Posted by: keaweather | November 28, 2011

A few showers possible during the day

There is a chance of nunga crossing 170cm today.


Responses

  1. http://www.selfcontrolfreak.com/

  2. UAC is clearly seen,i thnk,imd wil announce it tmrw …MJO is controlling tis system http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_apache/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/medium/tc11/IO/99B.INVEST/ir/geo/1km_bw/20111130.1530.meteo7.x.ir1km_bw.99BINVEST.15kts-1010mb-28N-880E.100pc.jpg

  3. Overcast sky here… dark clouds passing over the moon from N-NW to S-SE dir…believe…it shd be… i saw a streak of lightning..over extreme NW Horizon… any mild circulation over the land mass of Central TN??

    • Where r u?

  4. Yes..its time to announce…who s d winner???

  5. kea time to announce the winner n bad looser fr nov

  6. http://www.tmd.go.th/programs/uploads/maps/2011-11-30_13_UpperWind850.jpg

  7. http://www.imd.gov.in/section/nhac/img/WRFd01-RAIN_72.gif http://www.imd.gov.in/section/nhac/img/WRFd02-RAIN_72.gif http://www.imd.gov.in/section/nhac/img/72hNMMrain.gif

  8. Am confused,wat Ecmwf is showing ?? Is tat showing lp crossing chennai,n tracking west.? http://expertcharts.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/en/ecmwf/2011/11/30/basis00/swas/pslv/11120500_3000.gif

  9. Am confused,wat Ecmwf is showing ?? Is tat showing lp crossing chennai,n tracking west.?

  10. http://expertcharts.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/en/cmc/2011/11/30/basis00/swas/prec/11120412_3000.gif

  11. http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/indian/winds/wm5vor.GIF

  12. Kea,s.ind ocean cyclone season has started…i thnk NCEP/NOAA has alrdy gave a warning of TC formation in tat basin for coming week… Am eagerly xpecting category 4 or 5 Tc……madagascar ,better escape…

  13. http://www.oceanweather.com/data/Indian-Northern/marineM00.gif high pressure(1012mb) area covered s.ap too…perfect conditions prevailing for a s.bay system to hit tn coast .but i feel bay has lost sum energy n stability bcos of previous system… doesnt matter,v wil c.. let december rocks wit more systems.

    • !!! Indian Racing League !!!

      Cheer for Chennai Super Sonics (CSS) :-)

      http://m.timesofindia.com/PDATOI/articleshow/10925574.cms

  14. @Vithansen – so glad you agree on the desiliting. We dont need water from Veeranam project or from Krishna project or any other river in AP. If we just desilted those 3 lakes water tankers would be history.

    @Aruns1411 – extremely happy to note that you mentioned about the breeze. Thats one of the reasons why we left Bangalore. Frequent colds/coughs/allergies and air has so much smog/dust. In Chennai we have sea breeze that ensures fresh air every day.
    Jon’s point that we have rains from June to December is a valid one too. The rains remove the dust from the trees. In Bangalore if you visit in November or December you will see trees that have leaves full of dust.

    • Guys why are we off topic?
      Lets stop the debate about Chennai/Bangalore and lets start the build up about 99B invest! :)

      • Ok thunder :) !!! Willl this invest will further invest in Chennai ?

        • Aruns1411
          99B is a low in bay i think u know that. Models are showing further this system to develop and move towards TN coast! :)
          So, this 99B invest will invest in Chennai! :wink:

  15. monorail in Chennai

    http://www.m.timesofindia.com/PDATOI/articleshow/10925519.cms

  16. hi what i mean is WHEN COMPARED TO OTHER WORLD CITIES LIKE NEWYORK ETC AND THEIR INFRASTRUCTURE,ALL INDIAN METRO CITIES ARE UTTERLY WASTE.INDIA IS STILL A DEVELOPING COUNTRY!!!!!!WHY CANT OUR METRO CITIES MATCH NEWYORK,PARIS SO ON?????BUT EVEN THOUGH I AM FROM COASTAL ANDHRA,I PREFER TO GET SETTLED IN CHENNAI BECAUSE
    1)EXCELLENT ROADS AND GOOD REGULATION OF TRAFFIC
    2)CHENNAI’S COST OF LIVING IS LESS THAN BANGALORE COMPARITIVELY.
    3)I DONT WANT TO SETTLE IN HYDERABAD BECAUSE I DONT KNOW WHEN TELANGANA ISSUE WILL BREAK.

    • BBC Forecast – A new system to form in south central bay this weekend, move towards Andaman and then take a u-turn towards central bay !!! Will it come to us like the first spell??

  17. @jon – I agree with you on Bangalore regarding infrastructure. In its favour because of the up and down plateau rain water does not stagnate. But the less said about its traffic and pollution the better. We stayed there till 2007 , hated it and relocated to Chennai in 2007. I sadly missed the 2005 monsoon – was in Bangalore at that time.

    @ashwinds- please visit chandigarh for outstanding infrastructure. Its a totally planned city. They also have good drainage.

    • Oh GOD!

      http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-india-15956457

      • personal safety standards, a measure of stability and crime levels
        :-D

        • What about getting from point A to point B in Bangalore ? Its much much more easier in Chennai. Bangalore roads are as bad as Chennai roads after rains. Besides they have perennial river in Cauvery so they dont yet have water problems. However if we desilted Chembarakkam, Red Hills and Ponneri tanks we wont have to bed for water from AP ever again. Why we cant desilt those lakes is something nobody can imagine.
          This coupled with rain water harvesting can make Chennai the number one metro.

          • Well said. Desilting makes chennai selfsufficient in hard times during summer. No other city had such natural gift of big adjacent lakes.

        • Some one said about western countries and compared with India… India is a developing country and will be in a developing country for another 100 years coz of corruption. I have been to many cities in India and have stayed there .. Mumbai , Delhi, Haryana, Kolkata, Patna, Bangalore , Hyderabad & my home town chennai.. There are + and – … Delhi is worst place to live followed by haryana…A person cannot walk alone at night.. Weather wise they are extreme too hot in summer and too cold in winter. Bangalore is good interms of weather.. But it has the most unhealthy weather which creates multiple ailments. Pollen are found in the air which is again most unhealthy..Limited breeze… people dont sweat , hence addding up toxins in their body… Bangalore place became highlighted coz of Infosys and wipro, where many IT industry started business following these two companies.. Else, bangalore willl be the same like other two tier cities… Roads are narrow and non moving traffic for hours together.. Roads in chennai are broader, good connectivity of bus, trains & airport, minimal water problems, There was no electricity problem in chennai.. coz of corrupted politicians, today we are facing the heat, weather wise hot during summer and pleasant during rainy days and most pleasant during Dec – Feb.. Nice breeze as air is fresh during the morning hours.Changes are needed if chennai need to become no 1 city in india. It is not only in the hands of politicians but in the public too…

    • I definitely want to visit Chandigarh. Preferably in winter :)

      • @ashwinds – you will love chandigarh – given your obsession with cool climates. South West Monsoon will give you delightful days in July/August. If you dont like the plains you can always head to Himachal Pradesh for cooler climes. Summer is hot but with A/C you can manage. Minimal humidity over there.

  18. Next spell from Dec 6th ?

    http://www.imd.gov.in/section/nhac/img/144hGFSrain.gif

  19. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/ghazards/images/gth_full.png

  20. BL says due to favourable MJO conditions, wet weather is going to arrive and last for 2 weeks. But neither cola nor foreca has predicted anything yet

    • BL means?.

      • Business line

  21. @kea – when I say it hit and miss monsoon I meant for Nungambakkam only in comparison to 2005. South Chennai got copious amounts of rainfall.
    Since Nungambakkam is the standard I had said its a hit and miss monsoon. Secondly since 2005 we have all raised our expectations of more rain. I dont know if you remember but that year Palaar river off Chenglepet was flooded. In my whole life I have always known that river to be dry. It was a huge thrill to see Palaar river of all rivers to flow like Cauvery or Tamaraparni. It was once in a lifetime event.

    @ashwinds – thats what i thought felt like too – this rain was like no great shakes. I expected close to 2020 mm for Chennai not realised I think.

    @sundar – When I say northern AP – I meant basically coastal AP and Telangana. I think they had good rains this year.

  22. bangalore best place to live in India !!!!!!!

    • worldwide rank is 141 which is very poor.so no reason to be proud of tat and Chennai is the best city in India for the overall security.bengloor is not classified as metro acc to tat survey :D :D

    • Bangalore is surviving coz of the climatic conditions & coz of Narayanamurthy … Else, 15 years back, it was not known by many of them !!!

      • Getting sentimental about any Indian city is naive to say the least. Not sure how many of you have lived outside india especially in the west. In comparison all Indian cities suck. We have water, electricity, sanitation, transport and security problem in each and every city in this country. I have lived 2 decades in chennai, about a decade in bangalore, some time in mumbai and in USA. If chennai suffers from uni dimentional culture, then bangalore suffers from multidimentinal inefficiencies.

        • Well put. While I agree there is much scope for improvement in other cities as well, I think we Chennaites lounge too much in our historic pride while other places are leaving them behind.

          You only need to take a look at the growth in infrastructure in newer cities like Bangalore, Pune, Gurgaon and Hyderabad to see how tardy our own progress is. I mean, this day and age, people die falling in open drains, shut down schools and see main roads dissolve in what can at best be called heavy rain.

          People need to get out of Chennai more to see its inadequacies – be it weather, language or openness to change.

          Apologies for the off topic rant – today promises to be a dry, warm day with little chance of rain.

          • bengloor doesnt get flooded since it receives vry modest rainfall.But its completely diff scenario in chennai.chennai receives rains continuously from june till dec( 7 months )

            And dont say tat bengloor has a good infrastructure.Be it traffic or be it urban planning, it is worst in the country :|

  23. http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/city/bangalore/Bangalore-best-Indian-city-to-live-Survey/articleshow/10918790.cms

    http://www.deccanherald.com/content/208094/bangalore-indian-city-live-global.html
    :) ;)

  24. http://expertcharts.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/en/cmc/2011/11/29/basis00/swas/prec/11120400_2900.gif

    Is CMC reliable??

    • 100% unreliable

  25. ,99B poped out in the same area wer 98B poped …

  26. New system Its 99B ..,let tis atleast survive in bay. .

  27. http://expertcharts.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/en/nogaps/2011/11/29/basis00/swas/prec/11120412_2900.gif :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgr:mrgreen: een: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen:

  28. rohit sharma GONE……
    twist in the match :\

    • Don’t worry this match was fixed by BCCI to keep interest in this series. India to win by 1 or 2 wickets

      • really luks like tat nly…

        • finally india won.my heartbeat wen to thousands watching the match :O

  29. forget the cuttack match…

    NEM Intl cup

    the equation – nunga requires 86 runs from 63 deliveries…. (86 cms from 63 days of normal NEM period, Oct 20 to Dec 22nd)

    so far 71 runs from 40 deliveries…..

    15 more to get from 23 balls…

    easy target eh?
    last year reckon..nunga made only 75 and mina 64… they lost the match

    pals..u cud update this score daily….fun to watch…

  30. Kolaveri in Cricinfo today!!! :-D

    “Ok, Let me give an insight of whats kolaveri english. 30.1 raina to bravo 1 run-u bowled-u offside-u, pushed-u to cover-u and run-u.” This, from Revanth, was coming.

    31.1
    Sharma to Pollard, 1 run, 77.4 kph, flat from Rohit, Pollard drags it away through midwicket for one.

  31. No rains yet for Ongole, Machili, Vizag, Bhuba, Kolkata from NEM 2011..

    They need a system in Dec/Jan to enter North bay which hasn’t happened till now

    • vizag totally dry so far, relations there say monsoon has failed so far. What about our Dec 11 one dayer in chennai, will it be washed out?

      • No major system to develop till 15th according to GFS..but it may change in their next forecast itself! :-D

      • chennai odi under threat
        :cool:
        http://expertcharts.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/en/2011/11/29/basis06/swas/pr06/11120706_2906.gif

  32. Arabian sea system reminds me of our great JAL!

    No clouds around the eye! :-D

    • :mrgreen:

  33. sel, but not dec known for its chillness they usually say rain ends in nov

    • ya.december knwn for its chillness but not wen monsoon gets extended…ususally monsoon will be till dec end.

      • somebody commented about northern AP getting a good monsoon, true!. But this year monsoon has failed so far in vizag and other places, trace rainfall if any.

    • sigh only we from Chennai can call 20-25 degrees “chill”.

  34. As per my readings there are 2 bigger systems likely in bay of bengal during december one before 7th and the other around middle of the month. Saturn transit also can cause disturbance over bay.

    in the meanwhile radar reflects rains between 100 and 200 kms south east of chennai. hoepfully chennai might get back in to rain belt by midnight, as IMD has already brought southern peninsula under fresh easterly wave for another 48 hours commencing from tomorrow.

    any views

    ss.

    • http://policlimate.com/weather/current/nog850uv_40.png

    • I don’t accept Saturn transit will bring rain or anything. Since I too know astrology although I am a astronomer, I don’t think old books of astrology said those kind of false information!

    • Please Maisuh – dont give astrology a bad name by talking about incomplete facts. If you have a complete prediction please present your numbers for what is left of NEM by quoting a number. Dont give half baked facts and justify it with astrology.

  35. @dash,wat made u to make tat point?????nem is alive …easterlies is strong in bay n getting ready 4 another round…

    • Very good point selvan…definitely easterlies very strong in bay…also its still very very hot and humid…that means another system is on the way….winter weather is more dry and pleasant….this is by no means January weather. There is no ‘nip’ in the air yet….

  36. east look very dark ………light drizzle here

    • If we go by the latest GFS, NEM is almost over for Chennai..no easterly waves till 2nd week of Dec :-( Nothing to come next weekend also..

  37. http://www.imd.gov.in/section/satmet/dynamic/insatsector-ir.htm
    Terrific Circulation

  38. Any system in Bay of Bengal. Any rain possible for for Chennai coming weeks . still north east monsoon not giving bulk rain for nungambakkam and meenambakkam.These year highest rain for cuddalore district, thiruvallur dist, tiruvarur dist villupuram dist. pondy. ennore got 20cm poondi, nellore got 18cm but Chennai manage 5 to 10cm why Chennai does not bang big rain, coming December month always hope for south tamilnadu deltas region and srilanka. Any change of rain for Chennai please update the rain details for Chennai. EXPERTS PLEASE UPDATE THE COMING DAY RAINY DAYS FOR CHENNAI

    • Thats how north east monsoon goes for Chennai and north Tamil Nadu. Its a hit and miss monsoon. Sometimes we get lucky like 2005, 1996 or 1997 and other times not so lucky.

      If you relocate to Kerala or Karnataka or Maharastra or northern AP you can expect to see good rainfall like you desire :)

      • Hit and miss monsoon? What category does 2011 fall under? Also 2008, 2009 and 2010.

        In my opinion all these years were good.

        • not even one LP this year, leave alone cyclone.

          2-3 spells (long as they maybe) of SWM type rain. Not a failure, but definitely not the kind of NEM we tout as a success.

          • http://www.dragoart.com/tuts/pics/5/3183/how-to-draw-a-cartoon-vampire-tutorial-drawing.jpg

        • ok what about dec 11 one dayer in chennai, will it go on smoothy or rain intervened?

  39. A Fresh Easterly wave is affecting South Peninsular India… – IMD Midday report

  40. http://icons-ak.wunderground.com/data/images/na201105_sat.jpg

  41. http://www.stormsurfing.com/cgi/display_alt.cgi?a=nindi_precip

  42. convectional area is climbing up 4m the equatorial line twrds s.east of lanka.. tis will b our upcoming low. http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/archdat/indian/southern/vis/LATEST.jpg

  43. bfore the december,anticyclone finds place in n.coastal ap.. http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/indian/winds/wm5shr.GIF

    • and also v can see the arb sea system affected by s.easterly vertical wind shear..

      • arb sea 5A: “THE
        LARGEST AND DEEPEST CONVECTIVE CLUSTER, WHICH LIES TO THE NORTHWEST,
        IS SHEARED APPROXIMATELY 115 NM AWAY FROM THE LLCC BY STRONG
        SOUTHEASTERLY VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (20-30 KNOTS).”

        • So what? Will it bring rain or create a system for us or not?

          • it wont create system,it will restrict system moving ahead of s.ap coast..

  44. sirkazhi- big gun of nem tops the list from nowhere with 16cm!! :D

  45. Chennai will get a few mm of rain to reach 170 cm within the next few hours as per current radar image.

    • Yesterday radar promised a lot. Today it does not promise anything more than a drizzle.

      • There is no red or yellow spots on the radar. Its all blue…so what sort of rain can we expect other than a drizzle ?

  46. topper should be from coimbatore,erode,dindugul districts…. Kodaikanla 5cm,Coimbatore 6cm

  47. As i told ,mjo is entering into bay http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/industry-and-economy/agri-biz/article2670917.ece

  48. borin typical bengloory weather :(

    • perfect! But colder nights would be welcome ;)

  49. Omg,wat a crap.. Kalaignar news:- “Arb sea depression intensified and moving twrds mumbai..”

    • good thing they didnt say Chennai.

      They would have declared school holiday for rest of week

  50. eye is exposed http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/htdocs_dyn_pregen_sat/PUBLIC/tc_pages/thumbs/small/tc11/IO/05A.FIVE/vis/ols/1km_zoom/20111129.0148.f16.x.vis1km_high.05AFIVE.35kts-996mb-157N-665E.100pc.jpg

  51. Chennai at 1699.4 mm. Will we cross 1,700 today, next week or never?

  52. december may turn aggressive with more weather system… 4 models coinciding with same prediction..

  53. IMD has finally accepted. Arabian sea system will not intensify into a cyclone. JTWC has been spot on since day 1

    • http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/MJO/mjoupdate.pdf

  54. he..he.. 15 days forecast shows gulf of thailand throwing the cyclone but it will change in next run, it will be in arb sea,….15 days is too long,not reliable :mrgreen: :mrgreen: :mrgreen: http://expertcharts.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/en/2011/11/28/basis12/swas/prec/11121412_2812.gif

  55. http://magicseaweed.com/msw-surf-charts2.php?chart=43&res=750&type=pressure&starttime=

  56. Was just scattered clouds early in the morning. NOw its a little more overcast with a lovely breeze – very pleasant. Wont be disappointed if it stays this way without raining :)

  57. no chance of rain until a fresh low pops up and near the coast…Global forecasts indicates the rains may rise up over southern peninsula 4m next week..

  58. Low clouds (tat luks like smoke ) wer rushing twrds S.east drctn bfor 1 hour..

  59. The wait for 170 cm continues. If we can’t reach in the next 1 hour, we might have to wait till next week

  60. http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-bin/expertcharts?LANG=en&MENU=0000000000&CONT=swas&MODELL=gfs&MODELLTYP=1&BASE=-&VAR=pr12&HH=228&ZOOM=0&ARCHIV=0&WMO=&PERIOD=
    Landfall near Nagapattinam.Hope this moves north from NE of Lanka like the depression which gave us 20cm last December

  61. rofl………….. http://www.facebook.com/photo.php?v=311891872162548

  62. tis one luks cmpltly opposite of imd extended forecast mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appcontroller?prevPage=Model&MainPage=index&image=&page=Param&cycle=11%2F28%2F2011+06UTC&rname=PRECIP+PARMS&pname=precip_p24&pdesc=&model=GFS&area=ASIA&cat=MODEL+GUIDANCE&fcast=8+Day+Loop&areaDesc=Asia&prevArea=ASIA&currKey=model&returnToModel=&imageSize=M

    • Sel
      The link is not ok pls give another link! :winkL

      • ya sure.. i wil post now

  63. hi kea ,

    What happen suddenly http://www.kea.metsite.com/ Gui has changed .

    • What is gui?

      • Kea
        GUI= Graphical User Interface.

  64. Sel
    That model is unreliable because it showed no cyclonic activity in arb sea for two weeks and now its showing a dry phase without no reason! :D

    • thunder, it alrdy showed the system in arb sea..
      ….

  65. Hi everyone Tomorrow the IMD rain toppers will be around Coimbatore district.

  66. one stupid doubt is chennai north coastal tamilnadu … sorry when ever ramanan says it will rain in north coastal tamilnadu it will never rain in chennai

  67. will chennais schools work tomorroow

    • Why will they close?

    • There is no reason not to be open. Are you a student or a parent ? If you are a student every day is not sunday :)

  68. outlook for dec is really awesome…its luking gud for a tough competitor for the wettest month.

  69. again dry phase??????? http://202.54.31.51/mme/RainAno_week1.gif

    • Sel
      That is the most unreliable model I have ever seen!!! :D :D :D

      • we wont have rain for 5 days…v hav 2 wait till dec 3 for a fresh low..

  70. Hey Kea you redid the main metsite page ! With all those new buttons looks really nice – good job

    • System struggling to become “Thane”!
      http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/satshots/05A_281130sams.jpg
      http://www.usno.navy.mil/NOOC/nmfc-ph/RSS/jtwc/warnings/io0511web.txt

      • IMD has the power to name cyclonrs, not US navy. I am expecting it to be named Thane before I sleep

    • Thanks. I try to do a few new things once in a while with my very limited html knowledge

      • I am a software engineer myself…so I have seen your site overall – you have done a very good job. Layout of the main page looks great with the new buttons – you have got more real estate now than before.

  71. I guess the rains are waiting for me to come out of the office. Once i am out it will start pouring to trouble me reaching home :-)

    • Once you come out they will follow you to your house..be careful for what you ask for…. if your roads are flooded dont blame rains OK ?

      • OK. Blame the roads

  72. Omg..nothing here in Tambaram,only drizzles……All clouds went to nunga…did nunga cross 50mm by now ? :(

    • we are approaching 100. Just 3 more to go. Its very disapointing. I expected to reach 100 2 hours back.

      • 100 micrometers more likely :)

  73. According to this http://www.imd.gov.in/section/nhac/dynamic/cwind.htm
    IMD will name the depression, cyclone Thane by night time

  74. As prediicted today was the biggest disappointment of NEM 2011

    • it is not over yet!!

      • only 3 mm in 2 hours. I expected 30 mm in the same period. I think because of lack of wind these clouds are dissipating over sea and we are getting only the left overs.

        • yeah, disappointing though. but i feel after 8 pm the conditions will be better.

  75. 3mm more, required.. !!

  76. Yellowish colour in radar nearing chennai….Heavy showers to start…

  77. Heavy spots are holding fine at 9.47am about 150 km from Chennai…will this push through ?

    • Yaaravadhu kadalla erangi thallanum!

      • no it will dissipate soon!!!!!!!!!

    • no they ll dissipate wen they come to land

      • Looks like you are right Vijay….it has held steady for 30 mts…so maybe maybe it may just gather strength and move in…hopes receding though….

        • radar was awesome…………..but sumthing missing!!!!!!!!!!!!!1

          • that “sumthing” is rain..nothing else!

        • Hiya..Nunga also going to miss!!! :-) :-) :-)

  78. foreca reduced their predictions

    • for tuesday

  79. Rain rate is getting heavier by minute!

    • Best example of Kolaveri!!!

      VK asking questions to Kea bloggers!!!

      R :-D FL

  80. nunga n meena will struggle to cross 10mm

    • exactly!!… :D

    • The 45 dBZ(heavy) spots on the radar are still about 100 km away. If this system holds along that horizontal axle from chennai to mid bay of bengal then that trough can push westward and dump rain.

    • Best example of Kolaveri!!!

      VK asking questions to Kea bloggers!!!

      R :-D FL

  81. where did the 239 FB likes come from? I thought i might get 150 until year end.

    • Kolaveri 89,518 likes in 10 days :P

      • what is Kolaveri? Is it a place? :)

    • Kolaveri is a term used to respect elders!

    • In address an elder person by saying “Kolaveri”

      • u r right karthick :D

        • As rain watchers, we should be more interested in “COLA veri” and not “Kolaveri”.

          Now bak to lurking.

          Nur der BvB!

  82. Heavy rain clouds is suddenly forming over vizhuppuram,tiruvannamalai district……Did ramanan miss something here??…he told rains will reduce!

    • he meant rains to reduce over meena.

    • He said, it will reduce from tuesday

  83. high wind and light rain continously

  84. Kea is predicting with a kolaveri :P :) :D :( ..did u hear this world hit Kea?

    • is that u? he resembles a lot like u

    • omg..lol!

  85. it ll be landed near chennai and nellore

    • there are high winds with drizzles is it a mini cyclone? :P

    • s…emergency landing….the gale will take away kea’s weather station with it :D ….nunga’s 45cm record under threat :P

  86. Hahaha…highly inflated predictions!!

  87. 53 mm to reach my target of 500 mm for nov

    • it will be done today..

      • Still in dream land VSN ?

        • sometimes even dreams come true.. wait n see..

          • Surely we want your dream to come true but we are also practical people….we cant imagine rains unforunately…

  88. I am starting prediciton for nunga from this rain.

    KEA-75 mm (nunga) and 34 mm (meena)
    Vijay – 10 mm (nunga)
    KAR – 105 mm (meena)
    Joel – 50 mm (nunga)
    VSN – 60 mm (nunga)

    • ok mention nunga or meena. We will do for both

    • RR picking up…….

    • vijay’s 10mm is definitely for nunga :P

      • 60 mm nunga.

    • 88mm(nunga)

  89. People living in low lying areas, please arrange for boats.. that includes me :-p

  90. imd updated the same reports of yesterday are they mad?

  91. last half hour moderate shower here…………..

    • Light rain here……..

  92. moderate showers here in T.Nagar

  93. Radar animation looks gr8….with any movement..entire CHENNAI is likely to be flooded!! :D :D :D

    • LOL chennai is already flooded!

    • hahah! :D

    • I think today is the day. 100+?

  94. Are the clouds moving perfect W-E?

    • no, all clouds moving towards nunga dir

    • Yes,all rains moving towards meena dir

  95. KEA.

    Do you mean to say we get more showers as the distance you say it is 150 KMS.

    but it appears it moves so slowly but steady. probably with in 15 minutes some parts of chennai under rain belt.

    ss.

  96. today is going to be biggest dissapointment of this years NEM

    • Thats for u..i dint expect anything!

      • amything below 100 mm is dissapointment for me :)

        • 100mm is a bit high.but we never know, letz see. what happens.

  97. kea.

    in all directions towards sea, we could find moderate rains for first 30 kms. and finally some heavy showers as per radar. probably within 30 minutes, chennai would get atleast one to centimeters of rain before 5 30 Pm.

    arabian cyclone is too far away, and still chennai is under cloud cover which gives us an impression some other disturbance developing over bay.

    ss.

    • but this is like 150 km

  98. Heavy drizzles/shower here for the past 10 mins…..

  99. kea, be ready to celebrate the 1700 mile stone.

    • Still no rain in NUNGA?? :o

    • Yes…!!..i thought everything was heading towads nung today!

  100. Red mass forming SE of chengalpet…if it moves NW,ideally it will cover south chennai :)

  101. Lots of clouds forming in the radar….rain isnt goin to let off in Tbm,anytime now

  102. looks like that cloud mass is starting to move exactly west,instead of North west

  103. Showering here!

    • What?

      • Drizzles started at Besant Nagar

  104. Drizzles started in chennai central….Still the flooded waters are not yet dried in central MMC complex, egmore, perambur , puraisaiwakkam and Valluvar kottam..

    Valluvar kottam road got very worst…

    More showers are on the way….

  105. Joel.

    where r u ? which part of chennai.
    ss.

    • Adambakkam

      • LP near Nagai on Sunday-4th Dec !!!

        http://magicseaweed.com/msw-surf-charts2.php?chart=62&res=750&type=pressure&starttime=

  106. Heavy drizzles here

  107. This NEM is actually a real failure not because of rainfall,but the lack of lows.We are supposed to have an average of 2-3 named storms per NEM,but this time, we have had 4 lows and only one has been named.Thane (if it forms) will make it 2 out of 4.

  108. shelf cloud!

  109. Today is Nunga’s day.. hope it will break the records.

  110. Drizzling here

  111. drizzling in mahalingapuram

  112. Papanasam dam – Rainfall in mm last 4 days
    ————————
    25.11.2011 – 16
    26.11.2011 – 125
    27.11.2011 – 154
    28.11.2011 – 145

    Total – 440 mm

    Upper Kodayar – Rainfall in mm last 4 days
    —————————-
    25.11.2011 – 59
    26.11.2011 – 218
    27.11.2011 – 113
    28.11.2011 – 70

    Total 460 mm

  113. light rain start here ……….

    • wat?

  114. Mumbai – max 36,Min 25….

    No wonder november,december is called mumbai’s second summer!!….

    • y mumbai’s weather is said to be better than chennai..i dunno :x

  115. Amazing… so far all the 5 systems formed were only troughs in easterlies ( I mean on the BOB side from SW Bay to WC Bay)…no LP Area formed in the Bay so far…. and we hv received around 72 to 76 cms of rain… Roughly Considering 22nd Dec to be the closing day for NEM, we stil hv around 25 days left. Two more systems possible??

    What’s that cloud mass east of lanka?? Will the Bay throw up some more surprises??

  116. Secon snsecutive day..rain fooling chennai!

    • No, Nunga will not be missed today.. watch out.

    • Absolutely Karthik ! You said it …look at the radar at 8.30 am its very very close to Chennai yet I cant see any clouds that are like what we had so far….its quite dark but the east/south east is still very clear. I hope it hits Nungambakkam first for Kea’s sake :)

  117. Rains are just a few kms away. its a very slow moving storm. if it moves with the same speed after reaching, chennai will be drenched again.

  118. Papanasam Dam – 145 mm

  119. e looks pitch dark.cloud mass might hit just to n of chn

  120. west looks ominous!!! but why the hell its dark in west ?

  121. Will they be eliminated in next few hours?

    ganeshkumar888 – 460
    ArjunLV – 475
    Thunderjove – 400-500
    Guru1217 – 500
    rajar77 – 500
    Jon – 500
    Ganesh Raja – 500-525
    balajisampathkumar – 500-600
    Pradeep John – 530-580
    KN – 540
    Sudharshan Madhavan – 500-600

  122. Its heading towards chennai only..extreme north tn and south andhra got more rains yesterday,its our turn now

    • Hopefully.Looking at the radar, if this thing does not die over sea, we should atleast get something out of it

      • if it doesnt die and it continues to crawl like it is now, we will have a long spell. The 600+ is still a possibility ;)

        • From my terrace I dont see any clouds towards the south eastern direction whatsoever. Its clear..Its very dark above me but only upto 500 metres. They have been dark for 2 hours now. Also today no wind at all…so sea is not as rough

        • is it u talking?

          • Sorry ? Could not follow you ?

  123. no those rains heading towards nellore

    • not even nelloore but north TN border

      • and the radar has to break now

        • Radar is back now, but the cloud mass seem stuck about 80 kms away from Chennai. But it has been very cloudy and still at Adyar.

          • it is a slow moving storm. Also today there is no wind whatsoever.

            Whether this is good or bad only time will tell.

  124. for those of you who are complaining this NEM is not good, its deficient. Pls see the below facts.

    Rainfall received till now is 711 mm
    Normal rain for NEM is 857 mm
    Difference is 146 mm

    Last 11 years December average is 154 mm. Moreover November is not over yet, We might even complete the normal rain of 857 in next 3 days itself. Who knows?

    • That is true its normal so far. However what I am saying is that is it it an exceptional year like 2005 ? I think the south west monsoon raised expectations that we could have 2000 mm this year. That has not been realized for nungambakkam so far.

    • Getting dark in Adyar, we may be in for another spell this afternoon

  125. http://www.imd.gov.in/section/dwr/dynamic/dwr.htm

    Radar looks great for pondicherry. But will it give Nungambakkam 170 ?

    • No,It luks great for us,its heading NW,see radar animation

      • Joel – I asked yesterday and nobody could answer it. Does the radar actually tell you where in Chennai can the moisture fall ?

        • http://202.54.31.51/animation/Animation.aspx

          try this radar

  126. winds turned to N-NW again something happening in SE of lanka!!!!!

  127. nellore 18 cm

    • Nellore 18 cm but Nungambakkam still deficient as far as NEM is concerned. Expected 86 cms for the year only 70 cms so far. Can we get at least another 14 cms in December ? Highly Unlikely.

  128. Kea, the fifth spell which will set on December 4th or 5th is more promising day by day.

    http://expertcharts.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/en/2011/11/27/basis18/swas/prec/11120518_2718.gif

    And as far as current spell, heavy rain is forecasted for tomorrow.

    http://www.monsoondata.org/wx/chengfs.png

    • Pradeep,

      The first spell was the longest from oct 24-nov 6th..there was no lull there!

    • i read an article in Hindu saying that particular spell was unusually long for 12 days running…NEM spells are mostly only for 3-4 days

    • Pradeep if you actually analyze this monsoon are you bit surprised that this year Nungambakkam has not had big rainfall in a single day ? But for the SWM providing 85 cms this would be a deficient NEM is it not so ?

  129. Nunga 21 mm
    Meena 13

    Kea you have to add 3 mm more to the total.

  130. Okay!!..its all over!

    • It was all over for u long time back

  131. Storm misses nunga….

    • As usual


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