Posted by: keaweather | October 28, 2011

Chance of a shower or two

The day will be mostly partly cloudy, a shower or two cannot be ruled out

 


Responses

  1. Good drizzles in velachery……..

  2. Atleast 2cm For Tambaram,Nungambakkam,meenambakakm toni8..clouds are developing Towards east!

  3. “Vanga kadalil ,uruvana Kaatralutha thaalvu nilay ,kumari kadal arugae nilai kondulaathal..aduthu irupathi naalu mani nerathku kadolora maavatinglal kana mazhai peiyum”… ….Pongada Dongri pasangla

    • that’s correct only no??

  4. Rain coming to Tambaram!

    • Wat abt adambakkam?

      • varum!

  5. extreme north chennai gonna get som rain soon

  6. Below link shows that there are no signs of rain for chennai for another 2 days !!

    http://www.wunderground.com/wundermap/?lat=13.00000000&lon=80.18000031&zoom=8&pin=Chennai%20%28Madras%29%2c%20India&type=hyb&rad=0&wxsn=0&svr=0&cams=0&sat=1&sat.num=1&sat.spd=25&sat.opa=85&sat.gtt1=109&sat.gtt2=108&sat.type=IR4&riv=0&mm=0&hur=0

    • tat is radar link

      • lol

  7. once again nelloreu getting battered :( :(

  8. @ kea… yes went out … Disappointing today as there was no rain !!!… are we expecting continuous rain from tomorrow onwards? We had tremendous hot weather during this summer and we anticipated that this will be a wet year during NEM.. But so far, i dont see such sign of wet.. !!

    @ jon,… i’m put up nearby from mount, ” ramapuram”…

  9. Nellore getting rains again!! :(

  10. http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/industry-and-economy/agri-biz/article2582545.ece?homepage=true

  11. No chance of rain tonyt….. I thnk ,tmrw morning sat image,wil decide the of nov 1st week start.,..

  12. If it moves twrds Xact south direction, think tat new system is effective… Tis is my oldest method (4m 12th std) to find wer is d system….lol..mostly it wil b correct…

  13. iniku night mazha peiyuma?

    • chance is less may be get light drizzle or rain

  14. Athaan ystrday mazhai peya vachuthae,…GOM lp

  15. Suspected area: again s.bay ..east of lanka!…

  16. Cloud moving direction changd ..now it is moving towards sw-w direction..tis clearly indicates the system’s westerly movement …

    • Which system Sel?

  17. Sri,most models wil come up with 70% of the same results….sum models differ with considering inputs….they give a next week prediction by considering tis week data’s like sst,windpattern,cape factor ,upper level wind,steering winds,jetstream,high pressure area ,shear value and many other factors too…if any change occurs in the considered data ,v may miss our natural gift….(example diwali cyclone)……wen it comes to reliablity,i wil go wit 70%….

  18. kea, dash , selvanfun

    Is any weather model reliable? How about this ?

    http://policlimate.com/weather/current/gfs_uv900_asia_71.png

  19. Kea,

    Looking at the global models that are differing day by day I feel we may not even have lp’s giving rains for us.

    I think our NEM may fail this year. We may get the total annual rainfall of 1400mm this year.

    But it would be difficult to get 85 cm of NEM i think so :(

    Your thoughts on this ?

    • @sriram..can south chennaiites get their average of 144cm ? :( ….Meena is at 102 now!

  20. Who is Tendulkar?

    http://www.rediff.com/sports/slide-show/slide-show-1-formula-one-who-is-tendulkar/20111030.htm

  21. Sel, something coming again from NE..but it wud become a dead nimbus once it reaches the coast :-(

    • Why our coast is like this?? But, where the active rain clouds easily reaches Pondi, Machilli and NLR without loosing too much intensity..

  22. Chennai rains took a day off today because of the foll reasons:

    1) Push effect of ab circulation bringing useless clouds from central India to AP and North TN and hampering the progress of the easterlies

    2) No system in bay close to tn coast which assisted the push effect

    But, BBC predicts heavy rains till Friday for entire coast!

  23. Pj,doing a gr8 job..me 2 sticking wit tat november 10 th cyclone…analysing all the possiblities of it…but now some models hav reducd the intensity of the cyclone,wats ur opinion on tat?? Soon sum reliable models wil give a clear pic…but now NOAA has downgraded it to lp it seems….anyway,u hav boosted our active members….

  24. Who runs weatherofindia facebook page?

    Weather of India
    Showers for central and North coastal Tamilnadu (including #chennai) will pickup again from evening .!! A wet day ahead !

    Weather of India
    Heavy widespread showers forecast for entire Tamilnadu and S. andhra coast from today till 4-Nov… WOW.. Flood Alert

    Weather of India
    Very heavy and widespread rain forecast for S. Tip Tamilnadu and S. kerala from today till 4-Nov..

  25. GFS was spot on the Deep Depression that crossed Bangladesh/Burma border during third week of october

    And it predicted the current Depression near Arabian Peninsula which is active.

    So dont loose hope. The November 10th cyclone is still alive according to GFS

    http://expertcharts.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/en/2011/10/30/basis06/swas/boen/11111006_3006.gif

    • @ Pradeep- Is it a depression or a cyclone?

      • Seeing the wind Knots of 50-60

        It will be cyclonic storm strength

        http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tropical_cyclone_scales#North_Indian_Ocean

  26. Kea + Other experts– how reliable is this blogsite?

    http://xtremeweatherforecast.blogspot.com/2011/10/bay-of-bengal-storm-november-2011.html

    • its just another blog like ours. Their guesses is as good as ours

  27. NO RAIN SINCE YESTERDAY PLEASE UPDATE WHEN WILL NON STOP RAIN WILL START disappointing north east monsoon please update kea weather

    • Wow – you beat me hands down. Even I, who complains about the lousy weather in chennai all the time, did not complain about the rains in the last week!!! Come on – this is good enough!

  28. A nice sunny day after a week of dampness. Very pleasant for travelling.
    Had a family trip to Melmaruvathur and back within 5 hours because of good weather.

  29. weatherofindia Indian Weatherman
    Showers for central and North coastal Tamilnadu (including #chennai) will pickup again from evening .!! A wet day ahead !
    1 hour ago

    • to me it seems like its all clearing

  30. We will get nothing more than drizzles atleast till mid night…everything dissipiates as it nears coast

  31. Foreca increased rain prediction for cehnnai!

    • They increase and decrease in every update, just like Gfs

      • ha..ha..lol

    • s.s.s………now everythng luks gr8..

  32. Tat arb sea system wil b 4m current uac near s.Tn..

  33. http://expertcharts.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/proficharts/en/2011/10/30/basis00/swas/prec/11110500_3000.gif

    pull effect and a new system over sw bay

    • Jon, when will our area will get battered ?

      • Arun, you didn’t go out?

      • nothing as of now.btw u from?

  34. nellore 8cm!!

  35. Cola predicts heavy rain tomorrow

  36. the low pressure area near tn coast on nov 9th as per ncep-gfs forecast

    http://www.weathergaines.blogspot.com/2011/09/ncep-gfs-model-forecast.html

  37. Not in villvkam,…lol.. Its east of chennai in bay!!

    • okay okay

  38. where is the storm ? in viliwakkam?

  39. It is sunny now …. thinking of going out… Yesterday, i caught in rain at 3:00 pm and cudnt move out until 6:30 pm ….. will the conditions be the same today as well ?

  40. I feel ,the trace of lp is left in GOM..stil clouds r active in central coast and s.coast over ther…

  41. Hi All, I’m new to the blog … Good to learn new things!!.. can we expect rain today in Chennai ?

  42. only 1 1/2 days left in october,chennai have to get 100mm to reach its normal ,can we get it?

  43. Omg,big storm approaching!!

    • Storm coming..Storm coming! :-)

      • sorry that comment was out of frustration all predictions are not coming perfect chennai is not getting enough of Nem

    • from where?

  44. The likely Deep Depression over Arb Sea (which wud ultimately move towards Gulf of Aden) will increase the strength of the monsoon current flow in BOB. Various models indicate rains to continue for the next 7 days. – A spokesperson from IMD – Chennai

  45. Lakshadweep playing two innings..swm and NEM…

  46. storm approachng 4m NE..

  47. According to GFS, ab circulation may reach even Delhi on Nov 10 :-(

  48. The ab circulation is pushing some clouds from North to Chennai..this may giv some drizzles in the afternoon..

  49. Cola predicting heavy rain on 1st and 2nd. More than 10cm. Foreca predicting heavy rain for 3rd night

    • Accu agreeing

  50. Mr.Sechu (Sechastalin),

    Luks like no rain today! So, can u plz share something informative about weather, climate, meteorology, clouds, etc..?

    Even our thala, Kea, is a learner only..we wud be immensely benefitted..

  51. Kea, no chance for a dull start to the november…luk at the sat image,s.bay luking for a new fresh low. http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/archdat/indian/southern/vis/LATEST.jpg

  52. Dashman, why were u angry with India’s 120 yesterday? Afterall they (England) are the world champs in that game

    • Pinna enna? Kadupethuraanga Kea! :-(

  53. foreca gone mad vry little rains till 8 nov

    • They might be true

      • no way.they will change it :(

  54. Not much chance of rain…incase if it rains,it wil be a more isolated one..

  55. NEM 7% above normal for TN till now..!

  56. Cloud Mvmnt has changed to SE-NW..looks like they are heading towards the Depresiion in ARB!

  57. Only light rainfall predicted for Chennai(Mbk) today,according to foreca! :(

  58. The depression in ARB has added juice to the monsoon flow over TN!

  59. what is the prediction today, any rain forecast

  60. As most models predicted, Lp area moving twrds Arb sea..so almost another system is confirmed ..,. And coming to our bay,Hopefully,another wave is around indonesia…so s.bay and adjoining bay wil trigger a activity soon… http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/indian/winds/wm5conv.GIF

  61. As most models predicted, Lp area moving twrds Arb sea..so almost another system is confirmed ..,. And coming to our bay,Hopefully,another wave is around indonesia…so s.bay and adjoining bay wil trigger a activity soon…

  62. Done with 10k. Showers approaching according to radar. Planning another 5k, hopefully the showers help me thru to complete 15.

  63. Really GFS is gone mad.

    But all Models including ECMWF, CMC, GFS, NOGAPS all predict the November 10th system in Arabian sea.

      • U got it finally

  64. edhavadhu kalambumaa toni8?@sel,od

  65. enna koduma pa ithu??? tis uac will move into arb sea and developing near karantaka coast…yet another system in arb sea!!!!!!!

    • its borng guys u people r concentarting on nunga or meena no good information with regard to NEM

  66. Just 120 in T20! :-(

    These guys will bat out of their skin in IPL and CL..but when it comes to National team, it becomes a net practice!

    • AS PER your comment every thing is going in favour of arabian sea noting is positive so dont pedict anything nothing informative people in this blog always challanging each other no learning things always they say nunga or meena what is this?

  67. “It seems to be moving down..not much can be expected..thatz it for the day! ”

    Sel/Pradeep,

    I was right :-)

    • ippa apdi thaan theriuthu but it may change..

    • its ok dash….

  68. Early snowstorm approaches US east coast. Upto 25cm of snowfall is expected

    • who cares … :wink:

      • @Kea,

        rofl :-D lol :-D

      • me me me :D

  69. kea, its ur wish..but i alrdy told there will be a lp near tn coast in.nov 1st week…i thnk ther wont be sunny days in november 1st week..may be sun will be partially out for 2 or 3 days out of 14 dayss..

  70. I dont mind any place south Of us(cuddalore,pondi) getting rains in NEM…but i feel really irritated if any place to the north of Meenambakkam gets very heavy rain in NEM….

    Nellore 13cm :-x ..frustrating!

  71. Rainfall from NEM till 5.30 today
    —————————————-

    Meenambakkam – 291mm
    Nungambakkam – 250mm

    Tambaram(till 25oct) – 248mm

  72. GFS gone mad again

  73. Selva, what is forecast for next Sunday?

    • sunny :D

      • should i register for the marathon

        • no rain threat from 6th till 10th

    • next sunday???? november 6th uh???

      • Yes, but selva was talking about wettest ever 1st half

  74. Poonamalle,Sriperumbudur have got the heaviest rains today!

    • s surely

  75. cuddalore coming back strongly.101cm till now with 370mm tis month alone

  76. Rainfall in Chennai(Meenambakkam=where it matters) …has crossed 100cm for the year! :D

    • But only 4cm for meenambakkam :( the way it wa dark,i thought it wud cross 100mm by evening! :(

      • it should be close to 80mm here,mina missed out :(

    • only now?

      • s only now :| :(

  77. Barur in krishnagri distrcit has got 8cm,yesterday!!!…i was there recently,it our the nearest small town to our Tirupattur neighbour’s native village…its a real beautiful green place..!!..along the banks of Tenpennai river!

  78. Rainfall shub be 4cm over my home…North was very very dark….some place definitely shud have got above 8cm there….i mean areas like chembarambakkam!!

  79. Very heavy rain in Tambaram since afternoon!!

  80. storm likely in bay.. http://www.thehindubusinessline.com/industry-and-economy/agri-biz/article2579864.ece?homepage=true

  81. not yet over,tis system will be the source of rain till nov1..heavy rain on cards.. dip in pressure(will be active with 1006mb) as it entered gom…

  82. nunga-33mm
    mina-42mm :D
    bengloor-22mm :(

  83. This should give us another 3-4 cm today

    http://www.imd.gov.in/section/dwr/img/ppi_chn.gif

    • It seems to be moving down..not much can be expected..thatz it for the day!

      Let us watch the match for a change!

      • wind direction is SE and its huge in size…Nunga will get some rains from it

  84. jon.im missing all the rain.suck in w.anna nagar.only 1 heavy spell of rain here for 30mins.need to check my rain gauge after returning home

  85. Kea put up an estimate for November now itself

    October we will endup around 330-350 mm

    • its too early for november

  86. Nothing here. At the marina, nothing here too.

  87. Kea
    As all the estimates have gone wrong..can we have 1 more prediction for rains until 31st Oct?!

    • 280

  88. guyz heavy rain in tambaram and madambakkam …………

  89. pouring like anything

    • mount could have rcvd 70-80mm from 8.30

  90. hvy rain started

  91. Only 3 still in contention

    Kamlesh – 200-250 mm
    GTAman – 250 mm
    ArjunLV – 225-275 mm

    will anyone win?

    • chanceless easily we ll pass 275 today itself..

  92. this could be the heaviest spell yet

  93. SSE winds

  94. all blog members,november 1st 2 weeks gonna be the wettest november or even wettest nem season ever…..every system forming in bay, hitting chennai coast…just c wats going to happen but the current low in bay will move twrds arb sea and intensifying to system..let it go…

    • u hv been correct today, but dont believe ur nov prediction

      • only tday i was correct????… am damn sure abt the november predictions

  95. 118.9 mm/hr nunga

  96. pouring here jon, really heavy and dark

  97. no rain now extreme dark ere

  98. PJ.sema rain la….easily would hav crossed 2cm..

  99. POURING AS MUCH AS POSSIBLE………..

  100. another gud news…s.bay adjoined s.east bay to produce a low in 3 days,tat will slowly intensify n move twrds TN COAST, and hit n.tn coast as WELL MARKED LOW or as a depression on nov5/6….

    • i gone through all dependable models( excluding gfs)….tis is sure..

  101. webcam nt wrkn

  102. LOW ENTERED GULF OF MANNAR……….

    • no clouds over gom currently

      http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/daten/sat/2011/10/29/Igms1100.jpg

      • http://tropic.ssec.wisc.edu/real-time/indian/winds/wm5vor.GIF

  103. heavy showers approaching

  104. steady rain here in mount.rr may be around 60-70

    • Continous heavy rain here in minjur.

  105. pouring now

  106. no rain in tambaram what the f**k is this …………

  107. Depression ARB 02 formation Alert
    —————————————–
    It lay centred at 1130 hrs IST of today, the 29th October 2011 near latitude 13.00N and longitude 62.00E, about 1400 km west of Mangalore (Karnataka), 850 km east of Socotra Island (Yemen) and 950 km southeast of Salalah (Oman) The system is likely to intensify further into a deep depression and move west northwestwards towards Gulf of Aden during next 72 hrs.

    http://www.imd.gov.in/section/nhac/dynamic/cwind.htm

  108. I think today Nunga will beat Meena by atleast 10 mm

    • thatz till now..but Meena may lead Nunga by even 10cm with approaching rains :-)

      • Nunga has beaten meena in SWM and will repeat the same in NEM too….lets see

  109. Huge red mass 50 km E/SE of us..will it come straight to us?

  110. Nellore 13cm :o :o :o

  111. Red dot entering here

  112. where do u live selvafun, u seem to get extra rain always

    • he is in Villi..

  113. so sad so sad no rain in madambakkam andd tambaram surroundings ……….

    • don worry..currently monstrous clouds with thunder seen over North and central Chennai only..but we will rock from evening.. :-)

      Hereafter, rains may be accompanied by tremendous thunder and severe lightning..be ready!


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