Posted by: keaweather | November 26, 2010

A few scattered showers possible

It was dissapointing to receive just drizzles last night. There is a chance of some showers today. Hopefully we can get a big one.


Responses

  1. Absolutely Pouring in west mamblam…

  2. Some outer edge drizzle has started here in cusp of kknagar/virugambakkam/valasaravakkam.

  3. Radar, still showing flares. But they slow moving. We should have rain from anotehr 1.5/2 hrs from the speed and its current location.

    Any way, I think Vinodh is entering 24th year!

  4. Seeing radar.. pondicherry could be even more

  5. Breaking news… Cuddalore got 12cm from 5 30 PM to 11 30 PM !!!… now cuddalore stands at 145mm from 8 30 AM to 11 30 PM… omg.. these rains shouldnt miss chennai

  6. Happy birthday to blogger Vinodh!

  7. @vijay : k.k.nager west just few meters from city limits!

  8. very calm cant see even a light air

  9. dhinakar

    wre do you stay?

  10. its raining in adyar now not sure

  11. CGL is covered now!

  12. While going on the posts of few, I have to note here, some days back a spammer was spoiling the forum by coming to fight with me! I was totally irritated by his posts and comments. His posts were intimidating. But, it was removed in next morning! If any body abuse posters, mercilessly remove their posts and mark them as spammers!

  13. kn,yeah hopefully

    i think by today night it wont miss, this cloud mass really creating some bang red spots before it reaches the destination and continuing with some moderate rains

  14. Hi Vijay sry i dint see that msg… as of now it seems the rains are strictly limitng to south of Pondy.. hoping the trough to move and give some rains…

  15. @kn
    Then do you still hope chennai would get more rains from this monsoon?

    kn
    you dint answer my question, at 2.35 pm i asked

  16. I am with you kea.. Do not get diverted with few unwanted comments.. Let us enjoy and live with this passion.

    I s ee clouds … And hopefully it rains.

  17. Becos of the delta rains , Tamil Nadu is all set to be in excess category for NEM….

  18. Perfect SWM style… no hype nothing.. heavy rains in delta.. ALL the delta related stations aduthurai,karaiakal,chidambaram,neyveli above 10cm…

  19. Did anybody expect this?..Nagapattinam matches Chennai AP.. at 119cm now (becos of 8 cm from 8 3o to 5 30)

  20. dhinakar

    it ll rain im hoping

  21. The is a good precipitation accumulation east of Pondichery!

  22. If the radar to be believed, I am getting ready for pyrotechnics!

  23. kea

    this is like vasee in endhiran meayh……

    i can guess now

  24. @kea :shock:

  25. Ok Guys, the flare is moving towards North – North east! expect some moderate fireworks! Currently the cloud is covering CGL!

    PS: This post based on last browsing of the radar up close

  26. who is Hilfigner?

    A) karthik raghavan
    B) GTA man
    C) Martin
    D) Super Sai
    E) jon

  27. Drizzling in bangalore :mad:

  28. Oh JON and others sorry I have left out your names in the enthu list

  29. Drizzles started in bangalore… Does not look like it is going heavy but..

  30. black sheep?

  31. I am with you KEA – will focus only on weather and knowledge sharing on climate and sky reading etc. Fortunately we have great experts like Dhinakar/Ashok Patel/Vinodh with us and will try to understand from their expertise – we have also Guna/Guru/Sel CYLCONE and highly enthusiastic bunch of youngsters to energise us to keep the good work going. All the best

  32. no predictions from me Suresh. I haven’t followed the radar closely since evening.

    I can see a lot of people are excited about the northward movement. I dont think it will reach us. Even if it does it will be only very light

  33. kea i dont think we need to filter anyone just take it easy as long as thy dont cross the limits

  34. Drizzles started in bangalore…

  35. “Kaarthigaiku apram mazhai illa; Karnanukku apram kodai illa”

    This is d actual saying!

  36. who is(are) the black sheep? Kea

  37. bhaskaran,

    impossible to moderate this blog. All i can do is delete the messages whenever i am online. But by then everybody would hv read it. I will try to spam hilfigner.

    ANY CASE JUST AVOID THESE PEOPLE. NO NEED TO REPLY TO THEM. THEY WILL GET BORED AND LEAVE.

  38. Sorry folks in my over enthusiasam i misquoted the tamil saying. IT should be
    KARTHIGAIKU (DEEPAM) PIRAKU MAZHANUM (RAIN) ILLAI.

  39. KEA – My guess is that couple of days back someone raised a religious bogie in this column and subsequently said bye to us is that same person B……n

  40. Quick point on prediction / forecast:

    The “forecasts” in this site are based on radar observations / sat pics – which IMHO are not adequate parameters. There are other parameters like vertical vorticity, current pressure charts, and wind movements -not just in Madras / but for the region- which going into making a reasonable forecast. A lot of these parameters are not available in public domain to work out a forecast.

    Given that this is an ameteur forum, and lot of us are learning the wily ways of weather…so the “forecasts” in this forum, come with a huge caveat clause.

  41. @kea,

    create a poll to guess who hilfigner is..u can provide options :-) :-)

  42. Hi, I am Sridharan. I am a regular watcher of KEA. Thanks for everybody’s anxious wait for heavy downpour or atleast heavy drizzles. I am also eagerly waiting to see all our roads get waterlogged by nonstop rains from NEM. But it never seem to happen. Only on the morning of October 20, 2010 it happened. Though we have modern gadgets on scientific analysis, predictions etc about rain,it seems to avoid Chennai this monsoon. There is a very old saying in Tamil “KARNAANUKU PIRAKU KODAIYUM ILLAI, KARTHIGAIKU (DEEPAM) PIRUAKU KODAIUM ILLAI”. Probably this may come true as far as chennai is concerned.

  43. Dear Dhinkar – this is exactly the bloggers in this site are looking for, just superb analysis – but we only hope (?) we get our share beofore 20th

  44. guna,

    i will catch all these new ppl tomorrow. I need a pc. I am on my mobile now. I already know who hilfigner is. Any guesses?

  45. @ selcyclone : at this point I cannot answer your question, as I am watching a LLCC in cusp of west Philippine sea and Gulf of Thailand! If the LLCC moves as I thought to the west, then if the ridge and wind shears permit, we may have a bang ! But after that, I don’t see any reason for new strong systems!

    Also, earth is closing on to Sun to complete a revolution! We being close to Equator will see change in ocean currents to wards the south pole also, next month sun will start rising up again towards us, hence, that will start affecting the ocean heat! So, it is meagre chance of well marked systems after 20th December as southern solstice closes in on 21st December 2010.

  46. @Kea atleast we have reached double century today after 5 days :smile:

  47. jon: ya..ya.ya..

  48. most clouds are in land,heading north through chennai…………i dont c ,they are much preciptated, to pour heavy………..

  49. @Sel :shock: :razz: :mrgreen:

  50. truth speaker{ hill): u may be a big “appataker”, but chennaities are undertaker………..

  51. selcyclone
    surely it ll rain but dunno how much time it ll take to reach chennai by moving north wards

    but some of the NE winds may bring some rains in between by tonight

  52. Sel, no signs of any rains for the moment

  53. jon:ssssss…..u r right….”truth has lied”..caught redhanded

  54. Ok, flocks! I just browsed the radar on close range. It is burning just below Chengulput! right onto Villupuram ! I’ll again post after some time on this if this moves north – North east! Good decibels flaring up!

    http://www.imd.gov.in/section/dwr/dynamic/dwr.htm

  55. Jon you are absolutely wrong . I just happens to see the guys comments and his views echo with mine .

  56. dhinakar,jon,vinod,kea,vijay,sooooper sai,boss endra bahaskaran sir: hope u r fine but not our NE MONSOON….wat happened to bay,totally neglecting chennai….will it rain by tonight or “jal”action repeats…………..?

  57. lol every 1 is desperate n frustrated of no rains poor kea taking bashing as a result :)

  58. Hilfi and truth are same.isnt it? :mad:

  59. Truth_speaker is absolutely right . We are in no ways abusing anyone or anything . We are expressing our views which happen to be against kea. Blocking or not displaying these will only prove that kea is not broad minded .

  60. @truth_speaker

    Infosys & Balaji – r they real atleast? :-D lol

  61. KEA – i have earlier also said tha there should be moderators to wet all the postings here – it is only sincere request – so that all unwanted postings can be eliminated straightaway. But I have seen you have lot of patience and given us extra liberty – but that gesture should be taken in a right spirit

  62. FINALLY TRUTHS ARE OUT BUT NO RAIN…………………..

  63. Sorry Friends – Truth speakers et al, yes it may be social site – you may have rights (?) but as a matured person that too working for Infosys – it is better we maintain certain decorum – and ethics – we must set example to others

  64. why should i be scared lol… its an social site…i have all my rights to post my comments…..and iam an software engineer,those technical terms would not scare me….on the most u can only block my comments in this site….by the way iam balaji and i work for infosys.

  65. guna sir: tats good point…………..tear tat mask of tat “TRUTH SPEAKER”

  66. truth speakers and hilfigner don’t think kea can’t find out who is actually posting in these fake names. A very simple mac address and user agent info of your pc will reveal your true identity and therefore post using your original name itself.

    There is nothing wrong in opposing Kea’s view or any other persons view. And so no need for fake names.

  67. truth speaker: where r u from?..in ur place,all will speak truth.is it anything lik tat?

  68. No Vijay its still raining here 12hrs.straight, NON-STOP ACTION FOLKS….

  69. kea better dont predict about rainfall….its always opposite to what you say…pls say it wont rain …may be it will rain..lol

  70. kea better dont predict about rainfall….its always opposite to what you say…pls say it wont rain at all …may be it will rain..lol

  71. where is the rainnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnnn?……hi….ssuresh,no sign of rain,no low clouds…..

  72. Vijay, I respect everyone including kea. Just don’t respect keas premature predictions of weather .

  73. foreca prediction came down

  74. i think rain stopped at kumbakonam and karaikal stretch

  75. look at this.wind shear towards north and north east…..so cloud mass may pass through chennai….. .http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/indian/winds/archive/wm5shr-1.GIF

  76. Hope that clouds bypass bangalore :sad:

  77. KEA.

    What is your prediction for tonight. taking into consideration of favourable satellite picture, i hope there could be moderate showers for chennai. i anticiate rainfall of at least 2 centimeters till 5.30 AM tomorrow mng. Core clouds not visible beyond cuddalore/pondy pocket, though till 7 Pm, there were some good rains down south.

    ss.

  78. Chennai will start experiencing good rains from tonight… Looks promising from the below link… This is captured as of 8:25 PM…

    http://www.wunderground.com/wundermap/?lat=13.00000000&lon=80.18000031&zoom=8&pin=Chennai%20%28Madras%29%2c%20India&type=hyb&rad=0&wxsn=0&svr=0&cams=0&sat=1&sat.num=1&sat.spd=25&sat.opa=85&sat.gtt1=109&sat.gtt2=108&sat.type=IR4&riv=0&mm=0&hur=0

  79. Kalpakkam gettin battered!!!! :(

  80. Rain is gonna reach banaglore by ni8 :(

  81. It is unfortunate radar continues to pick up rains only kalpakkam and below. for the past 3 hours there wre contineous showers in cuddalore, kumbakonam and nearby places. of course there were no significant rains below trichy. it gives an indication the system with core of clouds slightly shifted north.

    but still it is not certain whether we could get rains tonight.

    could be one more disappointment night unless otherwise clouds move swiftly to north from cuddalore. even now places close to kalpakkam battered by showers.

    ss.

  82. Pudukkottai,Tiruvallur,Chennai,Karaikal and nagapattinam are the only distrcits in deficient category from this NEM till now :( ……Ironically even kanchi distict has got normal rainfall …Courtesy – Chengalpet,Kanchipuram,Uthiramerur,Mahabalipuram and Cheyyur!

  83. Omg…luk at this map..it luks wonderful :)

    http://www.imdchennai.gov.in/week.GIF

  84. li8 rains reoprted from tirupattur from evening !!

  85. we might have a shower or two till the 2nd. But nothing big like more than 20 mm

  86. lol i dont think he meant ‘that’ anyways lets see wat happens now as kea himself said there wont be much rain till 2

  87. all are human beings here and you are telling “that” & “this”

  88. hilfinger

    first learn to give respect to all

  89. Now that kea has said that no rains are possible till 2nd December we can expect some good rain in the period in between!

  90. hi seenu, check this one….

    ITS SHOWS CLOUDS STARTED TO MOVE TOWARDS NORTH….

    BUT THE WIND IS VERY HEAVY…IT MAY GET CHANGE OR DISSIPATED…

    http://www.weatheronline.co.uk/cgi-app/satellite?LANG=en&STRUCTUR=_&CREG=inir&VISIBLE=0&CONT=asie&BIG=0&LOOP=12&ZEIT=201011261300

    WE HOPE IT REACHES CHENNAI BY TONIGHT….AND START RAINING..

    COLA GFS PREDICTS THE SAME ……….

    http://ow.ly/i/5PRz

  91. Err….:O :O :O Huge high pressure over central india hindering cloud development over north tn-iwr

  92. I dont think any rains are possible until the next low around 2nd Dec. We are going to end up with shortfall of around 90 for this month.

  93. http://www.weather.com/weather/map/interactive/INXX0202?animation=true

    guys watch this one by one u can see the difference its moving up to north

    check it out

  94. this cloud mass which is in the pocket of pondi to salem moving north…….the present cloud mass was over near kanyakumari and this morning it was in madurai and delta districts and it was enlarged to salem to pondi lets see if it comes to chennai… wat does it do?

    lets hope guys….but not sure its moving north
    any views

  95. Hilfigner puzzle solved

  96. SWM and NEM tendency of Tn from 2005
    ———————————————–

    2005 – (-7%)+(79%)
    2006 – (-21%)+(15%)
    2007 – (7%)+(21%)
    2008 – (3%)+(31%)
    2009 – (0%)+(13%)
    2010 – (39%)+(+26)

    Conclusion==>this is the first year after 1996 where SWM is excess for TN and incidentally in both the years NEM too is excess :)

  97. SURPRISE SURPRISE!!!!!!!!! not even a drizzle for the entire day…

  98. always low pressure or deep depression and even cyclone like to go nagapattinam or nelloor .i.e ap even jal crossed …near north of chennai …near pulicat but never we get rain thats unique to chennai … we the people … hop on hope.!

  99. Hmm… Ok Seenu,got some work will come to you within an hr or so.

  100. ok riaz but we hope fully watching sky… last 2 days …watching sky but sky never look at me …i.e..chennai…!

  101. Maybe Seenu…. But all we need is rain… Number never counts. Let it be heavy, and Seenu dont lose hope as everything will gets its turn. Your city will surely gets its day may be even tomorrow if this huge cloud mass moves completely north. So don’t you lose hope towards anything, take my words you people will get a 10cm.day within a week as I can feel that…

  102. and clouds are moving south westerly dirction how chennnai will get good rain…and also nem means wind blowing from ne.. and clouds moving south westerly dir .. so chennai will misss…. great misss

  103. KR,

    Spot on. Kallakurichi 8 cm and counting.

  104. hi raj kumar there are no clouds over chennai in map … so chennai will not get good rain only slight drizzle………..look map with zoom effect…

  105. it wil rain lik hell from tomo

  106. HI FRNDS,

    the insat picture at 5.30 Pm looks very promising… RAIN Clouds are reaching chennai.. ITS already fully overcast and heavy wind sometimes…

    While driving i felt the wind…..its heavy and chill….

    I THINK RAIN GET START BY TONIGHT…

    http://www.imd.gov.in/section/satmet/img/sector-ir.jpg

  107. Hi Riaz
    From what I hear from you, I think kumbakonam must be higher, than 6 cm…U can never trust these TNAU AWS completely !!!

  108. Omg…raining heavily all over the interiors btw pondi and salem…tomoro we mi8 see that Kallakurichi match up again wid pondi and cuddalore :) :)

  109. Thanks for your rainfall update for my hometown Kumbakonam,Mr.Siva

  110. Wow..Tn is running on excess NEM…its 26% above normal now :)

  111. ok riaz ur place get good rain .. we here in chennai ….having hope on hope

  112. Delta clocing in on its NEM deficit…rain has moved up to pondi,cuddalore :) …tonite/tomoro is our turn :) …n as i heard sterday of rains around tirupattur….uthangarai 2cm..tirupattur 1cm


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