thane to cross between Chennai and Nagapatinam

IMD an JTWC maintain hat it will cross between Chennai and Nagapatinam, close to Puducherry. Need to wait and see its impact on Chennai.

Posted in NEM 2011

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Responses

  1. http://keaweather.wordpress.com/2011/12/29/heavy-rain-and-wind-expected-from-evening-as-cyclone-nears-coast/

    By: keaweather on December 29, 2011
    at 11:22 am

  2. http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/archdat/indian/southern/vapor/LATEST.jpg

    By: selvanfun on December 29, 2011
    at 11:13 am

  3. Disappointment for chennai. The system seems to be hading towards karaikal. Appears like it would close just north of karaikal . Karaikal,chidambaram, mayiladuthurai and Neyveli is going to get smashed if the cyclone doesn’t loose more than 10% of its current vigor.

    By: vjyanand76 on December 29, 2011
    at 11:11 am

    • why disappointment?its already raining nonstop with really high

      By: jon on December 29, 2011
      at 11:15 am

      • high winds

        By: jon on December 29, 2011
        at 11:16 am

  4. steady westerly movement
    http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/mimic-tc/2011_06B/webManagerIR/last24hrs.gif

    By: selvanfun on December 29, 2011
    at 11:09 am

  5. around 25cm to 30 cm…

    By: selvanfun on December 29, 2011
    at 10:57 am

  6. Heavy rain here, with winds..

    By: Joel on December 29, 2011
    at 10:56 am

  7. 1st heavy shower from the system lashing now

    By: jon on December 29, 2011
    at 10:56 am

    • Lucky people….ENJOY..))

      By: vjyanand76 on December 29, 2011
      at 11:12 am

  8. latest radar pictures shows the eye clearly..seems to be clearly heading towards an area between Pondy and Cuddalore unless it tilts N during the last 100kms

    http://www.imd.gov.in/section/dwr/dynamic/doppler-caz.htm

    By: gopal666 on December 29, 2011
    at 10:55 am

    • Power cut in Adambakkam from 9am

      By: originaldashman on December 29, 2011
      at 10:56 am

  9. jon link for gfs and foreca tat showed nw movemnet….

    By: selvanfun on December 29, 2011
    at 10:51 am

    • how much rain will chennai get? will it be around 200 mm?

      By: seshu94 on December 29, 2011
      at 10:54 am

    • im on mob now.check the precip chart in foreca.com for Chennai

      By: jon on December 29, 2011
      at 10:59 am

      • hmm..fine

        By: selvanfun on December 29, 2011
        at 11:01 am

  10. IMD’s forecast shows the outer band caressing South Chennai / Kalpakkam at the time of crossing..will it leave most of Chennai with just 50-60mm?

    By: gopal666 on December 29, 2011
    at 10:50 am

    • s. i think that south chennai will get more rains….north chennai will get around 5 to 8cm

      By: serubakumaru on December 29, 2011
      at 10:55 am

  11. i think its tilting w-nw..
    http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/mimic-tc/2011_06B/webManagerIR/last24hrs.gif

    By: selvanfun on December 29, 2011
    at 10:49 am

  12. Radar luks deadly, but seems like moving towards SW.

    By: VSN on December 29, 2011
    at 10:48 am

    • its steadily movin w

      By: jon on December 29, 2011
      at 10:50 am

  13. jon,i think the heavist part will be on north during landfall
    http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/2011/adt/img/06B.GIF

    By: selvanfun on December 29, 2011
    at 10:45 am

    • hope so

      By: jon on December 29, 2011
      at 10:49 am

  14. Two disappointments in a day – India’s performance vs. Aus and Thane’s impact on Chennai :-(

    By: tbalaj on December 29, 2011
    at 10:45 am

  15. http://www.imd.gov.in/section/satmet/dynamic/insatsector-vis.htm

    eye visible here too

    By: vjyanand76 on December 29, 2011
    at 10:44 am

  16. 81.9e 11.95n

    By: jon on December 29, 2011
    at 10:41 am

    • 11.89 -82.11

      By: keaweather on December 29, 2011
      at 10:43 am

      • seeing the aruns link i would say it crossed 82e

        By: jon on December 29, 2011
        at 10:45 am

    • http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/archdat/indian/southern/vis/LATEST.jpg

      By: selvanfun on December 29, 2011
      at 10:43 am

  17. http://www.imd.gov.in/section/dwr/img/ppz_chn.gif

    By: selvanfun on December 29, 2011
    at 10:39 am

  18. Watch the eye of this system… Clean !!

    http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/mtsat/flt/t1/vis-l.jpg

    By: aruns1411 on December 29, 2011
    at 10:38 am

  19. http://www.imd.gov.in/section/nhac/dynamic/obtrack.jpg

    By: selvanfun on December 29, 2011
    at 10:37 am

  20. http://tinyurl.com/cmb49dy

    By: selvanfun on December 29, 2011
    at 10:35 am

    • the radar confirms the general belief that there wont by any rains near the eye! :-)

      By: originaldashman on December 29, 2011
      at 10:38 am

      • aama.ther wont be any rain surrounding the eye..but before eye reaches the land,there will be heavyfall with maximum winds in tat particular area..

        By: selvanfun on December 29, 2011
        at 10:42 am

  21. both gfs n foreca predicts a wnw movement from 82e

    By: jon on December 29, 2011
    at 10:30 am

  22. Cyclone outer band is still 50 Km from Chennai

    By: rajar77 on December 29, 2011
    at 10:29 am

  23. NW MOVEMENT AS ON 9.30AM
    http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/adt/06B-list.txt

    By: selvanfun on December 29, 2011
    at 10:29 am

  24. Heavy wind. No rain.

    By: emnomc on December 29, 2011
    at 10:28 am

  25. System is currently at 11.9 and would go down to 11.8 within 24 hours.. Which means the system is moving west and south west as per JTWC report.

    By: aruns1411 on December 29, 2011
    at 10:28 am

  26. Radar looks amazing.. Eye can be ssen in the radar.. Seems this is moving in westerly direction..

    By: aruns1411 on December 29, 2011
    at 10:26 am

  27. http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/mimic-tc/2011_06B/webManagerIR/last24hrs.gif

    By: selvanfun on December 29, 2011
    at 10:25 am

  28. In Intensity Thane may not be like Jal, but when it comes to bringing rains to Chennai, I think Thane is following Jal’s path. Although radar looks full of orange and red spots, they seem to dissipate once they are near chennai.

    By: tbalaj on December 29, 2011
    at 10:24 am

  29. let it make a landfall in pondi but wen it make landfall there,am sure the heaviest convectional clouds will be on n -nw quadrant..tat is morethan enough to make floods in chennai…

    By: selvanfun on December 29, 2011
    at 10:18 am

  30. http://www.imd.gov.in/section/dwr/dynamic/doppler-caz.htm

    Is it the eye 250 Kms South East of chennai…..Looks like its the eye with sqall wrapped around…

    By: vjyanand76 on December 29, 2011
    at 10:17 am

    • If its the eye of the cyclone…then boy o boy it looks dangerous

      By: vjyanand76 on December 29, 2011
      at 10:19 am

  31. Selva where is it now?

    By: emnomc on December 29, 2011
    at 10:17 am

    • http://www.imd.gov.in/section/dwr/dynamic/doppler-caz.htm

      Exact 250 Km south east of Chennai

      By: rajar77 on December 29, 2011
      at 10:24 am

  32. system not likely to go down in intensity ..shear value luks highly favourable for landfall with same intensity

    By: selvanfun on December 29, 2011
    at 10:14 am

    • http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/indian/winds/wm5sht.GIF

      By: selvanfun on December 29, 2011
      at 10:15 am

  33. Guys,I am suppose to visit pondicherry on 31st morning for year end trip. How bad it would be on 31st if the cyclone hits Pondi on 30th. Shall I scrap off the whole trip ?

    By: ankit_jain (@ankit_jain) on December 29, 2011
    at 10:12 am

    • if i were u. I would leave right away to witness the cyclone

      By: keaweather on December 29, 2011
      at 10:17 am

    • Myself and my friends too had the same plan..but now we dropped it

      By: serubakumaru on December 29, 2011
      at 10:21 am

  34. 12.04 -82.33 moving north east ?

    By: rajar77 on December 29, 2011
    at 10:12 am

  35. eyeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee
    http://www.imd.gov.in/section/dwr/img/caz_chn.gif

    By: selvanfun on December 29, 2011
    at 10:12 am

  36. THE CYCLONE IS ALSO MOVING OVER WATERS WITH LOWER HEAT
    CONTENT THAT SHOULD, ALONG WITH INCREASING VERTICAL WIND SHEAR AND
    DECREASING OUTFLOW, INDUCE SOME WEAKENING PRIOR TO LANDFALL. AFTER
    LANDFALL, INTERACTION WITH ROUGH TERRAIN WELL INLAND FROM THE
    RELATIVELY FLAT COASTAL AREA WILL LEAD TO STEADY DISSIPATION

    By: ezhilnarasu on December 29, 2011
    at 10:11 am

  37. http://www.imd.gov.in/section/nhac/dynamic/obtrack.htm

    IMD has been a bit slow with Thane. They are following JTWC updates.

    By: keaweather on December 29, 2011
    at 10:11 am

  38. RADAR LOOKS VERY DEADLY…Heavy Rains is to start

    By: rajkmr on December 29, 2011
    at 10:08 am

  39. winds before the rain
    http://tinypic.com/r/69nvih/5

    By: selvanfun on December 29, 2011
    at 10:06 am

    • great sel!!! tat place looks famiiar ;-)

      By: Richy on December 29, 2011
      at 10:10 am

  40. POWER CAME HERE

    By: rajkmr on December 29, 2011
    at 10:05 am

    • possibly there will be complete shutdown from evening

      By: serubakumaru on December 29, 2011
      at 10:06 am

  41. wind noise is getting louder and louder

    By: rajkmr on December 29, 2011
    at 10:02 am

  42. last one and half hours, it moved only in westerly direction…

    By: selvanfun on December 29, 2011
    at 10:02 am

    • there was powercut in velachery from 7 am before i left for office..don’y know the current status

      By: serubakumaru on December 29, 2011
      at 10:04 am

  43. any power failures in other areas?
    here no power

    By: rajkmr on December 29, 2011
    at 9:59 am

    • there was powercut in velachery from 7 am before i left for office..don’y know the current status

      By: serubakumaru on December 29, 2011
      at 10:05 am

  44. http://www.imd.gov.in/section/satmet/dynamic/insatsector-vis.htm

    By: Sudharshan Madhavan on December 29, 2011
    at 9:57 am

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