Posted by: keaweather | December 28, 2011

Rains from cyclone Thane to begin Thursday morning

Landfall is expected fridaymorning and very heavy rain with gale force winds reaching 100 km/hr tor Thursday night.

Posted in NEM 2011

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Responses

  1. was in the elliots beach in the evening..the waves were coming from North like an anticlockwise swirl..huge waves..east was getting dark with some clouds..nobody in the beach seem to be aware of whats coming..I am surprised with the lack of information and readiness

    By: gopal666 on December 28, 2011
    at 7:29 pm

  2. KEA,Y CANT U GO FOR A QUICK PREDICTION GAME…MAKE IT LIKE TIS “WICH PLACE WILL RECORD A HIGHEST RAINFALL FROM THIS SYSTEM ?? AND HOW MUCH?

    By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
    at 7:24 pm

  3. jtwc is spot on up to now.meanwhile things have started flying all over the place,its getting really windy

    By: jon on December 28, 2011
    at 7:23 pm

  4. As Said by IMD, Thane intensfied to very severe cyclonic storm now at a speed of 138 km/h

    By: rajkmr on December 28, 2011
    at 7:23 pm

    • they told it will happen tomorrow morning only, but THANE is intensifying very rapidly…

      By: rajkmr on December 28, 2011
      at 7:25 pm

  5. Windspeed in MPH Description Visible Condition
    0 Calm Smoke rises vertically
    1 – 4 Light Air Direction of wind shown by smoke but not by wind vanes
    4 – 7 Light Breeze Wind felt on face; leaves rustle; ordinary wind vane moved by wind
    8 – 12 Gentle Breeze Leaves and small twigs in constant motion; wind extends light flag
    13 – 18 Moderate Breeze Raises dust and loose paper; small branches are moved
    19 – 24 Fresh Breeze Small trees in leaf begin to sway; crested wavelets form on inland water
    25 – 31 Strong Breeze Large branches in motion; telephone wires whistle; umbrellas used with difficulty
    32 – 38 Moderate Gale Whole trees in motion; inconvenience in walking against wind
    39 – 46 Fresh Gale Breaks twigs off trees; generally impedes progress
    47 – 54 Strong Gale Slight structural damage occurs; chimney pots and slates removed
    55 – 63 Whole Gale Trees uprooted; considerable structural damage occurs
    64 – 72 Storm Very rarely experienced; accompanied by widespread damage
    73+ Hurricane Devastation occurs

    By: rajkmr on December 28, 2011
    at 7:20 pm

  6. here is an update
    noaa- 12.10N -83.99E
    navy nrl-12.N 84.1E
    BOTH SHOWS INTENSIFICATION…

    By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
    at 7:17 pm

  7. OMG….

    75 kts : 86 MPH…138.9 km/h

    According to USA, 73+ Hurricane Devastation occurs ..

    What is happening in BOB….

    By: rajkmr on December 28, 2011
    at 7:16 pm

  8. Pattern types

    There are several visual “patterns” that a cyclone may take on which put upper and lower bounds on its intensity. The primary patterns used are:

    curved band pattern (T1.0-T4.5)
    shear pattern (T1.5-T3.5)
    central dense overcast (CDO) pattern (T2.5-T5.0)
    banding eye pattern (T4.0-T4.5)
    eye pattern (T4.5 – T8.0)

    Once a pattern is identified, the storm features (such as length and curvature of banding features) are further analyzed to arrive at a particular T-number.

    http://www.comet.ucar.edu/class/satmet/11_Apr19_1999/html/demariamn/sld030.htm

    http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dvorak_technique#Details_of_technique

    By: Pradeep John on December 28, 2011
    at 7:12 pm

    • Very windy here from morning!!! ;) :shock:

      By: Thunderjove on December 28, 2011
      at 7:20 pm

  9. THANE 6.30 PM IMAGE

    http://rajkmr.files.wordpress.com/2011/12/6-30pm.jpg

    By: rajkmr on December 28, 2011
    at 7:11 pm

  10. system intensified rapidly all bcos of low shear
    http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/indian/winds/wm5shr.GIF

    By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
    at 7:07 pm

  11. omg,thane at 75knts….

    By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
    at 7:05 pm

    • how u r telling this ?? url pls

      By: rajkmr on December 28, 2011
      at 7:08 pm

      • ok…increasing & increasing

        By: rajkmr on December 28, 2011
        at 7:09 pm

      • keep ur pointer on the sat image,it will display all details of it..it is the fastest of all in update..see now cimss shows intensity of 72.2knts as of 6.pm
        http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

        By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
        at 7:12 pm

  12. Rain drops started in Velachery

    By: rajar77 on December 28, 2011
    at 7:02 pm

  13. REMARKS: 15A/PBO TIGHTLY CURVED BAND/BANDING EYE/ANMTN.
    CONVECTIVE WRAP OF 1.7 ON LOG 10 SPIRAL ON VISIBLE IMAGERY
    YIELDS A 4.5 DT. MET AND PT AGREE. BF IS DEVELOPING BUT DID NOT PUSH DT TO A 5.0. PT IS VERY STRONG 4.5 AND WOULD BE A 5.0 IF AN EYE HAD FORMED. THE SYSTEM IS DEVELOPING VERY GEOMETRICALLY.
    DBO DT

    By: keaweather on December 28, 2011
    at 7:02 pm

  14. http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/ni201106_flashtool.html?extraprod=flashtool

    check their animation. Even they seem to say it will move at 12.1N. I dont know if their forecast is related to this, they are predicting a good friday for us. 250 mm on friday

    By: keaweather on December 28, 2011
    at 7:00 pm

    • omg,wat a brave prediction ..i lov it.

      By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
      at 7:04 pm

  15. Navy site forecasted Thane from today morning…the cyclone has not touched below 12.1 N lat.. it has been moving in the same lat…

    http://rajkmr.files.wordpress.com/2011/12/tracker.jpg

    By: rajkmr on December 28, 2011
    at 6:56 pm

    • http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/fews/CYCLONES/cyclone.2011B06.jpg

      By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
      at 7:00 pm

  16. y v hav to be confused wit it???? there will be an update 4m jtwc 1t 8pm and 4m imd at 8.30pm by considering 5.30 pm data..so v can come to a conclusion.. i thnk there occured a eye replacement.. so the position differed ..now it came to normal.

    By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
    at 6:54 pm

    • fcst means jtwc forecast,sprl means spiral model,combo-combination of spiral and ring analysis so 11.95 is the correct pos :(

      By: jon on December 28, 2011
      at 6:58 pm

      • http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/mimic-tc/2011_06B/webManagerIR/last24hrs.gif

        By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
        at 6:59 pm

        • tats gr8.so the center still at 12.1 :)

          By: jon on December 28, 2011
          at 7:01 pm

        • nice image sel

          By: rajkmr on December 28, 2011
          at 7:03 pm

  17. @sel

    in tat case its movin perfect west

    12.10 -84.48
    12.10 -84.04

    By: jon on December 28, 2011
    at 6:52 pm

    • yes.depantely,depanetly

      By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
      at 6:58 pm

  18. There could be some surprise in JTWC 8 pm update……………..

    By: Rocker............... on December 28, 2011
    at 6:51 pm

  19. tis one showing the wind speed as 72knts

    http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/adt/06B-list.txt

    i think some serious error there

    By: jon on December 28, 2011
    at 6:49 pm

  20. pic at 6.30pm..
    http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/archdat/indian/southern/ir/LATEST.jpg

    By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
    at 6:45 pm

  21. omg!!

    11.85 -83.97

    By: jon on December 28, 2011
    at 6:44 pm

    • It has changed to 12.1 …check this also

      http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/2011/adt/text/06B-list.txt

      By: rajkmr on December 28, 2011
      at 6:45 pm

      • s fix mth is sprl wich is not accurate

        By: jon on December 28, 2011
        at 6:46 pm

        • me 2 thought the same…..wen it is in sprl,the position differing to some extent…

          By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
          at 6:50 pm

    • it has changed to 12.1…

      Again its climbing up

      By: rajkmr on December 28, 2011
      at 6:46 pm

  22. KEA PLEASE SEE THIS

    72.2 KNOTS NOW

    http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/adt/06B-list.txt

    By: ssriram2791 on December 28, 2011
    at 6:43 pm

  23. “Thane” deepens to 990 mb with gusty winds at 110 kmph.Currently (5 pm) at 500 kms west of Chennai.
    Gusty winds at 30-40 kmph from a Northerly direction to hit Chennai from tonite. Heavy clouding and wind speed gradually on the increase from tonite..

    http://rajesh26.blogspot.com/

    By: emnomc on December 28, 2011
    at 6:42 pm

  24. Cyclone Thane fighting hard to maintain intensity

    http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/industry-and-economy/agri-biz/article2754405.ece?homepage=true

    By: keaweather on December 28, 2011
    at 6:41 pm

  25. THANE CAT 1 STORM POSITION …

    AT 12.30Z ( 6 PM IST)

    LAT : 12.1 N

    LON: 84.8 E

    Wind : 65 Kts

    Pressure : 974 MB

    CATEGORY : 1

    By: rajkmr on December 28, 2011
    at 6:38 pm

  26. @emnomc

    i mentioned about cyclone precautions to the people when jal came to chennai just before the day but dissipated in matter of time

    By: vijay on December 28, 2011
    at 6:37 pm

    • ‘ Ithellam weatherla sagajam.’
      Sollaventiyadu naamma kadamai.

      I think many people don’t know cyclone is coming.

      I was also shamed by JAL.

      By: emnomc on December 28, 2011
      at 6:53 pm

  27. http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/indian/winds/wm5vor.GIF

    By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
    at 6:37 pm

  28. jon,arun..yes ..it was an error …current position is 12.1N 84.8E as on 6.PM IST ACCORDING TO NAVY NRL

    By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
    at 6:35 pm

    • link?

      By: jon on December 28, 2011
      at 6:37 pm

      • http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

        By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
        at 6:38 pm

      • JUST KEEP UR CURSOR ON TAT SAT PIC…it will display the intensity ,central pressure and position..

        By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
        at 6:40 pm

    • Sel.. is it 6 am or 6 pm.. coz since morning it is showing in navy nrl as 12.1 … The next update that we would be getting is at 18:00 hrs… seems navy NRL is not updated.. Many of other sites are showing as 11.95…

      By: aruns1411 on December 28, 2011
      at 6:39 pm

      • no arun , it was an updated data..

        By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
        at 6:42 pm

  29. Now JTWC shows the storm is at 11.95 .. seems it is moving south west

    By: aruns1411 on December 28, 2011
    at 6:34 pm

    • jtwc nxt update only by 8

      By: jon on December 28, 2011
      at 6:35 pm

  30. This the correct time to alert the people to take safety precautions.

    By: emnomc on December 28, 2011
    at 6:33 pm

  31. 11.95 84.04 is absolute crap… moving sw

    By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
    at 6:29 pm

    • yes it might be an error..

      By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
      at 6:32 pm

  32. Clouds started to move fast.. wind speed is picking up…

    By: rajkmr on December 28, 2011
    at 6:29 pm

  33. http://www.imd.gov.in/section/dwr/dynamic/doppler-caz.htm

    IMD changed the radar range from 200km to 375 to track the cyclone better!

    By: Joel on December 28, 2011
    at 6:26 pm

  34. The storm is heading south west currently at 11.99 … will it further move down ??

    By: aruns1411 on December 28, 2011
    at 6:26 pm

    • 12.45 to 11.95???
      i think its an error

      By: jon on December 28, 2011
      at 6:28 pm

  35. Where is Pulicat Mani ? He needs to update how Pulicat lake looks now !!

    By: aruns1411 on December 28, 2011
    at 6:21 pm

  36. http://www.kea.metsite.com/thane.jpg

    track as per IMD forecast

    By: keaweather on December 28, 2011
    at 6:18 pm

  37. With the latest satellite image, this system would cross very close to cuddalore…. South Chennai and Kancheepuram would be majorly affected.. North tamil nadu would too have effect but would be minimal when compared to south ..

    By: aruns1411 on December 28, 2011
    at 6:08 pm

  38. Look at this sunset satellite pic… Can see eye of this storm..

    http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/mtsat/flt/t1/vis-l.jpg

    By: aruns1411 on December 28, 2011
    at 6:02 pm

  39. imd is confusing…

    Severe Cyclonic Storm : CAT 1( 119 -153), 2,( 154-177) , 3 (178-210)

    Super Cyclonic Storm : CAT 4 (211-250), & 5 (>250)..

    Where is the very severe cyclonic storm…

    By: rajkmr on December 28, 2011
    at 5:51 pm

    • the above denominations are for international standards.. for India, very severe cyclonic storm comes under CAT 1 category.. :)

      By: aruns1411 on December 28, 2011
      at 6:04 pm

      • and so after CAT 1, very keeps increasing? CAT 5 must be kolavery

        By: ashwinds on December 28, 2011
        at 6:16 pm

  40. http://www.imd.gov.in/section/satmet/img/india.jpg

    By: mazhaivannan on December 28, 2011
    at 5:49 pm

  41. now imd landfall place is kalpakkam..likely to cross as severe cyclonic storm..

    By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
    at 5:48 pm

  42. latest position is 11.95 84.08 so moving west -s/w

    By: VSN on December 28, 2011
    at 5:47 pm

    • more in the south direction

      By: grully on December 28, 2011
      at 5:55 pm

      • Its gud.. not good to have a direct Hit. Chennai is not prepared for that.

        By: VSN on December 28, 2011
        at 6:01 pm

    • Hi…from which site ur r tracking the latest coordinates…

      By: vjyanand76 on December 28, 2011
      at 5:57 pm

      • http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/adt/06B-list.txt

        By: VSN on December 28, 2011
        at 5:59 pm

        • Thanks :)

          By: vjyanand76 on December 28, 2011
          at 6:03 pm

  43. promises to be a cracking 3 days!!!

    By: Richy on December 28, 2011
    at 5:45 pm

  44. intensified into severe cyclonic storm… likely cross in betwen sriharikota and cuddalore
    http://www.imd.gov.in/section/nhac/dynamic/cwind.htm

    By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
    at 5:41 pm

    • Now IMD Says Very severe Cylonic storm by tomo morning.

      By: VSN on December 28, 2011
      at 5:44 pm

      • 28-12-2011/1730
        12.5/84.3 is the location IMD has referred to?

        we are speaking abt 12.15 -84.05 ON as of 17:00IST which is rit?

        By: grully on December 28, 2011
        at 5:46 pm

  45. http://www.flickr.com/photos/26140228@N03/6233023159/…… monster waves in marina are we goin to hav the next biggest disaster after tsunami!!!

    By: Richy on December 28, 2011
    at 5:32 pm

    • that may be the wish for most of the persons in this forum. They really need more rains for chennai where almost no agricultural lands are available.

      By: ezhilnarasu on December 28, 2011
      at 5:37 pm

      • Well observed. Many of the friends are eagerly awaiting to enjoy the disaster happened to other people. Sad it is sarcasm

        By: vithasansen on December 28, 2011
        at 5:45 pm

        • i would be worried if it hits any place.tale of destruction is high when it is severe cyclonic storm.no one is more aware of the landfall destruction in TN more than people in this blog.i pray to god that it should weaken before reaching us and give only rains which we cannot stop.

          By: grully on December 28, 2011
          at 5:50 pm

        • if it MUST hit some place, isnt Chennai supposedly amongst the best prepared? Being a “metro” and all?

          By: ashwinds on December 28, 2011
          at 6:18 pm

  46. 12.45 -84.34 ON

    Moved NW

    By: originaldashman on December 28, 2011
    at 5:11 pm

    • 12.15 -84.05 ON as of 17:00IST

      By: serubakumaru on December 28, 2011
      at 5:15 pm

      • yes again..it moved there..damn..

        By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
        at 5:23 pm

        • Sel,

          I know greater circle distance formula.

          How can a cyclone change its center thru 46 km distance in half an hour

          By: ssriram2791 on December 28, 2011
          at 5:27 pm

  47. so next 2 readings r vital for the system movement…if it is w-nw-w…it will hav a direct hit over a city..

    By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
    at 5:09 pm

  48. http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/2011/adt/text/06B-list.txt

    By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
    at 5:07 pm

  49. http://www.imd.gov.in/section/dwr/img/caz_chn.gif

    By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
    at 5:04 pm

  50. jon, 12.55 84.31…ha..ha..ha..ha..ha..ha..

    By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
    at 5:03 pm

    • http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_apache/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/small/tc11/IO/06B.THANE/vis/geo/1km_zoom/20111228.1101.mtsat2.x.vis1km_high.06BTHANE.65kts-974mb-121N-848E.100pc.jpg

      By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
      at 5:05 pm

      • looks deadly atm

        By: jon on December 28, 2011
        at 5:06 pm

        • and the next
          http://oiswww.eumetsat.org/IPPS/html/MTP/IMAGERY/IR115/COLOR/SOUTHERNASIA/IMAGESDisplay/cJqtBGlgEepeF

          By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
          at 5:07 pm

  51. http://www.imd.gov.in/section/nhac/dynamic/cycwindfc.htm :cool:

    By: jon on December 28, 2011
    at 4:56 pm

  52. Latest forecasts

    WU – 191 mm
    Accu – 83 mm
    Foreca – 75 mm
    Cola – 135 mm

    By: keaweather on December 28, 2011
    at 4:50 pm

    • Either Accu or Forca will be the winner

      By: serubakumaru on December 28, 2011
      at 5:03 pm

  53. Eye visible

    http://www.imd.gov.in/section/satmet/dynamic/insatsector-vis.htm

    By: originaldashman on December 28, 2011
    at 4:45 pm

  54. Even though looks like moving n-nw this link has different story
    http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home2.cgi?SIZE=full&PHOT=yes&NAV=tc&ATCF_BASIN=io&ATCF_YR=2011&ATCF_FILE=/SATPRODUCTS/kauai_data/www/atcf_web/public_html/im

    By: mazhaivannan on December 28, 2011
    at 4:43 pm

  55. http://www.imd.gov.in/section/nhac/dynamic/allindia_main.htm

    Extreme severe warning. never seen that before

    By: keaweather on December 28, 2011
    at 4:43 pm

  56. Yipee! :-)

    12.25 -84.90 OFF

    By: originaldashman on December 28, 2011
    at 4:41 pm

    • moved NE?

      By: originaldashman on December 28, 2011
      at 4:42 pm

    • WBAR prediction of moving north east?

      By: rajar77 on December 28, 2011
      at 4:43 pm

    • 12.55 -84.31 ON

      By: serubakumaru on December 28, 2011
      at 4:44 pm

  57. Omg,it turned black n cloudy in a matter of a second.

    By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
    at 4:39 pm

    • Really…i couldn’t see any clouds till now….

      By: serubakumaru on December 28, 2011
      at 4:43 pm

    • Sun is going to set and hence it is black

      By: rajar77 on December 28, 2011
      at 4:46 pm

    • its very windy and quiet suddenly its very dark and rain clouds are moving faster

      By: sechastalin on December 28, 2011
      at 5:11 pm

  58. Only if thunder appears, Thane will come! :-D

    By: originaldashman on December 28, 2011
    at 4:39 pm

  59. Rain approaching Chennai. As usual Radar down

    http://www.imd.gov.in/section/dwr/dynamic/doppler-caz.htm

    By: rajar77 on December 28, 2011
    at 4:35 pm

    • http://www.imd.gov.in/section/dwr/dynamic/dwr.htm

      By: originaldashman on December 28, 2011
      at 4:37 pm

  60. KEA: Have u poured water into your rain gauge?

    By: rajar77 on December 28, 2011
    at 4:32 pm

    • no, i was fixing my rain guage to safe guard against the potential wind from the cyclone (just a precaution) I will reset it soon.

      By: keaweather on December 28, 2011
      at 4:37 pm

  61. Vk,lanfall most likely in chennai…but jtwc shows south of chennai …so no chance for landfall in s.andhra..at the most minjur coast,it cant move further north..

    By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
    at 4:29 pm

  62. how come winds have reduced drastically

    By: keaweather on December 28, 2011
    at 4:27 pm

    • Peace before storm

      By: rajar77 on December 28, 2011
      at 4:30 pm

      • Winds have reduced drastically, since you have posted that you are waiting for summer rains.

        By: rajar77 on December 28, 2011
        at 4:30 pm

  63. We miss Thunderjove ?

    By: rajar77 on December 28, 2011
    at 4:25 pm

  64. selvan fun
    Now i saw the picture looks deadly how much distance from chennai. BUT THE PICTURE SHOWS SLIGHTLY NORTH WARDS ITS GOING TO LANDFALL ANDHRA COAST ANY IDEA

    By: Vinoth Kannan on December 28, 2011
    at 4:13 pm

  65. Anybody remember 2005 December cyclone which moved south west (instead of north west)and crossed near nagai ?

    By: rajar77 on December 28, 2011
    at 4:12 pm

  66. “Next 24 hrs very cruel…”

    rofl :-D

    By: originaldashman on December 28, 2011
    at 4:12 pm

  67. 12.15 -84.44

    moved wnw :D :D

    By: jon on December 28, 2011
    at 4:12 pm

  68. Nyce to c, vijayanand 4m banglore joining the party wit us…welcome vijayanand

    By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
    at 4:10 pm

    • hahhaa…..though 80′s and 90′s I had the pleasure for experiencing quite a few storms in chennai……
      There is nothing as addictive as experiencing a powerful cyclone….I remember the normal sequence
      1) Wind dying down
      2) East turning dark with eerie looking clouds. These clouds are very different. They are high and intense looking. You can sense something is wrong. Birds become very quiet too.
      3) Low clouds start rushing in. Wind slightly picks up.
      4) It starts to drizzle.
      5) Wind picks up more. Sudden heavy spell of rain starts.
      6) All hell breaks loose. Heavy rain and heavy wind.
      7) Rain reduces. Wind blows like mad. You would initially find wind moving from land toward sea. One can feel the sustained wind with gusts smashing every 3 minutes.
      After landfall, you start getting wind from the sea.

      Its an amazing experience.

      By: vjyanand76 on December 28, 2011
      at 5:23 pm

  69. THANE CAT 1 STORM POSITION …

    AT 10:37 GMT ( 4 PM IST)

    LAT : 12.1 N

    LON: 84.8 E

    Wind : 65 Kts

    Pressure : 991.8 MB

    CATEGORY : 1

    By: rajkmr on December 28, 2011
    at 4:10 pm

  70. Dark stratus clouds slowly crossing Chennai coast

    By: originaldashman on December 28, 2011
    at 4:08 pm

  71. Next 24 hrs very cruel than only clearly tell that land fall of cyclone its very difficult because very six hrs its changing so please wait 24 hrs and then we must known the correct place. So wait and watch

    By: Vinoth Kannan on December 28, 2011
    at 4:07 pm

      By: jon on December 28, 2011
      at 4:13 pm

  72. Omg,sat image at 3.30pm luks deadly… Still Intensifying to achieve the status of a very severe cyclone http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/archdat/indian/southern/ir/LATEST.jpg

    By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
    at 3:59 pm

    • Wow! Looks compact .

      By: vjyanand76 on December 28, 2011
      at 4:03 pm

  73. The site : http://www.imd.gov.in/section/nhac/dynamic/qlm.htm
    is showing the system going to Nellore AP. But I expect the system to cross 50 kms north or south of chennai.

    By: vjyanand76 on December 28, 2011
    at 3:55 pm

    • SEE THIS ONE

      http://www.imd.gov.in/section/nhac/dynamic/tcac.png

      By: rajkmr on December 28, 2011
      at 3:59 pm

  74. Dark high clouds are visible over east now :-)

    By: originaldashman on December 28, 2011
    at 3:55 pm

    • Typical cyclonic clouds..instead of anvils or low clouds..

      By: originaldashman on December 28, 2011
      at 3:57 pm

  75. Mr. Vijay anand.

    Doppler radar never reveals cloud. it only sends pictures if any rain touches the ground that too all such blue dots are not rains and dbz lever should exceed 38.7 as per colour given in table. so radar picture we have been seeing refers to drizzling, moderate rain or heavy showers. Right from 11 Am this morning up to now, the rains have covered nearly 100 KMS west. So we have to wait at least another 6 hours for the first spell of rains over chennai. we cna expect a shower or two by midnight. only satellite pictures refers to clouds.
    ss.

    By: maisuh on December 28, 2011
    at 3:55 pm

  76. It is time to switch on cameras (eyes) and turn the focus towards east..its getting darker..but what lies behind is still unclear bcoz of haziness..do not miss the first cloud from Thane!

    By: originaldashman on December 28, 2011
    at 3:52 pm

  77. “see radar for chennai and not for kolkata..”

    -Sel to Kea

    rofl :-D

    By: originaldashman on December 28, 2011
    at 3:50 pm

  78. dont tell me everyone is still discussing the cyclone.

    Its not coming. We are lucky atleast we got some winds from the cyclone.

    Its over for Chennai. Lets hope for some summer rains

    By: keaweather on December 28, 2011
    at 3:49 pm

    • Kea- you stump me here!why this pessimism?I can see clouds in the radar,all sites including Wwunderground,BBC,Foreca are aligned on the 100mm+ rains..why this googly?Pls elaborate on your comments.

      By: gopal666 on December 28, 2011
      at 3:56 pm

    • If not for the promise of the cyclone, I would have complained about the end of “winter” today – very bright and sunny day.

      Latest sat pic – looks better organized – will it now intensify more?

      By: ashwinds on December 28, 2011
      at 3:56 pm

  79. lat gfs

    http://expert-images.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/en/2011/12/28/basis06/swas/pr06/11123000_2806.gif

    By: jon on December 28, 2011
    at 3:48 pm

  80. moving perfectly SW

    By: vijay on December 28, 2011
    at 3:41 pm

    • omg:(:(:(

      By: serubakumaru on December 28, 2011
      at 3:42 pm

    • movin w not sw

      12.10 -84.50
      12.05 -84.70

      By: jon on December 28, 2011
      at 3:44 pm

      • According to JTWC it will cross between Pondy & Cuddalore. 12.05N is exactly near pondy.

        By: ezhilnarasu on December 28, 2011
        at 3:54 pm

  81. Doppler Radar is showing up cloud mass around 180 kms from chennai. Infact East of chennai. The outer banks are steadily approaching chennai coastline. This morning, the cloud mass wasn’t visible in the radar.

    By: vjyanand76 on December 28, 2011
    at 3:29 pm

    • sorry not 180 around 220 kms from chennai

      By: vjyanand76 on December 28, 2011
      at 3:30 pm

  82. Rain clouds are just 200 kms away from Chennai… Rain should commence from tonight…

    By: aruns1411 on December 28, 2011
    at 3:28 pm

  83. i wish the heaviest part shld be in northern quadrant during landfall..

    By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
    at 3:25 pm

    • me too wish the same sel.

      By: serubakumaru on December 28, 2011
      at 3:33 pm

  84. Nice sunny day.
    wind gusts have already crossed 41 km/hour. They may reach 60 by
    midnight. People who are living near big trees take precaution as branches may snap suddenly.

    Rains are just 8-10 hours away and the eastern horizon is turning cloudy rapidly.

    By: guna on December 28, 2011
    at 3:25 pm

  85. THis will show this system path and its forecasted movement..

    http://www.hurricanezone.net/tcgraphics/io0611.gif

    By: aruns1411 on December 28, 2011
    at 3:23 pm

  86. very low wind shear of 5knts is making the system to intensify further… but current movement scares me.. .4m now it shld veer west or it shld move w-nw-w

    By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
    at 3:20 pm

    • but i guess it is moving w-sw! :( i fear we might get less rains! :( wat do u say?

      By: seshu94 on December 28, 2011
      at 3:25 pm

  87. http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/indian/winds/wm5conv.GIF tis confirms the raincloud formation in rain band tat is going to hit the city in few hours..

    By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
    at 3:13 pm

    • is it moving south?? looking at everybody’s comments,i guess it is… so impact on chennai will be reduced eh??

      By: seshu94 on December 28, 2011
      at 3:18 pm

      • It has moved south a bit .. but steady west sw movement… Which means that this should cross anywhere between Kalpakkam – Dolphin city …

        By: aruns1411 on December 28, 2011
        at 3:21 pm

    • i dont see anything in radar

      By: keaweather on December 28, 2011
      at 3:18 pm

      • see radar for chennai and not for kolkata..

        By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
        at 3:24 pm

    • Look at this… amazing movement of this system….

      http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/mtsat/flt/t1/loop-ir4.html

      By: aruns1411 on December 28, 2011
      at 3:19 pm

  88. A cyclonic storm ‘Thane’ is likely to make a landfall between Nellore and Cuddalore in Chennai on Friday- NDTV

    By: keaweather on December 28, 2011
    at 3:10 pm

    • The current direction is at 12.1 n 84.8E …. How this will further move ?

      By: aruns1411 on December 28, 2011
      at 3:15 pm

  89. @serubakumaru,navy nrl and noaa site are coming up with same position but cimss showing different position

    By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
    at 3:09 pm

    • navy nrl shows the system s.east of us but cimss and imd said it is east -s.east of us…

      By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
      at 3:11 pm

      • lat pos

        12.10 -84.55

        || to kalpak

        By: jon on December 28, 2011
        at 3:12 pm

    • sel give me the link for cimss

      By: vijay on December 28, 2011
      at 3:13 pm

      • http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/adt/06B-list.txt

        By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
        at 3:15 pm

    • thane has to move north until it reaches13 Latitude before it goes for the landfall to get atleast the foreca and accu rainfall predictions. If the southwest movement continues then it will land only in cuddalore

      By: serubakumaru on December 28, 2011
      at 3:20 pm

  90. system movement is w-sw-w..i think its intensifying so it may show constant and steady movement twrds west

    By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
    at 3:05 pm

    • Also its movement has reduced from 9 knots to 8 knots..

      By: aruns1411 on December 28, 2011
      at 3:08 pm

    • see the radar we are just 250 kms away

      By: vijay on December 28, 2011
      at 3:08 pm

      • 250 Km away from outer band

        By: rajar77 on December 28, 2011
        at 3:10 pm

        • rain bands will be fast approaching…

          By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
          at 3:12 pm

  91. IMD prediction

    Will cross between Muttukadu and Dolphin City

    JTWC – Somewhere near Pondy

    I think IMD is more accurate predicting landfalls, hopefully they are correct this time too

    By: keaweather on December 28, 2011
    at 3:01 pm

    • s kea IMD mostly predicts correct landffall

      By: vijay on December 28, 2011
      at 3:06 pm

  92. I don’t know why all are worrying about rainfall prediction…

    கையில வெண்ணெய் வச்சிக்கிட்டு நெய்க்கி அலைய வேண்டாம்…

    THANE REACHING US… it will pour its heavy rain..

    Wait & SEE….

    By: rajkmr on December 28, 2011
    at 3:00 pm

  93. latest report shows there was little movement 2wards south
    http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/2011/adt/text/06B-list.txt

    By: serubakumaru on December 28, 2011
    at 2:59 pm

  94. 65 knts..!!!!! according to navy/nrl..
    http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_pregen_sat/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/small/tc11/IO/06B.THANE/vis/geo/1km_zoom/20111228.0900.meteo7.x.vis1km_high.06BTHANE.65kts-974mb-121N-848E.100pc.jpg

    By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
    at 2:58 pm

    • moving SW :(

      By: vijay on December 28, 2011
      at 3:00 pm

  95. can see high clouds of thane at top of my head

    By: vijay on December 28, 2011
    at 2:57 pm

  96. dash,still i din c any type of clouds…but windy reaching 35-40kmhr

    By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
    at 2:54 pm

    • distant e looks dark

      By: jon on December 28, 2011
      at 2:55 pm

      • i hav to go to my terrace to c it.. but someone torching the light from sky..i will go by evening.jon

        By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
        at 3:00 pm

  97. http://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/hurricanes/archives/2011/h2011_Thane.html

    By: Pradeep John on December 28, 2011
    at 2:52 pm

    • pj,wow….

      By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
      at 2:57 pm

  98. http://foreca.com/India/State_of_Tamil_Nadu/Chennai?map=rain

    tis doesnt look good for us

    By: jon on December 28, 2011
    at 2:50 pm

    • i think foreca’s prediction is based on ecmwf

      http://expert-images.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/en/ecmwf/2011/12/28/basis00/swas/pslv/11123000_2800.gif

      By: jon on December 28, 2011
      at 2:52 pm

  99. JTWC REPORT HIGHLIGHTS:

    1., THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY SLIGHTLY TO A PEAK
    INTENSITY OF 70 KNOTS WITH MODERATE VWS OFFSET BY THE GOOD OUTFLOW.

    .
    2. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 280600Z IS 21 FEET.( its very severe)

    3. Maintaining its same track..so no change..

    http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/io0611.gif

    70 KNOTS………

    By: rajkmr on December 28, 2011
    at 2:48 pm

  100. foreca has decreased its rainfall prediction for chennai to 80mm and increased for pondy n cdl

    By: jon on December 28, 2011
    at 2:46 pm

    • and jon v 2 posting the same in the right time>>>

      in between satellite looks awesome now

      By: vijay on December 28, 2011
      at 2:48 pm

      • :) :)

        By: jon on December 28, 2011
        at 2:49 pm

    • its hard enough for these models to predict the movement in the sea. But more so, once it strikes land I dont think we should take the measures seriously at all.

      By: ashwinds on December 28, 2011
      at 2:54 pm

    • accuweather too have predicted the same

      By: serubakumaru on December 28, 2011
      at 2:56 pm

  101. year 2000 cyclone… i remember getting the updates through FM radio…(maruti suzuki traffic beat prog.). it was complete overcast in chennai..we expected tat it will pour….it did not…the landfall was exactly over pondy’s coastline…. some 30 boats were damaged…with high winds…rainfall recorded was 13 mm at pondy… but not even a trace was recorded at chennai…it is horrible to even think about that now…….. and got a neck pain ..waiting for rains…..

    By: chnrainlover on December 28, 2011
    at 2:40 pm

  102. Cola has revised its rainfall for Chennai 120 mm from Thane

    http://www.monsoondata.org/wx/chengfs.png

    January 2012 rains

    http://www.monsoondata.org/wx/prec12.png

    By: Pradeep John on December 28, 2011
    at 2:34 pm

    • but foreca says that it ll make landfall over cuddalore

      By: vijay on December 28, 2011
      at 2:46 pm

  103. IMD 1:30 report:

    Squally winds speed reaching 45-55 kmph likely to commence along and off north Tamil Nadu, Puducherry and south Andhra Pradesh coasts from tomorrow morning the 29th December 2011 onwards. The wind speed will increase gradually from 29th night onwards becoming 95-105 kmph gusting to 120 kmph along and off north Tamilnadu and south Andhra Pradesh coast at the time of landfall.

    By: rajar77 on December 28, 2011
    at 2:31 pm

  104. it will cross the caost as a severe cyclone with gusts of 80kts acc to jtwc :shock:

    By: jon on December 28, 2011
    at 2:19 pm

    • sry 65knts :(

      By: jon on December 28, 2011
      at 2:20 pm

      • vada poche

        By: adithyasra on December 28, 2011
        at 2:24 pm

    • Effect on Chennai if it follows JTWC

      By: keaweather on December 28, 2011
      at 2:25 pm

      • as sel said northern periphery of the sys(anti clockwise rotation) wil suck in all the moisture so we expect some really hvy rain n wind speeds of atleast 50-60kmph

        By: jon on December 28, 2011
        at 2:32 pm

    • 65 knots is more than enough to spoil the city

      By: vijay on December 28, 2011
      at 2:29 pm

      • 65 knots = 120.38 kilometers :o

        By: Joel on December 28, 2011
        at 2:32 pm

  105. SUBSEQUENTLY MODEL GUIDANCE HAS COME INTO TIGHT GREEMENT WITH THE WESTWARD TRACK, ESPECIALLY GFS WHICH HAD INDICATED A NORTHWESTWARD TRACK AND IS NOW WESTWARD.
    :-D

    By: originaldashman on December 28, 2011
    at 2:18 pm

  106. jtwc track shows kalpakkam

    http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/io0611.gif

    By: jon on December 28, 2011
    at 2:18 pm

    • any rainfall predictions????????

      By: serubakumaru on December 28, 2011
      at 2:25 pm

      • kea wont allow me to chnge my prediction.i predicted 25mm earlier :( :D

        By: jon on December 28, 2011
        at 2:39 pm

  107. it will cross btw chn and pdy .since no more northerly mvmt expected

    By: jon on December 28, 2011
    at 2:17 pm

  108. jtwc has not indicated the word “weak or will weaken” in their lat update :D :D

    By: jon on December 28, 2011
    at 2:15 pm

  109. its bright sunshine here..most of de ppl in chennai dont know tht a cyclone is approaching them..unless they read dis blog..

    By: Joel on December 28, 2011
    at 2:14 pm

    • kea needs to promote this blog

      By: adithyasra on December 28, 2011
      at 2:18 pm

  110. 1: Why it is so windy today?..very very difficult to dry clothes in terrace :-(

    2: Edho puyal varutham!!!

    - Excerpts from Chennai Public conversations

    By: originaldashman on December 28, 2011
    at 2:13 pm

  111. JTWC report out………….

    By: Rocker............... on December 28, 2011
    at 2:13 pm

  112. 12.1-84.6 moving southwest?

    By: rajar77 on December 28, 2011
    at 2:13 pm

  113. after 5pm,blog la anal paraka poguthu…….

    By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
    at 2:04 pm

    • i think entire n.tn people will be seeing our blog rather than ramanan or any news channel.,,,,,,:p

      By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
      at 2:05 pm

      • s…u r right…

        By: serubakumaru on December 28, 2011
        at 2:07 pm

  114. any change in landfall???
    http://www.hurricanezone.net/tcgraphics/io1.php

    By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
    at 2:02 pm

    • why does our thalaivar (ramanan)remains silent on this system

      By: adithyasra on December 28, 2011
      at 2:07 pm

      • When u get all kind of details from kea bloggers..why u are looking for ramananji

        By: serubakumaru on December 28, 2011
        at 2:09 pm

  115. From
    http://rajesh26.blogspot.com/

    Report of 12.30 pm (IST) Wednesday.
    As the ridge deepens, “Thane” moves due west. Moved marginally west in last 6 hrs, and is 550 kms due west of Chennai. Convection increases in the SW quadrant. Clouds at phenomenal height, with top at -85c ! Pressure at 992, but winds raging at 100 kmph. Seas getting rough.

    Could strike by Friday, slightly North of Chennai, possibly at current strength.

    By: emnomc on December 28, 2011
    at 2:01 pm

    • west of chennai???? ha..ha..

      By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
      at 2:03 pm

      • A typographical error.

        By: emnomc on December 28, 2011
        at 2:19 pm

  116. Currently crystal clear skies..but it is always a pleasant wait during the period of transformation from sunny clear skies on cyclone eve to the moment of landfall the next day..guys, don miss each and every change that happens above! :-)

    By evening, the sky will be covered completely with high clouds..is is already visible over eastern horizon..

    By: originaldashman on December 28, 2011
    at 2:00 pm

    • yes..tats wat i tend to say…

      By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
      at 2:04 pm

  117. eastern horizon tels u a story

    By: jon on December 28, 2011
    at 2:00 pm

  118. WIND SPEED AT 12.09 PM is 35.4 km/h….

    By: rajkmr on December 28, 2011
    at 1:58 pm

  119. radr looks deadly for late evening…. entire pondi-chennai stretch under deadlock…

    By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
    at 1:56 pm

  120. It was very windy outside now.. i can’t able to drive my bike….

    Winds are pushing it to a slant position….

    Anyone checked it ????

    By: rajkmr on December 28, 2011
    at 1:54 pm

  121. Sel, clouds visible over extreme east..check out!

    By: originaldashman on December 28, 2011
    at 1:53 pm

  122. RAIN MAY START BY TODAY EVENING…

    CLOUDS STARTED TO COME FROM THANE TO LAND…

    http://rajkmr.files.wordpress.com/2011/12/radar.jpg

    By: rajkmr on December 28, 2011
    at 1:53 pm

  123. 1.30 pm sat image ..system liks compact but deadly
    http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/archdat/indian/southern/vis/LATEST.jpg

    By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
    at 1:46 pm

    • http://www.imd.gov.in/section/satmet/img/sector-vis.jpg

      By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
      at 1:48 pm

    • but selva it looks like the system is weakening

      By: adithyasra on December 28, 2011
      at 1:52 pm

      • v hav to wait n c… but i dnt think so..it will cross as severe tropical cyclone

        By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
        at 1:58 pm

        • anyway fingers crossed

          By: adithyasra on December 28, 2011
          at 2:01 pm

  124. is it raining in nunga ?

    By: vijay on December 28, 2011
    at 1:42 pm

    • Kea tweaking his rain gauge to reach his target ???

      By: rajar77 on December 28, 2011
      at 1:55 pm

  125. who is staying in royapuram????? seshu or secha stalin???

    By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
    at 1:41 pm

  126. http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/chennai/Wet-year-end-for-Chennai-cyclone-may-hit-Tamil-Nadu-coast-on-Friday/articleshow/11275057.cms

    By: emnomc on December 28, 2011
    at 1:35 pm

  127. at the last moment ecmwf changed its landfall
    http://expert-images.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/en/ecmwf/2011/12/28/basis00/swas/pslv/11123000_2800.gif

    By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
    at 1:34 pm

    • i too feel it would go south of pondy!!!

      By: grully on December 28, 2011
      at 1:45 pm

      • what is the present degree of location? has it moved slightly in south direction?

        By: grully on December 28, 2011
        at 1:48 pm

  128. http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tcdat/tc11/IO/06B.THANE/vis/geo/1km_zoom/LATEST.jpg

    By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
    at 1:30 pm

  129. rains r just 200kms away

    http://www.imd.gov.in/section/dwr/img/ppz_chn.gif

    By: jon on December 28, 2011
    at 1:25 pm

  130. One degree of latitude = 110.57 km
    4 degree more to touch Chennai, So 450 KM approximate to Chennai

    By: rajar77 on December 28, 2011
    at 1:21 pm

  131. AS TC 06B TRACKS WESTWARD, IT WILL
    ENCOUNTER ANOTHER 5 TO 10 KNOTS OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND COUPLED
    WITH THE LOSS OF ITS DEEP MOISTURE SOURCE, WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN
    BEFORE IT MAKES LANDFALL NEAR CHENNAI

    By: jon on December 28, 2011
    at 1:21 pm

  132. Cyclone tends cross natural harbour more than artificial harbour like Chennai

    By: rajar77 on December 28, 2011
    at 1:19 pm

    By: jon on December 28, 2011
    at 1:18 pm

  134. Anybody remember cyclone in 2000/01 which crossed Cuddalore with only wind and no rain ?

    By: rajar77 on December 28, 2011
    at 1:16 pm

    • The infamous 96 cyclone crossed that way. We got rain when it was 800 km away, and just windy and not a drop of rain as it crossed.

      By: Narayanan on December 28, 2011
      at 1:20 pm

    • sry,i was11yrs old,at tat time i din hav any weather knwledge and also a pc

      By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
      at 1:20 pm

    • yes i was saying the same to sel yesterday…it should be in 2000 which crossed near to pondy cuddalore stretch w/o much rains but high winds.i fell from the cycle bcoz of the wind.i remember chennai got around 5cm.will it be like this?

      By: grully on December 28, 2011
      at 1:23 pm

  135. imd says ther is a probablity of weakning…i dnt knw wat wil make it to weaken..wind shear luks conducive of 5knts,sst almost 27*…… so wat to blame??? something is ther near coast of chennai …more or less same like bermuda triangle…. i dnt want tis system to weaken during landfall

    By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
    at 1:16 pm

    • http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/indian/winds/wm5shr.GIF

      By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
      at 1:17 pm

    • shear is expected to be high near the coast

      By: jon on December 28, 2011
      at 1:18 pm

    • Exactly, i refered same bermuda triangle in this blog last year when Jal got weakened so rapidly when it nears Chennai coast

      By: rajar77 on December 28, 2011
      at 1:18 pm

      • no bermuda triangle this time?

        By: keaweather on December 28, 2011
        at 1:23 pm

  136. My prediction would be 30 cm in next 3 days

    By: rajar77 on December 28, 2011
    at 1:15 pm

    • 30cm or 30mm??????

      By: serubakumaru on December 28, 2011
      at 1:24 pm

      • 30 Centimeter

        By: rajar77 on December 28, 2011
        at 1:45 pm

  137. seems marina’s coastline has been completely flooded by sea waves

    By: jon on December 28, 2011
    at 1:14 pm

  138. Radar picking showers 200 Km from Chennai

    By: rajar77 on December 28, 2011
    at 1:14 pm

  139. High tidal waves lash Andhra coast

    http://www.thehindu.com/news/national/article2754346.ece

    By: keaweather on December 28, 2011
    at 1:09 pm

    • how abt chennai..?

      By: grully on December 28, 2011
      at 1:12 pm

  140. grully,

    same here. According to all, winter has set in and no chance of rain.

    If it does arrive tomorrow, everything will be clear

    By: keaweather on December 28, 2011
    at 1:01 pm

    • hmmm…i m keeping my fingers crossed.until when we can expect rain 1 day or 2 days or ???after landfall.

      By: grully on December 28, 2011
      at 1:10 pm

    • Usually we get the rains before we get any sort of news. But here the cyclone is all over the news and not a spot of rain. Infact its bright and sunny unlike yesterday. It feels much warmer today though

      By: Narayanan on December 28, 2011
      at 1:17 pm

  141. http://www.wunderground.com/cgi-bin/findweather/getForecast?query=13.060%2C80.250&sp=ICHENNAI1

    They are predicitng 0% chance of rain

    By: keaweather on December 28, 2011
    at 12:51 pm

  142. http://www.kea.metsite.com/SAT.htm

    By: keaweather on December 28, 2011
    at 12:48 pm

  143. but still weakening flag on

    By: vijay on December 28, 2011
    at 12:47 pm

    • weakening flag is okay. rapid weakening flag is no good

      By: keaweather on December 28, 2011
      at 12:48 pm

      • IT WILL
        ENCOUNTER ANOTHER 5 TO 10 KNOTS OF VERTICAL WIND SHEAR, AND COUPLED
        WITH THE LOSS OF ITS DEEP MOISTURE SOURCE, WILL BEGIN TO WEAKEN
        BEFORE IT MAKES LANDFALL NEAR CHENNAI, INDIA. Now we can see the clouds through myanmar got disconnected from 06B

        By: ezhilnarasu on December 28, 2011
        at 1:09 pm

  144. According to BBC, landfall Thursday morning over Chennai. Can it move 550 km in 24 hours?

    By: keaweather on December 28, 2011
    at 12:45 pm

  145. eye exposed
    http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_pregen_sat/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/small/tc11/IO/06B.THANE/vis/geo/1km_zoom/20111228.0630.meteo7.x.vis1km_high.06BTHANE.65kts-974mb-121N-848E.100pc.jpg

    By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
    at 12:41 pm

    • but it loks slightly weak

      By: jon on December 28, 2011
      at 12:42 pm

  146. 65 knots means it might have very reached severe cyclone

    By: vijay on December 28, 2011
    at 12:35 pm

    • still 57 kts

      By: jon on December 28, 2011
      at 12:41 pm

      • Jon 25 mm or 25 cm?

        By: keaweather on December 28, 2011
        at 12:42 pm

        • since it has developed into a cyclone, i would say a min of 10cm ;)

          By: jon on December 28, 2011
          at 12:44 pm

          • no one is believing in my home that we are going to get rains.ada ponga pa athellam nadakathu…puyal naalae nagai cuddalore thaan parthutae iru anga thaan karaiya kadakkumnu enga veetla solraanga.

            By: grully on December 28, 2011
            at 12:51 pm

  147. http://www.imd.gov.in/section/nhac/dynamic/cwind.htm

    By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
    at 12:33 pm

    • IMD LANDFALL PLACE:
      LIKELY IN BETWEEN SHRIDI SAI TRUST AND TIGER CAVE IN ECR…..

      By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
      at 12:38 pm

  148. .

    By: sampathca on December 28, 2011
    at 12:32 pm

  149. S-S.EAST quadrant moving twrds e-n.east quadrant….

    By: selvanfun on December 28, 2011
    at 12:31 pm

  150. imd predicts very severe cyclone and landfall near south of chennai

    By: sechastalin on December 28, 2011
    at 12:30 pm

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